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  • ddream1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-18-10
    • 695

    #1
    boxing sat
    MMA: 62W-40L +$1100
    BOX: 33W-17L +$1568.16

    YTD Fight Record:
    95W-57L 62% +$2,668.16

    daniel geale -320 0.25*/$25

    pretty high vig here but i think this play wins rather easy in a Udecision. Geale is a much younger version of his older counterpart r.karmizin. Karmizin is a solid veteran with power. his boxing is not pretty but he moves well and brawls well in the pocket and ropes. Geale is very similar however is youth and training including representing his country has taught him to move and use the ring, he brings savvy and ring generalship here despite being 8 years young. both fighters have roughly the same records last 7 fights and both have fought alot of rounds aswell, i have to think karmizin gutsy effort last fight against s.sylvester took it toll. i really just see geale owning this fight with movement, in the counter punch department i love geale here aswell and i think thats what he plans to do, i have to take this fight boys even at -320 it justs seems and feels right + being held in Geale hometown, i have this going 12rounds so i like this is in geale's backyard

    geale in a 12r middleweight Unanimous Decision
  • ddream1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-18-10
    • 695

    #2
    sat winner: 1W-0L +$25
    **well i was wrong, i called a UDecision win for Geale however he won by KO in the 12th with 29seconds left. **

    DANIEL GEALE will attempt to organise a world title bout with IBF middleweight champion Sebastian Sylvester early next year after scoring a 12th-round knockout win against Russia's Roman Karmazin in Sydney yesterday. Geale waited until 29 seconds from the end to put a stop to his bout but the result was never in doubt.

    MMA: 62W-40L +$1100
    BOX: 34W-17L +$1593.16

    YTD Fight Record:
    96W-57L 62% +$2,693.16
    Comment
    • GoldenYAK
      Restricted User
      • 08-30-10
      • 707

      #3
      Good call. Ill have to look out for your next play.
      Comment
      • JC2008
        SBR MVP
        • 02-27-08
        • 2258

        #4
        Good work. I look forward to more boxing picks/analysis.
        Comment
        • smallon
          SBR High Roller
          • 04-28-07
          • 232

          #5
          I went with the over 9 1/2 in the Geale fight so I lucked out. Some good fights coming up in the next month and I'm looking forward to them, especially Lopez vs. Marquez. Lopez should pull it out however he leaves himself open, he's a bit chinny and Marquez, much like his brother, is a technician who may be able to capitalize. That said, Lopez is the bigger, stronger, younger man so at this point I'm leaning towards Lopez and the under.
          Comment
          • JC2008
            SBR MVP
            • 02-27-08
            • 2258

            #6
            Lopez should take the fight against the 36-year old Marquez but as smallon mentioned, he has questionable defense at times. I think you boys should take a look at Chavez Jr. vs. Gomez at the start of December. -450 is great value on Chavez Jr against the limited Gomez. Also can't see Berto losing to Freddy Hernandez on the 27th of this month either.
            Comment
            • bruce_outside
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-24-08
              • 199

              #7
              I like lopez too. marquez is better technically but the smaller, older man. marquez was knocked down several times by vasquez and lopez can crack.
              Comment
              • JC2008
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-08
                • 2258

                #8
                Yeah. He's torched from the three fights with Vasquez. I also think Andre Ward is easy money, even if he is 6-to-1. No way he loses to Sakio Bika.
                Comment
                • JC2008
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-27-08
                  • 2258

                  #9
                  You guys laying the juice on Pac? How about a parlay with Pac and Wlad?
                  Comment
                  • jagermeister1
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 08-06-08
                    • 323

                    #10
                    I'm putting a small wager on Pacquiao. I don't see him losing unless he is forced to withdraw because of a freak injury or something, despite what HBO 24/7 will have you believe. But the juice is so damn high, I can't risk a lot on it.
                    Comment
                    • Vaughany
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 03-07-10
                      • 45563

                      #11
                      Im looking at doing a Green/Glen Johnson straddle with Green by TKO/KO and Johnson by decision. What are your thoughts on this fight Dream?
                      Comment
                      • JC2008
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-08
                        • 2258

                        #12
                        24/7 is obviously made to make the fight look more competitive than it is. I.E. Pacquiao/Hatton.
                        Comment
                        • Grits n' Gravy
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-10-10
                          • 13024

                          #13
                          pac walks through margarito. heavy chalk, but it will cash.
                          Comment
                          • Vrakas
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-27-10
                            • 627

                            #14
                            pac is a heavy favorite.not much to be won on him.
                            Comment
                            • smallon
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-28-07
                              • 232

                              #15
                              I think Margarito has a better chance than many are giving him so I'm going with him via TKO small. With Lopez and Marquez I'm going to go with Lopez to win via TKO/KO, not the under. I like Glen Johnson to win and the fight to go the distance - Johnson is like Hopkins in that he knows how to stay in a fight and yet he's older and I think it's more likely that the fight will go the distance than end by stoppage. I also like Gavin Rees and David Haye in a parlay, plus Oosthuizen via decision.
                              Comment
                              • rocky mattioli
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-26-10
                                • 1263

                                #16
                                something about the" pacman is god" business doesn`t set right with me...i`ve followed boxing my entire life...i competed in the amateurs in the p.a.l. in new jersey and maryland...it`s basically why i became enamored with mma...
                                ..
                                my gut is that manny may just be the floyd landis of boxing.......`just my opinion....

