CFB 2013 (and some NFL)

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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #736
    also went 1u on Cards ML +108 in Game Two
    Comment
    • BiffTFinancial
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 01-29-09
      • 22670

      #737
      running list of CFB leans for Saturday (projecting TTs based upon current lines)

      noon
      Nebraska -10
      UNL TT over 31
      Akron/Ball State over 55'
      Vandy/A&M under 69

      330
      Bama TT over 40
      Tennessee TT under 11'
      Clemson -15
      Troy/WKU over 61'
      ND/AFA under 55'

      night
      Oregon TT over 47'
      FAU +24
      Ohio State -15
      Ohio State TT over 35
      Oregon State +4
      Oregon State TT over 26'

      focusing more on noon and night games. have something going on Saturday from around 3:30-7:00 and it's better that i not have any distractions then. pretty interested in Huskers and 4 big night games anyway (though i won't be betting S Carolina/Missou).
      Comment
      • SilverTongueFox
        SBR MVP
        • 11-23-10
        • 2338

        #738
        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
        CFB Week Nine
        2* Kentucky team total under 23
        Dang! I had meetings most of the day and missed the better number. I played TT under 21 but only for 1u.
        Comment
        • BiffTFinancial
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 01-29-09
          • 22670

          #739
          Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
          Dang! I had meetings most of the day and missed the better number. I played TT under 21 but only for 1u.
          Dropping like a stone, now 20' at 5D.
          Comment
          • BiffTFinancial
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-29-09
            • 22670

            #740
            Originally posted by blumpkin
            biff when you get a chance what do you have troy/w. kentucky at? troy cannot stop anybody with a pulse but will put points up.. total is 61ish and im liking this over
            Like that over, have it around 67-70 points. I also noticed that a capper that i respect a lot is on that over. Going to have to take a closer look at that one, thanks for mentioning it.
            Comment
            • BiffTFinancial
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-29-09
              • 22670

              #741
              2* Panthers/Bucs 1H under 20 - PUSH

              Clean livin'
              Comment
              • SilverTongueFox
                SBR MVP
                • 11-23-10
                • 2338

                #742
                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                2* Panthers/Bucs 1H under 20 - PUSH

                Clean livin'
                Felt as good as a win. Not going to lie!
                Comment
                • SilverTongueFox
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-23-10
                  • 2338

                  #743
                  Livin to clean. In a matter of a few minutes Kentucky gets a safety & TD and Bg Popi goes yard. It was like gun shots. Bang ! Bang!
                  Comment
                  • Vinnie Paz
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-27-12
                    • 12177

                    #744
                    Damn wtf miss st... I swear its impossible to hit a college under,arghhh. Here's to a shutout the rest of the way
                    Comment
                    • SilverTongueFox
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-23-10
                      • 2338

                      #745
                      Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                      Damn wtf miss st... I swear its impossible to hit a college under,arghhh. Here's to a shutout the rest of the way
                      I doesnt help when punter is so bad they can't flip field position. Punts of 40yds, 39yds, 41yds& the last one 31yds. Kentucky can't drive the field but Miss St giving them short field with bad penalties & poor punting.
                      Comment
                      • SilverTongueFox
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-23-10
                        • 2338

                        #746
                        Mullen is a friggen idiot. If you trust your punter/kicker then have your qb quick kick.
                        Comment
                        • BiffTFinancial
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-09
                          • 22670

                          #747
                          fak, sorry you had under 21 on the UK TT, STF. that sucks.
                          Comment
                          • SilverTongueFox
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-23-10
                            • 2338

                            #748
                            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                            CFB Week Nine
                            2* Kentucky team total under 23
                            Pays to get the best number. Nice job! Scares me sometimes and makes me question why the hell I try to beat these books. You got 23. It drops and i end up I getting 21. It lands on 22. How many games can you recall a final team score of 22? Ridiculous!
                            Comment
                            • Vinnie Paz
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-27-12
                              • 12177

