$$_MisterMoney_$$ - BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP

[_MisterMoney_]

Alright guys what a game this will be. We can only have one abscense during our two week long wintersession and I'm going to take it for this one. ON FLORIDA BIG! Hurry get it before the line moves. I'm a SEC homer I know but I'm not a homer when it comes to risking my money. I research bets thoroughly and I'm taking this one before the line moves more. Florida wins big and dominates. Good luck!

NCAAF BOWL GAMES
15* - Florida -3 (bought from 3.5)

[Shizzle]

I jumped on Florida moneyline 4 units im with you money man!!

[twitch66]

I love the big12... and that blinded me on the ut/osu game. the brain says your right about florida even though my heart is with ok. I put 10 units on florida -4

[_MisterMoney_]

Huge play for me on this game. Won earlier with Tulsa.

[Devon]

what would you take Florida. Its a -4 at my book.

[pinnacle212]

Slow it down guys. I have been talking up Florida between Husker and Gatorfan. I think they are both taking OU and there pretty good cappers. I am already locked on Florida. I had them in a parlay but do not take OU lightly. They can score and Florida has defense.

Gotta ask some questions.
Can Florida play from behind?
How does Florida match up with OU?
Secondary
OL
LBs
RB etc

Secondary vs WR. "This one factor will lead you pretty much to the winner."

If you can make a good case for the WR bet OU Secondary bet Florida.
Most of OU's blowouts have been to a bad secondary. They just mix in the run. The whole offense go through Bradford.

[_MisterMoney_]

Yes I would take Florida. Florida rolls in this one.

[Husker36]

Yes I would take Florida. Florida rolls in this one.

Sorry buddy.... this is one game we disagree on. After looking at all the stats and watching the games this season.... I just dont see how Florida will BLOW OUT this OU team. Do you really think Bradford will throw 3 INTs like Florida St? I really think we are in for one hell of a game and that it's going to be close in the 4th Quarter. I think the OVER is a play as well. These 2 teams match up extremely well and I'm taking the +4. Good luck!

[_MisterMoney_]

Thanks man. Usually our plays are the same so I guess its only right that we end the season with a game like this. Its gonna be a great game. I might be able to do a little write-up after class tonight but right now I'm in the library working on a paper so I cant really spend too much time thinking about gambling

[Husker36]

Slow it down guys. I have been talking up Florida between Husker and Gatorfan. I think they are both taking OU and there pretty good cappers. I am already locked on Florida. I had them in a parlay but do not take OU lightly. They can score and Florida has defense.

Gotta ask some questions.
Can Florida play from behind?
How does Florida match up with OU?
Secondary
OL
LBs
RB etc

Secondary vs WR. "This one factor will lead you pretty much to the winner."

If you can make a good case for the WR bet OU Secondary bet Florida.
Most of OU's blowouts have been to a bad secondary. They just mix in the run. The whole offense go through Bradford.

To answer your questions.... Florida did play from behind against Alabama. They were losing after 3 quarters and scored 14 points in the 4th.

I think Florida slows down the nations best offense..... I dont see OU getting their 6th 60+game in row..... but I dont see ANY way OU doesnt score 35+.

As far as OUs D. This is the big question in my mind. OU plays a zone D which will provide mismatches for Harvin. BUT Stoops is not stupid.... they will have a plan for him. I think OU will make the necessary changes.

[_MisterMoney_]

This is about all I have time for until maybe in the morning.

Match ups
RB - FLORIDA, without Demarco Murray Florida has the edge here
WR - OKLAHOMA - Iglesias and Gresham are amazing, but the loss of Murray will also hurt here (He has 31 receptions with 4 touchdowns)
QB - EVEN - both dominate with different styles

DEFENSE - FLORIDA, Florida can shut down RBs and QBs.

Predicted Score: Florida 45 Oklahoma 24

[BCaldwell32]

I love my bet, loaded up on Florida at -2.5!!!! Got my bet in early and now line is at 5, good luck to everyone.

[_MisterMoney_]

Wish we could keep playing some more College Football games because there is no better sport. Gonna go out a winner. And be up 198 units in College Football since the start of the bowls.

[G's pks]

Whatever happens tomorrow, you have had a great bowl run congrats.

[brooks85]

my bankroll wasn't big to begin with when i started a month ago($100). So i put all my profit so far on florida -4.($150)

[brooks85]

Hey MisterMoney, I notice you only have 1 bet in the NHL. Are you gonna keep betting after football season to keep ya busy? and/or do you bet baseball?

[roadwarrior1]

I think mister money is right on this one. I am also a Homer for the SEC but I do not think Oklahoma can stay with FLA after 3 quarters. Tebow pounding it and Harvin(scary fast) will handle whatever the secondary thinks they can dish. Too many weapons to cover against FLA........plus the FLA secondary is bad ass and very quick, maybe the only SEC team that can hang with a Big 12 High powered passing offense. Running......forget it.

