big ass moneyline parlays.... need feedback, thank you

**Ralphie1412** · 09-15-09, 07:33 PM

ask machine choice, in week one he did the same thing and Oklahoma lost.

**stingyrivers** · 09-15-09, 07:40 PM

yeah i saw OU was a 23 point fav, but i woulda stayed away in that game, one aspect i like in these plays is powerhouses against much inferior teams on a completely lower level, BYU had a ranking at the time, kind of dangerous, that is often where the upsets pop up.... am i crazy in think those first 6 do not lose straight up this weekend?

**awholelottalumps** · 09-15-09, 07:55 PM

Cal lost at Maryland last year and this year their at Minnesota at 12 noon so could be dangerous.Southern Miss cost me $600 as they were the last one I needed to win my 3 team parlay,but they should beat Virginia.

**stingyrivers** · 09-15-09, 07:59 PM

thanks awholelotta... yeah the trick with these is dodging those landmine teams... I dont particularly like any teams all that strongly on the add on list, which is why i got the dilemma, the first 6 together only pay a 33% return on wager, not good value in that... maybe pairing the top six with the Vikings, Redskins is the good play this week, that would get close to even money on 8 teams that should all win by DD

**stingyrivers** · 09-15-09, 09:37 PM

bump really need some feedback guys thanks

**hova24e** · 09-15-09, 09:46 PM

Can be profitable, but you are truly rolling the dice. Think about that 12, it could be 1 loss a week.......................

**stingyrivers** · 09-15-09, 09:50 PM

yeah thats what happened to me last saturday, 14-1 but only because of my own stupidity and bucking the strategy and throwing in a 3 pt fav to up the payout, falling for the Irish will roll line, painful loss too going 14-1 in a 15 teamer and watching how the irish let that cash slip away

**RoagBettor** · 09-15-09, 10:19 PM

The first 6 are solid. Adding any other team from your second list significantly reduces your odds of winning. Any of those other teams can lose this week.

**stingyrivers** · 09-16-09, 05:48 AM

ok... opinions on this one... estimated odds used based on the spreads

ML Parlay

Florida
Lsu
Penn St
USC
Ohio St
Texas
Vikings
Redskins

at -110

do we see any losers in this??

Thanks for the input

**PacmanJr_00** · 09-16-09, 10:52 AM

You don't like AZ.State or Stanford ML for your parlay?

**jackpot269** · 09-16-09, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by stingyrivers

yeah i saw OU was a 23 point fav, but i woulda stayed away in that game, one aspect i like in these plays is powerhouses against much inferior teams on a completely lower level, BYU had a ranking at the time, kind of dangerous, that is often where the upsets pop up.... am i crazy in think those first 6 do not lose straight up this weekend?

Florida Is playing Tenn.

**raiders...someda** · 09-16-09, 11:50 AM

Best 2 team ml parlay.... Tarheels and packers !

**polson22** · 09-16-09, 06:00 PM

good luck OP, you seem to know the pitfalls or people have pointed them out.

have to agree on the oklahoma-byu. not a math expert, but i think that game could have had fatter tails than a normal distribution suggests. byu had some chance (yes, i played them point spread) and ok had some chance of just destroying them by 40+... but basically BYU was quality team as 21 point underdog.... CMU is similar situation vs. mich state.... some others too.

obviously some hindsight in my above paragraph but if you're going to parlay i would stay away from quality opponents even for an "unstoppable team" like florida. tennesse doesn't quite qualify as quality in my books, but it's close.