Houston Down to -1

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  • BigdaddyQH
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-09
    • 19530

    #1
    Houston Down to -1
    Any reason for Houston to be down to -1 against Tulsa, other than the fact that the game is in Tulsa? Both teams lost to UTEP, but that was Houston's only loss. Tulsa has lost 3 other games, the latest being a home loss to SMU. Tulsa has realy gotten it kicked out of them when they play against ggod teams like Oklahoma and Boise. I can not see any reason why anyone would play Tulsa in this spot. They are on a 3 game losing streak, and hae obiously quit on the season. Anyone see it any other way?
  • PorkChop
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-08
    • 8193

    #2
    I dont understand this line at all. Tulsa did lose last week (if i'm correct), and is home, and playing a nationally ranked team. So you know they'll be up for this.

    But Houston is better in ever aspect, and there is no way Tulsa's D will hang with Keenum and Houstons offense.

    I'd take this if it was at HOU - 7. And I think that's where it should be.
    Comment
    • teaserpleaser
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 08-14-08
      • 26015

      #3
      not sure why the line is that low keenum isnt hurt but one thing i can tell you from watching them twice...Tulsa offense is crap i dont see how they hang with Houston.
      Comment
      • aekdb1130
        SBR Hustler
        • 10-13-09
        • 51

        #4
        IMO Houston is much better than Boise state. The Tulsa defense is strong against the run but weak against the pass. Houston will get their points and there is no way in hell that the Tulsa offense outscore them. I hate betting against my team but will pound Houston to the bank!!
        Comment
        • tcarn01
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-09
          • 1993

          #5
          1st of all, houston could not hang w/ bosie st. but will beat a crappy tulsa team.
          Comment
          • FishFace5
            SBR MVP
            • 10-15-09
            • 1768

            #6
            Yeah cause Boise has been SUPER impressive since week 1!!!
            Comment
            • tblues2005
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 07-30-06
              • 9235

              #7
              I cannot understand that line either. I thought Houston would have been favored by more than that. The line maker knows something here on this one.
              Comment
              • wal66
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-14-08
                • 5305

                #8
                QH I am as confused as anyone on this one. My program likes Houston and likes them big and normally I don't concern myself too much about some lines stuff but this one is keeping me away.

                Maybe that is the point. Reverse double trap. Hmmmmmmmmmmm lol.
                Comment
                • FishFace5
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-15-09
                  • 1768

                  #9
                  Not only would you expect the line to be higher but its still moving in favor of Houston even with 90% of the public on Houston. Smells funny. Still takin it though. Tulsa has failed my eye test twice.
                  Comment
                  • tblues2005
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 07-30-06
                    • 9235

                    #10
                    I wonder if there is an injury that we should know about in this game. That is maybe why. That is the only thing that I can figure on this one. I am sure the books knows something on this game. I always say the bookie knows more than I do and when the line does make sense there is always a reason for it.
                    Comment
                    • teaserpleaser
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 08-14-08
                      • 26015

                      #11
                      houston +1 ... googled houston football news and went to the houston website, nothing wonder what happened?
                      Comment
                      • teaserpleaser
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 08-14-08
                        • 26015

                        #12
                        Originally posted by tcarn01
                        1st of all, houston could not hang w/ bosie st. but will beat a crappy tulsa team.
                        yeah Boise would beat them i think but be fun to watch... i cant see Tulsa beating them maybe tulsa is getting some hurt players back??
                        Comment
                        • Dbldown11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-17-06
                          • 3605

                          #13
                          this makes absolutely no sense. a 4 point line move with 75% on Houston???
                          Comment
                          • bypp
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-05-08
                            • 664

                            #14
                            I am lost. What in the hell does Tulsa have to offer that Houston is now getting a point?!
                            Comment
                            • TheBetBuysDanK
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-15-09
                              • 1998

                              #15
                              just booked Houston at +1(?!?!) for 3 units. COUNT IT
                              Comment
                              • teaserpleaser
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 08-14-08
                                • 26015

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheBetBuysDanK
                                just booked Houston at +1(?!?!) for 3 units. COUNT IT
                                i did too, even if half the cougars have H1-N1 or the flu i still think they win this game. now i want to know whats going on.
                                Comment
                                • Dbldown11
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-17-06
                                  • 3605

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheBetBuysDanK
                                  just booked Houston at +1(?!?!) for 3 units. COUNT IT
                                  If I didnt have action on this game I would stay so far away.

                                  with 75% of the action on Houston the line has gone from Houston -3 to Houston +1

                                  That could mean anything. But it's enough of a WTF action to stay away.

                                  Could be a fix
                                  Could be linesmakers knowing the ****ed up the original line, and doing this crazy shit to scare people away
                                  Could be that some people with a lot of money think for some reason that Tulsa will win.

