NCAAF Week 10 with observations

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  • L8night
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-04-13
    • 5535

    #1
    NCAAF Week 10 with observations
    Last week: 2-1 +50
    YTD: 7-6 +25

    Hello SBR members and lurkers,

    Things are shaping up for some good games this week, this is usually the time of year I start to play totals as the books have some pretty tight lines on matchups, I will be posting those on Saturday when I finalize my card.

    Leans for week 10:

    Friday

    WKU@Middle Tennessee St -13 1/2, Hilltoppers seem to have given up on the season, Mid Tenn in a fight for CUSA east.

    Georgia@Kentucky +9 1/2, Georgia off big rivalry win against Florida, Kentucky just seems to find a way to win and keep themselves in the game, waiting to see if it goes back over 10.

    Those are 2 games on my radar

    First play of the week:

    La Tech +22@Mississippi St, La Tech a sneaky 6-2, this sandwich game for Miss. St., off win against A&M(sorry if you tailed me), visit Alabama next week.

    I'll be back during the week, any questions or comments? have fun this week
  • BigdaddyQH
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-13-09
    • 19530

    #2
    La. Tech is in a bad situational spot here. Miss. State is 7-1 ATS in the 2nd of back to back home games. Tech is 1-5 as a DD Dog vs non-con off a S/U win. I don't buy sandwich games for teams with 3 losses. Every game is important. Pass.
    Comment
    • L8night
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-04-13
      • 5535

      #3
      Hey Bigdaddy,

      You might be right, line has rose to 23 1/2, but I feel comfortable with the play, GL to you

      I won't be playing the 2 above leans,

      No line movement on the WKU/Mid Tenn game.

      Georgia/Kentucky line down to 8 1/2 and I see to many people talking about it, never a good thing when people see it my way.

      2 more games popped up on my radar,

      New Leans,

      Boston College/Virginia Tech under 57, has the feel of a 27-23 kind of game.

      Ga Tech/North Carolina over 63, will there be any defense on the field?

      Be back Saturday morning to finalize the card, GL if you are playing Thur and Fri games
      Comment
      • Pickem2win
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-16-11
        • 978

        #4
        Another over to look at is LA Tech/Miss st. Original total was 44, it's now 48 but I have this pegged closer to 56.
        Comment
        • L8night
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-04-13
          • 5535

          #5
          Originally posted by Pickem2win
          Another over to look at is LA Tech/Miss st. Original total was 44, it's now 48 but I have this pegged closer to 56.
          hey Pickem2win,

          I did look at that total, but it hasn't moved, if Miss St is looking ahead to "Bama", then I could see it happening, if not and the State Defense shows up, I see a 27-13 type game, I feel safer with the 22 points and Tech.

          GL with your plays today.
          Comment
          • L8night
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-04-13
            • 5535

            #6
            2nd play this week:

            GaTech/North Carolina over 65, I am not a big fan of overs in 12:00 games, but neither of these teams fields any defense.
            Comment
            • L8night
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-04-13
              • 5535

              #7
              Final Card:

              La Tech +22@Mississippi St

              GaTech/North Carolina over 65

              Duke +9 1/2 vs Miami,Fl.

              Have a great weekend and have fun
              Comment
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