One line to keep an eye on.....

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  • ACCBlitz
    Restricted User
    • 07-30-10
    • 595

    #1
    One line to keep an eye on.....
    Clemson at Auburn

    It opened at -6 for Auburn, but is now at -7.

    The last two times they have met, the games were decided by 3 and 4 points respectively.

    With how bad the ACC looked this past weekend, and because Auburn is in the SEC (ESPN will hype them up), I can see the public pounding this hard enough to move it as high as maybe -10.

    Clemson is much better running team this year, without CJ Spiller, and things are solid with Kyle Parker at QB. Plus they'll have their #1 LB Brandon Maye back as well as Preseason All-ACC DT Jarvis Jenkins.

    I'm jumping on Clemson if this hits Clemson +7.5.

    Little more info:
    Clemson ATS
    4-1 in their last 5 after a SU win of 20 points or more

    Auburn ATS
    3-7 in their last 10 game overall
    2-5 in their last 7 home games
    2-5 in their last 7 against non-conference opponents
    1-5-1 in their last 7 against the ACC

    There are obviously a couple negative Clemson trends, but there are NO positive Auburn ones.

    Thoughts anyone?
  • ACCBlitz
    Restricted User
    • 07-30-10
    • 595

    #2
    Line just hit -7.5 on BetUs
    Comment
    • mandude
      SBR MVP
      • 12-16-09
      • 1474

      #3
      I've got my eye on this line. This should be a good close game. I can't see Aub covering 7.5 or more with a frosh at QB.
      Comment
      • agharah1
        SBR MVP
        • 09-07-10
        • 2304

        #4
        I'd consider the under since Auburn's offense is so mediocre, but even that would violate my signature principle.
        Comment
        • iwantcougars
          SBR MVP
          • 09-29-09
          • 2156

          #5
          since the acc were exposed last week, most people will pound auburn, i'm staying away from this one unles it goes to 8 then i'll happily take clemson
          Comment
          • minet123
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-07
            • 10280

            #6
            I like Clemson + the points should be a close game
            Comment
            • ACCBlitz
              Restricted User
              • 07-30-10
              • 595

              #7
              Originally posted by agharah1
              I'd consider the under since Auburn's offense is so mediocre, but even that would violate my signature principle.
              @ your sig
              Comment
              • TWEETS
                SBR MVP
                • 10-22-08
                • 2114

                #8
                Hate to bet against a mobile QB who can make things happen, seems to be hardest thing for defenses in CFB to defend.
                Comment
                • ACCBlitz
                  Restricted User
                  • 07-30-10
                  • 595

                  #9
                  Don't underestimate Parker though. Pure athlete and when it breaks down he has the wheels to pick up yards. The Clemson O-Line and their duo of Ellington/Harper will open up the passing game. The *only* thing to worry about are the receivers. But there are a few youngsters stepping up, and TE D.Allen is a monster with hands of velvet. Parker loves to hit his TE, see Michael Palmers stats last year.
                  Comment
                  • GiveMeaBJ
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-08-09
                    • 8449

                    #10
                    I was leaning Auburn. Not strongly or anything but I still haven't dug into the game yet. You do raise a good point about that line moves, altough I don't think ESPN hyping them up will matter much. SEC teams tend to get most of the love anyway. Not sure about Clemson this year, may just watch this one and see what there made of. Going to look into this one tomorrow.
                    Comment
                    • Joe_Shabadoo
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 09-17-09
                      • 607

                      #11
                      Originally posted by mandude
                      I've got my eye on this line. This should be a good close game. I can't see Aub covering 7.5 or more with a frosh at QB.
                      Cam Newton is either a senior, or a 4th-year junior this year. I'm not sure if he has another year of eligibility after transferring.
                      Comment
                      • mandude
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-16-09
                        • 1474

                        #12
                        Well I'll be damned. He is a Jr. Shit the bed, thought he was a frosh. Anyway I still think Clemson may be a good bet. I know the ACC is week overall but Auburn doesnt impress me enough to be laying this many points against Clemson. To be honest with you I'm getting tired of this SEC supremecy shit. Outside of Bama & maybe S.Car, not one team in this league is a serious title contender.
                        Comment
                        • mstone897
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-09-10
                          • 403

                          #13
                          With the public on Auburn the line can only go up right?
                          Comment
                          • ACCBlitz
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-30-10
                            • 595

                            #14
                            You would think. Although the books just might keep this low for a while to get as many Auburn bets as possible. I'm watching to see if it jumps past +7.5. If not, I'm 100% ok with that line.
                            Last edited by ACCBlitz; 09-16-10, 02:13 AM.
                            Comment
                            • GiveMeaBJ
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 09-08-09
                              • 8449

                              #15
                              Just took the under in this game. Hopefully Clemson can keep it a low scoring 17-14 game! Like your Nevada, Oregon State plays. Going opposite on USC and Nebraska. That NC St under is looking better and better. May hop onto that one late, my brother is on that and he kind of talked me into it. If line moves to 56 I will play.
                              Comment
                              • ACCBlitz
                                Restricted User
                                • 07-30-10
                                • 595

                                #16
                                The USC play will be interesting. I only threw a 1/2 unit on it. You jump on Hawaii? I see that one being close, if not a SU win for the Warriors. Colorado is garbage but they do have Big XII talent, so it won't be a run away for Hawaii.
                                Comment
                                • GiveMeaBJ
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-08-09
                                  • 8449

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ACCBlitz
                                  The USC play will be interesting. I only threw a 1/2 unit on it. You jump on Hawaii? I see that one being close, if not a SU win for the Warriors. Colorado is garbage but they do have Big XII talent, so it won't be a run away for Hawaii.
                                  I looked into Hawaii and gave it a 2nd look but I just can't pull the trigger on them. I just don't like backing Hawaii on the road against BCS competition.
                                  Comment
                                  • ACCBlitz
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 07-30-10
                                    • 595

                                    #18
                                    Clemson line up to +8.5 now. Hmmmm.
                                    Comment
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