Thurs-Fri Parlay...should hit

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  • curious
    Restricted User
    • 07-20-07
    • 9093

    #1
    Thurs-Fri Parlay...should hit
    Air Force +7 1/2
    Fresno State +3 1/2
    Boston College +3 1/2

    Don't know what it pays. Will be decent though.

    --------------------------------
    Someone got their panties all bunched up because this parlay is on "opposite" sides of other plays I made. So, I am posting those plays here so you can see for yourself. Personally, I don't understand what the big ****ing deal is. This post was made just after game time, or maybe just before I dont really remember. The post above was made at 9:00 AM. This play was a hedge for the plays listed here:

    I just saw this post. I have VA Tech - 2 1/2 (straightbet) and VA Tech / Boston Coll UNDER 42 (straightbet)

    I also have Boston College +9 1/2 and Fresno State +9 1/2 on a 2 team teaser.

    I also have a 3 pick parlay
    VA Tech -2 1/2,
    VA Tech / Boston Coll UNDER 42 and the
    NHL Rangers on the moneyline (I think they are called the rangers...the new york team anyway)
  • Ganchrow
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-28-05
    • 5011

    #2
    Originally posted by curious
    Air Force +7 1/2
    Fresno State +3 1/2
    Boston College +3 1/2

    Don't know what it pays. Will be decent though.
    It pays out at +455.429 at Bookmaker.

    I'll point out that for a Kelly bettor to choose to allocate an appreciable portion of his bankroll on the 3-team parlay in preference to the single bets, either betting limits would need to be extremely low relative to bankroll or the EV on the 3 underlying bets would need to be stretching-the-bounds-of-believability huge.

    For a fractional Kelly bettor this effect would become even more pronounced.
    Comment
    • curious
      Restricted User
      • 07-20-07
      • 9093

      #3
      Originally posted by Ganchrow
      It pays out at +455.429 at Bookmaker.

      I'll point out that for a Kelly bettor to choose to allocate an appreciable portion of his bankroll on the 3-team parlay in preference to the single bets, either betting limits would need to be extremely low relative to bankroll or the EV on the 3 underlying bets would need to be stretching-the-bounds-of-believability huge.

      For a fractional Kelly bettor this effect would become even more pronounced.
      Relax dude, it's just for fun.
      Comment
      • GatorFan
        SBR MVP
        • 04-19-07
        • 2969

        #4
        Execellent picks
        Comment
        • sikballplaya24
          SBR High Roller
          • 10-15-07
          • 215

          #5
          Nice picks! I have Fresno state winning straight up tomorrow. GOOD LUCK!
          Comment
          • Doc JS
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-15-06
            • 6885

            #6
            Originally posted by curious
            Air Force +7 1/2
            Fresno State +3 1/2
            Boston College +3 1/2
            Two-thirds of the way there, curious!!

            Gl 2night!!
            Comment
            • makethatmoney
              SBR Hustler
              • 10-01-07
              • 88

              #7
              good picks, i guess i read this thread too late. I'm on Fresno st tonight, however
              Comment
              • curious
                Restricted User
                • 07-20-07
                • 9093

                #8
                Adding Fresno +3 1/2 and Fresno Boise UNDER 63

                Adding a second parlay of Fresno +3 1/2 and Fresno Boise UNDER 63
                Comment
                • Ganchrow
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-28-05
                  • 5011

                  #9
                  Originally posted by curious
                  Relax dude, it's just for fun.
                  What's just for fun?

                  Do you mean picking both sides of a single game in different threads and then only bumping the one that wins?

                  Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
                  Comment
                  • Furt
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 10-25-07
                    • 185

                    #10
                    interesting...
                    Comment
                    • curious
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-20-07
                      • 9093

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Ganchrow
                      What's just for fun?

                      Do you mean picking both of sides a single game in different threads and then only bumping the one that wins?

                      http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...tml#post390635
                      Just for fun = small bet relative to bankroll size.

                      The parlay was a hedge on my straight bet on VT. You are familiar with the concept of a hedge? Right?

                      I'm not sure what "bumping" means, you can't change a parlay already placed.

                      The two pick parlay I added for tonight has nothing to do with VT or the first parlay for that matter, so I'm not sure what your point is.
                      Comment
                      • Ganchrow
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-28-05
                        • 5011

                        #12
                        Originally posted by curious
                        Just for fun = small bet relative to bankroll size.

                        The parlay was a hedge on my straight bet on VT. You are familiar with the concept of a hedge? Right?

                        I'm not sure what "bumping" means, you can't change a parlay already placed.

                        The two pick parlay I added for tonight has nothing to do with VT or the first parlay for that matter, so I'm not sure what your point is.
                        I understand you're new to sports betting in general and to posting on handicapping forums in a particular.

