college picks

[JayDr3am]

just dont see the biggest total of the night and the biggest favorite of the night covering..we'll see

[eddycash]

Jay-- I hate to beat a dead horse, but you may have seen me drum this home on this board.

But your pick of Vandy +2. Yeah, you are absolutely letting money on the table. You can still get Vandy on the ML at +110 and +120, the odds the game lands on South Carolina winning by just 1 or 2 points is so small, the odds are overwhelming in your favor to bet the ML.

And the truth is- you can even say the same for that Texas line. I understand the safety of the 3, but again, the odds of the game landing on that number are just too small to not play the ML.

Good luck to you! Hope you cash them.

This exact setup happened on the GB Packers last sunday at +1.5 and my motto is always take the points above +1. Only if the spread is exactly +1 will I take the ml. The game ended in a tie.

[JayDr3am]

that 60 second drive touchdown before half might be our demise

[JayDr3am]

where was the intentional grounding??? ball didnt make it past the scrimmage line?????

[JayDr3am]

some of the most shit officiating ive ever seen. oh my god.

[A Quant]

This exact setup happened on the GB Packers last sunday at +1.5 and my motto is always take the points above +1. Only if the spread is exactly +1 will I take the ml. The game ended in a tie.

Big difference. College Football can not end in a tie.

Also, the statistical probability over the last 5 years of any game closing at 2.5, 2, 1.5, or 1 and the dog needing those points to cover is around 1% of the roughly 2800 games played.

[JayDr3am]

addition:

Purdue +7 -115

BC's win vs wake on the road was impressive. but now they have to travel again against a hungry purdue team.. alot of misfortune with purdue losing home opener and back to back road games starting the season 0-3...

maybe being at home in the last home game of the month will give them that spark they needed to atleast compete in this game. this is their last home game before they go on the road again for a while. they need this one for dignity purposes

[JayDr3am]

5-7 NCAAF

recap:

FAU & UFC u75.5 -110 L
Illinois +28.5 -110 L
Vanderbilt +2 -110 *pending
Texas +3 -110 *
Purdue +7 -115 *

[JayDr3am]

still in action

[JayDr3am]

addition:

maryland -2.5 -110

minnesota has played who? .. waiting.. this is by far their toughest matchup of the month. maryland got caught last week in a let down spot and here they simply finish september @ home with a win.

[A Quant]

Good luck today Jay.

[JayDr3am]

Good luck today Jay.

[JayDr3am]

gl everyone on your action

[JayDr3am]

in action all afternoon. will post as i lock

[Louisvillekid1]

Same to you sir

kill it

[JayDr3am]

addition:

Kansas state +16 -110

super solid road team. i havent seen kansas state rattled too much on the road in recent memory. if they keep turnovers down and punch in red zone opportunites we'll be in this till the end of the game

[Ryermkd]

Jay you're printing money buddy. I was already on Maryland -2.5, but seeing Purdue helped give me the balls to go moneyline. Parlayed the two as well.

On Texas +3.5, Indiana +6 and Iowa +3.

BOL

[JayDr3am]

Jay you're printing money buddy. I was already on Maryland -2.5, but seeing Purdue helped give me the balls to go moneyline. Parlayed the two as well.

On Texas +3.5, Indiana +6 and Iowa +3.

BOL

hell yeah my guy BOL.

i liked indiana but couldnt pull itim trying to get into a groove and be more consistent. these saturdays are tough. but the night is still young

[JayDr3am]

capping the games 7 oclock games as well.

[JayDr3am]

addition:

Volunteers +3.5 -115

dangling the hook like this over me.. ok i bit vegas. you happy?? i took the bait!! lol

florida in general is a team i cant trust further than i can throw them. especially on the road.

i remember this specific match up last season.. the spread was around the same.. i was on volunteers -3.. vol lost by 6.. but there were some wacky turnovers.. if the ball bounces tennessee's way just once they win that game. played a great game just couldnt bring it home.. this is a revenge and overall good spot

[JayDr3am]

7-7 NCAAF

recap:

FAU & UFC u75.5 -110 L
Illinois +28.5 -110 L
Vanderbilt +2 -110 *pending
Texas +3 -110 *pending
Kansas state +16 -110 *pending
Purdue +7 -115 W
Maryland -2.5 W
tennessee +3.5 -110 *pending

we bring a few these home to salvage and some

[JayDr3am]

these early week bait games i have no business on.. no more of that

[Ryermkd]

addition:

Volunteers +3.5 -115

dangling the hook like this over me.. ok i bit vegas. you happy?? i took the bait!! lol

florida in general is a team i cant trust further than i can throw them. especially on the road.

i remember this specific match up last season.. the spread was around the same.. i was on volunteers -3.. vol lost by 6.. but there were some wacky turnovers.. if the ball bounces tennessee's way just once they win that game. played a great game just couldnt bring it home.. this is a revenge and overall good spot

One from you, one from me. Same logic, Ten +145 and Indiana +185 parlayed pays almost 6-1.

[JayDr3am]

Same to you sir

kill it

hell yeah keep it up my guy

[JayDr3am]

just need to hit the drawing board more. not performing well nor am i satisfied

[JayDr3am]

and tenn is getting touched inappropriately at home. horrible QB play

[JayDr3am]

7-9 NCAAF

recap:

FAU & UFC u75.5 -110 L
Illinois +28.5 -110 L
Vanderbilt +2 -110 L
Texas +3 -110 W
Kansas state +16 -110 L
Purdue +7 -115 W
Maryland -2.5 W
tennessee +3.5 -110 *pending

[JayDr3am]

addition:

oregon +3 -105

too hostile of an enviroment to just come in and win. simple. bryce love and those guys are studs but IN oregon i expect that place to be shaking and oregon playing up to it. GL

-105 not 125

[JayDr3am]

7-10 NCAAF
horrible saturday
recap:

FAU & UFC u75.5 -110 L
Illinois +28.5 -110 L
Vanderbilt +2 -110 L
Texas +3 -110 W
Kansas state +16 -110 L
Purdue +7 -115 W
Maryland -2.5 W
tennessee +3.5 -110 L
oregon +3.5 -110 *pending

[JayDr3am]

addition:

utah state/air force o60 -110

i dont understand how this game doesnt go over the total. neither of these teams have a defensive bone in their body. i just see when its all said and done its like 38-30

[JayDr3am]

oregon lol

[JayDr3am]

8-11 NCAAF
horrible saturday
recap:

FAU & UFC u75.5 -110 L
Illinois +28.5 -110 L
Vanderbilt +2 -110 L
Texas +3 -110 W
Kansas state +16 -110 L
Purdue +7 -115 W
Maryland -2.5 W
tennessee +3.5 -110 L
oregon +3.5 -110 L garbage
utah state/air force o60 -110 W

[JayDr3am]

8-11 NCAAF

addition:

Virginia +7 -110

NC state is farming wins off of horrible teams.. 3-0 start to a bunch of weaklings.. this game and their entire october schedule will be difficult. virginia defensively will keep them in this game. might be upset material

[Louisvillekid1]

Bounce back time

[JayDr3am]

Bounce back time

yeah im not messing around this week. capping early and often.