Yushin Okami is +180 against Nate the Great

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  • Boddhissatva
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 04-10-09
    • 655

    #1
    Yushin Okami is +180 against Nate the Great
    Okami is a good if not great fighter. The only time I saw him convincingly lose to someone was Chael Sonnen who also defeated nate pretty easily as well.

    Do you see any value in this bet?

    I don't see Nate controlling Okami as Sonnen did throughout the fight on the ground. what are your thoughts?
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    I capped Okami at +150 so I think there is value in Okami in +180. However, as I dont see either fighter finishing the other (especially dont see Okami finishing Marquadt), the the play for me will be for the fight to go to decision which is the safest option IMO.
    Comment
    • Shane
      SBR Sharp
      • 02-28-10
      • 466

      #3
      Agreed. This probably goes to the cards, and I like Okami to grind it out.
      Comment
      • jin2daj
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-01-09
        • 816

        #4
        im on okami too. i think okamis pressure will be too much.
        Comment
        • Poppa Catfish
          SBR MVP
          • 09-22-10
          • 3352

          #5
          Fight going to decision and Okami by decision are great bets
          Comment
          • urge2kill
            SBR MVP
            • 10-27-09
            • 1722

            #6
            Originally posted by Poppa Catfish
            Fight going to decision and Okami by decision are great bets
            Are there odds out for either of these?
            Comment
            • Vaughany
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 03-07-10
              • 45563

              #7
              Originally posted by urge2kill
              Are there odds out for either of these?
              Dont think so although Im not with 5 dimes.
              Comment
              • shady610
                SBR MVP
                • 01-12-06
                • 1570

                #8
                i like these odds, but its hard to bet agasint nate too. At these odds i like my chances. but i will parlay this and go for a greedy score
                Comment
                • The HOFF
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-02-08
                  • 4847

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Vaughany
                  I dont see either fighter finishing the other (especially dont see Okami finishing Marquadt), the the play for me will be for the fight to go to decision which is the safest option IMO.
                  Agree here. Okami does not have that killer instinct and will not finish Marquardt. But I think he can hang for three rounds and it should go to the cards.
                  Comment
                  • Tree Rollins
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-16-09
                    • 3968

                    #10
                    Okami is training with Sonnen, right?
                    Comment
                    • JuicedUp
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-20-10
                      • 3396

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Tree Rollins
                      Okami is training with Sonnen, right?
                      yea he's been training with team quest.
                      Comment
                      • sundin4prez
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-09-10
                        • 1970

                        #12
                        okami for the win...... i have never been impressed with nate and i think okami will be able to control his range with that newly found jab and i think if nates attemps to take it to the ground okami will be able to prevent it with his stellar take down defense
                        Comment
                        • Vrakas
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-27-10
                          • 627

                          #13
                          i still thing that nate has a much better chance of winning.
                          Comment
                          • sideloaded
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 08-21-10
                            • 7561

                            #14
                            Okami is the only bet here.
                            Comment
                            • omalley21
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-08-10
                              • 908

                              #15
                              I agree okami by decision.
                              Comment
                              • Fiasco01
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 325

                                #16
                                +268 For Okami by decision and +110 Nate by decision.

                                -245 for distance.
                                Comment
                                • sirchadwick1
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-02-10
                                  • 1375

                                  #17
                                  +268 - Okami by DEC looks nice!

                                  I actually just bet on Okami at +200 and feel pretty good about it.
                                  He's got a lot going for him here... size, wrestling, new jab, chin, etc.
                                  Good value bet.
                                  Comment
                                  • Vaughany
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 03-07-10
                                    • 45563

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by sirchadwick1
                                    +268 - Okami by DEC looks nice!

                                    I actually just bet on Okami at +200 and feel pretty good about it.
                                    He's got a lot going for him here... size, wrestling, new jab, chin, etc.
                                    Good value bet.
                                    Yee Okami by decision is +275 on paddypower at the mo and Marquadt by decision +200. Im taking the -137.5 odds for the fight to go to decision tho...good value in comparison to the -245 that Fiasco quoted above...what book is that on, 5dimes???
                                    Last edited by Vaughany; 11-10-10, 02:56 PM.
                                    Comment
                                    • doubleleg
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 03-27-10
                                      • 190

                                      #19
                                      I see Nate as the favourite here but +180 is a bit high. Could be worth a go.
                                      Comment
                                      • RaiderNation MMA
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-05-10
                                        • 598

                                        #20
                                        extremly close fight, but i pick okami
                                        Comment
                                        • southmadejd
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-27-09
                                          • 1059

