Please Talk Me Out of Putting My Mortgage on This One!!

Fred The Hammer · 09-18-19, 06:24 PM

OddsShark has WV 34-23

sandman0713 · 09-18-19, 08:31 PM

i don't know about putting the house on it. wv was completely dominated up front against jmu and mizzou...to the point they could not run the ball at all. kansas scored 24 and 7 against indiana state and coastal. they played really solid d in both games as well. based on the first 2 weeks of wv and ku games this would be an easy under. both teams looked completely different last game and shocked almost everyone with easy wins. it just depends which teams show up i guess. 49 seems kind of low with all things taken into consideration i think. wish you well. i am gonna watch these 2 another week and see what is what.

Fred The Hammer · 09-18-19, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by sandman0713

i don't know about putting the house on it. wv was completely dominated up front against jmu and mizzou...to the point they could not run the ball at all. kansas scored 24 and 7 against indiana state and coastal. they played really solid d in both games as well. based on the first 2 weeks of wv and ku games this would be an easy under. both teams looked completely different last game and shocked almost everyone with easy wins. it just depends which teams show up i guess. 49 seems kind of low with all things taken into consideration i think. wish you well. i am gonna watch these 2 another week and see what is what.

I appreciate the feedback. I just see WV as a soft team that throws alot. 49 seems super low for them. Missouri stuffing them doesn't phase me because Mizzou has much better talent then KU on defense. Now I don't know what the hell happened vs the first 2 scrubs that KU played, but I have to think they have some confidence now. They could've buckled in the 1st half vs BC, but they kept moving the ball. Bottom line, I just don't see this as a defensive game. 49 is pretty low in todays game....atleast in Sept. Maybe in late Nov with wind & cold

jtoler · 09-18-19, 11:04 PM

Originally posted by Fred The Hammer

Bottom line, I just don't see this as a defensive game. 49 is pretty low in todays game....atleast in Sept. Maybe in late Nov with wind & cold

thats funny considering there's supposed to be a 40-50% chance of rain with 10-20 mph winds check weather forecasts before placing ur bets frederick

Husker36 · 09-19-19, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by jtoler

thats funny considering there's supposed to be a 40-50% chance of rain with 10-20 mph winds check weather forecasts before placing ur bets frederick

Seems like when people put the weather into account for the over/under it USUALLY goes over. Or just seems that way to me. Cold, windy, snowy days (like an actual blizzard) during the game usually matters. But slight wind and rain doesn't seem to matter.

Husker36 · 09-19-19, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by jtoler

thats funny considering there's supposed to be a 40-50% chance of rain with 10-20 mph winds check weather forecasts before placing ur bets frederick

Don't get me wrong.... thanks for sharing. Definitely want all the info possible when placing a wager. The hourly forecast doesn't go that far ahead..... Its supposed to rain from 1am-10am. No info after 10am.

Kansas plays on turf.... so no worries about field being sloppy.

FOREVER HUSKERS · 09-19-19, 11:45 AM

Husker 36 Sounds like Lincoln weather to me GO BIG RED

jtoler · 09-19-19, 12:18 PM

Originally posted by Husker36

Don't get me wrong.... thanks for sharing. Definitely want all the info possible when placing a wager. The hourly forecast doesn't go that far ahead..... Its supposed to rain from 1am-10am. No info after 10am.

Kansas plays on turf.... so no worries about field being sloppy.

I was just sharing Id prob play over too kansas prob put in a stinker compared to their last game in which they looked good wv aint good to me just have some wrinkles with quick wr passes they try to get in open space their qb is avg at best to me we will see

Husker36 · 09-19-19, 02:05 PM

Talked me into it Fred. Put more on it.

gojetsgomoxies · 09-19-19, 08:24 PM

Originally posted by Husker36

Seems like when people put the weather into account for the over/under it USUALLY goes over. Or just seems that way to me. Cold, windy, snowy days (like an actual blizzard) during the game usually matters. But slight wind and rain doesn't seem to matter.

yes, that's something i've noticed too. and as someone who has sometimes posted it.

i sometimes post that pacific northwest weather is expected to be poor.. but it's mostly poor anyways, and oregon used to score 60 points all the time in foul weather.

it's interesting. WV an OVER team vs. kansas which i'd have called an UNDER team. but hasn't proven out recently for KU

Fred The Hammer · 09-20-19, 05:43 AM

Originally posted by jtoler

thats funny considering there's supposed to be a 40-50% chance of rain with 10-20 mph winds check weather forecasts before placing ur bets frederick

I looked at the weather. Its not my first rodeo, but these weather fks have no idea whats going to happen 4 days from now. Their job is put out how weather ladies to keep people tuned in.

Actually I've hedged out slightly though. I hit Twins Over with Tenn/Jax Under last night and have La Tech/Nats ML parlay tonite. Running good and having a sportsbook near me for the first time in my life is a good feeling!!

Fred The Hammer · 09-20-19, 05:53 AM

Originally posted by gojetsgomoxies

yes, that's something i've noticed too. and as someone who has sometimes posted it.

i sometimes post that pacific northwest weather is expected to be poor.. but it's mostly poor anyways, and oregon used to score 60 points all the time in foul weather.

it's interesting. WV an OVER team vs. kansas which i'd have called an UNDER team. but hasn't proven out recently for KU

Well both teams sucked on offense in the first 2 weeks. As gamblers when you like a side then you can justify results at times, but I put more stock into how good they both looked last week. WV has a new QB and now he has some confidence! They put up 44 on NC State who usually has better athletes then KU. I was on the KU/BC Over and was really impressed with how KU mixed it up. 238 passing and 308 rushing. Not to mention WV has been soft on defense for 15-20 years.

I have $550-$500 and also about $350 in parlays where this game is the last leg. Hate to blow 2/3 of my winnings this week on 1 game, but the dice are in the air

Fred The Hammer · 09-20-19, 05:59 AM

Originally posted by Husker36

Talked me into it Fred. Put more on it.

GL brother. Hate to scare you, but lately I run pretty good & then I post on here and it cools me off

I have had some incredible runs on here though. I was like 14-2 in NFL props a few years ago on here

Fred The Hammer · 09-20-19, 06:00 AM

Originally posted by jtoler

I was just sharing Id prob play over too kansas prob put in a stinker compared to their last game in which they looked good wv aint good to me just have some wrinkles with quick wr passes they try to get in open space their qb is avg at best to me we will see

A history buff! I love it! I'm a history major. I think FDR had about 1-2 months to live after that. The Yalta conference

mjsuax13 · 09-20-19, 06:16 AM

Interesting take on weather... this was from VSIN yesterday here in Vegas: since 2003, when the wind is 10 MPH or higher, 56% of NFL games with that type of wind hit the under. I would have to go back and look how that might apply to college but thought it was an interesting number.

I think for college this number will go over though.

Fred The Hammer · 09-21-19, 04:30 PM

Could get scary here? OT still a possibility to bail us out though! Took App St/NC and that looks easy. BC ML a winner and have NC State/Ball State Over 58 tonite pretty big, but need this one!!

Fred The Hammer · 09-21-19, 06:48 PM

I get to keep my house.....barely!!!

Killing these guys for my sized wagers anyway! I've been like 18-5 since last Wed

On Ball State Over and Indians ML RL tonite

ex50warrior · 09-21-19, 06:56 PM

Whew! Nice win Fred.