                                  Whatever the reason is.......since I don't know, I wouldnt play it.....But I've already got Houston booked
                                  Comment
                                  • TheBetBuysDanK
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-15-09
                                    • 1998

                                    #18
                                    if something comes up here later in the week, I'll counter-bet and eat the juice, but i've watched tulsa play 3 times this year, and i JUST DONT GET IT. if tulsa wins, i'll believe it WAS fixed. If this line didnt have me so nonplussed, it could my BB of the year. But bc of the issues you raise, dbl, itll stay a 3 unit wager. lets hit though, gotta finish strong!
                                    Comment
                                    • TheBetBuysDanK
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-15-09
                                      • 1998

                                      #19
                                      by the way, dbl, I teased the Celts and the under tonight, per your recommendation. first NBA bet of the year.
                                      Comment
                                      • Dbldown11
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-17-06
                                        • 3605

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TheBetBuysDanK
                                        by the way, dbl, I teased the Celts and the under tonight, per your recommendation. first NBA bet of the year.
                                        I think that's a real solid bet. The Celtics w/Garnett are the best team in the league.......

                                        They have an extremely solid offense and their defense is probably tops in the league. I don't see the 76ers sticking around in this one.
                                        Comment
                                        • TheBetBuysDanK
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-09
                                          • 1998

                                          #21
                                          and you got 4 more points coming when it hits. thank you, sir
                                          Comment
                                          • aekdb1130
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 10-13-09
                                            • 51

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by tcarn01
                                            1st of all, houston could not hang w/ bosie st. but will beat a crappy tulsa team.
                                            wow you must lost alot of money on that boise-tulsa game.. Houston beat Okie St, Miss State and Tx Tech. What the hell have Boise done this year?
                                            Comment
                                            • BUCKY
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 10-27-09
                                              • 61

                                              #23
                                              I'm with everyone else here. Thought Houston was a value at -2 and was going to hit it even harder when i saw it at -1 but this shift makes no sense. I've got friends at UH who are close to the program and they have no idea why this line is moving either.
                                              Something obviously isn't right here, even with the +1 being inviting I'm with double and i'd lay off this game for now.
                                              Comment
                                              • wal66
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-14-08
                                                • 5305

                                                #24
                                                I dug up some trends to support playing against Houston but they are just trends. I personally don't play trends even though I always include them in my post.




                                                Top Trends for this game.
                                                HOUSTON is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
                                                HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
                                                HOUSTON is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
                                                Comment
                                                • BUCKY
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 10-27-09
                                                  • 61

                                                  #25
                                                  Houston just went to +1.5 WTF
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KUGAMER
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 11-02-09
                                                    • 82

                                                    #26
                                                    Now Houston +2! What is up with this line!? I know its been a year but this was a 40 point blowout last year. Weird?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Dbldown11
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-17-06
                                                      • 3605

                                                      #27
                                                      something crazy is going on for this line to still be moving with the percentage of people on Houston. It makes no sense. Something is up with this game no doubt about it.

                                                      I've never seen anything like it personally
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Dbldown11
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-17-06
                                                        • 3605

                                                        #28
                                                        72% on Houston and the line has gone from Houston -3 to Houston +2.5....

                                                        With no injuries or anything of the sort to speak of?

                                                        Forget where you think the line should be. This is more than your average RLM.

                                                        Wouldnt surprise me to see this line taken off the board at some point. Last time games had line movement like this, the Toledo were playing hahahaha
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xdanx
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 11-11-08
                                                          • 30

                                                          #29
                                                          wow I feel like a dumb ass now. I took houston at -2 last night.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KUGAMER
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 11-02-09
                                                            • 82

                                                            #30
                                                            Glad I waited on this one! Was gonna pound it at HOU -3
                                                            Comment
                                                            • scott
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 10-13-07
                                                              • 54

                                                              #31
                                                              Going to play Tulsa just looks to easy to play UH,UH won 70-30 last year and it opens at UH -3 now +1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bypp
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-05-08
                                                                • 664

                                                                #32
                                                                Call me a sucker, but I (obviously) think Houston has great value here and am not going to talk myself out of it with RLM and game-fixing talk.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • scott
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 10-13-07
                                                                  • 54

                                                                  #33
                                                                  don't want to change anyones mind here just think it looks to easy. kind of like when Mich. played Mich. St., mich. getting 4, ranked team getting points from a unranked team.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • marabdl86
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 10-06-09
                                                                    • 1067

                                                                    #34
                                                                    something's up. Looks like this game could be fixed
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Dbldown11
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-17-06
                                                                      • 3605

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I'm personally leaning towards Vegas trying to **** with our heads. They realized this line started too low, and even if they raised it up to -6.5 or 7 people would still pound Houston, so they are trying to mess with everyone to get them to back off the game.....and it's probably working

                                                                      If there was any issue with a possible fix or something then the line would be off the board.
                                                                      Comment
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