UFC 107 - Penn, Kongo, Florian, Belcher. PAY ME!

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC 107 - Penn, Kongo, Florian, Belcher. PAY ME!
    When I think UFC, I think Memphis, Tennessee. Maybe once Cheick Kongo is done with his fight, he can record a country record. There could be a huge untapped market for giant black Frenchmen in country music. At least I’d buy it. UFC 107 winners – coming right up.

    BJ Penn -300
    Diego Sanchez +250

    A five round LW championship bout headlines the event, and what a matchup it is. For BJ Penn (14-5-1), it marks his continued rebound since the near-death experience he had at the hands of GSP. For Sanchez (23-2-0) it is a chance to soar with the eagles. This should be one of the good ones, but in the end, Penn’s skills and experience will down his exciting opponent. I’ll be on The Prodigy.

    Penn-Sanchez for LW title


    I’ve said it before and I’ll continue to say that Sanchez’s stare downs make me want to run out my living room screaming. He will always be one of the most intense guys to ever don the gloves. After a slight mid-career hiccup in which he lost consecutive meetings against Josh Koscheck and Jon Fitch, he is back, riding a 4-fight winning streak. He has beaten some of the game’s best in Kenny Florian, Nick Diaz, Karo Parisyan, Joe Riggs, Joe Stevenson and Clay Guida. In that last one, Sanchez and Guida put on quite a show, with Diego pulling out a split decision victory.

    The belt belongs to BJ Penn, and as talented as Sanchez is, I just can’t see it exchanging hands on this night. BJ just has too many weapons and ways to put a man down and out. Look for some patented glove licking by the champ when this one is all over.

    Frank Mir -190
    Cheick Kongo +165

    It could be a bad thing that I’m taking a guy with no ground game (Kongo, 24-5-1) against a guy with excellent ground game (Mir, 12-4-0). Time will tell. I just feel that the Mir hype train has been spiraling out of control since his fight against Big Nog. Mir looked like a world-beater in that one, which we later found out that Noguiera was under the weather. I’m not holding anything against Mir for his last match against Brock Lesnar where his face doubled as a side of beef. Once Lesnar gets on top of someone, it will be hard for anyone to escape.

    Does anyone remember a fight back in February, 2006 which featured Mir’s first fight back from his motorcycle accident against Marcio Cruz? I remember it quite well. I was huge on Cruz. I can’t recall what the odds were, but he was a sizable dog. Frank Mir’s face was pummeled so brutally, that everyone at my house, everyone in the crowd, was pleading with the ref to end it. It came out of nowhere and it was ugly. If anyone can repeat this performance, it’s Kongo.

    More of this please


    I was impressed with Kongo’s last fight against Cain Velasquez. He took a beating, and still was able to rock Brown Pride several times. I didn’t think he had that kind of persaverence in him. I’m taking a shot at him avoiding Mir’s submit attempts long enough to flex his muscle on his chin. And yes, I am afraid.

    Kenny Florian -220
    Clay Guida +180


    I’ve lost so much money lately betting against my favorite fighters against guys I hate or could care less about. I love Guida (25-7-0) so you know what that means, right? That’s right, I’m all over Florian (13-4-0). I’m a real winner.

    I’m glad to see Guida shed some of that “boring fighter” reputation he was gaining when he dropped a split decision to Sanchez. He’s a fun guy to watch once he gets going. It’s unfortunate that he’s going against a top-tier stud in Florian, because as much as I enjoy Guida, I enjoy money even more.

    It’s time for Florian to begin his own comeback after losing to BJ Penn recently. Below that very top tier, there’s not many guys who can compete with him. His UFC losses have come against Sanchez, Sean Sherk and Penn. He beats guys like Stevenson, Roger Huerta and Joe Lauzon. To me, Guida fits that second category of fighters – exciting, capable of winning any fight, but never going to break into that upper echelon of competitors.

