Cotton Bowl Pick

EBone · 12-16-08, 05:47 PM

GatorFan,

Everything I see power ratings wise and statistically points toward a Texas Tech cover plus a home field advantage. However, I can't seem to get the Alabama-Texas Tech Cotton Bowl game out of my mind a few years back. TT won the game (I think) but it was an absolutely abysmal performance by both teams. I don't know why but it always seems like one team always comes out flat in the Cotton Bowl (sometimes both teams). I used to chalk it up to start time on New Years Day (10 AM CT). I think this year the game is on the 2nd so that may change the outlook by both teams.

Plus I do think Houston Nutt is a solid coach and I tend to think that, if one team comes out flat, it is much more likely that TT comes out flat than Ole Miss.

E

dle · 12-16-08, 11:24 PM

I'm taking Ole Miss ML in this game.
The only thing Texas Tech proved to me this year is they pad stats with weak OOC schedules and drink the juice before games in Lubbock. I'm fading them and Mizzou and I'm as big of a Big XII homer as you can possibly have around.

pags11 · 12-17-08, 01:50 AM

GL gatorfan...

MSUSpartan32 · 12-17-08, 12:30 PM

I think Ole Miss, GTech, and Iowa are 3 teams not a lot of people wanted to see in their bowl matchup this year because of how they played late in the season. I just can't decide if the Big 12 offenses are that good or the defenses are that bad.....

dle · 12-17-08, 05:12 PM

Originally posted by MSUSpartan32

I just can't decide if the Big 12 offenses are that good or the defenses are that bad.....

The offenses are that good.

I'm still taking Ole Miss ML in this game though.

GatorFan · 12-19-08, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by EBone

GatorFan,

Everything I see power ratings wise and statistically points toward a Texas Tech cover plus a home field advantage. However, I can't seem to get the Alabama-Texas Tech Cotton Bowl game out of my mind a few years back. TT won the game (I think) but it was an absolutely abysmal performance by both teams. I don't know why but it always seems like one team always comes out flat in the Cotton Bowl (sometimes both teams). I used to chalk it up to start time on New Years Day (10 AM CT). I think this year the game is on the 2nd so that may change the outlook by both teams.

Plus I do think Houston Nutt is a solid coach and I tend to think that, if one team comes out flat, it is much more likely that TT comes out flat than Ole Miss.

E

Thanks for you input, Ebone. Good luck to you

GatorFan · 12-19-08, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by dle

I'm taking Ole Miss ML in this game.
The only thing Texas Tech proved to me this year is they pad stats with weak OOC schedules and drink the juice before games in Lubbock. I'm fading them and Mizzou and I'm as big of a Big XII homer as you can possibly have around.

It's great to hear we are on the same boat, dle

GatorFan · 12-19-08, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by pags11

GL gatorfan...

Sir Pags,

I hope that you will stay around in this forum since you're one of the best capper I ever known for NCAA football. Good luck to you and have a happy holiday season.

GatorFan · 12-19-08, 07:13 PM

Originally posted by MSUSpartan32

I think Ole Miss, GTech, and Iowa are 3 teams not a lot of people wanted to see in their bowl matchup this year because of how they played late in the season. I just can't decide if the Big 12 offenses are that good or the defenses are that bad.....

It's true about Ole MIss, GTech, and Iowa MSUSpartan....Good luck to you

GatorFan · 01-02-09, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by pags11

GL gatorfan...

Pags,

Are you leaning to Ole Miss now? I hope that you do

Seattle Slew · 01-02-09, 12:54 AM

I like Ole Miss although Nutt has been poor in bowl games. But they beat Florida, so good enough for me.

Plus, Leach and Tech 0-3 ATS as favorites in their last 3 bowl games.

Cougar Bait · 01-02-09, 12:57 AM

Isn't Houston Nutt 2-5 in bowl games or something like that? Also, if Tech gets up in this one don't expect Mike Leach to let up. This guy is an absolute ass. I saw a clip after a game when reporters were trying to do interviews with the opposing team and coach after the loss and Leach was screaming "Go Raiders" at the top of his lungs so loud they couldn't even finish the interviews. You could tell it made the other teams' players very upset, but he kept doing it. Over and over, just shoving it in their faces. Something to think about anyway...by the way, I have no affiliation to Texas Tech.

_MisterMoney_ · 01-02-09, 01:01 AM

All of yall are on the right side but Cougar Bait. Trust me on this one Cougar. Don't put money on Texas Tech. If you still like Texas Tech don't bet it and just watch the game. If you win rub it in my face. I'll lose a lot. Be back to my original bankroll but I'll take it like a man. But seriously Cougar I'm trying to help you out.

