Mac's Early Leans - 2021 edition

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-07-21, 09:20 PM

Hey Guys, sorry, I've been traveling and running like a chicken with it's head off. Last weekends results...

59) 111 - College/Football - Syracuse vs Florida State Total UNDER 50½ -108
60) 117 - College/Football - Boston College Spread +15 -108 for Game
61) 121 - College/Football - Pittsburgh vs Georgia Tech Total OVER 58 -108 for Game
62) 139 - College/Football - Charlotte Spread +6½ -110 for 1st Half
63) 142 - College/Football - Wake Forest Spread -7 -108 for Game
64) 142 - College/Football - Wake Forest Spread -4 -110 for 1st Half
65) 171 - College Football Mississippi Spread +7½-110 for 1st Half
66) 123 - College/Football - Louisiana Tech Spread +10 -105 for 1st Half
67) 128 - College/Football - South Carolina Spread -6½ -108 for Game
68) 190 - College/Football - Kansas State Spread +7 -110 for 1st Half
69) 187 - College/Football - Florida Spread -7 -125 for Game
70) 222 - College Football UCLA Spread -3-108 for Game

6-6, 2-4 on bolded plays on the day.

Season Totals
35-33-2, 9-15 on Bolded Plays. Good grief my Bolded plays are sure fades.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-07-21, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by eastvan09

Here are some early lines. Any opinions on these?

Akron at Bowling Green -14.5. Damn this line is high. Was hoping to get BG laying under a TD. Will probably have to stay away. Maybe look at a team total.No real lean

Arkansas +6.5 at Ole Miss. Both coming off beat downs. Will Arky have their starting QB.
I love Ole Miss here. Kiffin called a horseshit game. Bama just jumped on them and they were shell shocked. They moved the ball well but just couldn't finish. Arkansas got exposed by UGA. They're defense and offense are not up to task. The grove will be rocking in this one. Ole Miss wins this one by 3 scores.

Mich St -5 at Rutgers. Like both teams. Might have to stay away.Leaning MSU but they tend to play up and down to the competition. Probably best to stay away on this one.

Oklahoma vs Texas +3.5. I like Texas and have already bet them. Also took Texas on the ML.Has OU covered a game all year? They covered their first game against Western Carolina. OU is the most overrated team in CFB but the Big12 is so weak. Arkansas dominating Texas makes it hard to bet them here. I keep waiting for OU to break out but they can't. This is the first line that seems about right for OU. All the other lines were way bloated. I have a feeling OU covers easily but not sure I want to play it.

Vandy +38 at Florida. Vandy sucks but 38 geez. Is that a bit high?I really don't know what to expect from UF. Mullen is weird as fukk. They could cover this line but I wouldn't take UF here. It's either Vandy or no play for me. Vandy hasn't covered a spread this year. Which probably tells me to pass.

UCONN -3.5 @ UMASS. This line has moved higher. I liked UCONN under a FG.No lean here.

Georgia -14.5 @ Auburn. Will Georgia be tested here.I think UGA blasts Auburn. UGA is on another level. Their defense will not let Bo Nix run around like he did vs LSU. I think this is a horrible matchup for AU. Eventually UGA will exert their will and you're looking at a 24+ point beatdown.

SMU @ Navy +13.5. Line seems high. Liked it a bit more at over 2 TDs.No real lean here.

Wisconsin @ Illinois +10. Maybe Illinois could keep it within a TD.Man, 2 bad inconsistent teams. Either team is sure to disappoint. My head says Illinois keeps it close against a 1 dimensional Whisky team but probably best to layoff this game too.

Penn State @ Iowa State -2. Who has the edge here? Maybe Under is the play? 41.5 is a low total.I like PSU here, even on the road.

Alabama -17.5 @ Texas A&M.I love Bama here. TAM is overrated. They don't have much on offense. Bama feast on offenses like TAM. This line should be covered by halftime.

Wyoming @ Air Force -6Leaning Air Force.

Michigan -3 @ Nebraska.
Tough game but I'm leaning Michigan.

LSU @ Kentucky -3I like LSU here. Kentucky really didn't do much against UF. UF had twice as much yards but too many penalties. The refs looked like they were on the take. 16 penalties? That is difficult for any team to overcome. I especially hate when the refs bail out teams on 3rd down and long or fukk a team by calling holding penalties on 3rd down. The Gators was driving the ball, about to score a TD and the refs call a phantom hold. Ball comes back, they don't convert, kick a FG that gets blocked for a TD. That was the game changer. LSU should be smarting after Auburn cleaned their clocks. LSU has the better athletes but very undisciplined. Can they limit the mistakes??? I think they keep it close.