Fla will literally pound the will out of OK after a 3 quarters.........Tebow is relentless as much as most of us do not like him.

I drank the "Texas Tech/Ole Miss" Koolaid from Mister money........He does some good n depth coverage. Although he is a homer liek me for the SEC

SEC.....5-2 in the bowls......5-2 ATS
Big 12..4-2 in the bowls......2-4 ATS

[sportsguy04]

I look at it the same way as warrior. Just check out what the Big 12 teams did in Bowl games so far. They were exposed.

Oklahoma is by far better than Texas and Ttech, but lets be honest here, they havent seen a defense as good as Florida all year.

Either way there is no way this game is within a TD.

Ill Take FLA -5.

[pinnacle212]

I look at it the same way as warrior. Just check out what the Big 12 teams did in Bowl games so far. They were exposed.

Oklahoma is by far better than Texas and Ttech, but lets be honest here, they havent seen a defense as good as Florida all year.

Either way there is no way this game is within a TD.

Ill Take FLA -5.

Ok guys, OU can put up a lot of points but these are the reasons I think they will lose.

1. They play mostly a sign coverage. If you mix a zone coverage with speed. A 5 yard play can turn into a 50 yard play on a run or pass. There zone is set up to combat the pass. Why. Everyone in their conference throws the ball. Texas, TT, Kansas etc all throw the ball a lot. Most of the teams in the Big 12 play a zone scheme.

With those 60 pointers OU throws up, there offense and defense do not play full games. Here are the breakdown by Quarters.
OK Offense OK Defense Florida O Florida D
1st Q 17.92 2.50 13.33 0.83
2nd Q 16.92 9.42 12.00 2.58
3rd Q 12.50 6.42 11.00 4.50
4th Q 6.0 6.50 10.0 4.33

The numbers I would like you to look at is the fourth quarter numbers for OK. I lot of people will say they pull their offense and defense in the fourth quarter and thats my point. I just worry they will have a problem playing the whole game. When your Offense and Defense are not used to playing the whole game it creates a conditioning problem.

In the Texas game you heard every OK fan saying. "Man we had them until the end. Texas was balanced team that played solid D. They did not panic win they were down. They mixed the pass and run and when OU got tired they beat them.

3rd A lot them teams offenses that are pass based are having a hard time getting started. I.E. Texas, TT, etc. It is easier to be consistant in the running game than the pass.
INGAME TIMING is needed. This gives OU the advantage.

OU has a great chance to jump out on Florida and take it off it. They have motivation based on the comments made about there D. The have a better Offense than Florida. This will be a game of matchups and OK is +1 Offense and Fl +1.
I think they will get worn down by the running game.

Any comments PLEASE

[eidolon]

The fact that you are putting 15% of your bankroll on this game, makes me question any pick you make.

[AdaBarber]

Don't bet against the SEC

Yes, I am an SEC homer as well. But I did the math on this one and I have watched Florida play in person. Percy will have a couple of big gains. Florida plays defense week in and week out. They play above average defenses week in and week out and still average 43 a game. That is sick because they are doing it in the SEC. Put Florida in the Big 12 and see what happens. Oklahoma who?

Florida by 17. They will light OU up in the fourth. Florida doesn't tire and they are deeper. Lets cash this MISTERMONEY.

[chaseman]

FL -3 and under 71

[Husker36]

I look at it the same way as warrior. Just check out what the Big 12 teams did in Bowl games so far. They were exposed.

Oklahoma is by far better than Texas and Ttech, but lets be honest here, they havent seen a defense as good as Florida all year.

Either way there is no way this game is within a TD.

Ill Take FLA -5.

The Big 12 hasnt done TERRIBLE in bowl games!
They are currently 4-2. And you want to compare how Texas Tech who was probably the 4th best team in the BIG 12 did against Ole Miss??? Texas Tech doesnt represent the entire BIG 12. We were all on Ole Miss on that game.... knowing that TT was overrated! With that thinking I'll say that I'm taking OU because the SEC cant stop the run. Did you see what IOWA did to South Carolina??

The Big 12 is 4-2 in Bowl Games
The SEC is 5-2 in Bowl Games

Not really sure why everyone is saying that the SEC has proven to be the better conference.

If ANYONE has proved ANYTHING it's the Pac 10 is better than we all thought.

[Husker36]

my bankroll wasn't big to begin with when i started a month ago($100). So i put all my profit so far on florida -4.($150)

Here's a thought...... if you got Florida at -4...... and the line goes to -7.5 then you should bet $150 on OU+7.5 and possibly win BOTH bets!

