TUF 14 Finale

[The HOFF]

Lines out on Bookmaker:

Jason Miller +160
Michael Bisping -200

John Dodson +175
TJ Dillashaw -235

Dennis Bermudez +255
Diego Brandao -355

Yves Edwards +180
Tony Ferguson -240

[JMUplayer]

I'd take a shot @ dodson @ +175

[v1y]

i'll take a shot on bermudez. athletic wrestler and a huge heart. tough matchup for anyone.

[KushMoney]

-355 Is pretty steep.

here are two videos, updates of each fighter letting fans know how training has been going and who they've been training with.

[Mikail]

considering a massive wager on Bisping. I also like Dodson @ +175, Diego Brandau is practically as close to a sure thing as you can get in MMA. I will work that into a few parlays.

[gabe]

i'll take a shot on bermudez. athletic wrestler and a huge heart. tough matchup for anyone.

same here. he has never been knocked out. has a real solid chin and a great gas tank, which is diego's weakness. i am loving dennis at this price.

[rocky mattioli]

brandao is 13-7 as a pro....somebody`s beating him(i`m aware that he`s fought at a heavier weight)....i think that part of his(and that akira character`s) effectiveness was their mouths and attitudes....in caraway`s case,it seemed apparent that he was beaten prior to entering the cage...

brandao`s a bit wild and a little careless(because he`s cocky as hell).....that makes him dangerous if you aren`t careful(but it also makes him vulnerable)......just not sure that bermudez will be as mentally weak as caraway appeared to be.... unfotunately he doesn`t appear to have much of a sub game so he`ll either have to ride it out for the full 3 or win a firefight with brabdao(not the easiest/safest road to victory)......

i can see taking a shot at +2.5....but not a very big shot...

bisping/miller is 5 rounds?.....whoa....

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

this finale is heavy on cast members

MAIN CARD (Spike TV)

• Michael Bisping vs. Jason "Mayhem" Miller
• Dennis Bermudez vs. Diego Brandao ("TUF 14" featherweight finale)
• John Dodson vs. T.J. Dillashaw ("TUF 14" bantamweight finale)
• Yves Edwards vs. Tony Ferguson
• Johnny Bedford vs. Louis Gaudinot

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)

• Marcus Brimage vs. Stephan Bass
• John Albert vs. Dustin Pague
• Roland Delorme vs. Josh Ferguson
• Josh Clopton vs. Steven Siler
• Bryan Caraway vs. Dustin Neace

[NunyaBidness]

Diego Brandau is practically as close to a sure thing as you can get in MMA. I will work that into a few parlays.

has a real solid chin and a great gas tank, which is diego's weakness. i am loving dennis at this price.

Tough to pick a fade here.

[proposition joe]

Anyone thinking Brandao is a lock is stupid. Making plays on Ferguson and Bermudez with a small stab at Dodson.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Anyone thinking Brandao is a lock is stupid.

remember some TUF finales of the past

TUF 9
Damarques Johnson -340
James Wilks +280

Ross Pearson +210
Andre Winner -250


TUF8
Efrain Escudero +300
Phillipe Nover -360

Ryan Bader +180
Vinicius Magalhas -220

TUF 7
Amir Sadollah +145
CB Dollaway -165

[TheCalculator]

There's a good amount of lag time between the taped final episode and the finals. It's enough time to get together with a camp and make improvements. All these fighters are still in the development stage and can have significant surge in skills in a few weeks/months at this point. Plus all the fighting/training from the TUF makes their nervous system gel from those experiences.

[gabe]

Tough to pick a fade here.

Not really, just fade the guy picking the big underdog. (me) Better chances. =)

[Vitooch]

Nothing to see here people. Plan on sitting back and enjoying these fights.