                              #749
                              Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                              Mullen is a friggen idiot. If you trust your punter/kicker then have your qb quick kick.
                              Yeah man that 4 & out in the fourth quarter was so pointless, I swear sometimes ya just cant make this shit up. Ended up getting 22.5 but regardless it shouldn't have even sniffed that much. It is what it is now... Onto the next one
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #750
                                Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                Pays to get the best number. Nice job! Scares me sometimes and makes me question why the hell I try to beat these books. You got 23. It drops and i end up I getting 21. It lands on 22. How many games can you recall a final team score of 22? Ridiculous!
                                What's worse, almost all of UK's points were gifted to them. First TD was on 3rd and long and guy broke a screen for about 50 yards for a TD. The FG before the half doesn't happen but for two personal fouls on MSU. The safety occurred when MSU QB took awful 18 yard sack on 3rd and 10 from own 20, then punter drops snap for safety. Then safety teed up the second TD (though that was a relatively legit, albeit short, drive).

                                In the end, i got pretty lucky booking the play when i did. Under 23 was available for less than an hour after i booked it (it had nothing to do with my booking it, of course; some people smarter than me and with more money than me apparently hit it after i did).
                                Comment
                                • BiffTFinancial
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-29-09
                                  • 22670

                                  #751
                                  2* Kentucky TT under 23 - WINNER

                                  Sorry to those who ended up with a push or a loss, that stinks.

                                  No strong feeling on Boise/BYU, so probably pass tonight to work on tomorrow's card. Lot of leans to narrow down.
                                  Comment
                                  • TC Woods
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-17-11
                                    • 1780

                                    #752
                                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                    2* Kentucky TT under 23 - WINNER

                                    Sorry to those who ended up with a push or a loss, that stinks.

                                    No strong feeling on Boise/BYU, so probably pass tonight to work on tomorrow's card. Lot of leans to narrow down.
                                    Thinking about an under 60'on BYU/BSTgame, any thoughts?
                                    Comment
                                    • SilverTongueFox
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-23-10
                                      • 2338

                                      #753
                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                      running list of CFB leans for Saturday (projecting TTs based upon current lines)

                                      noon
                                      Nebraska -10
                                      UNL TT over 31
                                      Akron/Ball State over 55'
                                      Vandy/A&M under 69

                                      330
                                      Bama TT over 40
                                      Tennessee TT under 11'
                                      Clemson -15
                                      Troy/WKU over 61'
                                      ND/AFA under 55'

                                      night
                                      Oregon TT over 47'
                                      FAU +24
                                      Ohio State -15
                                      Ohio State TT over 35
                                      Oregon State +4
                                      Oregon State TT over 26'

                                      focusing more on noon and night games. have something going on Saturday from around 3:30-7:00 and it's better that i not have any distractions then. pretty interested in Huskers and 4 big night games anyway (though i won't be betting S Carolina/Missou).
                                      Biff, this line shot up to +5.5 at pinny. My local and some others holding the line as low as +4. What do you make of this? I dont see any anounced injuries. The line probably drops back down and settle around opening line. This will make for a better number on the team total as long as the total will sit & stay at 55/56.
                                      Comment
                                      • SilverTongueFox
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-23-10
                                        • 2338

                                        #754
                                        Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                        Biff, this line shot up to +5.5 at pinny. My local and some others holding the line as low as +4. What do you make of this? I dont see any anounced injuries. The line probably drops back down and settle around opening line. This will make for a better number on the team total as long as the total will sit & stay at 55/56.
                                        Line down to +4.5 pretty much everywhere now.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #755
                                          Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                          2* Panthers/Bucs 1H under 20 - PUSH

                                          Clean livin'
                                          i tried so hard to find a 20.5..best i could ever get was 20 +105.. not sure if feel fortunate for the push or pissed that a banked off the goalpost fg pushed us? thinking of bringing this to a halt as a auto bet as things havnt been going as well and would like to stop with a profit (counting last year, obviously down juice this season)..i dunno but leaning to making it a case by case basis as totals have gotten increasing lower in these thur night contest and the bounces just not going our way like they used to.. havnt had any time for ncaa, hopefully i will tonight..chasing cards in stl (for 2 wins! lol), going back to beantown 3-2 cards i believe..
                                          Comment
                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 01-29-09
                                            • 22670

                                            #756
                                            Originally posted by TC Woods
                                            Thinking about an under 60'on BYU/BSTgame, any thoughts?
                                            Sorry, just now back, work crawled directly up my ass this morning. I leaned under heading into the game and nothing changes that. 2H under should be worth a look.
                                            Comment
                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-29-09
                                              • 22670

