UFC on FUEL TV 1

**iQon** · 02-07-12, 12:12 PM

Diego Sanchez is living the dream.

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-07-12, 12:13 PM

I think the winner will automatically call out Condit, but will most likely settle for Hendricks

**sirchadwick1** · 02-07-12, 12:32 PM

Not the same event, but I love an Ellenberger + Rampage parlay. $$$

**Vitooch** · 02-07-12, 02:09 PM

I don't know why but I've loved Bader in the underdog spot since the fight was announced.

**The Fobfather** · 02-07-12, 02:38 PM

I got Ellenberger. But it is always possible that Diego wins via Leonard Garcia.

**Rubber Guard** · 02-07-12, 03:14 PM

I think Ellenberger wins. But I really don't see why the line is that high.

Not a Diego fan by any means. But his pace, cardio, and toughness is enough to have a decent chance at this thing.

Ellenbergers best fight may be a split loss to Condit that he should of won. Other than that he hasn't faced many legit threats. People get a little too excited about being SHields. But Shields had just lost his father and has the striking of a 12 year old. If Shields had trouble getting Ellenberger down, he had little chance.

The line just looks weird to me.

**Vaughany** · 02-07-12, 03:28 PM

Fun yet slightly morbid fact of the day!:

• Jake's brother, Joe Ellenberger (who lost to Justin Salas in his last fight who is also on the card), must take the prescription drug Soliris which costs $409,000-a-year for a one-year supply, and is ranked by Forbes mag as the most expensive prescription drug in the world.
He was diagnosed with a mysterious 1-in-a-million blood disease called PNH, or Paroxysmol Nocturnal Hemoglobinuria. Some estimates are that roughly half of all people with PNH will die within 10 years of diagnosis. Joe is only 26 years old.

**The Fobfather** · 02-07-12, 03:30 PM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Fun yet slightly morbid fact of the day!:

• Jake's brother, Joe Ellenberger (who lost to Justin Salas in his last fight who is also on the card), must take the prescription drug Soliris which costs $409,000-a-year for a one-year supply, and is ranked by Forbes mag as the most expensive prescription drug in the world.
He was diagnosed with a mysterious 1-in-a-million blood disease called PNH, or Paroxysmol Nocturnal Hemoglobinuria. Some estimates are that roughly half of all people with PNH will die within 10 years of diagnosis. Joe is only 26 years old.

Bit more than slightly morbid. That f'ing sucks.

**bjpenn85** · 02-07-12, 05:23 PM

wonder why the drug is so expensive, the state of jakes brother will def. keep him grounded, which hopefully will earn me money.

**Vaughany** · 02-07-12, 05:40 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

wonder why the drug is so expensive, the state of jakes brother will def. keep him grounded, which hopefully will earn me money.

It's basically because it's only produced by Alexion Pharmaceuticals and it cost them about $800,000,000 to develop it over a 15 year period. (I work in chemical industry so a dork for this sh*t at times)!

I believe insurance covers a quarter of the costs and there is an organisation specially for PNH which covers the remaining costs.

**bjpenn85** · 02-07-12, 06:03 PM

thanks for the heads up. "work in the chemical industry"..mmm...nice..

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-09-12, 12:47 PM

Damn, Ellenberger is at -315.

When does Diegos line have value?

**Wanna Bet On It?** · 02-09-12, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Damn, Ellenberger is at -315.

When does Diegos line have value?

When he learns not to get punched in the face.

**PunisherIND** · 02-09-12, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Damn, Ellenberger is at -315.

When does Diegos line have value?

never. the value will be on sanchez by decision.

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-09-12, 07:40 PM

1.35u on Herman at -135 (Betonline)

**MMAbetMASTA** · 02-09-12, 08:29 PM

My UFC on fuel tv 1 plays:

Going big on Ellenberger, as I have his past three fights...Don't think he's gonna let me down now! Better fuckinn not hahaaaaaa!

Put these first two in over a week ago, unfortunately I think my book has started to put a win limit on me. Before it was 500 win limit per fight, but now it seems it's been lowered. My agent aka friend can't give me a str8 answer and no one else can from his site. Luckily he was able to call in the rest of the plays on an alternate account, but didn't get them in until yesterday and at -285. Pissed I never get the opener on my book, -220 would have been sweeeeeeeeeeeet...

