Mac's early leans in CFB for 10/26/09

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  • Mac4Lyfe
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-04-09
    • 48366

    #1
    Mac's early leans in CFB for 10/26/09
    Mac's early leans...
    I won't play all these games but here's my first glance lean's. I will research these more during the week but here's who I like right now.


    FSU +2.5 over UNC Thursday 8pm UNC is horrible nuff said.

    Army +9 over Rutgers Friday 8pm

    GT -4 over Virginia 12pm - I know this looks like a trap but I think GT rolls here. They completed just 1 pass against VT but still dominated. I know Groh pulls games out his ass this time of year but I still think they will struggle on both sides of the ball here.

    Purdue -11 over Illini 12pm - A lot of points but I've faded the non-fighting Zookers all year long. Purdue will probably let down after this weekend but this is the Illini folks. Fade them until they cover, which won't be until Zook is gone.

    South Florida +7 over Pitt 12pm - USF's defense will rebound here. Wannstadt aint all that.

    West Virginia -6.5 over Uconn 12pm - I love this play. WVU will roll here. This may be my biggest bet of the week. My only concern is that WVU players eat too much buttered popcorn prior to games and can cough up the ball.

    Vandy +12.5 over USC 7pm - Vandy flat out sucks but play hard against USC. USC should cover easy but this is my fade the public pick.

    Oklahoma State -10 over Baylor 12:30pm - Beatdown in the making. Baylor can't stop traffic let alone OKSt.

    Tenn +15.5 over Bama 3:30pm Too many points for bammers. UT's defense is one of the best in the SEC and Crompton has finally been given a green light to pass once in a while. I think Lame Kitten will play this game close to the vest and not make mistakes and this could be an upset in the making. Sprinkle some ML for fun.

    Washington +8 over Oregon 3:30pm - This is the game Locker shows his NFL worth. I like Washington straight up here as well.

    Texas Tech -21 over Texas A&M 7pm - A&M is in a free fall and have given up. TT will pile on this weekend.

    OU -7.5 over Kansas 3:30pm - Kansas severely over rated. OU better on both sides. I may by a couple of points to counter SpongeBob Stoopid coach.

    UT -13.5 over Mizzou 8pm on Monday?? A monday night game for college? is that right? That's kinda scary but I'm on fade alert with Mizzou just like the Illini. Mizzou is soft as Egyptian cotton.

    Idaho +13 over nevada Monday at 4pm? Another Monday game? Is this a holiday weekend? This is going to be an interesting game. Idaho is playing very well but tough contest on the road. I think its too many points and Idaho will cover.

    Arkansas +5 over Ole Miss 12:20pm - Another upset special of the week. I think Arkie wins outright. Snead hasn't been able to right the ship and they are too 1 dimensional on offense.

    UCF -10 over Rice 3:30pm - Rice = horrible = me making $$$

    BYU +2 over TCU 7:30pm - another great game and the public will be on TCU. I like the older, married Mormons in this one.

    Miss State +22 over UF 7:30pm - UF offense still in sputter mode and traditionally don't play well in the state of MS. Ex OC, Mullen will be in UF's playbook all night. Spikes, Trattou and Dunlop are banged up on defense. This game may be close for 3 quarters. Even if it isn't, UM will not run up the score on his buddy.

    LSU -7.5 over Auburn 7:30pm - Au very over rated and don't have the athletes. Win streak at Night game in Death Valley starts over again. May by a point to counter Les Miserable Miles.


    Oregon state +20.5 over USC 8pm - Quizz Rodgers will Jizz over the Trojans once again. Close game until the 4th quarter. USC over rated and fade in 2nd half's which is unusual.

    Hawaii +24 over Boise State 11pm - Hawaii at home with the refs will cover.

    Fla Atlantic +3 over UL Laf 5pm - FAU tough team, balanced, may win this one straight up.

    Kentucky -16 over UL Monroe 7pm - UK has a lot of injuries but they are a tough team regardless of their record. Cobb will get more touches in this one and they will put up a lot of points here.

