UFC on FUEL TV 1

**Oblivian** · 02-13-12, 03:02 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Would be all over Buddy at +130 if I had an account

Same. Salivating at that one.

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-13-12, 03:07 PM

Anyone else like Brookins?
He should be able to wrestle and control Vagner

**Oblivian** · 02-13-12, 03:18 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Anyone else like Brookins?
He should be able to wrestle and control Vagner

I think he'll win, but his line isn't whacking me off.

**fosho14** · 02-13-12, 03:41 PM

Is anyone playing herman large at these odds? I think he has the edge over struve, but his striking (although powerful) is so sloppy.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-13-12, 06:54 PM

This is how Herman showed up to the media day open workout today, lol...

**THE_LOCKSMITH** · 02-13-12, 08:13 PM

wow Simpson up to +105, money coming in on Markes

**The HOFF** · 02-13-12, 08:14 PM

A bout between John Albert and fellow bantamweight Ivan Menjivar has promoted from the preliminary card to the main card of Wednesday's UFC on FUEL TV 1 event.

FUEL TV officials today confirmed the addition, which brings the FUEL TV-televised main card to six bouts, with MMAjunkie.com.

**The HOFF** · 02-13-12, 08:15 PM

Menjivar -280? I thought there would be all sorts of love for Albert after his TUF Finale showing.

Everyone bet Albert so I can get Menjivar at -180.

**v1y** · 02-13-12, 11:40 PM

don't worry, i'll be on albert.

**Vaughany** · 02-14-12, 05:33 AM

Originally posted by Educ8d Degener8

This is how Herman showed up to the media day open workout today, lol...

lol "One of my friends made a comment and said I was fighting a Sasquatch because my opponent is so tall," Herman explained. "And I'm thinking, 'I'm way more like Sasquatch than this guy is,' so I thought I'd prove it.

"I actually made this scarf on Friday. I stayed up late and only got three hours of sleep before I got on the plane just to make sure I got it done. I knew it was going to be chilly, and I figured I should probably have a scarf. … I weaved it on a loom."

**illmatick** · 02-14-12, 09:39 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

I weaved it on a loom."

**Vaughany** · 02-14-12, 10:00 AM

ha genius line

**NunyaBidness** · 02-14-12, 11:31 AM

Have to respect a renaissance man.

**gabe** · 02-14-12, 11:36 AM

They call him Dave Herman for a reason!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (it's his name)

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-14-12, 11:45 AM

Not betting the fight, but will be rooting against Stipe again for jocking Mirko's trunks.

**gabe** · 02-14-12, 12:05 PM

Croatian pride, yo.

**Vitooch** · 02-14-12, 03:38 PM

Im liking Stipe/Dillashaw/Brookins parlay and Stipe/Dillashaw/Simpson parlay

**PunisherIND** · 02-14-12, 03:49 PM

bovada released some prop lines.. i like the value on these two:

simpson/markes completes 1 full round -375

dillashaw/watson completes 1 full round -300

**PunisherIND** · 02-14-12, 03:54 PM

do you guys think theres any point in making a play on this line?? its obviously a typo, but can an argument be made that it wasnt a clearly incorrect line?

11:00pStefan Struve vs. Dave Herman
Both Must Fight For Action.

Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman completes 1 full round -170

Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman won't complete 2 full rounds +120

11:00pStefan Struve vs. Dave Herman
Both Must Fight For Action.

Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman completes 2 full rounds +160

Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman won't complete 2 full rounds -230

**Giblets** · 02-14-12, 04:16 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

do you guys think theres any point in making a play on this line?? its obviously a typo, but can an argument be made that it wasnt a clearly incorrect line? 11:00pStefan Struve vs. Dave Herman Both Must Fight For Action. Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman completes 1 full round -170 Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman won't complete 2 full rounds +120 11:00pStefan Struve vs. Dave Herman Both Must Fight For Action. Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman completes 2 full rounds +160 Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman won't complete 2 full rounds -230

It's an argument you're not going to win, I wouldn't bother personally.

**PunisherIND** · 02-14-12, 04:43 PM

Originally posted by Giblets

It's an argument you're not going to win, I wouldn't bother personally.

moot point because they fixed the typo. but thanks for the input -- you were probably correct.

**Rod_M** · 02-14-12, 04:44 PM

Originally posted by PunisherIND

do you guys think theres any point in making a play on this line?? its obviously a typo, but can an argument be made that it wasnt a clearly incorrect line? 11:00pStefan Struve vs. Dave Herman Both Must Fight For Action. Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman completes 1 full round -170 Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman won't complete 2 full rounds +120 11:00pStefan Struve vs. Dave Herman Both Must Fight For Action. Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman completes 2 full rounds +160 Stefan Struve vs. Dave Herman won't complete 2 full rounds -230

I would recommend you to report it, instead of trying to take advantage of it, they will not pay you if they realize is a bad line / typo, on the other hand, most books reward players who report bad lines and stuff, of course I can't guarantee they will, but it is common.

Just my 2 cents, I would reward anyone who lets us know of a bad line in the SBR book for sure.

EDIT: too late I guess...

**PunisherIND** · 02-14-12, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by Rod_M

I would recommend you to report it, instead of trying to take advantage of it, they will not pay you if they realize is a bad line / typo, on the other hand, most books reward players who report bad lines and stuff, of course I can't guarantee they will, but it is common.

Just my 2 cents, I would reward anyone who lets us know of a bad line in the SBR book for sure.

