My style of betting is to generally wait to the night before and day of games to place. It allows me to mix in line movement, injuries and other variables. I like to go through the card and isolate the games that catch my eye and whittle them down from there.
I also like to hit live betting too. It’s been more this year than years past because I’m laid up recovering from an operation so it’s too damn easy to sit here and smash live bets...and that can be dangerous lol.
Anyways here are the games that I’ve isolated and will be choosing from.
UL Monroe +18 — this is one that I like strictly because of the line movement. The majority of the money seems to be on Iowa State yet the line has moved away from them.
UNCC +42 — like above I see that Clemson is taking the majority of the action and the line has either stayed at 42 or moved off to 41.5. UNCC can score. Granted they’ve not faced a defense remotely close to what Clemson is but it may be worth a shot to see if they stay within the number.
UCF -11.5 vs PIT — Another year and another news cycle where UCF is in it because they’re unhappy about their ranking. Their beefs have been legit. I agree with Lane Kiffin when he said they’re like an SEC squad but lack the name recognition. So I think on the heels of that they come out and pile drive Pitt.
Illinois +13.5 vs Nebraska — if I were to play this one it’s solely because I think it is way too many points for the Huskers to be laying on the road. I’d hold my nose and take Lovie’s team. I played them last week vs EMU and regretted it almost right away.
Northwestern +8 vs Mich St — kinda the same reasoning as above with Illinois. I’m not sure Sparty should be laying this many points. Recency bias a bit too after watching that game vs Herm and the Sun Devils last week.
Syracuse -4.5 vs West Michigan — something doesn’t seem right on this one. I know Cuse hasn’t looked good. I know WMU can score. I may be over thinking this but I feel like the Orange come out and play well. Likelihood I actually bet it is slim but it is one that caught my eye so it goes on the Lean List.
Wisky -3/3.5 vs Michigan — I told myself after that ass beating by Ohio St I’m not betting on the Wolverines again for awhile and I haven’t. Wisky is getting smashed by the public bettors it seems. I thought Harbaugh would be great there. Wrong. I’m rolling with Wisky for sure if it comes back to -3. If it stays at -3.5 I may stay on them but for a lesser amount.
BYU +7 vs Washington — I like BYU’s Coach. Sitake generally has his guys ready to play. Getting a TD at home vs a Washington team that may be eyeballing ahead a bit to the USC game? I’ll like that.
Colorado +7.5 — The line movement caught my eye here. It’s not drastic but from 9 to 7.5 despite ASU seeing the majority of the action. I like Mel Tucker. I think if this stays above 7 I’m taking the Buffs.
Cal +2.5 vs Ole Miss — I’d like this to get to 3/3.5. However I like what the Bears have shown this season so far. Ole Miss hasn’t exactly done much and the Bears could come in and give the Rebs a nice little fight.
Tennessee +14 vs Florida — losing Franks May help the Gators. I was on Kentucky last week and took it on the chops. I may be insane to put money on Tennessee. But I think 14 is too much for Florida here.
Auburn +4 vs Texas A&M — the first true road game for Nix. How’s he going to Fare? I think he’s going to hold it together nicely. I’m not really a fan of Kellen Mond on the other side. I’m excited to watch this game. I’ve been eyeing Auburn all week and I’m glad to be getting points here.
Wyoming +3.5 vs Tulsa — so it looks like 2/3rd’s of the action is on Tulsa yet the line has moved from -4 to -3.5. It’s not big but it still caught my eye.
Kansas +5 vs West Virginia — I was thinking how I liked WV and even mentioned it earlier on the board. Until I saw the line movement. WV is getting slammed and the number has come down from 7 to 4.5/5. Public thinking like I was earlier where Kansas is prime for a let down? Maybe. But I’m going to be playing Uncle Les and the Jayhawks for sure now.
Oklahoma St +7 vs Texas — I’m excited for this game. Okie St has a potent offense. So does Texas. I’m thinking this is going to be a slug fest back and forth that ends up with Texas winning a close one; something like a 44-41 type game.
TCU - 8 vs SMU — originally I went into this thinking isn’t land on SMU. Buechele has been playing well. Sonny Dykes is remaking that SMU squad. But TCU has held Buechele in check dating back to his UT days. This opened at 13.5 and has been slammed down to 8. If it was still double digits the value is with SMU. But at this number it may be a small play on the Frogs.
Oregon -11 vs Stanford — I like David Shaw a lot. I admire what he’s does with Stanford and I think he’d make a great NFL coach. But the Cardinal are retooling it seems. Their defense is giving up the big plays and that doesn’t bode well for facing the Ducks. One of my points of hesitation is the fact that Stanford is a double digit home dog. Normally I love to play the dog in this situation.
UTSA +18.5 vs North Texas — simply too many points for UNT to have to cover here, I think.
Georgia -14.5 vs Norte Dame — Georgia is one of if not the best team in the country. I’ve never been a ND fan nor do I care for Brian Kelly. The Irish are 18-18 vs ranked opponents with him coaching them and 3-7 vs top 10 teams. Can the Irish stop the Dawgs run game? Can they stay with them offensively? I don’t think so. I’d love to see some buy back here and catch the Bulldogs at 14. But I think this is a 35-17 type game.
Louisville +6.5 vs Florida St — I think Florida St actually wins the game. But I’m looking at the Cardinals if this gets back to 7. Blackman is having a nice season for the Noles and despite Taggart being a disaster they pull this one out but it’ll be close.
anyways those are my leans. Hope everyone has a profitable Saturday!