                                margarito has come down to earth since those s.o.b`s(sarc) found out he was redecorating his hand wraps with plaster of paris....

                                the problem with manny here(for me) is that he`s been so distracted by all the notoriety and what it entails....

                                the guy is running for political office...he`s in plays...he sings...he`s accompanying bob arum to campaign for dingy harry reid in nevada...

                                this guy`s being pulled in so many different directions....

                                on the flip side,margarito seems to have lost his air of invincibility since he hasn`t been allowed to cheat......

                                on it`s face,it looks like manny`s speed will be the difference...

                                unfortunately for me,one on my alltime faves may be getting ktfo this weekend...i`ve been a big marquez bros. supporter......they`ve provided boxing fans with some of the greatest moments in boxing for well over a decade...

                                but rafael is fighting a much younger,and apparently naturally bigger,stronger mirror image type guy here........he`s fighting a lefty with pop and a bit of a height advantage.......and rafy`s chin isn`t his strong suit...of course,the same chin issues may exist with lopez...

                                rafy will have to box...not get drawn into a firefight...can he do it for 12?...he`s prone to get into more exchanges than necessary...doesn`t seem to be able to stick to a solid gameplan as his losses to,imo,a lesser(but physically stronger) all around fighter in israel vasquez showed...vasquez hit the wall in their last fight...too many wars...it happens....

                                but theres always the mtagwa fight to consider......a fight in which juanma was in trouble several times and was very close to losing to basically a solid but very limited journeyman....

                                i doubt this one goes the distance....


                                old glen johnson is moving down in weight vs allan green.....if the weight cut doesn`t kill johnson,he should be able to beat green basically on punch volume/activity level....

                                after johnson hung tough with young lion tavoris cloud,i`m surprised this is only -160...green`s talented...but he has issues... his heart and will to win have been questioned....

                                but johnson is older than the beatles(the lifeform,not the group)....he could hit the wall at any time and a tough weight cut could speed up the process...
                                Comment
                                • rocky mattioli
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-26-10
                                  • 1263

                                  #17
                                  i think the weight cut may affect g.j......he looks like dick gregory after a fast.....he`s 41 and it looks like he lost a good deal of muscle tissue....

                                  allan green is an underachieving money burner vs top opposition...but johnson is 41 and hasn`t had to make 168 in 10 years....

                                  the consensus from my dudes is basically on all faves tonight...juanma/guerrero/judah...

                                  imo,judah is always a crap shoot....not wotrth laying the wood with any of these......all parlay material...not straight up...



                                  Comment
                                  • ddream1
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-18-10
                                    • 695

                                    #18
                                    looks right

                                    Originally posted by Vaughany
                                    Im looking at doing a Green/Glen Johnson straddle with Green by TKO/KO and Johnson by decision. What are your thoughts on this fight Dream?
                                    Comment
                                    • ddream1
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 02-18-10
                                      • 695

                                      #19
                                      i agree he looks thin but he will gain it back before fight time, his experience and work ethic alone should win this, i agree with you on the parlay aswell, i have a few tonight, i see all favs winning, should be fun. for judah if he cannot win this he should call it quits, the way i see this they handed this to him he just has to keep his cardio abay and he will be fine, if he is typical and comes out totally aggressive and does not get the finish by round 7 he is in big big trouble. if he paces himself he wins easily.

                                      Originally posted by rocky mattioli
                                      i think the weight cut may affect g.j......he looks like dick gregory after a fast.....he`s 41 and it looks like he lost a good deal of muscle tissue....

                                      allan green is an underachieving money burner vs top opposition...but johnson is 41 and hasn`t had to make 168 in 10 years....

                                      the consensus from my dudes is basically on all faves tonight...juanma/guerrero/judah...

                                      imo,judah is always a crap shoot....not wotrth laying the wood with any of these......all parlay material...not straight up...



                                      Comment
                                      • rocky mattioli
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-26-10
                                        • 1263

                                        #20
                                        honestly had matthysse winning...and relatively comfortably...he was chasing judah around in the last 4 rounds like he owed him money....


                                        but it was in jersey....we can screw foreign fighters here in the states with the best of `em...
                                        Comment
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