Memphis Vs. Marshall

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  • forex
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-01-07
    • 679

    #1
    Memphis Vs. Marshall
    I am taking memphis all the way. It's going to be an emotional game and they will dominate. They will easily cover -2.5. Also at home they will kick marshalls ass back to the stone age. The last time memphis played at home against marshall it was 26-3 win.
  • prop
    SBR MVP
    • 09-04-07
    • 1073

    #2
    To many factory pointing Marshal, only a couple pointing Memphis

    My write up in other thread
    Comment
    • fearless
      Restricted User
      • 08-14-06
      • 4950

      #3
      Dr. Bob has apparently picked Marshall:

      Tuesday, October 2
      Marshall 35 MEMPHIS (-2 ½) 33
      Marshall has yet to win a game but the Thundering Herd have a good chance of breaking their maiden against a bad Memphis team whose only win was against a horrible Jacksonville State team (Division 1AA). Marshall has a very good offensive team, as quarterback Bernie Morris has averaged 7.4 yards per pass play (against teams that would combine to allow 5.9 yppp to an average quarterback) and has led his offense to an average of 6.1 yards per play (when he’s under center) versus a schedule of teams that would allow just 5.2 yppl to an average attack. Memphis defends the run well but the Tigers are horrible against the pass (6.9 yppp allowed to teams that would average only 5.0 yppp against an average defensive team) and Marshall is certainly likely to take advantage of that weakness given that the Herd average 42 pass plays per game. The Memphis offense is 0.3 yppl worse than average but the Tigers should move the ball pretty well against a Marshall defense that is 0.7 yppl worse than average. Overall, Marshall is a much better team from a yards per play perspective and the Herd also have better special teams, but Memphis applies to a 230-125-5 ATS statistical indicator and Marshall is just 1-11 ATS on the road when not getting at least 28 points under head coach Mark Snyder, including 0-2 ATS this season. I’ll still lean with Marshall despite the technical factors favoring Memphis.
      Comment
      • prop
        SBR MVP
        • 09-04-07
        • 1073

        #4
        Yeah I think he is spot on.
        I had it slightly lower scoring though but close enough. I had it at Marshal 31 Memphis 30

        I'm surprised no mention to the issue that Marshal has a real kicker and Memphis does not. and also the fact that Memphis is playing their 3rd game in 10 days, has not practiced and is already a poorly conditioned team.

        The home field advantage is for real in this game. other than that (and an edge in turnover differential) Marshal is clearly the superior team.
        Comment
        • MJFtheGenius
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-31-07
          • 7257

          #5
          Dr Bob is ussaully wrong
          Comment
          • BatemanPatrickl
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 06-21-07
            • 18772

            #6
            Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
            Dr Bob is ussaully wrong
            Well fade him and see what happens
            Comment
            • MJFtheGenius
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-31-07
              • 7257

              #7
              Well he has to be right sometime, so I may ride with him tonight
              Comment
              • BatemanPatrickl
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 06-21-07
                • 18772

                #8
                I said this when the Steelers blew out the Bills after their tight end was hurt. Off field distractions can factor into a game in a big way. These are still kids playing and I don't think they will come to play tonight. Memphis will come out flat.
                Comment
                • EJandV
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-03-07
                  • 1491

                  #9
                  VaTech sure came out flat in their first big home game against ecu after all the hype , all the killings .......I had them thinking it would be ez money . Result was not even close to ever being good .
                  They were lucky to even win su .

                  Why ? sorry qb , maybe too much emotion , drained .
                  Comment
                  • EJandV
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-03-07
                    • 1491

                    #10
                    I also had MiaFla last year in their first game after one of their players was murdered (was Bowl game) . That was also no good . May he rest in peace .
                    Comment
                    • MJFtheGenius
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 05-31-07
                      • 7257

                      #11
                      I'm convinced, Marshall!!!
                      Comment
                      • jjgold
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 07-20-05
                        • 388179

                        #12
                        I will go with Dr Bob here
                        Comment
                        • pico
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-05-07
                          • 27321

                          #13
                          all of the sudden, everyone is jumping on dr bob bandwagon
                          Comment
                          • MJFtheGenius
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-31-07
                            • 7257