EDIT: too late I guess...

yea, its too late now, but thanks for the tip. i will keep it in mind next time.

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-14-12, 05:38 PM

1u on Brookins as I am chasing and need a play on this card. Will arb out with live betting if Rocha is handling him

Diego did not look muffin top-py

**SATERSTYLE** · 02-14-12, 05:42 PM

The amount of body hair on Herman is ridonkulous

that is all

**Giblets** · 02-14-12, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by SATERSTYLE

The amount of body hair on Herman is ridonkulous that is all

No kidding, that amount of hair increases the chance of a Struve submission in my mind.

**PunisherIND** · 02-14-12, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by Giblets

No kidding, that amount of hair increases the chance of a Struve submission in my mind.

lol this reminds me of kimbo slice and how people thought his beard was an unfair advantage. your argument has some merit though. he should probably shave tonight and use the 1 day stubble as a weapon.

**Educ8d Degener8** · 02-14-12, 07:16 PM

Given his weird behavior lately, maybe he'll "Ebersole" it into a creative design...

**MMAbetMASTA** · 02-14-12, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA

My UFC on fuel tv 1 plays:

Going big on Ellenberger, as I have his past three fights...Don't think he's gonna let me down now! Better fuckinn not hahaaaaaa!

Put these first two in over a week ago, unfortunately I think my book has started to put a win limit on me. Before it was 500 win limit per fight, but now it seems it's been lowered. My agent aka friend can't give me a str8 answer and no one else can from his site. Luckily he was able to call in the rest of the plays on an alternate account, but didn't get them in until yesterday and at -285. Pissed I never get the opener on my book, -220 would have been sweeeeeeeeeeeet...

Ticket#:64597501
Feb 15 09:55 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 29 10:55 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24252] J ELLENBERGER -270
(D SANCHEZ vrs J ELLENBERGER)

270 / 100
-------------------
Ticket#:64747843
Feb 15 09:55 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 02 12:38 AM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24252] J ELLENBERGER -270
(D SANCHEZ vrs J ELLENBERGER)

270 / 100
-----------------

Added 855 at -285 to win another 300.

Altogether I got 1395 to win 500 on Juggernaut. WAR ELLENBERGER!!! The guy is a stylistic nightmare for just about everyone in the weight class, hope to see him in the title picture soon.

GL Ellenberger backers

Update - Added:

Ticket#:65318367
Feb 15 09:00 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 11 06:32 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24259] R MARKES +145
(R MARKES vrs A SIMPSON)

50 / 73
---------------------------
Ticket#:65471472
Feb 15 08:10 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 14 07:21 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24271] J ALBERT +195
(J ALBERT vrs I MENJIVAR)

50 / 98
---------------------
Ticket#:65320599
Feb 15 08:10 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 11 06:47 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24268] TJ DILLASHAW -250
(W WATSON vrs TJ DILLASHAW)

250 / 100

-------------------------

Might buy out of my Dillashaw and markes plays. Markes already moved nicely so I can buy out and still profit, but Tj might just buy ou str8 up.

The reason for dillashaw is the size difference. I've noticed some of my most common loses are a result of overlooking size difference in a match up. Not that I believe size trumps all - I truly believe technique and skill can trump size, but I'm not sold on TJ's skills to overcome Watson's length. And not just length, watson looked just downright big at the weigh in - his shoulders were wider than tj's and his chest span appeared to be much more broad as well... Furthermore, watson's active guard and long limbs could also prove troublesome for a smaller opponent in TJ. I think tj will have no problem grounding watson, but keeping him there, doing damage and maintaining a dominant position long enough to impress judges might be easier said than done. I'll probably stick with it and bank that TJ does control walel on the ground, but def overpriced and even though I got him at the lower end of the line I still agree with some of you on here that above -200 for TJ is too high and overvalued against a game watson. He also seems a little overconfident from an interview I saw - he best have his head str8. Conversely, I'm not sold on walel - jabouin fight was impresssive, but I just can't say that I was overtly impressed in any aspect of his game outside of his scrambles - which against jabouin - really doesn't say much. If he scrambled like that against some great grappler or wrestler, then I'd be even more impressed. So I don't know if the little scrambling and technique we have seen will carry over and be as effective against TJ.

I'll probably keep the plays at this. Might add an over/under on a couple fights I've got my eye on, but as usual my book probably won't have them up until day of the fights. Already got close to 2k on the line, so i might very well lose everything I've won over the past few lucrative events...but I think ellenberger's gonna put the hurt on and come through for us backers

GL everyone

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:08 AM

The full UFC on FUEL TV 1 weigh-in results included:

MAIN CARD (FUEL TV)

Jake Ellenberger (170) vs. Diego Sanchez (170)
Dave Herman (234) vs. Stefan Struve (256)
Ronny Markes (185) vs. Aaron Simpson (186)
Philip De Fries (241) vs. Stipe Miocic (240)
T.J. Dillashaw (136) vs. Walel Watson (135)
John Albert (135) vs. Ivan Menjivar (135)

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)

Jonathan Brookins (145) vs. Vagner Rocha (145)
Sean Loeffler (185) vs. Buddy Roberts (184)
Anton Kuivanen (156) vs. Justin Salas (155)
Bernardo Magalhaes (155) vs. Tim Means (155)

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:09 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:10 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:14 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:15 AM

**The HOFF** · 02-15-12, 12:15 AM