Doing this while watching the wind-down of the 3 canines I picked here yesterday - Buffalo not able to score enough for the cover I guess, tho Kent and Utah St alive. Hang in guys!
I'll reply to the question on my earlier thread as to why I got out of the tout biz -it's why I got into it explains why I got out. The most valuable abilty for a tout to have is a huge capacity to spin the most outrageous lies - nothin' else matters. Some other time for that.
I do in my own play bet varying units, from my base of 1, and up to 3. I know there is big disagreements over this from a number of players - its just my preference, but for here, to simplify, I adopt the attitude that "a play is a play."
Using the Pinnacle current Pinnacle line for these:
Friday: Navy/Temple OVER 51.5
Sat: Virginia -3.5 (but I almost fear it's a trap line, it should be around -6 - somethin' happen I didn't hear of?)
Boston College -5.5 (New HC, or the line I think may have been higher)
California - 6 (See below)
Florida Atlantic -2(Old Howard on the rise . . .)
Monday,
SMU +8 (this actually is a 3 unit play for me, and I got it at +9.5. But I wasn't gonna mention that . . .)
I know some will vigorously challenge my pick of Cal over the visiting Vols.
While the number may seem high, i think it should be a bit higher, thus my pick. Like many 'cappers, I make my own numbers, my Quality Projections (most call them Power Ratings, but that's so old and hackneyed, and I like being different!).
But I always tweak them with info and angles (not stupid trends, like Team A is 10-3 ATS when the coach wears a green tie).
True, Cal is this year without Lynch, who is now running for Buffalo, NFL. And their defense hasn't a great deal of experience.
But same could be said for Tenn.
And, Tenn has, for me, four negs that put me on the Bears.
One, I don't like the quantity and type players they lost in the draft. Yes, Fullmer still can recruit very well, but facts are facts.
Two, I have a well-grounded bias against teams travelling 3 time zones in an early-season game.
Three, the guy who was supposed to start at RB for the Vols was naughty and is staying home.
And four, while I don't overvalue the "revenge" factor, it is more important in an early game than later in the season. And last year in Knoxville the Vols gave Cal a spanking.
GL to all, agree or disagree with my picks. You do need some luck to win at this difficult game.
I'll reply to the question on my earlier thread as to why I got out of the tout biz -it's why I got into it explains why I got out. The most valuable abilty for a tout to have is a huge capacity to spin the most outrageous lies - nothin' else matters. Some other time for that.
I do in my own play bet varying units, from my base of 1, and up to 3. I know there is big disagreements over this from a number of players - its just my preference, but for here, to simplify, I adopt the attitude that "a play is a play."
Using the Pinnacle current Pinnacle line for these:
Friday: Navy/Temple OVER 51.5
Sat: Virginia -3.5 (but I almost fear it's a trap line, it should be around -6 - somethin' happen I didn't hear of?)
Boston College -5.5 (New HC, or the line I think may have been higher)
California - 6 (See below)
Florida Atlantic -2(Old Howard on the rise . . .)
Monday,
SMU +8 (this actually is a 3 unit play for me, and I got it at +9.5. But I wasn't gonna mention that . . .)
I know some will vigorously challenge my pick of Cal over the visiting Vols.
While the number may seem high, i think it should be a bit higher, thus my pick. Like many 'cappers, I make my own numbers, my Quality Projections (most call them Power Ratings, but that's so old and hackneyed, and I like being different!).
But I always tweak them with info and angles (not stupid trends, like Team A is 10-3 ATS when the coach wears a green tie).
True, Cal is this year without Lynch, who is now running for Buffalo, NFL. And their defense hasn't a great deal of experience.
But same could be said for Tenn.
And, Tenn has, for me, four negs that put me on the Bears.
One, I don't like the quantity and type players they lost in the draft. Yes, Fullmer still can recruit very well, but facts are facts.
Two, I have a well-grounded bias against teams travelling 3 time zones in an early-season game.
Three, the guy who was supposed to start at RB for the Vols was naughty and is staying home.
And four, while I don't overvalue the "revenge" factor, it is more important in an early game than later in the season. And last year in Knoxville the Vols gave Cal a spanking.
GL to all, agree or disagree with my picks. You do need some luck to win at this difficult game.
