Sj55 2010-2011 college football picks

**BigdaddyQH** · 09-03-10, 01:12 PM

I assume you are talking about the Miami-Ohio State game.

**BamaCBass** · 09-03-10, 04:28 PM

Sweet, glad to see you back! LIke the play. Any other ACC leans for this weekend?

**Flopa3** · 09-03-10, 05:14 PM

Nie to see you back SJ I'm looking forward to your plays. Good luck this season I hope it is as profitable as your last.

**sweetjones55** · 09-04-10, 08:42 AM

Originally posted by BamaCBass

Sweet, glad to see you back! LIke the play. Any other ACC leans for this weekend?

I like Virginia Tech. Boise State let Ryan Matthews run for like 500 yards last year. I think Ryan Williams is better and VT is a more balanced offense with a better OLine. VT will not allow 50 points and I think VT dictates the pace of this game. Line opened up at VT +2.5 and is now +1.5 with split betting on both sides.

**goldengreek** · 09-04-10, 08:51 AM

Best of luck today and all football season my friend

**sweetjones55** · 09-04-10, 08:56 AM

I just think 10.5 is just way too many points to give Purdue. ND is in a transition now with a new QB and coach and should not be favored by double digits vs a decent Purdue team. The last 5 ND quarterbacks did not even win their first start let alone win by double digits. Robert Marve is a pretty good QB and should be able to keep it close. ND only won 2 games by double digits last year and they had a much better team last year. Also one of those wins shouldn't even count as it was against the worst team in the country, Washington State. ND actually won by 26 but didn't cover that 28 point line.

Boilermakers +10.5 LOCKED

**gshock1** · 09-04-10, 09:25 AM

Good luck on the season SJ! I love the Miami pick next week. My book hasn't released the # yet.

Any thoughts on Fresno St (-2) today?

**sweetjones55** · 09-04-10, 09:35 AM

Originally posted by gshock1

Good luck on the season SJ! I love the Miami pick next week. My book hasn't released the # yet.

Any thoughts on Fresno St (-2) today?

Sorry no.

**sweetjones55** · 09-04-10, 09:37 AM

Butch Davis found the need to say "we are going to try to win this game". I don't think he has very much confidence at all in this team they are putting out for this game. They are really missing basically all of their key players, the whole DL and all of their impact WR/RB's. I don't see how they can keep this game close. I am going to play the 1H, if I lose then I will take the 2H.

LSU TIGERS 1H -4.5 LOCKED (x1.5)

**HoulihansTX** · 09-04-10, 09:50 AM

They can keep it close, b/c LSU's coach is a bumbling idiot.

**sweetjones55** · 09-05-10, 10:06 AM

A nice 1-1 Saturday for +0.4 units. Tough 0.5 point loss with Purdue and a blowout win on my bigger play LSU 1H.

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

I like Virginia Tech. Boise State let Ryan Matthews run for like 500 yards last year. I think Ryan Williams is better and VT is a more balanced offense with a better OLine. VT will not allow 50 points and I think VT dictates the pace of this game. Line opened up at VT +2.5 and is now +1.5 with split betting on both sides.

Line is now Hokies -1.5. VT is the play.

Hokies -1.5 (x3) LOCKED

**woody78** · 09-06-10, 10:28 AM

Like both Va Tech tonight and Miami plus 9 or higher over OSU, and I'm a huge Buckeye fan.

**h3da** · 09-06-10, 10:33 AM

hello sweetjones, I have no idea about college football.. Anyway are you better at capping college football or nba? Anyway good luck

I might join you soon

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by h3da

hello sweetjones, I have no idea about college football.. Anyway are you better at capping college football or nba? Anyway good luck

I might join you soon

I think % wise I hit just as high in college football as I do basketball. I mainly stick to ACC football because I have found focusing on just one league helps me out. I think if you start to try to handicap the every team you will end up hitting a lower % because there is just no way to get all the knowledge and info on every team. It's impossible to watch every single team and to really get a feel for every team. I chose the ACC because I am a Miami fan so that's one team I already know pretty much everything there is to know about and don't have to do hw on, I also know a lot about FSU since they are in Florida.
I think I am more profitable season long to follow in basketball though just because of the number of plays. In College Football I might only have like 50 plays a year compared to 300+ in the NBA.

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by woody78

Like both Va Tech tonight and Miami plus 9 or higher over OSU, and I'm a huge Buckeye fan.

Let's hope we are both right, I am a huge unbiased Miami fan, have faded them several times last couple of years when we were horrible.

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 02:02 PM

Just noticed that yesterday I wrote the public was split on the VT-Boise game. Noticed now that the public is actually 60% on BSU today, huge RLM from +2 VT to -2 VT. Liking this VT play more and more.

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 02:10 PM

Just upped my VT play from 2.5 to 3 units, just got a good gut feeling on this one.

**dume walker** · 09-06-10, 02:17 PM

SJ, good to see you start a college football thread. Also, glad to hear you're knowledgeable about Florida State. What are your thoughts on FSU +8.5 playing at Oklahoma next week? FSU rolled against an FCS school. While Oklahoma beat Utah State by only a touchdown after being favored by 34.5.

