Been a crappy week. Went 6-6 on official plays 3-1 on leans and had 2 sweet winners lastnight at the end of the night that I didn't bother posting. Sucks but it is what it is.
I've sat on this game all week and made sure I went at it from every direction. East Carolina is definately a better team at home than they are on the road generally as are most all teams. Isaw this line in this game and it threw me off. My program suggested East Carolina should be favored in this game. Then I did the analysis and that suggested East Carolina should be favored in this game. So why did the line open and continue to stay as Tulsa as the favorite? Homefield advantage, sure but not enough to offset the advantage East Carolina has. If this is a suker play then I'll be a big ole' lolipop.
Program:
East Carolina by 4.5 so we basically have 8.5 points of value here. Program estimated score is East Carolina 31 Tulsa 30.
Play:
East Carolina +4**
East Carolina ML (1/2 unit)
East Carolina/Tulsa over 50.5 (1/2 unit)
East Carolina +2 1st half (1/2 unit)
I've sat on this game all week and made sure I went at it from every direction. East Carolina is definately a better team at home than they are on the road generally as are most all teams. Isaw this line in this game and it threw me off. My program suggested East Carolina should be favored in this game. Then I did the analysis and that suggested East Carolina should be favored in this game. So why did the line open and continue to stay as Tulsa as the favorite? Homefield advantage, sure but not enough to offset the advantage East Carolina has. If this is a suker play then I'll be a big ole' lolipop.
Program:
East Carolina by 4.5 so we basically have 8.5 points of value here. Program estimated score is East Carolina 31 Tulsa 30.
Play:
East Carolina +4**
East Carolina ML (1/2 unit)
East Carolina/Tulsa over 50.5 (1/2 unit)
East Carolina +2 1st half (1/2 unit)