Wal's Sunday Nighter

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  • wal66
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-08
    • 5305

    #1
    Wal's Sunday Nighter
    Been a crappy week. Went 6-6 on official plays 3-1 on leans and had 2 sweet winners lastnight at the end of the night that I didn't bother posting. Sucks but it is what it is.

    I've sat on this game all week and made sure I went at it from every direction. East Carolina is definately a better team at home than they are on the road generally as are most all teams. Isaw this line in this game and it threw me off. My program suggested East Carolina should be favored in this game. Then I did the analysis and that suggested East Carolina should be favored in this game. So why did the line open and continue to stay as Tulsa as the favorite? Homefield advantage, sure but not enough to offset the advantage East Carolina has. If this is a suker play then I'll be a big ole' lolipop.

    Program:
    East Carolina by 4.5 so we basically have 8.5 points of value here. Program estimated score is East Carolina 31 Tulsa 30.

    Play:

    East Carolina +4**
    East Carolina ML (1/2 unit)
    East Carolina/Tulsa over 50.5 (1/2 unit)
    East Carolina +2 1st half (1/2 unit)
    Last edited by wal66; 11-15-09, 07:58 PM. Reason: Changed -2 to +2
  • Cougar Bait
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-04-07
    • 18282

    #2
    GL tonight Wal
    Comment
    • wal66
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-14-08
      • 5305

      #3
      Thanks Coug's. I just saw Houl's is on the under so I guess I can kiss that 1/2 unit goodbye. At least he's on ECU.
      Comment
      • TheBetBuysDanK
        SBR MVP
        • 10-15-09
        • 1998

        #4
        on this one with ya, wal. BOL
        Comment
        • wal66
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-14-08
          • 5305

          #5
          coolbeans Dank.
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #6
            Gl to us Wal.
            Comment
            • wal66
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-14-08
              • 5305

              #7
              Well my score total was for 61 points but this wasn't how it was supposed to happen.

              Nice to get a sweeper again. It's been a while.
              Comment
              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #8
                Great Call on the OVER. Kinne made sure that went OVER.

                Congrats
                Comment
                • StraitShooter
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-22-09
                  • 10464

                  #9
                  Comment
                  • masr
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-20-07
                    • 4773

                    #10
                    Good Call Wal
                    Comment
                    • PeePee
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 10-08-09
                      • 619

                      #11



                      Did not want to play any college tonite until I saw your ECU. Thanks.
                      Comment
                      • TheBetBuysDanK
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-15-09
                        • 1998

                        #12


                        I think this should be the start the week 12, rather than the end of wk 11.

                        excellent start, wally. on to big things this week.
                        Comment
                        • BobHarvey
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-08-08
                          • 3987

                          #13
                          Good job Wal.

                          Comment
                          • poker_dummy101
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-03-08
                            • 6395

                            #14
                            Nice game wal
                            Comment
                            • 1st and Ten
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-13-09
                              • 5131

                              #15
                              Nice Play My Man.

                              If I may be so bold to ask you a question...why so little cash with such a good record
                              Comment
                              • wal66
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-14-08
                                • 5305

                                #16
                                Thanks guys.

                                Dank, started 3-0 Saturday and ended 0-3 so for me this game is still in Week #11 cause the ego needs a pick-me-up. LOL
                                Comment
                                • bypp
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-05-08
                                  • 664

                                  #17
                                  Nice calls Wal
                                  Comment
                                  • HedgeHog
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 09-11-07
                                    • 10128

                                    #18
                                    Wal:

                                    I went 7-2 on Saturday with your Computer generated #s last week. I took all games that had a 7-point advantage or more, and I ignore all games which huge pointspreads (lines of 20 points or higher). I hope you'll post your numbers again this week. Keep up the good work.

                                    Update: Found your thread with this week's numbers. TY
                                    Last edited by HedgeHog; 11-16-09, 11:50 AM. Reason: Update
                                    Comment
                                    • TheBetBuysDanK
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-15-09
                                      • 1998

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by wal66
                                      Thanks guys.

                                      Dank, started 3-0 Saturday and ended 0-3 so for me this game is still in Week #11 cause the ego needs a pick-me-up. LOL
                                      however you wanna slice it and dice it, my man. youre the boss.

                                      you're gonna roll 'em this week anyways, so you wont need the 3 - 0 head start to week 12
                                      Comment
                                      • Cougar Bait
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-04-07
                                        • 18282

                                        #20
                                        Great job with this game Wal
                                        Comment
                                        • wal66
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-14-08
                                          • 5305

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 1st and Ten
                                          Nice Play My Man.

                                          If I may be so bold to ask you a question...why so little cash with such a good record

                                          2 reasons really. First for posted plays I use a unit size of $50 per unit. Along the way I sometimes play more units and so if that loses then it hurts the bottom line obviously. Second what it says I am profiting online is again just for posting purposes, it's a percentage basically.

                                          Most posters are concerned with how much money they are up or down, I am all about hitting a consistant winning percentage. It's a personal thing and a challenge I am trying to 1-up myself on.
                                          Comment
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