[Husker36]

Yes, I am an SEC homer as well. But I did the math on this one and I have watched Florida play in person. Percy will have a couple of big gains. Florida plays defense week in and week out. They play above average defenses week in and week out and still average 43 a game. That is sick because they are doing it in the SEC. Put Florida in the Big 12 and see what happens. Oklahoma who?

Florida by 17. They will light OU up in the fourth. Florida doesn't tire and they are deeper. Lets cash this MISTERMONEY.

Just curious..... because I have only seen Florida on tv 3-4 times and live once this season........

This Florida team..... that is BEST TEAM EVER..... never tires and has the fastest defense in the history of college football...... (really strange because I tought everyone was saying this about USC all season.... but apparently USC has loaned their super powers to Florida for this game) I'm just curious what happened against them when they played......

Ole Miss...... which they lost 30-31 (TT's offense scored more than Florida on them..... )
Tennessee..... (the game that I went to) they could only score 30 points against a really bad UT team.... so bad that they fired their coach.
Alabama...... they had only 17 points after 3 Quarters... against ALABAMA????

All I'm saying is that Florida is NOT GOING TO SHUT DOWN OU! It's not going to happen. Maybe OU doesnt score 65 points like they did every other game.... but they will get 30+. You really think Florida is going to score 40+ points when they couldnt against....
Miami
Tennessee
Ole Miss
Arkansas
Alambama

[mmike032]

with on FLA, I got it at -3 and ML.
also I think 5 points and up is to many. FLA will not destroy Ok but they will win by at least 3.
the #1 reason FLA will win is b/c Tebow loves baby Jesus.

[_MisterMoney_]

Line has jumped to 6. Damn glad I locked this bad boy in. Good luck to all

[mikubo23]

i got it at 6 lastnight, i should have listen n got it early but no matter what i believe in MisterMoney that SEC DEF are the best. Plus Tebow is extra pissed for talking lots of shit about him, not too smart OU. Urban Myer will run up the score so no discussion of Utah as co champions. Lets go Gators. GL to all

[Husker36]

i got it at 6 lastnight, i should have listen n got it early but no matter what i believe in MisterMoney that SEC DEF are the best. Plus Tebow is extra pissed for talking lots of shit about him, not too smart OU. Urban Myer will run up the score so no discussion of Utah as co champions. Lets go Gators. GL to all

Ya Urban Myer is worried about Utah.
Your comments dont even make sense! I have respect for the Florida D..... but you think they will SHUT DOWN OU? SERIOUSLY???? How do you figure that Florida will "run up the score" against OU? You seriously think Florida will put you 60+ in this game??

Florida doesn't give a crap about Utah. And whether or not Florida scores 100 points against OU wont change if Utah gets the split. Utah's AG is threatening to file a lawsuit which may just sway the AP voters anyway.

[bypp]

Who knows what will happen. I'm leaning FL, but I go through a local book so by the time I get to put a bet in the line is going to be at least -6 for Florida. Both teams have great offenses, no doubt about that. But I think one of the big differences is Florida's defense as compared to Oklahoma's defense. However, I'd give the edge on offense to OK. Florida has a sort of homefield advantage playing in FL. I also like that Florida's one loss was by one point to Ole Miss, who has been quite impressive this year (and bowl season). Oklahoma's loss came to Texas, by ten points. And Texas surely didn't impress me with their last minute win against Ohio State. Either way it looks to be a great game, it'll be real interesting to see how these two powerful offenses perform after a month off. GL everyone.

[Husker36]

Who knows what will happen. I'm leaning FL, but I go through a local book so by the time I get to put a bet in the line is going to be at least -6 for Florida. Both teams have great offenses, no doubt about that. But I think one of the big differences is Florida's defense as compared to Oklahoma's defense. However, I'd give the edge on offense to OK. Florida has a sort of homefield advantage playing in FL. I also like that Florida's one loss was by one point to Ole Miss, who has been quite impressive this year (and bowl season). Oklahoma's loss came to Texas, by ten points. And Texas surely didn't impress me with their last minute win against Ohio State. Either way it looks to be a great game, it'll be real interesting to see how these two powerful offenses perform after a month off. GL everyone.

Did you watch the OU/TX game??
OU led 28-20.
Texas scored making it 28-27
OU then tried a fake punt at midfield and got caught.
Texas got a FG on that drive
28-30
OU then scored again making it 35-30.
Texas went on to score 2 TDs to win by 10.

The game was much closer than the final score.
Just like the Florida/Alabama game...... Florida was losing after 3 quarters but then scored 14 in the 4th. That score is misleading as well.

[cruzanbeast]

What do people think about the over/under of 70?

[_MisterMoney_]

Gonna be close to 70. Dont take either. Just Florida.

Predicted Score:

Florida 45
Oklahoma 24

[mikubo23]

$$_MisterMoney_$$ Tebow & Gators

[pinnacle212]

My analysis was dead on. Yeah. I like it I like it