    A lot of good games and good lines to make money this week
  • jsmithj88
    SBR MVP
    • 12-27-08
    • 3591

    #2
    may wanna stay away from the WVU game
    one of the UCONN players were stabbed to death last week
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Originally posted by jsmithj88
      may wanna stay away from the WVU game one of the UCONN players were stabbed to death last week
      A lot of bad karma in the mix with that game. Def stay away.
      Comment
      • Mac4Lyfe
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-04-09
        • 48366

        #4
        That's why I'm playing. He was one of their key defenders. I'm not buying into them winning one in his memory. Maybe next week but this week they will have little time to prepare and will be focused on other things but football. WVU will come in focused and ready to play. Horrible event and I pray for strength for his mom/family but WVU is the play as Uconn will fold fairly quickly here. I've seen it too many times to be honest. The next game or the one after is the one they play lights out. Not this one.
        Comment
        • TheU
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-26-09
          • 147

          #5
          Hey Mac. May I ask why you like Army +9 over Rutgers? Do you think Army wins this game straight up or covers with the points? I was thinking about taking Rutgers ML because I don't see Army being able to beat these guys. Would like to hear your thoughts.
          Comment
          • mattk8s
            SBR Rookie
            • 01-22-09
            • 32

            #6
            good picks. I see the Texas game listed on Sat Night, not Monday
            Comment
            • Mac4Lyfe
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-04-09
              • 48366

              #7
              Originally posted by mattk8s
              good picks. I see the Texas game listed on Sat Night, not Monday
              BetJam has it listed on Monday... WTH is that? They also have Idaho on Monday too?
              I just confirmed both games are on Saturday but that really threw me for a minute on BetJam where I got my lines. I hate Tuesday/Thursday CFB but Monday would have put me over the top
              Comment
              • Mac4Lyfe
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-04-09
                • 48366

                #8
                Originally posted by TheU
                Hey Mac. May I ask why you like Army +9 over Rutgers? Do you think Army wins this game straight up or covers with the points? I was thinking about taking Rutgers ML because I don't see Army being able to beat these guys. Would like to hear your thoughts.
                I think Army will play Rutgers close for the first half. Army has a serviceable defense and Rutgers predictable offense plays right into their hands. Army's offense can sometimes look anemic but they always start games strong. Friday night home game for Army will have them pumped up as well and I think they have a bye after this one so they will be focused.

                Rutgers is really not that good this year. They've played a soft schedule and have struggled over very weak teams. The 2 quality teams they played they lost (Pitt and Cinci). FIU played them close at home and I think Army's a little better then FIU defensively. I expect a close, low scoring game. I think Rutgers wins but doesn't cover the 9.
                Comment
                • dchecks
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-04-08
                  • 1585

                  #9
                  Card looks good!! Love the Georgia Tech pick! I just posted the same question to Dbldown..... What do you think about the Miami Clemson game? I liked Miami at -7, now there at -5 with some serious RLM going on! Clemson D is good but Miami looks great this year especially at home... Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
                  Comment
                  • wal66
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 10-14-08
                    • 5305

                    #10
                    Entire card blows chunks Mac. I have grown to expect more from you than this.



















                    Was trying out prick posting. I can't fake it. Looks good bro good luck this weekend.
                    Comment
                    • Mac4Lyfe
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-04-09
                      • 48366

                      #11
                      Originally posted by wal66
                      Entire card blows chunks Mac. I have grown to expect more from you than this.


