Paco's Tail at ur own Risk NcaaF and NFL thread.

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  • fishtot
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-01-09
    • 650

    #106
    spreads are moving crazy in the 2 games today, wonder what that means
    Comment
    • F.Lucena
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-29-10
      • 730

      #107
      Paco, good to see that you make a Football thread.

      Let's make some money this season. I already started, if you can, pass in my thread.

      Good luck on your Boise St. play. Today I'm only in Navy.
      Comment
      • dume walker
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 04-08-10
        • 971

        #108
        Originally posted by paco
        Lb, i wish u coulda made it to the bash bro. I talked for a good hour with Justin7 about all kinds of sports related stuff. Did u know he was a former line setter for Pinny? Sharp guy. Just ordered his book from the SBR Store.

        I just ordered this as well. Looking forward to reading it. Another book you guys might like is "The Smart Money" by Michael Konik. Takes you inside the workings of The Computer Group, Billy Walters' group that took the casinos for millions on sports betting. Though in the book the names are fictionalized. He calls them The Brain Trust instead. Interesting stuff.
        Comment
        • D3 Mighty Ducks
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-17-09
          • 11939

          #109
          Originally posted by Sixla
          VT is 0-21 vs top 5 teams away from home!! Biggest game in Boise St history so far, the whole season rides on this game for Boise.
          Comment
          • haveuseenm
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 08-10-10
            • 940

            #110
            Originally posted by F.Lucena
            Paco, good to see that you make a Football thread.

            Let's make some money this season. I already started, if you can, pass in my thread.

            Good luck on your Boise St. play. Today I'm only in Navy.
            Show me the money
            Attached Files
            Comment
            • investor
              SBR MVP
              • 10-08-09
              • 1929

              #111
              ^^^
              Comment
              • dume walker
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-08-10
                • 971

                #112
                Couple of possible reasons for the Boise/Va Tech line movement... One is the close call TCU had -- a BCS buster similar to Boise -- with Oregon State. Lost ATS and came close to losing straight up even though playing at home. (I know Paco was on the winning side of that wager.) Also the fact that Boise had a hard time with Ryan Matthews and Fresno State's inside running game last year, and that Va Tech has two good power runners.

                I'm with Paco on this. I've had good fortune the last two years betting against Va Tech in their early season games. I also took the over on this when I was able to get it at 49 1/2 weeks ago. It's now moved to 52 or so.

                GL everybody. And GL, Paco on your new thread!
                Comment
                • F.Lucena
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 06-29-10
                  • 730

                  #113
                  Originally posted by haveuseenm
                  Show me the money
                  Yeah I show you, just show me where I can find this girls!



                  Comment
                  • shaggy3000
                    Restricted User
                    • 12-29-09
                    • 5801

                    #114
                    its moved all the way to +1.5.... does that change anything for you?
                    Comment
                    • paco
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-07-09
                      • 62873

                      #115
                      Nope. Gonna add on to Boise mL
                      Comment
                      • F.Lucena
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-29-10
                        • 730

                        #116
                        Originally posted by paco
                        Nope. Gonna add on to Boise mL
                        Paco, I'll be with you on the Boise St.

                        going to play just (0.5x).

                        Good luck

                        Comment
                        • TheJer
                          Restricted User
                          • 11-25-08
                          • 308

                          #117
                          I will be checking out this thread over the season.
                          Comment
                          • msj0001
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-09-10
                            • 1562

                            #118
                            I'm on Boise, they've got too many starters back (20), VT's 0-21 vs. top 5 away from home, VT only has 4 returning starters on defense, VT likes to run the ball too, and in the games that got big coverage last season with basically the same Boise team, Boise held Oregon to 17 yards rushing, and TCU to 34 yards rushing...and on top of that, Boise just seems to step up in the big games....BOISE +2


                            Also all over NAVY -5.5
                            Comment
                            • msj0001
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-09-10
                              • 1562

                              #119
                              Im going to buy a point and take Boise +3 to be a little more safe
                              Comment
                              • ankh4all2
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 07-11-09
                                • 254

                                #120
                                Originally posted by paco
                                Yea, bad line. Line is -1 at wagerchief, so I got -.5 with the free half point.
                                Do you get a free half point on or off of 3 too?
                                Comment
                                • HoldEmHook!!
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-08-09
                                  • 2962