                        As such, I'm sure it was little more than an oversight on your part, but FYI it's considered a breach of etiquette to pick opposite sides of the same game in multiple threads, and then once the game has been decided only call attention to the post with the winning pick, allowing the post with the losing pick to fade into oblivion.
                        Comment
                        • curious
                          Restricted User
                          • 07-20-07
                          • 9093

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Ganchrow
                          I understand you're new to sports betting in general and to posting on handicapping forums in a particular.

                          As such, I'm sure it was little more than an oversight on your part, but FYI it's considered a breach of etiquette to pick opposite sides of the same game in multiple threads, and then once the game has been decided only call attention to the post with the winning pick, allowing the post with the losing pick to fade into oblivion.
                          The 3 pick parlay has not won yet. So, I'm not sure I follow you.
                          Comment
                          • Ganchrow
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-28-05
                            • 5011

                            #14
                            Originally posted by curious
                            The 3 pick parlay has not won yet. So, I'm not sure I follow you.
                            The 3-pick parlay contained the winning side of the game that was double-posted across threads (i.e., it contained BC).

                            The other thread, which wasn't bumped, contained the losing side of that same game.

                            This is exactly to what posters are referring when they talk about a tout posting both sides of the same game. By calling attention to the winning side and not the losing side it creates the false appearance of an inflated record.
                            Comment
                            • curious
                              Restricted User
                              • 07-20-07
                              • 9093

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Ganchrow
                              The 3-pick parlay contained the winning side of the game that was double-posted across threads (i.e., it contained BC).

                              Another thread, which wasn't bumped, contained the losing side of that very same game.

                              This is exactly to what posters are referring when they talk about a tout posting both sides of the same game. By calling attention to the winning side and not the losing side it creates the false appearance of an inflated record.
                              I'm not arguing with you about this, it's ridiculous.
                              Comment
                              • Ganchrow
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-28-05
                                • 5011

                                #16
                                Originally posted by curious
                                I'm not arguing with you about this, it's ridiculous.
                                Cool. As long as you understand why this is frowned upon there's no problem.
                                Comment
                                • curious
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 07-20-07
                                  • 9093

                                  #17
                                  Air Force +7 1/2
                                  Fresno State +3 1/2
                                  Boston College +3 1/2

                                  Don't know what it pays. Will be decent though.

                                  --------------------------------
                                  Someone got their panties all bunched up because this parlay is on "opposite" sides of other plays I made. So, I am posting those plays here so you can see for yourself. Personally, I don't understand what the big ****ing deal is. This post was made just after game time, or maybe just before I dont really remember. The original post in the thread was made at 9:00 AM. This play was a hedge for the plays listed here:

                                  I just saw this post. I have VA Tech - 2 1/2 (straightbet) and VA Tech / Boston Coll UNDER 42 (straightbet)

                                  I also have Boston College +9 1/2 and Fresno State +9 1/2 on a 2 team teaser.

                                  I also have a 3 pick parlay
                                  VA Tech -2 1/2,
                                  VA Tech / Boston Coll UNDER 42 and the
                                  NHL Rangers on the moneyline (I think they are called the rangers...the new york team anyway)

                                  As you can see, I bet these games in such a way that I lose no matter what happens. LOL
                                  Comment
                                  • Ganchrow
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-28-05
                                    • 5011

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by curious
                                    Air Force +7 1/2
                                    Fresno State +3 1/2
                                    Boston College +3 1/2

                                    Don't know what it pays. Will be decent though.

                                    --------------------------------
                                    Someone got their panties all bunched up because this parlay is on "opposite" sides of other plays I made. So, I am posting those plays here so you can see for yourself. Personally, I don't understand what the big ****ing deal is. This post was made just after game time, or maybe just before I dont really remember. The original post in the thread was made at 9:00 AM. This play was a hedge for the plays listed here:

                                    I just saw this post. I have VA Tech - 2 1/2 (straightbet) and VA Tech / Boston Coll UNDER 42 (straightbet)

                                    I also have Boston College +9 1/2 and Fresno State +9 1/2 on a 2 team teaser.

                                    I also have a 3 pick parlay
                                    VA Tech -2 1/2,
                                    VA Tech / Boston Coll UNDER 42 and the
                                    NHL Rangers on the moneyline (I think they are called the rangers...the new york team anyway)

                                    As you can see, I bet these games in such a way that I lose no matter what happens. LOL
                                    Thank you. I can feel my panties unbunching up even as I type this.

                                    You'll notice that when pags or imgv or other experienced cappers post their picks for a given sport they typically do so in one thread each day, adding to it as if and when they come up with more plays. In that way an observer can readily determine how that capper's picks have performed on a given day without having to search through multiple threads. If after after making a particular play a capper decided he wanted to back out of some of the risk and bet in the opposite direction, you can be assured he wouldn't quietly do so in another thread and create the appearance of impropriety.
                                    Comment
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