A Quant 2022 College Football thread

[A Quant]

Hey guys.... Good luck this year. Cash those tickets.

I track my picks-- I welcome anyone to share a thought, mock me, talk trash-- it's all good here.

I will hit 59% or better in this thread. I do not bet any other sport-- not the NFL, not the NBA, or college hoops.

This is the only sport I bet. I bet between 6-8 games a weekend, I rarely find more than that where I find a number so far off in either direction.

So, let's get after it.

A unit is $100 bucks for me.

1. Appalachian State. This opened at +108. I made a bad read, and got it @ -113. Risking 1.13 units to win 1

2. Houston -4. Risking 1.10 units to win 1.

3. Tulsa -6.5. Risking 2.2 units to win 2.

4. Liberty -3.5 risking 1.65 to win 1.5.

5. Boise State ML +105. Risking 1 to win 1.05.

6. Notre Dame +17. Risking 1.15 to win 1.

Again, feel free to stop by and talk some trash, or share a tip.

[acehole]

thanks man

[EasyCover]

Good luck and thanks for sharing.

[A Quant]

Got my shit pushed in.

I am not the guy who will say, "I lost but I had the right side"---- No, I flat out missed on a few. Clearly my power numbers have Boise State much too high--- they had a problem at QB, and it showed. They only threw for 180 yards against an Oregon State team that isn't exactly Alabama.

Tulsa was up 10 in the fourth quarter, and managed to lose the cover. Liberty won by 2, missing the cover. Appalachian State was an incredible game, but depending on what number you got, or where you bought in, they broke your heart.

Variance is a bitch, and normally over a season, these types of games are even out. I will win a game or two that I have no business winning.

No crying over the $608 I lost on Saturday.

Weekend tally.....

1-5, -608.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Got my shit pushed in.

I am not the guy who will say, "I lost but I had the right side"---- No, I flat out missed on a few. Clearly my power numbers have Boise State much too high--- they had a problem at QB, and it showed. They only threw for 180 yards against an Oregon State team that isn't exactly Alabama.

Tulsa was up 10 in the fourth quarter, and managed to lose the cover. Liberty won by 2, missing the cover. Appalachian State was an incredible game, but depending on what number you got, or where you bought in, they broke your heart.

Variance is a bitch, and normally over a season, these types of games are even out. I will win a game or two that I have no business winning.

No crying over the $608 I lost on Saturday.

Weekend tally.....

1-5, -608.

Take it on the chin and carry on...

Onward and upward

[A Quant]

Okay---- week 2.

A lot to like this week,

UT-San Antonio -2.5 Risking 2.28 units to win 2

Notre Dame -20.5 Risking 2.20 units to win 2

Illinois -4 Risking 1.1 units to win 1

Iowa State +3.5 Risking 1.1 units to win 1.

Houston +4 Risking 1.1 units to win 1.

USC -8.5 Risking 1.1 units to win 1.

Good luck guys!

[A Quant]

This is a crazy game we play......

Pretty good day yesterday----, went 5-1, winning $380.

So, brings it right back to 6-6, -$228.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

nice bounce back

[A Quant]

Hey guys...

Back for week 3.

Oklahoma -11 Risking 1.65 to win 1.5 units

Western Kentucky +7 Risking 1.2 units to win 1

Coastal Carolina -13.5 Risking 1.25 to win 1

Mississippi State -2.5 Risking 2.2 to win 2.

Auburn ML +115. Risking 1 unit to win 1.15

Miami, Fl +5.5 Risking 2.2 units to win 2.

[A Quant]

My EKG season continues--- Down, Up, Down----- Last week I went 2-4, losing $415.

On the season, I am now sitting at 8-10, down $643.

Here goes-- off the skid marks, winning this week...

Wake Forest (+7.5) v. Clemson 1.65/1.5

Indiana (+16.5) v. Cincinnati 1.65/1.5

Rutgers (+8.5) v. Iowa 1.1/1

Notre Dame (ML +100) 2/2

UNLV (-3) v. Utah State 2.2/2

Miami, Ohio (+7.5) v. Northwestern 2.2/2

[JAKEPEAVY21]

My EKG season continues--- Down, Up, Down----- Last week I went 2-4, losing $415.

On the season, I am now sitting at 8-10, down $643.

Here goes-- off the skid marks, winning this week...

Wake Forest (+7.5) v. Clemson 1.65/1.5

Indiana (+16.5) v. Cincinnati 1.65/1.5

Rutgers (+8.5) v. Iowa 1.1/1

Notre Dame (ML +100) 2/2

UNLV (-3) v. Utah State 2.2/2

Miami, Ohio (+7.5) v. Northwestern 2.2/2

GL on the card today, Quanter..