You might be right about VT, but I went with Boise. VT has not done will in home openers the last 3 years whereas this same Boise team did well in its opener at Oregon last year, one of the toughest stadiums to play. Also frustrated Blount so much -- a great running back -- that he ended up slugging that taunting Boise player at the end of the game. And, yeah, Ryan Matthews gave them fits last year, but they still ended up winning that game 51-34; beating the -7 spread as well. Will VTs defense be able to contain Kellen Moore, Austin Pettis and the rest? We'll see. I got the over at 49.5 as well.

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 03:03 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

SJ, good to see you start a college football thread. Also, glad to hear you're knowledgeable about Florida State. What are your thoughts on FSU +8.5 playing at Oklahoma next week? FSU rolled against an FCS school. While Oklahoma beat Utah State by only a touchdown after being favored by 34.5.

You might be right about VT, but I went with Boise. VT has not done will in home openers the last 3 years whereas this same Boise team did well in its opener at Oregon last year, one of the toughest stadiums to play. Also frustrated Blount so much -- a great running back -- that he ended up slugging that taunting Boise player at the end of the game. And, yeah, Ryan Matthews gave them fits last year, but they still ended up winning that game 51-34; beating the -7 spread as well. Will VTs defense be able to contain Kellen Moore, Austin Pettis and the rest? We'll see. I got the over at 49.5 as well.

Oregon was not the same team at the beginning of the year that they were at the end. This game tonight is also a neutral site by the way, not a home game for VT. There will be a lot more VT fans in attendance though. I know Boise won the game vs Fresno but they still gave up 34 points in that game, VT's offense is better than Fresno and has a much better D. If Boise gives up 34 to VT they will not win this game.

**og4667** · 09-06-10, 03:21 PM

good luck on the play tonight, I still can't make up my mind. I have always thought of the ACC as second tier conference which lacks a legitimate national championship contender and is full of teams that consistently get favorable lines and fail to meet oddsmakers expectations. Over the last 3 seasons only 3 of their teams posted a winning ats record at home. I am not saying that the WAC is great either but just something to think about. You seem to know the conference well, whats your take on this?

**dume walker** · 09-06-10, 03:28 PM

I appreciate your thinking on VT, SJ. Any feedback on my FSU question?

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

I appreciate your thinking on VT, SJ. Any feedback on my FSU question?

Need to look into the game a bit more.

**sweetjones55** · 09-06-10, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by og4667

good luck on the play tonight, I still can't make up my mind. I have always thought of the ACC as second tier conference which lacks a legitimate national championship contender and is full of teams that consistently get favorable lines and fail to meet oddsmakers expectations. Over the last 3 seasons only 3 of their teams posted a winning ats record at home. I am not saying that the WAC is great either but just something to think about. You seem to know the conference well, whats your take on this?

I think the ACC has been weak the last few years but is a forced to be reckoned with this year. I think FSU, UNC, and Miami are all highly under-rated. Clemson and Virginia Tech have very nice teams as well. Look at what UNC almost did vs SEC power LSU with all of their key players out. FSU and Miami looked great in their debuts.

**maddogmadden86** · 09-08-10, 10:36 PM

FSU is gonna be good this year, reason why their coach was so mad he couldnt get one more year

**BamaCBass** · 09-10-10, 10:48 AM

Gettin fired up Sweet!! GL!

**sweetjones55** · 09-11-10, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by sweetjones55

Veryy strong play IMO. Very little doubt in my mind that if the game was in Miami that the Canes would win. They are on the road but the team is compromised of almost all juniors and seniors and will not back down and the crowd will not affect this team to the point that they should be a 9 point dog. OSU is not that good. They are getting a lot of hype because of their win vs Oregon at the end of the year. It was one game and they played well but it is carrying too much steam into this year. Take a look at Pryor's stats on a game to game basis last year and it is not all that impressive. Jacory Harris is one of the best QB's in the nation and the Canes have the best group of WR's in the nation. The offense alone should be able to keep it close. Miami has a top 3 secondary in the nation this year and will not let Pryor beat them with his arm, they will need to run the ball all night long and bleed the clock and hope to win a close one. My units will mostly be 1-5. I like this game a lot and have done a good amount of research on both teams so I am going full throttle on this one risking 5 units, 4 line 1 ML.

Hurricanes +9 LOCKED (x4)
Hurricanes ML +290 (x1)

Just reupping this since I posted it over a week ago. Just as I expected the line is now down to +8.

**BamaCBass** · 09-16-10, 12:54 PM

Sweet, are you tailing some reputable cappers any in NCAA? Or only making your own plays? How would you recommend finding somebody that's really good year after year?

Tough loss on the Canes. Ohio St is no joke for sure, but all those turnovers and missed scoring opportunities were ridiculous! GL this week!

**hitman2010** · 09-16-10, 01:27 PM

keep it up Sweet, I keep my eye on this thread.