Sports Threadagogy ! MMA

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  • xelance
    SBR MVP
    • 11-25-10
    • 1750

    #36
    we all probably do, but hey thats a big win anyways off of basically nothing. Grats
    Comment
    • SportsPedagogy
      SBR MVP
      • 02-13-11
      • 3691

      #37
      Thanks man ! I have no bet on this last one, just gonna cheer for Pat ... quietly tho, cause i like him, but i know alot of people are on Kongo. Never wanna see fellow gamblers lose money
      Comment
      • SportsPedagogy
        SBR MVP
        • 02-13-11
        • 3691

        #38
        3-1 on my Bets +342.5
        8-2 on the card overall (i wont comlpain about the illegal knee possibly costing me one lol )
        1-2 on the Awards bets. Not to shabby of a night. Cant wait for the next one.
        Comment
        • ufcmma36
          SBR MVP
          • 02-22-10
          • 1065

          #39
          Def! great job bro!
          Comment
          • SportsPedagogy
            SBR MVP
            • 02-13-11
            • 3691

            #40
            I just wrote my writeups and lost it all by hitting the wrong button. I got to go, so im just going to post my card tonight, ill justify why i picked them in a bit, but i got to run some errands real quick.

            U FABER +127
            KIM -110
            T ORTIZ +380
            D SIVER -130
            R DOS ANJOS +190

            All favs are to win 100 and its 100 on each dog.

            BOL
            STRAIGHT BET Jul 02 MU [2300] A SIMPSON -245 A NJOKUANI -155
            Comment
            • SportsPedagogy
              SBR MVP
              • 02-13-11
              • 3691

              #41
              i had Hag winning the last one , i figured he would sub him. never heard of either tho. pure luck on taking a dog. i just saw it wasnt posted right before the fight started and i logged on and bet it.. im gonna go check and see if i double bet it or not. hopefully i did. I cut copy pasted my list from my bet page.
              Comment
              • SportsPedagogy
                SBR MVP
                • 02-13-11
                • 3691

                #42
                sweet ! Internet / -1 Ticket #: 864721
                Jul 02 06:21 PM

                MU
                STRAIGHT BET
                [2307] J HOUGLAND +180
                (J HOUGLAND vrs D WALKER)

                and

                STRAIGHT BET
                [2307] J HOUGLAND +145
                (J HOUGLAND vrs D WALKER)
                Comment
                • SportsPedagogy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-13-11
                  • 3691

                  #43
                  tito comes thru !
                  Comment
                  • SportsPedagogy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-13-11
                    • 3691

                    #44
                    Only counting the first houhland bet I made, I end the night 6-2 +740 ! another fun night of UFC action!
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #45
                      Gd job brah
                      Comment
                      • SportsPedagogy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-13-11
                        • 3691

                        #46
                        Cheers mate !
                        Comment
                        • SportsPedagogy
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-13-11
                          • 3691

                          #47
                          I decided to add up all my plays that iv posted since i came back. in 5 UFCs iv gone 18-7 but have made 2102.5 by betting to win 100 on favs and betting 100 on the dogs (except for brennemen, i only bet 50 on him) I would increase my bets but that would be the card i go 0-5 lol
                          Comment
                          • SportsPedagogy
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-13-11
                            • 3691

                            #48
                            Time for UFC 133. Today im picking 3 fights SU, 2 props all for 1 unit,or to win 1 unit, and then 3 award props for half a unit. My uniti measure as always is $100! Lets do it!.

                            Dennis Hallman -115 - I think Hallman has the better grappling and definitely better submissions. Ebersole has been submitted by guys with inferior jujitsu to Hallmans, but i think Ebersole will be focusing on avoiding the sub and will eventually fall to a decision.

                            Costantinos Philippou +120 This fight should stay standing, i think Riveras age is catching upto him, his days are numbered and im going to go with the up and coming Philippou.

                            Matt Hamill +145 Gustafsson is 11-1, 3-1 in the UFC, but Hamill has pretty much grown up in the UFC. All but 1 fight he has had has been in the UFC and he has fought alot of good fighters. I give him a strong edge in ring experience. Alot of people are counting out Hamill because of his poor performance vs Rampage, but Rampage is a really good wrestler aswell. Most European fighters struggle vs american collegiate wrestlers. Its different the olympic wrestling and translates well into MMA, i think Hamill takes him down, stalls, avoids subs , lands a few blows and walks away with a W.