                            #14
                            no way Dr Bob is doesnt know what he is talking about anymore, this is my own pick.
                            Comment
                            • louisvillekid
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-14-07
                              • 9262

                              #15
                              i don't care about bobs write-up, i already capped marshall as the play, marshall has the better air attack, yes, marshall can't stop the run, but i see the air attack and special teams getting it done, and memphis playing their 3rd game in less than 2 weeks, they fell apart in the second half against ark st. last week.
                              Comment
                              • azgrande18
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-07-07
                                • 204

                                #16
                                I think Marshall is the pick.
                                Comment
                                • pico
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-05-07
                                  • 27321

                                  #17
                                  i think it would be wise to take marshall +3.5? i hate to see a push
                                  Comment
                                  • Tchocky
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-14-06
                                    • 2371

                                    #18
                                    I have never seen either of these teams play. Is this the same Marshall team from the movie?

                                    "Win Your Bets NY" is recommending Marshall +3
                                    Comment
                                    • BatemanPatrickl
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 06-21-07
                                      • 18772

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Tchocky
                                      I have never seen either of these teams play. Is this the same Marshall team from the movie?

                                      "Win Your Bets NY" is recommending Marshall +3
                                      Same Marshall; see Randy Moss and Chad Pennington.
                                      Comment
                                      • Sclass600
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 09-08-07
                                        • 117

                                        #20
                                        I sure hope that Marshall covers though I should have just took the Moneyline
                                        Comment
                                        • louisvillekid
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-14-07
                                          • 9262

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BatemanPatrickl
                                          Same Marshall; see Randy Moss and Chad Pennington.
                                          yep same Marshall as Bateman said, Marshall has put qiute a few guys in the pros in the past 10 years.
                                          anyone remember last season was like the 30th anniversary of that crash, and there was going to be this big rememberance ceremony when they played ECU. i remember reading an article in the paper that Marshall's plane had trouble in the air and they had to divert and land somewhere else. that had to be some spooky shit for those players and coaches. thankfully there wasn't a wreck on the anniversary.
                                          Comment
                                          • WestsidePete
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 07-19-07
                                            • 8049

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BatemanPatrickl
                                            I said this when the Steelers blew out the Bills after their tight end was hurt. Off field distractions can factor into a game in a big way. These are still kids playing and I don't think they will come to play tonight. Memphis will come out flat.
                                            I'm going w/Marshall the teaser with Marshall +10 and under 66.5
                                            Marshall +4.5 ..bought 1.5 pts....
                                            Comment
                                            • louis
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-23-06
                                              • 763

                                              #23
                                              If you are talking about the player who was murdered on the Memphis team, I don't believe this helps a team. I think it hurts a team, because they are in mourning and not concentrating on the game. The edge goes to Marshall here. This is something that very well may not be factored into the line because a lot of people are not aware of this. Take Marshall.
                                              Comment
                                              • MJFtheGenius
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-31-07
                                                • 7257

                                                #24
                                                Dr Bob is wrong again
                                                Comment
                                                • pico
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 04-05-07
                                                  • 27321

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                                  Dr Bob is wrong again
                                                  dr bob pushes
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MJFtheGenius
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-31-07
                                                    • 7257

                                                    #26
                                                    You dont pay someone for picks to push.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MJFtheGenius
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-31-07
                                                      • 7257

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by picoman
                                                      dr bob pushes
                                                      No he didnt, he took Marshall +2.5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • onlooker
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 08-10-05
                                                        • 36572

                                                        #28
                                                        I was getting pissed off that Memphis was passing with 5 minutes to play in the game. I had the UNDER in that one and it was feeling like OT was going to happen.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • louis
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-23-06
                                                          • 763

                                                          #29
                                                          teasing under and dog

                                                          I do not understand teasing the dog and under in this game as mentioned by poster above. If you like the dog and under I would bet each seperately.

                                                          If you tease the two, the house is only going to give you -110 or whatever which is a huge vig that more than washes away any correlation between under and dog in this case.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            Dr Bob is a loser like the rest

                                                            He is on a hige losing streak also

                                                            I should of faded him
                                                            Comment
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