                                          #21
                                          I feel like the books are trying to sucker us in with putting Okami out there at +180 but I love the bet and am going to take it. Call me a square if you want to.
                                          Comment
                                          • Poppa Catfish
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-22-10
                                            • 3352

                                            #22
                                            I guess the books were suckering us with Cain at +140 as well, either that or they don't have a good handle on MMA quite yet
                                            Comment
                                            • southmadejd
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-27-09
                                              • 1059

                                              #23
                                              Yeah, but most of us knew Cain was going to win that fight. I just really like that Okami is training with Sonnen and Lindland now so I am hoping he just gets Nate down each round and grounds out an easy decision.
                                              Comment
                                              • Kaladarus
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-11-09
                                                • 1876

                                                #24
                                                Sonnen's wrestling is levels above Okami's takedowns. We also have to consider that Sonnen could have potentially been on roids during the Marquardt fight. Before the fight they had said they had trained together. Both Sonnen and Marquardt had said in interviews that Sonnen was unable to take Marquardt down in that training. Some time went by after that and before the fight, but the way Marquardt was taken down was some what surprising. I like Marquardt's chances in this one, but the line isn't too appealing for me. Also I'm not sure how Marquardt will win this fight. He could beat Okami many different ways. Okami is much more likely to just win by decision if he wins. I still haven't decided what my play will be, but it will like be a small straight bet on Marquardt if the line gets a little better.
                                                Comment
                                                • bogbat
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-21-10
                                                  • 1843

                                                  #25
                                                  You shouldn't take roids into consideration when handicapping. Only a fraction of fighters that do roids get caught. It's very easy to cycle on and off undetected if you know when you will be tested. Besides, Nate has pissed dirty before too..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kaladarus
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                    • 1876

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by bogbat
                                                    You shouldn't take roids into consideration when handicapping. Only a fraction of fighters that do roids get caught. It's very easy to cycle on and off undetected if you know when you will be tested. Besides, Nate has pissed dirty before too..
                                                    Everything is a factor when handicapping and nothing should be overlooked. Steroids make a huge difference. If I was 100% reliable, you completely trusted me and I knew for a fact Marquardt was using roids this fight that wouldn't completely change your whole outlook on the fight from a handicapping perspective? I know it's easy to take roids and not get caught, but Sonnen was caught. It's likely he wasn't a first time offender since Marquardt had trained with him before and had no problem stuffing his takedowns. Okami so far has looked completely clean. I don't see how any handicapper can overlook such an important aspect of the game.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Boddhissatva
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 04-10-09
                                                      • 655

                                                      #27
                                                      Two units on Okami...got him at +175
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Vaughany
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 03-07-10
                                                        • 45563

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Boddhissatva
                                                        Two units on Okami...got him at +175
                                                        He's like +190 on 5 dimes, and +197 on pinnacle, surely you could of got better odds than +175!?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Poppa Catfish
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-22-10
                                                          • 3352

                                                          #29


                                                          Got Okami in a parlay and by decision, SOUND UP THE GUNS!!!!!!!

                                                          Comment
                                                          • Vaughany
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 03-07-10
                                                            • 45563

                                                            #30
                                                            I like Matt Lindland's review of the fight!....
                                                            "This is going to be a long, painful evening for Mr. Marquardt. I pick Okami to win this fight by decision; it might even be another split decision, like the last fight he dominated, if the judges try and swindle another decision. Yushin is bigger, stronger and faster. Yes, Nathan is great, he hits hard and knocks guys out, but it’s hard to knock guys out when you are laying on your back with a big, strong Takeshi dropping elbows on your head."
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Foals
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-20-10
                                                              • 857

                                                              #31
                                                              Okami by decision looks great
                                                              Comment
                                                              • bogbat
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-21-10
                                                                • 1843

                                                                #32
                                                                I hear people everywhere bitching about this card but I'm really excited to see this fight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Vaughany
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 03-07-10
                                                                  • 45563

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by bogbat
                                                                  I hear people everywhere bitching about this card but I'm really excited to see this fight.
                                                                  Those people are the same retarded people who think that a Shark Fights card with Prangley vs Jardine is a good card yet moan when UFC has a card like this just because it's the UFC! If this card was under any other promotion like Strikeforce and Bellator everybody would be sayin how awesome it is!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Poppa Catfish
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-22-10
                                                                    • 3352

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Or if say they added a 3 hour intermission, opening ceremony/musical, fireworks and elaborate walk ins it would make the card so much better
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RollPlayer
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-26-10
                                                                      • 779

                                                                      #35
                                                                      There are going to be a ton of good fights on this card, there just isn't much star power. Siver/Winner, Reljic/Krystof, Sakara/Rivera should all be good fights, they just aren't for the casual fan
                                                                      Comment
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