    On a Christmas-themed side note, Guida is nicknamed ‘The Carpenter’ because he used to be one. I always thought it was because his flowing mane made him resemble Jesus. Either way, once Florian’s elbows are done with him, he will resemble the crucifiction scene to a tee. Wait, maybe that was an Easter story. Whatever, money on Florian.

    Merry Easter


    Wilson Gouveia -125
    Alan Belcher -105

    In my opinion, both of these guys are perennial UFC journeymen. That’s nothing to dismiss however, as I feel that this could be the sleeper Fight of the Night. Both guys can put on a show for the crowd and display some heavy fists. I’m looking forward to it.

    The good news for Belcher (13-5-0) is that hes’ not fighting an Asian. He’s 0-2 against guys named Yoshihiro and Yushin. Unless Gouveia (12-6-0) changes his name to Wilshichito, he should be fine. Both are coming off of a loss, and I see Belcher enduring some flurries by Gouveia for an exciting win in the later rounds.


    ***REMINDER*** To get in the SBR UFC 107 Capping contest.

    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


  • The HOFF
    SBR MVP
    • 07-02-08
    • 4847

    #2
    I disagree with your picks which makes you an idiot. EliteXC>Pride
    Comment
    • Bread
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-16-08
      • 23726

      #3
      I agree with you disagreeing with me. Which makes me an idiot.

      No wait I messed that up...
      Comment
      • Bread
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-16-08
        • 23726

        #4
        PS...A little funny:

        When writing this, I tried to remember the guy that beat up Mir in '06. Thought it was Mario Cruz, instead of MarCio Cruz. Big mistake.

        Did a Google search to see if I recognized him. And I have my safe search OFF! Well, MARIO Cruz is a gay porn star. My retinas were seared. It just wasn't fun. Lots of pictures of this proud little fella, except he's doing very very very very very bad things.



        My poor, poor eyes.
        Comment
        • shady610
          SBR MVP
          • 01-12-06
          • 1570

          #5
          i think diego could take this. i think his pace will push bj too much. Penn can last a few rounds, but at a pace diego can push is a different story.

          I think mir wins. He is my favorite fighter, but he is one only a few fighters who doesnt have an in-fight ege( i know his interviews are ego driven ) But in his fights, he tends to stick to his strengths. And we all know his strenth and kongos weakness.

          Im a little confused about Florian/guida. I know florian is the superior fighter, but i cant imagine guida wanting another loss. As esciting as he is, i dont think they will keep him without some wins. With this motivation, he may pull it out
          Comment
          • The HOFF
            SBR MVP
            • 07-02-08
            • 4847

            #6
            Originally posted by Bread
            When writing this, I tried to remember the guy that is a gay porn star. It was Mario Cruz.

            I did a Google search to see if I recognized him. It was fun. Lots of pictures of this proud little fella.
            I don't care Bread. I still like you.
            Comment
            • Bread
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-16-08
              • 23726

              #7
              Hoff, I knew gay guys existed, but I had NO idea what they were capable of. My very last grain of innocence has been trampled.

              Comment
              • illmatick
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-05-09
                • 5456

                #8
                looks like 3-1 to me
                Comment
                • Boddhissatva
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 04-10-09
                  • 655

                  #9
                  Mir has put on like 25 pounds of muscle...and I don't think he's stupid enough to stand with Cheick Kongo...if he's smart he'll study Kongo's fight with Cain Velazquez..
                  I put money on GUida because of the value...
                  Comment
                  • The HOFF
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-02-08
                    • 4847

                    #10
                    All of a sudden I don't feel so good about my bet on Mir. I feel like I have actually fallen into his self created hype.
                    Comment
                    • RobbReport
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-22-09
                      • 2042

                      #11
                      I think Mir might have chicken dance fever tomorrow.
                      Comment
                      • urge2kill
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-27-09
                        • 1722