                      Was trying out prick posting. I can't fake it. Looks good bro good luck this weekend.
                      Comment
                      • Mac4Lyfe
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-04-09
                        • 48366

                        #12
                        Originally posted by dchecks
                        Card looks good!! Love the Georgia Tech pick! I just posted the same question to Dbldown..... What do you think about the Miami Clemson game? I liked Miami at -7, now there at -5 with some serious RLM going on! Clemson D is good but Miami looks great this year especially at home... Thanks in advance for the thoughts!
                        I liked Miami initially but with the line movement and thinking about Clemson matching up man for man, I can see why people are leaning Clemson. This is one of the games that can go either way and for now, I dont have a good lean, thus staying away. If I don't get a good lean, I usually just stay off that game or just bet on it for entertainment (whatever that means).
                        Comment
                        • Ralphie1412
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-08
                          • 13963

                          #13
                          with you on oklahoma, i already played it at -7 BIG.......against you on hawaii, after only beating tulsa by 7 boise is gonna try and win by 40
                          "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                          Goat Milk
                          Comment
                          • TheBetBuysDanK
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-15-09
                            • 1998

                            #14
                            good looking card! I like your thoughts on the UCONN -WVU, i couldnt have said it any better. we have a lot of the same leans right now. One place we differ: Ore vs Wash. I like the Wash team, theyve been tough and won me some nice coin this year, but i think a powerful Oregon offense is too much for them this week. The ducks are in control of their own fate in the Pac-10 and i think they'll be dialed in.

                            Good luck with your picks! lets cash in on GT, baby!
                            Comment
                            • TheBetBuysDanK
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-15-09
                              • 1998

                              #15
                              I really like the Tenn pick as well. I look forward to seeing your later-in-the-week selections. While you cant lean on the miami-clemson game, I love the 'Canes at -5 at home. Unless it rains, they're tough this year.
                              Comment
                              • Mac4Lyfe
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-04-09
                                • 48366

                                #16
                                Originally posted by TheBetBuysDanK
                                good looking card! I like your thoughts on the UCONN -WVU, i couldnt have said it any better. we have a lot of the same leans right now. One place we differ: Ore vs Wash. I like the Wash team, theyve been tough and won me some nice coin this year, but i think a powerful Oregon offense is too much for them this week. The ducks are in control of their own fate in the Pac-10 and i think they'll be dialed in.

                                Good luck with your picks! lets cash in on GT, baby!
                                I like Washington at home but it won't be a big bet for sure. Oregon has really righted the ship but I'm still not totally sold on them. I think Washington's offense may have some success on Oregon's defense. Should be a good game but definitely not a big play for me.
                                Comment
                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-04-09
                                  • 48366

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by TheBetBuysDanK
                                  I really like the Tenn pick as well. I look forward to seeing your later-in-the-week selections. While you cant lean on the miami-clemson game, I love the 'Canes at -5 at home. Unless it rains, they're tough this year.
                                  30% chance of rain with a little bit of wind. It should be a nice night. Small lean with Miami...


                                  Game Day Forecast


                                  Isolated T-Storms

                                  HighLow
                                  88° F 72° F Precip: 30%
                                  Spectator Index: 6


                                  Last Updated Oct 20 06:14 p.m. ET



                                  Wind Impact: Medium

                                  S at 11 mph
                                  Comment
                                  • Mac4Lyfe
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-04-09
                                    • 48366

                                    #18
                                    Here are my plays so far...

                                    1 unit - Tulsa -7
                                    1 unit - Georgia Tech -5.5
                                    3 Unit - Okie State -10
                                    1 unit - Idaho +14
                                    5 Unit - WVU -6.5

                                    I love WVU this week. I'm not sure why I'm not hearing anything on this one but WVU is going to roll here. I know Uconn has lost a fallen teammate but that is more reason to lean WVU. This is not the week that they win one for Jasper Howard. Next week is the game they put it together. Teams usually tank facing emotional issues.