                                  #121
                                  Paco, my brother. I got nothing but love for you but I am on Vtech. jumped on them early when the line first came out +3. IMO If Boise wins the game goes over and if Vtech wins the games stays under, so I have a little on under 51.5 as well.......we shall see
                                  Comment
                                  • ankh4all2
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 07-11-09
                                    • 254

                                    #122
                                    Originally posted by investor
                                    Grrr I was thinking about making a small wager on VaTech if they moved to -1 by morning time. Which i think will happen. I love betting on a team that starts off as an underdog and then becomes a favorite. Just wished you were taking VaTech paco so i could feel more comfortable.
                                    I like that too, but Wash killed me on Saturday....
                                    Comment
                                    • investor
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-08-09
                                      • 1929

                                      #123
                                      Yah ankh but if i recall right, i think the there was more people betting on Washington where as this is not the case. Although now more people are piling on, there is still the majority on Boise.

                                      I'm still waiting till closer to game time to see how the line moves.
                                      Comment
                                      • melia26
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-16-08
                                        • 455

                                        #124
                                        Glad we are on the same side Paco. Good luck today, go Boise boys!
                                        Comment
                                        • paste_me
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-11-09
                                          • 1832

                                          #125
                                          snap boise st +1.5 add some more?
                                          Comment
                                          • alamo
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-21-09
                                            • 7131

                                            #126
                                            Like the play Paco. Its great to be back onboard now that FOOTBALL is BACK !
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaioice
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 06-04-10
                                              • 780

                                              #127
                                              Mlb
                                              mlb
                                              mlb
                                              mlb
                                              mlb
                                              cfb
                                              parlay (6 teams)
                                              [906] atl braves -200
                                              ( action /j jurrjens-r )
                                              [923] tex rangers -175
                                              ( c wilson -l/ action )
                                              [966] sfo giants -133
                                              ( e rogers -r / m bumgarnr-l )
                                              [969] cws white sox -127
                                              ( e jackson -r / masterson -r )
                                              [973] tor blue jays +135
                                              ( r romero -l / j niemann -r )
                                              [209] boise state -1½-105

                                              100 / 3286

                                              Parlay from all last week ending today. Boise was gonna be one of my biggest plays but now i don't even have to risk alot still will pay out big!
                                              Comment
                                              • JR007
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-21-10
                                                • 5279

                                                #128
                                                Comment
                                                • KingKing
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 408

                                                  #129
                                                  best of luck paco
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Gio21
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-09
                                                    • 1594

                                                    #130
                                                    Was on Boise before I even knew you had a thread might wanna go an extra $100 on the game
                                                    Comment
                                                    • paco
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                      • 62873

                                                      #131
                                                      Adding on to Boise.

                                                      Boise +1.5 (2x)

                                                      So Boise at -.5 (2x)
                                                      and at +1.5 (2x)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • firedawg
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 10-08-08
                                                        • 39219

                                                        #132
                                                        paco!!!!!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Sweeney
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 09-06-10
                                                          • 13

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by paco
                                                          Adding on to Boise. Boise +1.5 (2x) So Boise at -.5 (2x) and at +1.5 (2x)
                                                          Lets get this, fvck that line movement
                                                          Comment
                                                          • paco
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-07-09
                                                            • 62873

                                                            #134
                                                            Navy 2nd half -4.5 (-120) (1x)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • paste_me
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-11-09
                                                              • 1832

                                                              #135
                                                              not only is navy gonna get the 2nd half but navy -5.5 is gonna cash too
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Sdotbold
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-24-09
                                                                • 1444

                                                                #136
                                                                I need the navy -5.5 and the over 48 to cash. lets go! 4 times in the red zone and 7 pts. wtf
                                                                Comment
                                                                • decado
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 08-23-10
                                                                  • 2392

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                                  Navy 2nd half -4.5 (-120) (1x)
                                                                  u really have a low line. i got Navy 2nd Half -5 (+106).
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94379

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Originally posted by decado
                                                                    u really have a low line. i got Navy 2nd Half -5 (+106).

                                                                    navy was -4 at betjam in the end. most books had 4-4.5. where did you play ? pinny?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • decado
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-23-10
                                                                      • 2392

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                      navy was -4 at betjam in the end. most books had 4-4.5. where did you play ? pinny?
                                                                      yeah, pinny. -5 should do fine, i guess.
                                                                      and thanks for COL TT.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • chankng
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-16-10
                                                                        • 1975

                                                                        #140
                                                                        what a dumb fumble
                                                                        Comment
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