Houston Down to -1

[mmike032]

TULSA opened +3....Now -1.5
CRIS was the first to put a number up for this match-up, and when they hung up HOU -3...and didn't receive any money either way...within an hour, the rest of the off-shore books who offer lines early for the next week's games, felt safe enough to also put up 3 on that game...That was Sunday evening, and before the night was through...the Outfits bought some +3 on Tulsa and forced the adjustment down to 2.5...Then on Monday, when more books opened their lines for the upcoming games, the Wiseguys went ahead and took +2 & +1.5 on Tulsa...But with expectations of public money coming in on Houston, some books actually went back up to 2 by the end of the night...Then Tuesday came, and the Outfits decided to move full steam ahead (no pun intended)...and they really took it to the books hard...The "buy-orders" kept being sent out, and the Outfits were competing to see who can get the best number...And in the course of "11 minutes", they had forced the sports books to go from -2 on Houston...all the way to -1.5 on Tulsa...Ultimately letting the oddsmakers and bookmakers know, that they had the wrong team favored...
LINE PREDICTION : Although it's obvious that the Wiseguys see a lot of value on Tulsa...as I've pointed out countless times, they love to be able to get "points" on BOTH teams in any given match-up...This is why I expect this line to get back down to a PK eventually...And when the betting public gets involved, later in the week...and expecially on Saturday...we may very well see Houston go off as the favorite once again...VR

[Dbldown11]

TULSA opened +3....Now -1.5
CRIS was the first to put a number up for this match-up, and when they hung up HOU -3...and didn't receive any money either way...within an hour, the rest of the off-shore books who offer lines early for the next week's games, felt safe enough to also put up 3 on that game...That was Sunday evening, and before the night was through...the Outfits bought some +3 on Tulsa and forced the adjustment down to 2.5...Then on Monday, when more books opened their lines for the upcoming games, the Wiseguys went ahead and took +2 & +1.5 on Tulsa...But with expectations of public money coming in on Houston, some books actually went back up to 2 by the end of the night...Then Tuesday came, and the Outfits decided to move full steam ahead (no pun intended)...and they really took it to the books hard...The "buy-orders" kept being sent out, and the Outfits were competing to see who can get the best number...And in the course of "11 minutes", they had forced the sports books to go from -2 on Houston...all the way to -1.5 on Tulsa...Ultimately letting the oddsmakers and bookmakers know, that they had the wrong team favored...
LINE PREDICTION : Although it's obvious that the Wiseguys see a lot of value on Tulsa...as I've pointed out countless times, they love to be able to get "points" on BOTH teams in any given match-up...This is why I expect this line to get back down to a PK eventually...And when the betting public gets involved, later in the week...and expecially on Saturday...we may very well see Houston go off as the favorite once again...VR

Good info....in fact many places are at a PK right now. And in my humble opinion the wiseguys have no clue because Tulsa is not good enough to keep scoring with Houston.

[hhsilver]

Mike, thanks for that post. Is that from a website where you can this kind of info on line moves??

[SexyMit]

May want to check out these trends again...
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

[jjgold]

Houston is the sharp play tonight

lakers playing back to back on road

[mmike032]

Houston is the sharp play tonight

lakers playing back to back on road

you cock fvck, smoke another one

[Dbldown11]

Houston is the sharp play tonight

lakers playing back to back on road

Really?

Yeah I agree that the Rockets are the play tonight though

[goblue12]

Tulsa looking like a strong play.

+3 to -1.5 with the public falling into the trap (89% on Houston).

[Sidetracked]

i plan on hammering tulsa...waiting till later in the week to do so

[bypp]

i plan on hammering tulsa...waiting till later in the week to do so

Why? What value do you see in this team? Aside from the odd line movement that is making everyone think this is a trap.

[wal66]

May want to check out these trends again...
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

It's simple copy and paste straight from Stat Fox. Maybe they should check them.

[BostonBrowns]

The only way Tulsa keeps this game close is if Keenum gets hit by a bus before Saturday, and Case is pretty elusive so I dont see that happening

[eastvan09]

The line movement is odd, but I'll still probably take Houston +1 for 1-2 units

[WhatAboutMeBitch]

Had not seen that yet

[rdrunner466]

DD you have been sharp on these plays I know you took houston at the beginning of the week are you still feeling good about it. I really do like this play but the line movement is crazy.

[jds07v]

so anybody that has houston should be crapping their pants? do your research, make your own line if you can, see how it matches up. i've been searching and i dont see any reason for this movement. might put another unit on houston with this perceived added value

[Dbldown11]

DD you have been sharp on these plays I know you took houston at the beginning of the week are you still feeling good about it. I really do like this play but the line movement is crazy.

I was on Houston, and I'd still be on them. If the line is moving cause the wiseguys are laying it on Tulsa..........guess what the Sharps, or wiseguys, or whatever you want to call them have been wrong before.

Tulsa does not have the offense to keep up with Houston, even with Houston's crap defense. Don't really see a way for Tulsa to win this one. But crazier things have happened.

[Cougar Bait]

Check thins out: Most money bet on a NCAA football team in the last 30 days:

You guessed it: HOUSTON $4,400,700

Where does Tulsa fall in the last 30 days?

#93