Almeida / Hughes

BIGDAY · 07-14-10, 01:55 PM

Also figured this fight could use a separate thread as the line movement has been wild!
Let's keep an eye on this one...

lasker · 07-14-10, 01:56 PM

I think there should be value on a hughes by decision prop; that's the only way he wins this fight.

BIGDAY · 07-14-10, 01:59 PM

Fight goes all 3 rounds is -190. I'll throw a unit on that I think.

Vaughany · 07-14-10, 02:04 PM

Big play on it going to decision for me.

JuicedUp · 07-15-10, 02:19 AM

I like almeida but it seems everyone is on almeida. That scares me a little.

illmatick · 07-15-10, 05:23 AM

can't believe I missed the opener on almeida

Straight Cash · 07-15-10, 07:32 AM

Hughes might be a decent play as a dog, a small play.

Ryangene · 07-15-10, 09:39 AM

Very tough fight to pick a winner. If anything i'll throw a small play on Hughes. Good fight to watch is the main thing!

Kaladarus · 07-15-10, 11:00 AM

Originally posted by Vaughany

Big play on it going to decision for me.

this might be the best play easily

36mafia · 07-15-10, 11:38 AM

like hughes as a dog here
will be the best wrestler almeida has faced, has an underrated ground game, and already beat him at adcc about a year ago
both have shit standup so i wouldnt doubt this would go to a dec either

brooks85 · 07-15-10, 02:17 PM

that ADCC match was 10 years ago

brooks85 · 07-15-10, 02:37 PM

here is the hughes vs horn in the quarterfinals(hughes match after almeida), the choreographed match that got them banned from adcc

Mr.Kitty · 07-15-10, 03:36 PM

Hard fight to predict, Hughes last fight was ridiculous, him and Renzo both looked old(or/and ringrusty), and Renzo gased completely

. Hughes will decide where this fight goes, he is without a doubt the better wrestler with good ground and pound and underrated BJJ.

I think Almeida will look better then his last fight when he was new to welterweight with the weight cutting and all. His stand-up looked improved and hes one of the bigger guys in this division now. I favor Almeida right now, he wants revenge for Renzo. But i dont think im gonna bet this fight cuz its hard to tell how good these fighters are right now. How motivated are Hughes and how good are Almeida at welterweight.

brooks85 · 07-16-10, 09:22 AM

im on the same page as juicedup, months ago when I saw this matchup announced I figured the minority would be on almeida and I would get myself a nice dog number. With the line flipping on almeida/hughes, usually I stick with the opening favorite in these situations. So as an almeida backer, this flip on the line is the last thing I wanted to see. I already have some money on almeida so im going to take hughes by decision and just stay away from this one, which is unfortunate because I have been waiting months for this one but I can't ignore that all the money likes almeida.

36mafia · 07-16-10, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by brooks85

that ADCC match was 10 years ago

haha i love my sources

vassman86 · 07-16-10, 04:07 PM

Too bad Almeida isn't still a ML underdog. That'd be great value.

BIGDAY · 08-09-10, 01:28 PM

Hate to say it but Hughes impressed me with that crafty sub... I had a larger bet on the fight going the distance but did have a small play on Hughes +165. Interested to see who he draws next~

stefan084 · 08-09-10, 04:56 PM

i don't know how crafty that sub was,more like brute strength. he really shouldn't have been able to submit him from that spot but he's freakishly strong. also i'm not sure almeida fully knew what was going on at that point

KCJMAC · 08-09-10, 06:16 PM

Pretty good breakdown of the submission here if anyone is interested:

Page Not Found - Bloody Elbow

http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2010/8/9/1613467/bloody-elbow-judo-chop-matt-hughes

There was more technique involved than I originally thought.

Kaladarus · 08-09-10, 06:40 PM

Added embarrassment to submit gracie's student. He tried to do the same thing to Royce, but he wouldn't tap. Kind of a funny way to finish the fight though. Not many expected Hughes to win by submission.

THE_LOCKSMITH · 08-09-10, 06:49 PM

i don't know, i though a BJJ master like Almeida should have had some answer for that choke, looked like he just stood there and took it

BIGDAY · 08-10-10, 10:47 AM

I guess that's what I mean, I've never really seen that sub before. I agree, one would have to have pretty good stregth to finish a guy in that. Almeida should have had some counter to that, one would think.