Why I love Pittsburgh -5 (and why you should too)

**Shwank** · 10-15-09, 07:54 PM

I'm on the bus with ya Betman. Loving Pitt in this one

**LT Profits** · 10-15-09, 07:55 PM

Pittsburgh has the stench of a Dr. Bob play. Went from -3.5 to -5.5 just before 6:00 PM ET today.

**Betman** · 10-15-09, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Pittsburgh has the stench of a Dr. Bob play. Went from -3.5 to -5.5 just before 6:00 PM ET today.

Even Dr. Bob has to be right once in a very while

Pittsburgh owns Rutgers and a spread of 5 is the closest thing to an early Christmas gift.

I am expecting the spread to go over 7 by tomorrow

.

**MSUSpartan32** · 10-15-09, 08:12 PM

Got Pitt at -3 (bought a half) for 2 units.

**CLASSIC ROCK** · 10-15-09, 08:13 PM

I like pitt but hard to trust there coach

**Dbldown11** · 10-15-09, 08:38 PM

Pittsburgh at -10 or better is a solid pick haha. Rutgers may as well just play in DII

**nickelchip** · 10-16-09, 12:51 AM

I really like Rutgers also. Be prepared Dave Wonstat(however you spell it) Is good for at least 2 boneheaded decisions a game. I generally like to watch the game I wager on, but this is one were I just look up the boxscore later.

**Ralphie1412** · 10-16-09, 01:33 AM

Glad I grabbed this before Bob backed it. Rutgers O line is trash and Pitt is a physical D. They can win on the road, and they will.

**kaspbart** · 10-16-09, 02:52 AM

just wait till Lang post his game ....

then we will see who is gonna win

**Joe_Shabadoo** · 10-16-09, 04:45 AM

Originally posted by Betman

Pittsburgh -5 @ Rutgers

Offensive Yardage Advantages

* RY : Rutgers
* RYPA : Pittsburgh
* PY : Pittsburgh
* PYPC : Pittsburgh

Defensive Yardage Advantages:

* RY : Rutgers
* RYPA : Rutgers
* PY : Pittsburgh
* PYPC : Rutgers

Overall Record Advantages:

* Win - Loss : Pittsburgh
* Point Differential : Pittsburgh
* Schedule Strength : Pittsburgh

Rutgers has an advantage in 4 areas. However, these advantages do not carry much weight (if not any) for 2 reasons :

1) Rutger's schedule strength is the weakest in Division A
2) There is a huge difference in schedule strength between Pittsburgh and Rutgers

.

Is this the only criteria of which you which you're basing your play?

I'd start with something similar, yes, going into my Spreadsheet, but (though I'm not picking a side yet) one should look at some film to get a preview of specific matchups.

**Pin Fish** · 10-16-09, 05:59 AM

the "stash" always loses the key games he has been a loser since they booted him from Chicago

**stats13** · 10-16-09, 06:43 AM

rutgers = true frosh qb

**iLogan** · 10-16-09, 08:00 AM

Logged Pitt -2.5 Bought 1/2 a point at the start of the week. Now the line is -6

**Betman** · 10-16-09, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by Joe_Shabadoo

Is this the only criteria of which you which you're basing your play?

I'd start with something similar, yes, going into my Spreadsheet, but (though I'm not picking a side yet) one should look at some film to get a preview of specific matchups.

No, this is not the only criteria I use to decide if a play is worth risking hard cash.

Advantage alone means nothing if it is not a " quality " advantage. I look for the magnitude of the advantage and the conditions that led to it.

I don't go into details because I am sure the majority is more interested in the play than the detailed explanation that led to it.

.

**Bluehorseshoe** · 10-16-09, 05:24 PM

Has Dave Wannstedt ever won a prime time game???

I think he's 0 for life.

**SmackdownV** · 10-16-09, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by Betman

Even Dr. Bob has to be right once in a very while

Pittsburgh owns Rutgers and a spread of 5 is the closest thing to an early Christmas gift.

I am expecting the spread to go over 7 by tomorrow

.

Last time I looked Pitt has not beat Rutgers in a LOOOOONG time?

**tin8shusd** · 10-16-09, 05:58 PM

Wanstedt beat the shit out of Louisville two weeks ago

**pimike** · 10-16-09, 05:58 PM

Originally posted by Betman

Even Dr. Bob has to be right once in a very while

Pittsburgh owns Rutgers and a spread of 5 is the closest thing to an early Christmas gift.

I am expecting the spread to go over 7 by tomorrow

.

My stats show Rutgers winning last year

pitt 34
Rutgers 54 last year.

**Betman** · 10-16-09, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by SmackdownV

Last time I looked Pitt has not beat Rutgers in a LOOOOONG time?

Yeah that's true but historically, these 2 teams met 26 times.

Pittsburgh won 19 times while Rutgers won only 7 times.

That's almost a 3 to 1 ratio. Rutgers wins once when Pittsburgh wins 3 times.

Granted that going back that far in time is irrelevant when it comes to predicting the outcome of this game, the ratio does show that winning against Rutgers is nothing new (nor impossible) to Pittsburgh.

Euhhhhhh, make that 20 -7 once this game is over

.

**jthall89** · 10-16-09, 06:03 PM

if you took Rutgers tonight...you should feel like an ass

**SmackdownV** · 10-16-09, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by jthall89

if you took Rutgers tonight...you should feel like an ass

If you bet on a WanDick team............You should feel like an ass.....

Fall behind..........Run the clock.......catch up........fall behind.........run the clock.....get a call from Vegas..........run some more clock.........catch up........fall behind.........catch up..........run the clock........kick a last second FG.

Yeah....that pretty much sums up WanStick................and Pitt.

**Dbldown11** · 10-16-09, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by Bluehorseshoe

Has Dave Wannstedt ever won a prime time game???

I think he's 0 for life.

funny everyone said this when they played a weeknight game at louisville and covered as road favs

**SmackdownV** · 10-16-09, 06:12 PM

Really.........Is Vegas going to part with this much action on Pitt?

Really.

Come on........I mean really?

**Betman** · 10-16-09, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by SmackdownV

Really.........Is Vegas going to part with this much action on Pitt?

Really.

Come on........I mean really?

You could have asked the same question when Boise State met Fresno at Fresno. Correct me if I am wrong but I believe that the entire planet and just about every alien on this side of the galaxy was on Boise that night.

Boise won and covered. Can Vegas be wrong ? Absolutely.

**Betman** · 10-16-09, 10:27 PM

pittsburgh 24, rutgers 17