                                    I also love Okie State over a relatively soft Mizzou team.
                                    Comment
                                    • Mac4Lyfe
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-04-09
                                      • 48366

                                      #19
                                      Ok, so far I'm off to a nice weekend. I had FSU on Thursday and I switched to Rutger's tonight thanks to Smackdown. Here are my plays for tomorrow. I made these plays yesterday and some of the lines have moved in my favor and some not so good. Let's cash this bitch

                                      5 Unit - WVU -6.5
                                      2 Unit - Okie St -10
                                      2 Unit - Arkansas +7 bought 1/2 a point
                                      1 Unit - Arkansas ML
                                      1 Unit - Oklahoma -7.5
                                      2 Unit - Idaho +14 bought 1/2 a point (waiting for a ML to add)
                                      3 Unit - Texas -13.5
                                      2 Unit - LSU -7 bought 1/2 a point
                                      2 Unit - Washington +10.5
                                      1 Unit - Washington ML
                                      2 Unit - Tennessee +15 (waiting for a ML to add)
                                      3 Unit - Oregon State +21 (waiting for a ML to add)
                                      2 Unit - Georgia Tech -5.5

                                      28 Units total play
                                      Last edited by Mac4Lyfe; 10-24-09, 12:58 AM. Reason: adding ML plays as well...
                                      Comment
                                      • Mac4Lyfe
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-04-09
                                        • 48366

                                        #20
                                        Adding

                                        1 Unit USF +6.5 over Pitt
                                        0.5 Unit USF ML
                                        1 Unit Purdue -11 over Illinois - I've been fading Illinois all year and I really should hammer this but Purdue may have a let down from the big win last weekend. Another small play.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mac4Lyfe
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-04-09
                                          • 48366

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

                                          5 Unit - WVU -6.5 Loser
                                          2 Unit - Okie St -10 Winner
                                          2 Unit - Arkansas +7 bought 1/2 a point Loser
                                          1 Unit - Arkansas ML Loser
                                          1 Unit - Oklahoma -7.5 Winner
                                          2 Unit - Idaho +14 bought 1/2 a point (waiting for a ML to add) Loser
                                          3 Unit - Texas -13.5 Winner
                                          2 Unit - LSU -7 bought 1/2 a point Winner
                                          2 Unit - Washington +10.5 Loser
                                          1 Unit - Washington ML Loser
                                          2 Unit - Tennessee +15 (waiting for a ML to add) Winner
                                          3 Unit - Oregon State +21 (waiting for a ML to add) Winner
                                          2 Unit - Georgia Tech -5.5 Winner
                                          1 Unit - USF +6.5 over Pitt Loser
                                          0.5 Unit - USF ML Loser
                                          1 Unit - Purdue -11 over Illinois Loser
                                          28 Units total play
                                          Went 7-9 on these plays and lost 0.5 units. WVU, Arkansas and Washington really let me down today...
                                          Comment
                                          • lakerboy
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 04-02-09
                                            • 94379

                                            #22
                                            Mac im sorry to annouce this to you but you are such big fade material its not even funny. Im not saying this because of your record today but guy you need to learn the basic fundamentals of capping games. good luck next time and I mean that.Your play on Arkansas alone tells me that you are small time.
                                            Comment
                                            • romoney
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-12-09
                                              • 3581

                                              #23
                                              Mac is usually solid and we all have our days. It dont mean nothing cuz those games cud have gone either way, just a bad day like we all have.
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94379

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by romoney
                                                Mac is usually solid and we all have our days. It dont mean nothing cuz those games cud have gone either way, just a bad day like we all have.



                                                speak for your self
                                                Comment
                                                • Mac4Lyfe
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-04-09
                                                  • 48366

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                  Mac im sorry to annouce this to you but you are such big fade material its not even funny. Im not saying this because of your record today but guy you need to learn the basic fundamentals of capping games. good luck next time and I mean that.Your play on Arkansas alone tells me that you are small time.
                                                  Teach me Mr Miyagi
                                                  Comment
                                                  • romoney
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-12-09
                                                    • 3581

                                                    #26
                                                    Oh my bad I didnt know you are 100%, Thats cool i will look for u i the future if u post ur picks
                                                    Comment
                                                    • romoney
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-12-09
                                                      • 3581

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                      [/b]


                                                      speak for your self
                                                      oh my bad i didnt know u were perfect. i will tail ur picks from now on
                                                      Comment
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