Ticket#:64597501
Feb 15 09:55 PM
INTERNET / -1Jan 29 10:55 PM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24252] J ELLENBERGER -270
(D SANCHEZ vrs J ELLENBERGER)

270 / 100
-------------------
Ticket#:64747843
Feb 15 09:55 PM
INTERNET / -1Feb 02 12:38 AM
MU
STRAIGHT BET
[24252] J ELLENBERGER -270
(D SANCHEZ vrs J ELLENBERGER)

270 / 100
-----------------

Added 855 at -285 to win another 300.

Altogether I got 1395 to win 500 on Juggernaut. WAR ELLENBERGER!!! The guy is a stylistic nightmare for just about everyone in the weight class, hope to see him in the title picture soon.

GL Ellenberger backers

**urge2kill** · 02-09-12, 09:26 PM

Few more lines up.

**Vitooch** · 02-09-12, 11:29 PM

All in on Dillashaw -250

**gabe** · 02-09-12, 11:57 PM

We'll see how his chin holds up against The Gazelle's shin. He's not worth that line, IMO. Fight should be closer to even odds.

**Vaughany** · 02-10-12, 04:19 AM

Yeah, defo wouldnt play Dillashaw at tht line. Was inflated against Dodson and looks like it is again. I like him to grind out a decision tho, but dont think it will be as dominant as the line would suggst

**Vitooch** · 02-10-12, 11:19 AM

Dodson to Watson is a significant drop in competition, skill-wise and stylistically. A small wrestler is a nightmare matchup for a long, rangy fighter like Walel. Jaboiun didnt have much trouble taking Walel down, so I dont think Dillashaw will. Hes one of those fighters i can see drastically improving with each fight. Hes in one of the best camps for lower weight classes with some top guys so cant help but improve.

I do think the line against Dodson was inflated but not here in my opinion. I shouldnt have said all in in my last post because the line will hopefully move but initially i thought people would be all over this play

**Vaughany** · 02-10-12, 11:50 AM

Dillashaw has been training at Kings MMA as well. Sparring with rangy guys like Jamie Yager. Should help prepare

"I got rocked bro"!

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-13-12, 11:10 AM

When does Watson have value?

Dillashaw is obviously a wrestling talent and could lay and pray here but Watson has good overrall striking and good footwork. Dont know if he has the ability to finish dillashaw

**Oblivian** · 02-13-12, 11:22 AM

I'm playing Watson small, possibly ITD. I really don't see a justification for Dillashaw being that high. I think there are high hopes for Dillashaw, but he isn't there yet. There was absolutely no reason for him to be in -200 range against Dodson and I definitely don't see a reason for him to be in the -300 range against someone like Watson.

**Vitooch** · 02-13-12, 11:32 AM

The jusitification is you have a strong wrestler out of the alpha male camp against a tall rangy fighter with less than average TDD. Watson proved hes a tough brawler in his UFC debut, but i dont consider him all that dangerous. Dillashaw should be able to grind a decision or finish him with GNP, unles he gets caught in a standup exchange or a submission. I find this very unlikely. You cant help but inprove when youre in a camp with some of the best fighters at 135 + 145

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-13-12, 11:48 AM

I agree Vitooch, If there is a TJ by Dec prop at + odds, I would play that

**omalley21** · 02-13-12, 11:50 AM

Im playing watson inside the distance and dillashaw by decision.

**Vitooch** · 02-13-12, 12:35 PM

I don't really think Watson inside the distance has any value but I could be wrong.

**Beelzebubzy** · 02-13-12, 12:35 PM

Belcher vs Paul Harris added to FOX 3

**Rubber Guard** · 02-13-12, 12:54 PM

Called this matchup. Good fight. Fan of both guys, but a big fan of Palhares!

No clue what the line will be.

**Vitooch** · 02-13-12, 01:03 PM

Don't know how I feel about Paul Harris/Belcher...may stay away.

Mike Easton/Yves Jabouin also added to UFC on FOX 3....may fade Mike Easton here

**gabe** · 02-13-12, 01:54 PM

Originally posted by omalley21

Im playing watson inside the distance and dillashaw by decision.

**Vaughany** · 02-13-12, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by Vitooch

Don't know how I feel about Paul Harris/Belcher...may stay away.

Mike Easton/Yves Jabouin also added to UFC on FOX 3....may fade Mike Easton here

Yeah Easton could well get out-pointed, if he's smart tho he'll look to take it to the ground at some point where he should have an advantage

**Oblivian** · 02-13-12, 02:52 PM

**Vaughany** · 02-13-12, 02:59 PM

Would be all over Buddy at +130 if I had an account