Post 1 Lock for UFC 141

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  • DDT
    SBR MVP
    • 03-22-09
    • 3757

    #1
    Post 1 Lock for UFC 141
    Please only one per person.

    Thanks.



    My Lock: Gustafsson
  • v1y
    SBR MVP
    • 05-02-11
    • 1138

    #2
    gustafsson

    10u straight to win 3u
    4.5u inside distance to win 3u
    1u by sub to win 7.5u.

    that's over 10% of my bankroll.
    Comment
    • gabe
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-12-11
      • 7405

      #3
      Sorry, guys. I'm on Matyushenko.

      My biggest lock is Ross THE REAL F'N DEAL Pearson
      Comment
      • sideloaded
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-21-10
        • 7561

        #4
        Diaz
        Comment
        • gabe
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-12-11
          • 7405

          #5
          Originally posted by sideloaded
          Diaz
          If I thought Diaz had a good chance at winning, I would bet on him, because I'm a bigger fan of his than I am of Cerrone's, but it stands that his only chance is if he gets lucky, a la Korean Zombie.

          I don't see what you see that makes you confident enough to see him at the biggest lock on the card.
          Comment
          • sirchadwick1
            SBR MVP
            • 06-02-10
            • 1375

            #6
            Cerrone.
            Comment
            • RaiderNation MMA
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-05-10
              • 598

              #7
              njokuani
              Comment
              • BIGDAY
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 02-17-10
                • 48245

                #8
                Nothing on this card imo.

                Largest wager on the card for me is Cerrone at 3 Units.

                GL
                Comment
                • proposition joe
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 10-06-11
                  • 532

                  #9
                  No locks here, in my opinion. Most of the favorites also have big question marks around them. Gustafson vs wrestler, Cerrone and Overeem are unproven against top level guys, Pearson cutting to FW, Fitch vs elite wrestler with boxing.
                  Comment
                  • DDT
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-22-09
                    • 3757

                    #10
                    This card makes me nervous, I normally have 2-3 fights I feel really confident about but not on this card.
                    Comment
                    • Wanna Bet On It?
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-17-11
                      • 1032

                      #11
                      No lock fighters.

                      Closest lock is Brock/Overeem ends in the first round (at even money).
                      Comment
                      • kmdubya
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 06-04-11
                        • 405

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Wanna Bet On It?
                        No lock fighters.

                        Closest lock is Brock/Overeem ends in the first round (at even money).
                        Say what?

                        If it's in the first round, it's a Reem victory. I personally think there is a better chance of it going over 1 round.
                        Comment
                        • sirchadwick1
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-02-10
                          • 1375

                          #13
                          Originally posted by kmdubya
                          Say what?

                          If it's in the first round, it's a Reem victory. I personally think there is a better chance of it going over 1 round.
                          I'd say this fight ends before the 4th round... but definitely wouldn't put $ on it ending in the first unless it was +150 or so. I remember everyone saying JDS/Carwin would end in the 1st and it panned out as a 1-sided boxing match ending in a UD.
                          Comment
                          • Vaughany
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 03-07-10
                            • 45563

                            #14
                            Originally posted by proposition joe
                            No locks here, in my opinion. Most of the favorites also have big question marks around them. Gustafson vs wrestler, Cerrone and Overeem are unproven against top level guys, Pearson cutting to FW, Fitch vs elite wrestler with boxing.
                            Im very confident Pearson's weight cut wont have an adverse affect on him. He's kept his weight down well and helps that he has had a full camp in the US
                            Comment
                            • MMAbetMASTA
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-24-11
                              • 1931

                              #15
                              Tough and juicy line, but I like Volkman most.
                              Comment
                              • bogbat
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-21-10
                                • 1843

                                #16
                                Originally posted by MMAbetMASTA
                                Tough and juicy line, but I like Volkman most.
                                I was about to say Volkman too.
                                Comment
                                • Beelzebubzy
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-06-11
                                  • 6995

                                  #17
                                  Volkmann, Gustaffson, Pearson Parlay?
                                  Comment
                                  • PunisherIND
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-24-11
                                    • 4980

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                    Volkmann, Gustaffson, Pearson Parlay?
                                    indeed. these are my top 3 for this event. i have this exact parlay, also gustafsson+pearson, and pearson+volkmann. and a few more with fitch sprinkled in.
                                    Comment
                                    • kmdubya
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 06-04-11
                                      • 405

                                      #19
                                      After seeing Diaz crack at the presser yesterday, trip coming onto the stage at the weigh in, and being a pound over, Cowboy is in his head. Diaz has already lost this fight before it started.

                                      Cerrone to the bank.
                                      Comment
                                      • BIGDAY
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 02-17-10
                                        • 48245

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by kmdubya
                                        After seeing Diaz crack at the presser yesterday, trip coming onto the stage at the weigh in, and being a pound over, Cowboy is in his head. Diaz has already lost this fight before it started.

                                        Cerrone to the bank.
                                        Comment
                                        • GunShard
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-05-10
                                          • 10028

                                          #21
                                          Overeem will win by Submission against Lesnar.
                                          Comment
                                          • ReBEL`LiON
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 03-27-07
                                            • 129

                                            #22
                                            Ross pearson -300 is the lock. although i don't play favs, this one i might throw in a parlay.

                                            dont see volkman -275 finishing escudero so that's far from a lock against a fellow capable grappler.
                                            dont sleep on matyushenko either. he'll give the mauler a good fight and has the tools to win, unfortunately i think mauler -335 will catch him late.
                                            Comment
                                            • socrates01
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 05-17-09
                                              • 301

                                              #23
                                              Gustafson, Diaz and Overeem are my picks
                                              Comment
                                              • BIGDAY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 02-17-10
                                                • 48245

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                Volkmann, Gustaffson, Pearson Parlay?
                                                I have Pearson, Gustafsson, and Lesnar/Overeem not to start Rd 4. Hope she hits.
                                                Comment
                                                • TheProdigy8199
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-05-10
                                                  • 1694

                                                  #25
                                                  Why is everyone so high on Gustafsson?? Vlady wins this one, better wrestler and more experience The Janitor at +250 has a lot of value
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jacktheknife
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-25-10
                                                    • 1217

                                                    #26
                                                    Pearson. Totally weird how that there's been barely a peep about Kim on this board even as parley material.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DDT
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-22-09
                                                      • 3757

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by TheProdigy8199
                                                      Why is everyone so high on Gustafsson?? Vlady wins this one, better wrestler and more experience The Janitor at +250 has a lot of value
                                                      Put your money where your mouth is bro!
                                                      Comment
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