Ole Miss ML and Ole Miss +5

Cougar Bait · 01-02-09, 01:26 AM

Okay. If I lose, I'll only lose 1/30th of my bankroll. You plan on putting 80 units of the 104.5 that you have on one game. I'm sorry, that is just not how I gamble. If you win, you were right. But, if you win you weren't smart to wager that much regardless of the payout. Nothing is certain.

_MisterMoney_ · 01-02-09, 01:31 AM

Yeah I know the consequences of my bet. But this kind of opportunity does not come along much in gambling. And I'm serious about that. I can't believe I have doubled my bankroll in 2 weeks. Good luck to you on your other bets.

riggs · 01-02-09, 01:33 AM

I happen to like Ole Miss SU in this one, but putting your entire bankroll on it, OR any other game for that matter, is not something I would endorse. Although I probably have made a few too many 20 and 30 Unit plays this year. BOL

mh89 · 01-02-09, 01:34 AM

Does everyone agree this game will go the over?

guru-t · 01-02-09, 01:34 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

Okay. If I lose, I'll only lose 1/30th of my bankroll. You plan on putting 80 units of the 104.5 that you have on one game. I'm sorry, that is just not how I gamble. If you win, you were right. But, if you win you weren't smart to wager that much regardless of the payout. Nothing is certain.

Finally CB!We're on a different side!I got MISS+5.GL though.Like I said,after that Ga win,this will be a very profitable bowl season no matter what happens the rest of the way!

Cougar Bait · 01-02-09, 01:36 AM

We were also on a different side in the Arizona/BYU game. But, I think that was the only one.

scaryDE · 01-02-09, 01:38 AM

Wow, im surprised everyone is doing mississippi. im going opposite w/ T.tech.

T.tech will blow them out by 2 or more TD IMO. I have seen missippi play.. their offence is just okay, their defence will be run over by t.tech.

beating florida was like o.state beat usc.

im in T.tech big!

_MisterMoney_ · 01-02-09, 01:38 AM

I think this game will end up very close to the Over/Under. Scary close. Wouldnt bet on either. Just the Rebs.

guru-t · 01-02-09, 01:38 AM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

We were also on a different side in the Arizona/BYU game. But, I think that was the only one.

Oh yeah!Get back time for me!I had BYU and you had ZOna!

Cougar Bait · 01-02-09, 01:40 AM

Originally posted by guru-t

Oh yeah!Get back time for me!I had BYU and you had ZOna!

I see it as the beginning of a trend play.
J/K GL tomorrow.

keitht · 01-02-09, 01:44 AM

bob knight and the tech raiders........ the general says play tech..........

riggs · 01-02-09, 01:46 AM

Originally posted by guru-t

Oh yeah!Get back time for me!I had BYU and you had ZOna!

I had BYU as well, they blew their chances in that one. Probably the worst called bowl game of the year as well, the refs were terrible against both squads.

GatorFan · 01-02-09, 01:47 AM

Originally posted by keitht

bob knight and the tech raiders........ the general says play tech..........

Going against a lot of solid capers in here, usually is not a good move. Good luck with your bet Keitht

_MisterMoney_ · 01-02-09, 01:50 AM

GatorFan Best of luck to all your bets. But your Ole Miss bet is a great bet. Can't believe I wasn't on it myself.

guru-t · 01-02-09, 01:55 AM

Originally posted by GatorFan

Going against a lot of solid capers in here, usually is not a good move. Good luck with your bet Keitht

I may be wrong but I think keith is the one who bucked on all of us and took W-Michigan.Again keith!I may be wrong.

danrman · 01-02-09, 03:45 AM

for those who care a whoping 83% of the public is on tex. tech.. t.t has recently sucked in bowls...

ZXCVBNM · 01-02-09, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by danrman

for those who care a whoping 83% of the public is on tex. tech.. t.t has recently sucked in bowls...

Is the public ever 100% wrong? If I'm not mistaken everyone was on USC yesterday too...

africanroller · 01-02-09, 10:44 AM

And Everyone was on Goergia yesterday also.

SexyMit · 01-02-09, 10:57 AM

Exactly.... So public won yesterday, might not be so lucky today

Shizzle · 01-02-09, 11:03 AM

if 83% of the public is pounding Tech why the hell is the line moving down instead of going up? the play is Ole Miss plus the points! This is a trapp to get you to keep unloading on Tech!

riggs · 01-02-09, 11:12 AM

Originally posted by ZXCVBNM

Is the public ever 100% wrong? If I'm not mistaken everyone was on USC yesterday too...

Not Exactly,

Yesterday
63% of the action was on USC (SL)
37% of the action was on USC (ML)

Today
86% of the action is on T.Tech (SL)
55% of the action is on T.Tech (ML)