Seems like everyone is all over UNC...if ND can run the ball they should have a good chance of winning

Against you on Wake, got Clemson -7 I feel like they should be able to get a lot more stops on defense.

[A Quant]

My EKG season continues-----1-5. 5-1, 2-4, 4-2-----

Last week I went 4-2, winning $475. On the season, I am 10-10 -$168.

Here goes my picks, this week--- as always, feel free to comment, make fun, call me stupid, wish me luck--- hope you guys are cashing tickets!

Georgia State (+7.5) 220/200

Kentucky (+7) 220/200

Illinois (+7) 110/100

Wake Forest (+7) 110/100

Mississippi State (-3.5) 110/100

Western Kentucky (-5) 220/200

Good luck guys!

[A Quant]

GL on the card today, Quanter..

Seems like everyone is all over UNC...if ND can run the ball they should have a good chance of winning

Against you on Wake, got Clemson -7 I feel like they should be able to get a lot more stops on defense.

Jake, nailed that one. ND won because they ran the ball. Nice call Jake!

[Fred The Hammer]

GL. Didn't realize you had your own thread. I almost picked W Kentucky too, but Troy is a sneaky program usually

[A Quant]

I got after it yesterday--- the Gambling Gods shown some sun on my ass.

I went 5-1, winning $480.

On the year, I am now, 15-11 (57.6%), up $312.

Hope you guys are cashing tickets! Let's get it.

[ConleyPicks]

Speak for yourself AQ you are smashing college ball! Way to go my friend!

[Fred The Hammer]

I'll post 3 late tonight for Saturday then you can post all 5 if you want. I focus so much on in-week games that I usually hold off on on Saturday action.

GL this week

[A Quant]

Lots of Chalky Chalk Chalk Chalk.

But like the board this weekend......

Kentucky (-6) v. South Carolina 220/200

Utah (-3.5) v. UCLA 220/200

Maryland (-3.5) v. Purdue 165/150

Tulsa (-6) v. Navy 110/100

Kansas State (-1) v. Iowa State 110/100

Notre Dame (-4) v. BYU 110/100

Oregon State (-5) v. Stanford 110/100

[Fred The Hammer]

Ok man here goes. GL tomorrow


Michigan -22.5 / Indiana 220/200

NC / Miami Over 66 220/200

OU / Texas Over 65 110/100

N Ill +5.5 / Toledo 110/100

George Southern (+125) ML DK / Georgia St 110/137

[Fred The Hammer]

Omg. I went 0-5. Good news didn't bet any of that shit. How can N Ill play Kentucky so tough and then come home and get blasted like that?

Also didn't cap it, but how was the OU/Texas total 65 when Gabriel was out? That was the easiest Under ever with OU not having a QB

Actually I'm trying for 3-0 (Oregon State Stanford Over 53.5) with my actual bets. Over on my thread, but I'm not posting any more losers. Kiss of death right now. You won the contest. Tell me where you want the $100 donated

[A Quant]

I got ass blasted. Walking crooked this morning.

Went a crushing 1-5-1, losing $725. And honestly----was happy Notre Dame got the cover for me.

My yo-yo season continues--- just can not get any momentum going. Every good week, followed by a lousy week.

I am now 18-18-1 on the year. Staying the course, good luck next week guys!

[A Quant]

Omg. I went 0-5. Good news didn't bet any of that shit. How can N Ill play Kentucky so tough and then come home and get blasted like that?

Also didn't cap it, but how was the OU/Texas total 65 when Gabriel was out? That was the easiest Under ever with OU not having a QB

Actually I'm trying for 3-0 (Oregon State Stanford Over 53.5) with my actual bets. Over on my thread, but I'm not posting any more losers. Kiss of death right now. You won the contest. Tell me where you want the $100 donated

Fred-- You are a good guy, I said that in your thread.

Instead of donating--- keep your money, we will have a fun contest during bowl season.

I seriously want everyone to win, you seemed to have turned it around last night. Keep grinding. Keep winning.

[A Quant]

Still licking my wounds from last weekend.

This game is no joke--- As soon as you start feeling confident, the gambling gods humble your ass.

Here we go for tomorrow....

Illinois (+7) vs. Minnesota Risking 220/200
Kansas (+8.5) v. Oklahoma 110/100
Tennessee (+8) v. Alabama 165/150
Oklahoma State (+4) v. TCU 220/200
Rice (+4) v. Florida Atlantic 165/150
Clemson (-3.5) v. Florida State 110/100
Utah (-3.5) v. USC 220/200

As always, good luck to you guys! Cash those tickets!