                        #12
                        Originally posted by The HOFF
                        All of a sudden I don't feel so good about my bet on Mir. I feel like I have actually fallen into his self created hype.
                        Bodog had Kongo at +190 yesterday so I arbed off my -175 Mir, and added a little on Kongo. Still at +185. The rest of the market is +170 or below.
                        Comment
                        • RobbReport
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-22-09
                          • 2042

                          #13
                          going with my new kid theory and taking Penn here. Won big on Rashad vs Liddell with that one.
                          Comment
                          • illmatick
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-05-09
                            • 5456

                            #14
                            lol, looks like we are thinking the same thing

                            I will probably buy back on kongo as well
                            Comment
                            • Bread
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-16-08
                              • 23726

                              #15
                              LOL! Im more scared of my Kongo bet than any other, so please don't let me contribute to scaring you off Mir.

                              Hold me now.
                              Comment
                              • Bread
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-16-08
                                • 23726

                                #16
                                OK here we go.

                                Penn 5 units
                                Kongo 5 units
                                Florian 25 units!!!
                                Struve 2.5 units

                                Parlay
                                Penn
                                Kongo
                                Fitch
                                2.5 units to win 8.25 units.
                                Comment
                                • illmatick
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 5456

                                  #17
                                  bread I promise you we will make some money with penn tonight

                                  add another 5 units !!!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • Bread
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-16-08
                                    • 23726

                                    #18
                                    No way dood! Going too huge on Florian! That's my make it or break it play for tonight.

                                    God bless our plays Illy!
                                    Comment
                                    • Bread
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-16-08
                                      • 23726

                                      #19
                                      God bless Marcio Cruz and his huge dong.

                                      Comment
                                      • spurginobili
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-09-09
                                        • 3065

                                        #20
                                        I've got Sanchez, Mir, and Guida.

                                        25 units? Ken-Flo



                                        Hope you cash that one Bread.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bread
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-16-08
                                          • 23726

                                          #21
                                          spur I feel good about that one.

                                          I hope I am able to purchase this tomorrow online (out of town tonight) without accidentally seeing any of the results. Fat chance of that I'm sure.

                                          Where is best place to purchase tomorrow? UFC or Yahoo? I dunno.
                                          Comment
                                          • spurginobili
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-09-09
                                            • 3065

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Bread
                                            spur I feel good about that one.

                                            I hope I am able to purchase this tomorrow online (out of town tonight) without accidentally seeing any of the results. Fat chance of that I'm sure.

                                            Where is best place to purchase tomorrow? UFC or Yahoo? I dunno.
                                            I've never purchased an event online before. You might check your cable listings. I would prefer to watch on TV than computer. Same price? Not sure.
                                            Comment
                                            • Kaladarus
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-09
                                              • 1876

                                              #23
                                              Download the torrent for free if you're going to wait until tomorow anyways.
                                              Comment
                                              • Eccocide
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-12-09
                                                • 2126

                                                #24
                                                I thought Clay was called the Carpenter because he lays like a carpet on his opponents? . I didn't have the balls to touch the guida/florian fight but GL to you with that 25UNIT PLAY.

                                                And I would kindly ask for you to keep your gay-porn fetish pictures to yourself!
                                                Comment
                                                • MexicanStallion
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-08-08
                                                  • 20429

                                                  #25
                                                  Good luck pal. I hope you cash.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Immortality
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 12-20-07
                                                    • 4599

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Bread
                                                    spur I feel good about that one.

                                                    I hope I am able to purchase this tomorrow online (out of town tonight) without accidentally seeing any of the results. Fat chance of that I'm sure.

                                                    Where is best place to purchase tomorrow? UFC or Yahoo? I dunno.
                                                    Download it if you are going to watch it the next day and get it for free.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • flyingillini
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 41219

                                                      #27
                                                      Don't Fear Me, Fear the Consequences- Paul The Head Hunter Buentello

                                                      Orale Guey
                                                      המוסד‎
                                                      המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                                                      Comment
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