                                              #757
                                              Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                              Biff, this line shot up to +5.5 at pinny. My local and some others holding the line as low as +4. What do you make of this? I dont see any anounced injuries. The line probably drops back down and settle around opening line. This will make for a better number on the team total as long as the total will sit & stay at 55/56.
                                              I wouldn't worry about this move at all. Line opened higher and these are mostly dead numbers anyway (from 4 to 5'). TT over 26' is one of my favorite plays this weekend, that's the way to play this game, i say. Sorting my card out right now since 5D has TTs out. Like a bunch of TTs
                                              Comment
                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-29-09
                                                • 22670

                                                #758
                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                i tried so hard to find a 20.5..best i could ever get was 20 +105.. not sure if feel fortunate for the push or pissed that a banked off the goalpost fg pushed us? thinking of bringing this to a halt as a auto bet as things havnt been going as well and would like to stop with a profit (counting last year, obviously down juice this season)..i dunno but leaning to making it a case by case basis as totals have gotten increasing lower in these thur night contest and the bounces just not going our way like they used to.. havnt had any time for ncaa, hopefully i will tonight..chasing cards in stl (for 2 wins! lol), going back to beantown 3-2 cards i believe..
                                                I coulda bought 20' -115 but don't pay juice for a win, only a push. Long-term, right call. I think that Thursday night 1H unders are done or at least almost done. NFL hates that everyone thinks of them as shitty games, extra flags to keep drives moving. One of the keys to noticing a trend is figuring out when to abandon it.

                                                Was just out at bar and testifying that Cards win 2 of next 3, totally agree. I passed game 1, played Cards game 2, will play Cards/total game 3, total/pass game 4, Cards game 5. Like to see that you agree.

                                                I hate that i like so much chalk tomorrow in CFB, but going to shift those leans to TTs and accept that sometimes chalk is right (esp on top CFB teams). Any thoughts on Missou? I think it's over or pass.
                                                Comment
                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                  • 22670

                                                  #759
                                                  I would love it if the people who are backing Gophers +10' with juice vs UNL would bet it with me. Huskers are gonna rip Minnesota's off.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vinnie Paz
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 03-27-12
                                                    • 12177

                                                    #760
                                                    Same thought on braska, been waiting for 10 for awhile now. 10.5 on Minnesota been juiced
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SilverTongueFox
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-23-10
                                                      • 2338

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                      I would love it if the people who are backing Gophers +10' with juice vs UNL would bet it with me. Huskers are gonna rip Minnesota's off.
                                                      It's sounds like you are def playing Neb. I can get -10 (110) right now. Is this a 2u?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Smutbucket
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-14-08
                                                        • 3996

                                                        #762
                                                        Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                        I would love it if the people who are backing Gophers +10' with juice vs UNL would bet it with me. Huskers are gonna rip Minnesota's off.
                                                        is Martinez gonna play? Im leaning towards minn. if he's out

                                                        I think colter will be back for northwestern and they will come up with a bit of an upset on iowa. any thoughts?

                                                        In Clemson matchup I just really like the Maryland team total under. Clemson defense not getting much respect because of last weeks debacle even though they were put in some pretty bad positions early.

                                                        I have Oregon state team total under 26.5 as my only 2 unit play of the week so far. Oregon state has not seen a defense like this and they will be lucky to break 21 in my opinion....

                                                        good luck this weekend biff
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BiffTFinancial
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 01-29-09
                                                          • 22670

                                                          #763
                                                          Originally posted by SilverTongueFox
                                                          It's sounds like you are def playing Neb. I can get -10 (110) right now. Is this a 2u?
                                                          I'm trying to decide between UNL -10 and UNL TT over. 2u is my sort of standard play and this is definitely that. Right now, i'm considering 2u on each.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BiffTFinancial
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-29-09
                                                            • 22670

                                                            #764
                                                            Martinez is definitely starting.