[Fred The Hammer]

GL this weekend. Do you play many weeknight games? I haven't noticed any. Had a big score on Baylor/WV Over last night. Small play on Navy +13 and Navy Over 21.5 tonight

I'll be playing Kansas and probably Tenn myself on Sat

[A Quant]

GL this weekend. Do you play many weeknight games? I haven't noticed any. Had a big score on Baylor/WV Over last night. Small play on Navy +13 and Navy Over 21.5 tonight

I'll be playing Kansas and probably Tenn myself on Sat

No, I don't. I use my own set of numbers-- and deviations from Vegas lines is how I make my plays. I have not been able to quantify this mid-week games, the short week----- So I avoid. This shit is tough enough to handicap.....

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Props for posting, Quant. And Good Luck.

My Coll FB observations from afar. In order to beat the house at this sport, I think one would need a few things:

1) Some market-timing. Hard to beat the closers. Have to better on MOST of your tickets, have to beat the price by a few ticks.
2) Have to have some volume. These lines are sharp. Gone are the days of isolating big plays, it's about taking small edges.

The QB injury news is incredible each week. It's like every QB w/ a ding is questionable. And you don't get any REAL updates until the game starts and you see whether or not he's playing 1st series.

There has to be value to having moles in this Coll FB market. Coaches aren't saying much. But it would be nice to see how active a guy is at practice.

[ConleyPicks]

Good luck A Quant! Hoping you have a BIG WEEKEND OF WINNERS my friend!

Let's see what happens

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Still licking my wounds from last weekend.

This game is no joke--- As soon as you start feeling confident, the gambling gods humble your ass.

Here we go for tomorrow....

Illinois (+7) vs. Minnesota Risking 220/200
Kansas (+8.5) v. Oklahoma 110/100
Tennessee (+8) v. Alabama 165/150
Oklahoma State (+4) v. TCU 220/200
Rice (+4) v. Florida Atlantic 165/150
Clemson (-3.5) v. Florida State 110/100
Utah (-3.5) v. USC 220/200

As always, good luck to you guys! Cash those tickets!

Quant, with you on Illinois, Kansas, Clemson and Utah good luck on the card today

[A Quant]

Props for posting, Quant. And Good Luck.

My Coll FB observations from afar. In order to beat the house at this sport, I think one would need a few things:

1) Some market-timing. Hard to beat the closers. Have to better on MOST of your tickets, have to beat the price by a few ticks.
2) Have to have some volume. These lines are sharp. Gone are the days of isolating big plays, it's about taking small edges.

The QB injury news is incredible each week. It's like every QB w/ a ding is questionable. And you don't get any REAL updates until the game starts and you see whether or not he's playing 1st series.

There has to be value to having moles in this Coll FB market. Coaches aren't saying much. But it would be nice to see how active a guy is at practice.

Chucky-- you nailed it!

Lines are very sharp-- and the QB injury stuff is crazy--- perfect example was yesterday with NC State....Devin Leary, the ACC Pre-Season QB of the Year--- it was tough to pinpoint his injury all week-- now he is out for the year.

Good stuff!

[A Quant]

Not a bad Saturday--- went 5-2, winning $470.

On the year, I am 23-20-1, but still down $416.

I keep hoping for momentum. May have to be more disciplined with my plays this week, tightening card, just to build some momentum.

Hope you guys are cashing!

[ConleyPicks]

You are just like me I can win big one day and then lose a sh*t ton the next

I also might need to limit plays as I can handle 2 but if one brings down the other than it is probably best to choose the best play between the 2

Have a "winning" record now but down in $ which is unfortunate since I was up both on record and $ now just the record which I hope to keep going for the rest of the season

Good luck A Quant for this coming week!

[A Quant]

You are just like me I can win big one day and then lose a sh*t ton the next

I also might need to limit plays as I can handle 2 but if one brings down the other than it is probably best to choose the best play between the 2

Have a "winning" record now but down in $ which is unfortunate since I was up both on record and $ now just the record which I hope to keep going for the rest of the season

Good luck A Quant for this coming week!

How 'bout Conley? It's just been a crazy year-- stay on the grind bud! Good luck to you! And always thanks for posting the newsletters!

[ConleyPicks]

How 'bout Conley? It's just been a crazy year-- stay on the grind bud! Good luck to you! And always thanks for posting the newsletters!

Wdym by "How bout"? Sorry want to clarify

And thank you I appreciate that very much! Let's win together my friend!

[A Quant]

Wdym by "How bout"? Sorry want to clarify

And thank you I appreciate that very much! Let's win together my friend!

I was agreeing with you when you said "have a winning record but down $"---- I meant to say "Isn't that some shit?"

I wrote that poorly....lol

[ConleyPicks]

I was agreeing with you when you said "have a winning record but down $"---- I meant to say "Isn't that some shit?"

I wrote that poorly....lol

Ah I see my brain just wondered what you were meaning (knowing it was a positive)

Thanks AQuant! Let's see what this week has in store for us!