I love Bama, UGA and Ole Miss so far.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-08-21, 05:51 PM

I'm locked and loaded. 2 Bolded Plays. God help me.

71) 387 - College Football Alabama Spread -18-108 for Game (CBS)
72) 357 - College Football Georgia Spread -15½-108 for Game(CBS)

73) 390 - College Football Mississippi Spread -5½-108 for Game (ESPN)

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-08-21, 05:55 PM

2 of the shittiest def in D1 tonite! FIU/Charlotte Over 60.5

Taking Stanford +14 too. I wouldnt be surprised if they won outright. Line seems kind of high

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-08-21, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

2 of the shittiest def in D1 tonite! FIU/Charlotte Over 60.5
Taking Stanford +14 too. I wouldnt be surprised if they won outright. Line seems kind of high

Yeah, I'm riding with Stanford in Heritage get out of your bet promo. I think that's the best move to determine if I should keep my bet at half.

I don't know why Heritage doesn't have the FIU /Charlotte line? It seems they are missing a few games???

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-08-21, 06:07 PM

Oh damn, the game already started. So has the Temple Cinci game. Shit, I wanted to ride with Temple in the first half. This day has flown by.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-08-21, 09:21 PM

Over winner.

FIU had 2 drives 75 yds each on total of 3 plays

Great defense! 25 yd run 50 yd bomb and then this last one was 75 yd bomb beat double coverage 1st play and they're still losing

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:28 AM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Over winner. FIU had 2 drives 75 yds each on total of 3 plays

Great defense! 25 yd run 50 yd bomb and then this last one was 75 yd bomb beat double coverage 1st play and they're still losing

Damn, I missed tailing you on this one.

Thankfully I got out my Stanford bet. They looked like shit. The playcalling was very suspect too. Shaw must have been drinking. Running on 3rd and long a few times. WTH?

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:37 AM

Sticking with the SEC. I love Tennessee in this one. They finally found their quarterback. They are not a bad team, just young and make a lot of mistakes. I think all the malcontents are finally out of the program, so now the players can just play. USC is offensively challenged. I think the game could be a bit close but eventually UT will wear them down. I'm looking to make a large 2nd half bet here too. Bolding this game.

74) 352 - College/Football - Tennessee U Spread -10 -120 for Game

I'm also taking the Under in MSU/Rutgers game. Both offenses will want to run the rock and both defenses are decent. I believe the weather is calling for high winds (like 25-30mph).

75) 315 - College/Football - Michigan State vs Rutgers Total UNDER 49½ -108 for Game

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:42 AM

And another SEC game. This looks like too many points for a UF team that makes too many mistakes.

76) 369 - College/Football - Vanderbilt Spread +39 -108 for Game

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:44 AM

I'm really liking Texas over OU but I can't pull the trigger. I also like Duke over GT but not ready to play it. That line smells. I think Duke could win straight up.

**DennisT** · 10-09-21, 09:06 AM

Texas and the points is the play.

**eastvan09** · 10-09-21, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Over winner.

FIU had 2 drives 75 yds each on total of 3 plays

Great defense! 25 yd run 50 yd bomb and then this last one was 75 yd bomb beat double coverage 1st play and they're still losing

Nice call. I have Charlotte -3.5 in a parlay with the last 2 legs in action today.

**eastvan09** · 10-09-21, 09:57 AM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

And another SEC game. This looks like too many points for a UF team that makes too many mistakes.

76) 369 - College/Football - Vanderbilt Spread +39 -108 for Game

Good luck with your card today. I feel good about my card. I posted a 4 leg parlay and the first two legs won last night, now I just need Bama 1st half and Georgia full game to win it.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by eastvan09

Good luck with your card today. I feel good about my card. I posted a 4 leg parlay and the first two legs won last night, now I just need Bama 1st half and Georgia full game to win it.

I love both plays.

I wish I could hit a 4 teamer.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by DennisT

Texas and the points is the play.

I'm on it dog gone it. Let's cash this bitch.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 11:03 AM

Took Over 65 for $250 in this one. Tough early card imo.

Hopefully OU will get untracked. I think UT will put up their points. Usually a crazy game with special teams TDs, def scores, etc

Like I said. Basically a special teams TD in the first 2 minutes. Watched about 30 Red River rivalry games

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 11:12 AM

Typical OU defense

Cincinnati would beat OU by 14. Won't matter because OU will prob lose today or definitely lose somewhere. This team isn't half as good as one of Baker Mayfields OU teams

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Typical OU defense

Cincinnati would beat OU by 14. Won't matter because OU will prob lose today or definitely lose somewhere. This team isn't half as good as one of Baker Mayfields OU teams

Feels like Texas is up by 4 TDs but it's still a close game with a lot of time left in the 2nd quarter. OU is so overrated but not too many teams in the Big12 can exploit them.

