Fred The Hammers Football Thread. Turning Outcomes Into Incomes $$

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  • Fred The Hammer
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 08-13-13
    • 11575

    #176
    Adding:

    Notre Dame ML (-180) Unibet $140-$78

    Indiana/Maryland Over 59.5 (-108) Fan Duel $270-$250


    One of my buddies is a complete gambling degenerate that loses constantly, but he has alot of $ to burn obviously. He did bring up a good point though recently. How can someone make early bird bets now with this Covid shit being so unpredictable. I love catching early value though. Going to suck if Tua's brother or Penix from Indiana can't go on Saturday, but its done now. Small on Notre Dame when it first came out. NC is softer then baby shit

    Love this Indiana total though. Maryland has some real athletes and Tua's brother is a baller. Going with Indiana 38-30
    Comment
    • Fred The Hammer
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-13
      • 11575

      #177
      Adding:

      Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 4pm tomorrow Over 58.5 (-115) BetMgm $230-$200


      Man I've been on fire boys!!! Its been a great turkey day! Cashed both NFL games and 2-0 in cbb. I'm 6-2 cbb with BYU Over 151.5 just starting

      Back on the cfb front. I spent some time capping this one and just can't get past the breakdowns in CMs secondary last week. EM doesn't have great athletes, but their QB still threw 4 tds last week vs Toledo. Toledo might be the best team in the MAC or very close. EMs last 2 games were 69 and 73 points. Anything under 60 is a play in the MAC at this point. Weather should be 50ish and not an issue.

      Central Michigan 36-31

      Good Luck tomorrow and I'll throw some cbb on here too occasionally. I'm hitting these Overs by 20-30 points! I just hit LSU Over 154 and it was never in doubt for a second

      Comment
      • Fred The Hammer
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 11575

        #178
        Adding:

        MgM gave me an oddsboost for Notre Dame ML (-110) for another $50

        Also Texas Tech/Sam Houston Over 145.5


        Tex Tech is loaded and won their first game vs Northwestern State 101-58. Sam Houston is about the same level. 319th in defense and 55th in pace.

        Texas Tech 93-59

        Lets Go!!!

        Comment
        • Fred The Hammer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-13-13
          • 11575

          #179
          Zags Over 173.5 Live


          Blowout city. Defense will slack off big time
          Comment
          • Fred The Hammer
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 11575

            #180
            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
            Adding:

            Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan 4pm tomorrow Over 58.5 (-115) BetMgm $230-$200


            Man I've been on fire boys!!! Its been a great turkey day! Cashed both NFL games and 2-0 in cbb. I'm 6-2 cbb with BYU Over 151.5 just starting

            Back on the cfb front. I spent some time capping this one and just can't get past the breakdowns in CMs secondary last week. EM doesn't have great athletes, but their QB still threw 4 tds last week vs Toledo. Toledo might be the best team in the MAC or very close. EMs last 2 games were 69 and 73 points. Anything under 60 is a play in the MAC at this point. Weather should be 50ish and not an issue.

            Central Michigan 36-31

            Good Luck tomorrow and I'll throw some cbb on here too occasionally. I'm hitting these Overs by 20-30 points! I just hit LSU Over 154 and it was never in doubt for a second

            Jesus Christ? CM had 6 trips in the red zone with a grand total of 9 points. 3 fgs, 2 turnovers, and stopped on downs. When the RB fumbled inside the 1 just diving in the end zone then I figured it would come back to bite me and it did. EM also had 3 fgs. I've never seen such shitty redzone offense in my life? What a crock of shit?

            Combined they had 8 redzone trips with 15 points total and Over missed by 5. Thats insane

            I've had enough of CM for one goddamn season. I'm done with them

            I did have West Virginia +145 in cbb and hit the Over with Vandy cbb with like :15 left. Up like $70 today, but could've been solid
            Last edited by Fred The Hammer; 11-27-20, 10:41 PM.
            Comment
            • Fred The Hammer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-13-13
              • 11575

              #181
              Big play tonite was La Tech Over 75.5 cbb and LT cfb parlay. Got there easy even though La Tech hoops barely went Over. They had 74 with like 6 min to go.

              Adding 2 team parlay:

              Arizona State cbb 1st half ML -230
              Nebraska cfb +0.5 1st half -120

              Risking $140 for $228 (+163)


              Probably should play Arizona St -3.5 1st half, but just in case. They have way too much offense for Cal imo.
              Football wise.....Nebraska has been playing people tough and Purdue's top LB is suspended 1st half for targeting. Thats where the 1H line comes in.