                            Belfort wins inside distance -122 For whatever reason, this was better odds then Belfort by KO/TKO so ill go with it. It think its only a matter of time before Vitor catches him and i think the ref will be more likely to stop the fight quicker when its Belfort raining punches.

                            Yahya/Mendes Fight won't go 3 round distance +135*
                            I like this bet cause i could see Mendes with a KO or Yahya possibly catching a quick submission.

                            Phan/Brown award winner +1425 Phans exciting, Browns tough I think this will be a great fight and given the value at +1425, i couldnt pass.

                            Vitor Belfort wins KO of the Night +400 Hes so fast and so aggressive that his Ko's look spectacular. He can really make an opponent crumble which adds to the effect.

                            Dennis Hallman wins SUB of the Night +725 I had to pick someone i think will win, somebody with good submission skills and somebody who has an opponent who has been tapped quite a bit ... Hallman falls into the category. Its been a nit since Ebersole has been submitted, but i think Hallman is crafty enough. If this fight doesnt go to a DEC, i see Hallman by rear naked choke.


                            Best of luck everybody.
                            Comment
                            • bigcat21
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 08-30-10
                              • 53

                              #49
                              what sportsbook do you use
                              Comment
                              • SportsPedagogy
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-13-11
                                • 3691

                                #50
                                using 5dimes tonight
                                Comment
                                • SportsPedagogy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-13-11
                                  • 3691

                                  #51
                                  The Losers:

                                  Hallman -115
                                  Matt Hamill -100
                                  Yahya/Mendes Fight won't go 3 round distance -100
                                  Phan/Brown award winner -50
                                  Dennis Hallman wins SUB of the Night -50

                                  Total lost -415

                                  The Winners
                                  Costantinos Philippou +120
                                  Belfort wins inside distance +100
                                  Vitor Belfort wins KO of the Night +200

                                  Total winnings +420

                                  That leaves me with a total profit of +5 LMAO. My worst card ever, but i still came out on top. Ill do a write up and afterthoughts later today.
                                  Comment
                                  • SportsPedagogy
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-13-11
                                    • 3691

                                    #52
                                    UFC Live 5 !

                                    This is quite the chalky card if i may say so myself ... there are some matches i really like, but im weary to lay -400 on a fight.

                                    The Straight ups -
                                    Kyle Noke -130 Better striking then herman and he can survive on the ground, Herman might get a few takedowns early, but i see him wearing down. I see Noke Via late TKO , nothing spectacular tho.

                                    Ronny Markes +210 Vemola is a big guy, making a big cut and i think he is going to tire out and possibly get submitted. He could easily get KO'd ... but im taking a chance here.

                                    My Chalky Parlay
                                    Kyle Noke -135
                                    Jimy Hettes -450
                                    Cole Miller -450
                                    Edwin Figueroa -440


                                    equals out to +219

                                    and my award bets :

                                    Oliveira/Cerrone award winner +275* High Profile fight, both guys are noted FOTN winners ...
                                    Markes/Vemola award winner +1200* Dark horse with great value ... could be a great stand up war with a good finish.
                                    Edwin Figueroa wins KO of the Night +600* i went with him cause he has a weaker opponent and is likely to win in a hurry.
                                    Jimy Hettes wins SUB of the Night +750* All wins by submission, Bruce Leeroy is outclassed here ... decent value
                                    Cole Miller wins SUB of the Night +375* Cole has great jujitsu, he has won the award before... his opponents strength is grappling, but Miller is alot better.

                                    As always, the props are half a unit each.

                                    This card could go very bad for me ...alot of props .... i might add another parlay ...


                                    Added Parlay
                                    Dan Hardy/Chris Lytle* Over 2½ -185
                                    Eddie Wineland/Joseph Benavidez* Over 2½ -240
                                    Ed Herman/Kyle Noke* Over 1½ -240
                                    Jimy Hettes* -450
                                    Cole Miller* -450
                                    Edwin Figueroa* -440


                                    Equals +466
                                    Last edited by SportsPedagogy; 08-14-11, 03:16 PM. Reason: added parlay
                                    Comment
                                    • rocky mattioli
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 08-26-10
                                      • 1263

                                      #53
                                      played hettes sub o` the night myself......very possible that cerrone/oliveira and miller/bendo just flat out offset each other and go to decision... ...sadollah could have a shot at a sub also....