Tennessee is a team that is very underrated right now. They have gotten a lot better after the Florida and Pitt games. They have a murderers row of games coming up though. Ole Miss, Bama, Kentucky then Georgia. Good grief, that is rough. I'm going to have to probably back them though.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 12:33 PM

When will Rattler get benched? He just coughed up another ball. That's 2 turnovers on him. Now Texas on the goal line ready for another score. Incredible run by the Texas RB. Wow.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 12:45 PM

Rattler benched finally. The freshman looks much better to me.

**pimike** · 10-09-21, 12:58 PM

Points galore

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 01:53 PM

OMG - this Vandy kicker has missed 3 gimmie FGs. I'm talking 30 yard varieties. They won't score a point today. That line is toast. Vandy had more yards and twice as many plays then UF but a goose egg on the scoreboard. Unfukkingreal.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by pimike

Points galore

Texas should put up 50 here.

Ole Miss, Arkansas game is defense optional too. 38-38 game. Kiffin calling some boneheaded plays and going for it in his own redzone hasn't helped.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

Feels like Texas is up by 4 TDs but it's still a close game with a lot of time left in the 2nd quarter. OU is so overrated but not too many teams in the Big12 can exploit them.

Tennessee is a team that is very underrated right now. They have gotten a lot better after the Florida and Pitt games. They have a murderers row of games coming up though. Ole Miss, Bama, Kentucky then Georgia. Good grief, that is rough. I'm going to have to probably back them though.

Nice call on the Vols. QB has talent!

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 02:10 PM

Put a little on OU +330. Making all kinds of crazy plays now!!

Put my whole Bovada poker bankroll ($217 lol) on TCU/Tex Tech Over 60.5. Not your Dads TCU defense anymore

Wake -6 too. Cuse sucks. Hartman will pick them apart and actually their def is a little better this year. Have Wake ML with several 2-3 teamers

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 02:19 PM

OU is on fire!! The Cotton Bowl is rocking! I went to 3 I think. Great atmosphere

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:22 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

OU is on fire!! The Cotton Bowl is rocking! I went to 3 I think. Great atmosphere

This game is crazy. Texas had a much better shot with Rattler at QB. They look like they shot their wads.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

This game is crazy. Texas had a much better shot with Rattler at QB. They look like they shot their wads.

Yeah. This freshman with OU may not give it back. He's unreal! Spins moves and running all over the place but he can throw too and seems really poised under pressure

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:25 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Put a little on OU +330. Making all kinds of crazy plays now!!
Put my whole Bovada poker bankroll ($217 lol) on TCU/Tex Tech Over 60.5. Not your Dads TCU defense anymore
Wake -6 too. Cuse sucks. Hartman will pick them apart and actually their def is a little better this year. Have Wake ML with several 2-3 teamers

OU making a huge run. I'm really hoping Texas can pull this out but this freshman QB is so much better than Rattler.

I'm tailing TCU/TT over. Love it.

I want to take Wake but Cuse at home is always tough. That line stinks. Laying off until halftime.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:28 PM

OMG what an incredible pass and catch by OU for the TD. Unreal effort.

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:30 PM

Tie ball game Texas/OU. Damn, come on UT.

Tie ball game in the Ole Miss/ Arky game too. Crazy.

**Fred The Hammer** · 10-09-21, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by Mac4Lyfe

OMG what an incredible pass and catch by OU for the TD. Unreal effort.

Wow! They do have unbelievable athletes, but their def fundamentals are just too shitty to beat the big boys. Earlier they had Texas 2nd/19 with like 50 sec left at their own 30 1H and were in press coverage and got beat deep. That should absolutely never happen. Why press cover there? I think UT had 1 timeout

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:32 PM

Corral with a 68 yard TD to Sanders with a minute to go. Now just need Ole Miss defense to wake the fukk up. Probably scored too early?

**Mac4Lyfe** · 10-09-21, 02:35 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Wow! They do have unbelievable athletes, but their def fundamentals are just too shitty to beat the big boys. Earlier they had Texas 2nd/19 with like 50 sec left at their own 30 1H and were in press coverage and got beat deep. That should absolutely never happen. Why press cover there? I think UT had 1 timeout

I still can't believe that throw and catch. Looks like UT just coughed up the ball. My goodness UT has collapsed in this 2nd half. Their defense doesn't look like it can stop traffic.