                                                            Agree on Northwestern. Colter is back and I think that NU is a better team than Iowa, better coach and has to be in a foul mood. I read that Fitzgerald is really disappointed with the team leaders for how the Mildcats lost their way since the OSU game and especially after the loss to the sad Gophers. He's a good coach and NU has always done well against Iowa (5-2 SU). I think Fitz gets his team back and Colter has a big day.

                                                            Maryland QB out, right? No argument here on TT under, though i may like Clemson better.

                                                            Gotta disagree on Oregon State TT. I love the over. Stanford's defense is good, but they are banged up a bit along the front, and I'd say that Oregon State is the best passing offense that Stanford has seen this year. Beavers certainly better than Utah and ASU, who put up 27 and 28 respectively on Tree. Well, BOL, one of us will be happy here.

                                                            Good luck this weekend to you too, Smut.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #765
                                                              WTF is up the big Pinny lean on the UNL/Minny total? Most books at 52' or 53 but Pinny's juicing over 52 to -122.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #766
                                                                adding

                                                                2* Nebraska -10
                                                                2* Nebraska team total over 31'
                                                                2* Clemson -16'
                                                                2* Troy/W Kentucky over 62 (-103)
                                                                2* Ohio State team total over 35'
                                                                2* Oregon State team total over 26
                                                                1* Akron/Ball State over 54' (-103)
                                                                1* Oregon team total 48'
                                                                1* Florida Atlantic +23' (-105)

                                                                CFB Week Nine updated card
                                                                2* Kentucky TT under 23 - WINNER
                                                                2* Nebraska -10
                                                                2* Nebraska TT over 31'
                                                                2* Clemson -16'
                                                                2* Troy/W Kentucky over 62 (-103)
                                                                2* Ohio State TT over 35'
                                                                2* Oregon State TT over 26
                                                                1* Akron/Ball State over 54' (-103)
                                                                1* Oregon TT 48'
                                                                1* Florida Atlantic +23' (-105)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • SilverTongueFox
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-23-10
                                                                  • 2338

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                  adding

                                                                  2* Nebraska -10
                                                                  2* Nebraska team total over 31'
                                                                  2* Clemson -16'
                                                                  2* Troy/W Kentucky over 62 (-103)
                                                                  2* Ohio State team total over 35'
                                                                  2* Oregon State team total over 26
                                                                  1* Akron/Ball State over 54' (-103)
                                                                  1* Oregon team total 48'
                                                                  1* Florida Atlantic +23' (-105)

                                                                  CFB Week Nine updated card
                                                                  2* Kentucky TT under 23 - WINNER
                                                                  2* Nebraska -10
                                                                  2* Nebraska TT over 31'
                                                                  2* Clemson -16'
                                                                  2* Troy/W Kentucky over 62 (-103)
                                                                  2* Ohio State TT over 35'
                                                                  2* Oregon State TT over 26
                                                                  1* Akron/Ball State over 54' (-103)
                                                                  1* Oregon TT 48'
                                                                  1* Florida Atlantic +23' (-105)
                                                                  BOL today!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • 2daBank
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                                    • 88966

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                    I coulda bought 20' -115 but don't pay juice for a win, only a push. Long-term, right call. I think that Thursday night 1H unders are done or at least almost done. NFL hates that everyone thinks of them as shitty games, extra flags to keep drives moving. One of the keys to noticing a trend is figuring out when to abandon it.

                                                                    Was just out at bar and testifying that Cards win 2 of next 3, totally agree. I passed game 1, played Cards game 2, will play Cards/total game 3, total/pass game 4, Cards game 5. Like to see that you agree.

                                                                    I hate that i like so much chalk tomorrow in CFB, but going to shift those leans to TTs and accept that sometimes chalk is right (esp on top CFB teams). Any thoughts on Missou? I think it's over or pass.
                                                                    Shocked mizzou is freaking 5 in the bcs.. I wanna play them but seeing how except against Indy and vandy I havnt been not sure I should jump on bandwagon now, I want to tho, damn homer gene taking over..
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TC Woods
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-17-11
                                                                      • 1780

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Nebraska getting their ass handed to them....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Vinnie Paz
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 03-27-12
                                                                        • 12177

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Welp penetrate Nebraska & their shit team. Onto the next one guys , legooo Clemson blowout!

                                                                        Akron over looks good however.
                                                                        Comment
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