Brandao may be too a steep favorite, but has looked too good for me to pick against. Remember Bermudez was in trouble a few times with Akira. Imagine the trouble he will be in if he can't take down Diego. I like Dillashaw to grind a decision but not enough to pick him, considering also how good Dodson has looked. I like Bisping also, taking into consideration his UFC experience and the difference in skill level I think exists, but the opportune Miller has a legitimate shot of pulling an opposite. Bisping usually gives his opponents a small window to beat him (see Dennis Kang), but, once again, not confident enough in either guy to make a play.

I'll pass.

[SATERSTYLE]

Tough to pick a fade here.

Not really... it is quite shocking but gabe is actually right... i think the end of days might be upon us

[Vitooch]

Not really... it is quite shocking but gabe is actually right... i think the end of days might be upon us

Yep, you would have to fade the dude who claims that Diego is as sure a thing you are going to get in the UFC. The line seems a little too steep for a fighter will be experiencing a sizable step up in competition. Caraway was too meek and conservative and Siler...eh, well you get the point.

[NunyaBidness]

Not really, just fade the guy picking the big underdog. (me) Better chances. =)

Was just being funny. I maxed that line as soon as it opened, I would've hit it at a much smaller number to be honest.

[bjpenn85]

which line did you max?

[gabe]

Not really... it is quite shocking but gabe is actually right... i think the end of days might be upon us

why is it shocking? i've made a bunch of spot on picks for you guys.

[sideloaded]

considering a massive wager on Bisping. I also like Dodson @ +175, Diego Brandau is practically as close to a sure thing as you can get in MMA. I will work that into a few parlays.

Miller it is then. Did you ever show up to fight Mayan?

[NunyaBidness]

which line did you max?

Bermudez.

[BIGDAY]

I will be placing Ferguson in a few parlays at that price. I think he controls this fight and wears down the veteran.

Should be a great night of fights.

[bjpenn85]

Im a little bit surprised that ferguson opened up at that price. I think if this was last year, he would have opened up at evens. That nikos guy is brutally greedy at the moment. Every damn time i see the openers, i just sigh in frustration...

[gabe]

I will be placing Ferguson in a few parlays at that price. I think he controls this fight and wears down the veteran.

Should be a great night of fights.

I think El Cucuy wins by knock out.

[TheCalculator]

Im a little bit surprised that ferguson opened up at that price. I think if this was last year, he would have opened up at evens. That nikos guy is brutally greedy at the moment. Every damn time i see the openers, i just sigh in frustration...

YES! Nick is squeezing our nuts. We NEED more action from Joey Bagels! He's the guy who opened the Vila/Dantas line.

[TheCalculator]

I was able to score some action on Ferguson at -220 at BetFair last night.

[rocky mattioli]

sportsbook has bermudez at +285.....bastards(lol)......i can`t resist taking a flyer....

[gabe]

Bermudez.

what's your max?

[v1y]

**** ferguson's like -300 everyone, and 5D still hasn't put up a line. seriously making me consider depositing in a second book.

[TheCalculator]

**** ferguson's like -300 everyone, and 5D still hasn't put up a line. seriously making me consider depositing in a second book.

I agree. They missed the boat here. Thankfully I have a bunch of other books. Paddy Power already has props out on this fight.

[NunyaBidness]

what's your max?

$250 on openers at bookmaker. Gonna add on bodog and sportsbook now.

[BIGDAY]

I was able to score some action on Ferguson at -220 at BetFair last night.

[terpkeg]

Lines out, real quick movement

Clopton shot up to +185 from -115, which seems ridiculous to me. Moved it on me as I was locking in though, down to +170, now +150. I think he will be favorite.

[v1y]

clopton lost to neace (in a controversial decision). he deserves to be the underdog.

[NunyaBidness]

Lines out, real quick movement

Clopton shot up to +185 from -115, which seems ridiculous to me. Moved it on me as I was locking in though, down to +170, now +150. I think he will be favorite.

Yeah, I got +150, I'm happy with it. Expected to get value on this line.