                                      g.l.
                                      Comment
                                      • SportsPedagogy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-13-11
                                        • 3691

                                        #54
                                        Fig gets the TKO ... but not KO of the night worthy :/
                                        Comment
                                        • SportsPedagogy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-13-11
                                          • 3691

                                          #55
                                          i could hedge Noke ... but im gonna let it ride
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #56
                                            Good call with Markes
                                            Comment
                                            • SportsPedagogy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-13-11
                                              • 3691

                                              #57
                                              Thanks man ! i gotta sit in suspense this whole next fight :/
                                              Comment
                                              • Vaughany
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 03-07-10
                                                • 45563

                                                #58
                                                ha Heart in mouth so far I bet! Herman is aggressive as hell off his back!
                                                Comment
                                                • SportsPedagogy
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-13-11
                                                  • 3691

                                                  #59
                                                  should have pulled the trigger .... just lost both parlays :/
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Vaughany
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 03-07-10
                                                    • 45563

                                                    #60
                                                    WOW bad luck bro, crazy sub game from Herman. Probably stolen Sub of the Night so far from Cole or Hettes as well
                                                    Comment
                                                    • SportsPedagogy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-13-11
                                                      • 3691

                                                      #61
                                                      thats true If there are no more KO's or TKO's , Figueroa will win by default .... ill finish +.05 again lol
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by SportsPedagogy
                                                        thats true If there are no more KO's or TKO's , Figueroa will win by default .... ill finish +.05 again lol
                                                        ha yeah true, guess Hardy/Lytle and Sadollah/Ludwig are biggest threats
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SportsPedagogy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-13-11
                                                          • 3691

                                                          #63
                                                          i need to improve my money management. I just keep betting to win a unit on favs and 1 unit on dogs. then 1 unit per parlay and half a unit per prop ... it has worked tho .. but i think i can maximize my profit with better money management.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SportsPedagogy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-13-11
                                                            • 3691

                                                            #64
                                                            Kyle Noke screwed me over .... Killed both parlays and a straight up bet i originally had Markes in there. .. then i switched it ... heres to next time
                                                            Comment
                                                            • SportsPedagogy
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-13-11
                                                              • 3691

                                                              #65
                                                              I have a crazy card tonight .... lots of plays ... not sure how i feel about this. ...


                                                              .69u to win .50u A.Silva wins by TKO/KO -138*
                                                              .5u to win .5u Griffin/Rua goes 3 round distance +100*
                                                              .56u to win .5u Schaub wins inside distance -112*
                                                              .62u to win .5 Barboza wins inside distance -124*


                                                              .3u to win 1.5u S.Nedkov wins in round 1 +500*
                                                              .3u to win .99 L.Cane wins in round 2 +330*
                                                              .3u to win 3.3u L.Cane wins in round 3 +1100*
                                                              .3u to win 3.75u L.Cane wins by submission +1250*

                                                              Ned might catch him early, but he will fade, i would love for a submission from Cane. BJJ credentials go out the window when your tired, i could see a shoot to guillotine choke.

                                                              .75u to win .5u Miller/Palhares goes 3 round distance -150* I think its a one sided beat down with miller constantly defending the sub, but ill go with a DEc for either guy just incase Paul Harris isnt on his game.

                                                              .3u to win 2.1u Pearson/Barboza award winner +700* Fight of the Night
                                                              .38 to win 1.2u Griffin/Rua award winner +410*
                                                              I like the Standing exchange of Pearson/Barboza but the UFC tends to give this award to big name vets (See Griffin/Franklin)


                                                              .2u to win .95u Anderson Silva wins KO of the Night +475* KO of the Night winner
                                                              .2u to win 1.1u Brendan Schaub wins KO of the Night +550* KO of the Night winner
                                                              .2u to win 1.3u Edson Barboza wins KO of the Night +650* KO of the Night winner
                                                              .2u to win 1.75u Luiz Cane wins KO of the Night +875* vs KO of the Night winner

                                                              All 4 can have a KO tonight, the winner will be the one who styles it the best. as long as one wins, ill make a small profit.

                                                              .2u to win 1.95u Antonio R Nogueira wins SUB of the Night +975*
                                                              .2u to win 6.6u Luiz Cane wins SUB of the Night +3300*
                                                              .2u to win 3.8u Thiago Tavares wins SUB of the Night +1900*
                                                              .2u to win 1.05u Rousimar Palhares wins SUB of the Night +525*


                                                              This is the trickiest call of the night. Im hoping can gets a sub, bit of a reach, but i dont think there will be alot of Subs tonight, so i just hope one hits.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SportsPedagogy
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-13-11
                                                                • 3691

                                                                #66
                                                                to bad Tavares didnt grab the arm and sub him at the end ><
                                                                Comment
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