              Good Luck!!! If you don't see this right away then play cfb on Sat and cash it!!!

              Comment
              • Fred The Hammer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 11575

                #182
                At the casino. Biggest play of the year
                so far:

                Ball State ML -120

                I've seen both several times and CMs secondary is not going to hold up. They're also on their 3rd string qb. BS is no monster but they're peaking. They beat a better Toledo team on the road last week. BS also has 18 seniors.

                Good Luck!!
                Comment
                • fa6664
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-22-12
                  • 31

                  #183
                  Nice call Fred. Killing them. I went to high school with Ball State coach Neu.
                  Comment
                  • Fred The Hammer
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-13-13
                    • 11575

                    #184
                    Originally posted by fa6664
                    Nice call Fred. Killing them. I went to high school with Ball State coach Neu.
                    Ty Sir! 5-1 today!!! I even had Indiana +420 in 2 parlays and one is still alive for almost $500. I just need Seattle ML and GB -8.5

                    Texas A&M Over and picked up Texas Over at halftime and I wanted the Under in Arizona/Colorado, but I was hoping for a TD 1Q so they might jack the live line up. I got Under 59.5 which looks golden unless they go OT

                    Comment
                    • HilltopTony
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-09-10
                      • 767

                      #185
                      Do you post those winners somewhere or just tell the forum you won? Not trying to be a smartass, just was looking for your plays and couldn't find them
                      Comment
                      • Fred The Hammer
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 08-13-13
                        • 11575

                        #186
                        Originally posted by HilltopTony
                        Do you post those winners somewhere or just tell the forum you won? Not trying to be a smartass, just was looking for your plays and couldn't find them
                        I don't post them all, but posted Ball State at 11am on Sat. Posted Nebraska 1H +0.5 point earlier in the week. They're here? Alot of my plays are Live now which are hard to post on my phone. For instance Texas/KState were 31-17 at half and the total was only 74.5 so I popped the Over. Texas got 69 by themselves
                        Comment
                        • Fred The Hammer
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-13-13
                          • 11575

                          #187
                          Adding:

                          La Tech (+21.5)
                          BYU (-13.5) buying a point when I can from 14.5


                          I saw BYU at -13.5 on FanDuel but it climbed up before I could log in and bet it. I'm buying a point as soon as I can on one of these apps. Of course if it goes to -16 for instance then I'll just pass instead of paying -160 or something.

                          As far as capping the games, BYU is a team full of older guys. They'll bounce back and be pissed off at San Diego State. I love that pick at -13.5

                          La Tech is so well coached by Skip Holtz. I think they'll hang with TCU. TCU got a big win and this one might be a little bit of a letdown for them. Neither SD State or TCU are really good offensively
                          Comment
                          • Fred The Hammer
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 11575

                            #188
                            Waiting on RB Huntley's status for Ball State. They crushed Central Michigan without him, but he's a beast. They're definitely a play with him and maybe without him? Troy +13.5 is definitely worth watching too. Classic huge letdown game for Coastal Carolina, but they're so well coached that they never seem to have a letdown. Check back
                            Comment
                            • Shark
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-14-10
                              • 1789

                              #189
                              What does byu have to play for now?
                              Comment
                              • Fred The Hammer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-13-13
                                • 11575

                                #190
                                Originally posted by Shark
                                What does byu have to play for now?
                                They never had anything to play for as far as the Final 4 playoffs. I think they come out pissed and smash SD State. Aztecs can't score on decent teams.

                                Adding:

                                Georgia Tech/Pitt Over 53.5 (-125) Mgm

                                BYU -13.5 (-143) Unibet


                                I have more on BYU. $250 to win $175. Still checking on Huntley's status for Ball State.
                                Comment
                                • Renegades
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-12-11
                                  • 5290

                                  #191
                                  Pitt- 7 possessions inside the 15. 1 td, 5 fgs, stopped at the 1 once. Smh
                                  Comment
                                  • Renegades
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-12-11
                                    • 5290

                                    #192
                                    Against a terrible defense nonetheless
                                    Comment
                                    • Fred The Hammer
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-13-13
                                      • 11575

                                      #193
                                      Originally posted by Renegades
                                      Pitt- 7 possessions inside the 15. 1 td, 5 fgs, stopped at the 1 once. Smh
                                      Sorry brother. I got extremely lucky to get Over 53.5. I will try to get under 54 if its close because thats a key number imo, but in all honesty if you think it might be that close then probably best to pass.
                                      Comment
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