I also like to hit live betting too. It’s been more this year than years past because I’m laid up recovering from an operation so it’s too damn easy to sit here and smash live bets...and that can be dangerous lol.
Anyways here are the games that I’ve isolated and will be choosing from.
UL Monroe +18 — this is one that I like strictly because of the line movement. The majority of the money seems to be on Iowa State yet the line has moved away from them.
UNCC +42 — like above I see that Clemson is taking the majority of the action and the line has either stayed at 42 or moved off to 41.5. UNCC can score. Granted they’ve not faced a defense remotely close to what Clemson is but it may be worth a shot to see if they stay within the number.
UCF -11.5 vs PIT — Another year and another news cycle where UCF is in it because they’re unhappy about their ranking. Their beefs have been legit. I agree with Lane Kiffin when he said they’re like an SEC squad but lack the name recognition. So I think on the heels of that they come out and pile drive Pitt.
Illinois +13.5 vs Nebraska — if I were to play this one it’s solely because I think it is way too many points for the Huskers to be laying on the road. I’d hold my nose and take Lovie’s team. I played them last week vs EMU and regretted it almost right away.
Northwestern +8 vs Mich St — kinda the same reasoning as above with Illinois. I’m not sure Sparty should be laying this many points. Recency bias a bit too after watching that game vs Herm and the Sun Devils last week.
Syracuse -4.5 vs West Michigan — something doesn’t seem right on this one. I know Cuse hasn’t looked good. I know WMU can score. I may be over thinking this but I feel like the Orange come out and play well. Likelihood I actually bet it is slim but it is one that caught my eye so it goes on the Lean List.
Wisky -3/3.5 vs Michigan — I told myself after that ass beating by Ohio St I’m not betting on the Wolverines again for awhile and I haven’t. Wisky is getting smashed by the public bettors it seems. I thought Harbaugh would be great there. Wrong. I’m rolling with Wisky for sure if it comes back to -3. If it stays at -3.5 I may stay on them but for a lesser amount.
BYU +7 vs Washington — I like BYU’s Coach. Sitake generally has his guys ready to play. Getting a TD at home vs a Washington team that may be eyeballing ahead a bit to the USC game? I’ll like that.
Colorado +7.5 — The line movement caught my eye here. It’s not drastic but from 9 to 7.5 despite ASU seeing the majority of the action. I like Mel Tucker. I think if this stays above 7 I’m taking the Buffs.
Cal +2.5 vs Ole Miss — I’d like this to get to 3/3.5. However I like what the Bears have shown this season so far. Ole Miss hasn’t exactly done much and the Bears could come in and give the Rebs a nice little fight.
Tennessee +14 vs Florida — losing Franks May help the Gators. I was on Kentucky last week and took it on the chops. I may be insane to put money on Tennessee. But I think 14 is too much for Florida here.
Auburn +4 vs Texas A&M — the first true road game for Nix. How’s he going to Fare? I think he’s going to hold it together nicely. I’m not really a fan of Kellen Mond on the other side. I’m excited to watch this game. I’ve been eyeing Auburn all week and I’m glad to be getting points here.
Wyoming +3.5 vs Tulsa — so it looks like 2/3rd’s of the action is on Tulsa yet the line has moved from -4 to -3.5. It’s not big but it still caught my eye.
Kansas +5 vs West Virginia — I was thinking how I liked WV and even mentioned it earlier on the board. Until I saw the line movement. WV is getting slammed and the number has come down from 7 to 4.5/5. Public thinking like I was earlier where Kansas is prime for a let down? Maybe. But I’m going to be playing Uncle Les and the Jayhawks for sure now.
Oklahoma St +7 vs Texas — I’m excited for this game. Okie St has a potent offense. So does Texas. I’m thinking this is going to be a slug fest back and forth that ends up with Texas winning a close one; something like a 44-41 type game.
TCU - 8 vs SMU — originally I went into this thinking isn’t land on SMU. Buechele has been playing well. Sonny Dykes is remaking that SMU squad. But TCU has held Buechele in check dating back to his UT days. This opened at 13.5 and has been slammed down to 8. If it was still double digits the value is with SMU. But at this number it may be a small play on the Frogs.
Oregon -11 vs Stanford — I like David Shaw a lot. I admire what he’s does with Stanford and I think he’d make a great NFL coach. But the Cardinal are retooling it seems. Their defense is giving up the big plays and that doesn’t bode well for facing the Ducks. One of my points of hesitation is the fact that Stanford is a double digit home dog. Normally I love to play the dog in this situation.
UTSA +18.5 vs North Texas — simply too many points for UNT to have to cover here, I think.
Georgia -14.5 vs Norte Dame — Georgia is one of if not the best team in the country. I’ve never been a ND fan nor do I care for Brian Kelly. The Irish are 18-18 vs ranked opponents with him coaching them and 3-7 vs top 10 teams. Can the Irish stop the Dawgs run game? Can they stay with them offensively? I don’t think so. I’d love to see some buy back here and catch the Bulldogs at 14. But I think this is a 35-17 type game.
Louisville +6.5 vs Florida St — I think Florida St actually wins the game. But I’m looking at the Cardinals if this gets back to 7. Blackman is having a nice season for the Noles and despite Taggart being a disaster they pull this one out but it’ll be close.
anyways those are my leans. Hope everyone has a profitable Saturday!
