UFC 103 - Headliner be Damned!

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  • Bread
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-16-08
    • 23726

    #1
    UFC 103 - Headliner be Damned!
    Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.


    I knew the day would come when I had to face Rich Franklin again. Saturday night’s UFC 103 will finally make this moment happen. I have been dreading it ever since June when he beat Wanderlei Silva to kill my biggest bet of the year. I lost a lot of money and a bit of my dignity that day.

    The truth is I’m still not ready to face this guy yet. For the first time ever, I’m not writing about the headlining fight between Franklin and Vitor Belfort. I’m sure I’ll end up making a small play on it, but to be honest, I just don’t care enough to spend time thinking about it. I do have four fights that I like, and it looks like Bread is chocked full of chalk. But winners are winners, and I am a winner-pusher right now, lurking the schoolyards. Just tell me how much you want, kids.

    Junior Dos Santos -135
    Mirko Cro Cop +115

    All respectable serial killers come equipped with three names, and these two certainly fit the description. But unlike John Wayne Gacy and Henry Lee Lucas, these triple threats have made careers of destroying opposing fighters.

    OK, maybe “Cro Cop” is only a nickname, but that was still fun. Mirko Filipovic (25-6-2, 1 NC) has still been mowing them down for a long time. Recognized for possessing devastating kicks, Cro Cop has but together an impressive career. The problem he faces comes in the form of Dos Santos (8-1-0) who is an up and coming serial killer, while Mirko is on the way down.

    Filipovic had lost to two consecutive UFC contenders (Gabriel Gonzaga and Cheick Kongo) before gaining a controversial win over Mostapha Al Turk. That fight was marred by an inadvertent eye poke that probably left Mirko with some of Al Turk’s cerebellum under his fingernails. He sprinkled in a few fights in between those events, but nothing of major significance.

    Enter Junior Dos Santos, who is 10 years younger (25), two inches taller (6’4”) and just an all-around bigger bad ass. The man is a beast. Think Hank McCoy minus the blue fur (that one was for all my comic book nerds out there!)


    Junior Dos Santos is a Beast!





    Dos Santos has completely dismantled Fabricio Werdum and Stefan Struve in the first round. He has been steamrolling guys. And just in case he gets himself in some trouble, he lists his favorite grappling technique as being on his back. So he’s got some tricks in store for the rare occasion that he gets taken down as well.

    To find Junior Dos Santos at these odds is to die for. Won’t you join me?

    Josh Koscheck -365
    Frank Trigg +305

    This is Koscheck’s (14-4-0) first fight since a devastating, huge KO upset at the hands of Paulo Thiago. I fully expect him to regain his winning ways as he makes a stop on the UFC Old Balls Tour. Once known as a pure wrestler, Kos has been smacking guys in the mouth as of late. His double KO against Yoshiyuki Yoshida was one of the most impressive I’ve ever seen, proving that his game is constantly improving.

    Frank Trigg (19-6-0) makes his return to the UFC. He has been around forever, and just like Mark Coleman, has the beaten, leathered skin to show for it. Now I’m not betting against Trigg because his losses have come against big name players like Matt Hughes (twice), GSP, Carlos Condit and Robbie Lawler (soon to add Koscheck to the list). I’m not betting against him because he actually called Koscheck “a good, young, faster version of me.”

    No, I am betting against Frank Trigg because his nickname is Twinkle Toes. Game, set, match.

    Tyson Griffin -275
    Hermes Franca +235

    “So I told shorty I be producing,
    I be making those bets
    Be making those hits, ya know”

    --R. Kelly

    Even R. Kelly is a fan of the little guys. And Griffin (13-2-0) and Franca (20-7-0) are certainly shorties, as both fighters stroll in at a diminutive 5’6”. I may have changed the word “beats” to “bets” for my own amusement, but I think that R. Kelly would understand. As long as he doesn’t pee on me.


    R. Kelly says “Bet on Griffin!”



    I am a Tyson Griffin fan. I find his fights exciting and he has taken out a who’s who of notable lightweights. Clay Guida, Thiago Tavares, Tibau Gleison and Marcus Aurelio have all suffered defeats to Tiny Tyson.



    Franca is fighting for the first time in almost a year. His nickname is “The Unreal” and it might be my favorite moniker of them all. But that’s not going to be enough. Do not be afraid of Griffin’s large odds.



    Efrain Escudero -160


    Cole Miller +140



    Oh man I am in a pickle with this fight. But I learned at a young age that it’s better to be in a pickle than to have a pickle in me. This can be overcome.



    I don’t get Cole Miller (15-3-0). I remember his goofy butt on TUF Season 5 and he was a bit of a joke. I can’t seem to relinquish that memory, but when I look at his fight record, it demands more attention than I’ve been giving.



    Miller beat Andy Wang straight out the box. No biggie there, as Wang couldn’t beat up Terry Schiavo with her hands tied behind her back. He then took a decision from respected veteran Leonard Garcia. That was a bit weird. That was followed up by a TKO loss to hard-hitting Jeremy Stephens. All was right with my original opinion. But then, he earned consecutive choke-out victories against the very exciting Jorge Gurgel and UFC pariah Junie Browning. Now I’m just lost!



    This is one of two fights that will air for free on SpikeTV right before the pay-per-view. This pleases me because I’m excited to see how this one plays out. Cole Miller has been using his lankiness to perfection, and his four inch height advantage over undefeated Escudero (12-0-0) could present a problem. But once again, I just can’t see it happening.



    I’m going to be on Escudero, who won me good money on the TUF finale when he out-wrestled favorite Phillipe Nover. I’m a little leery, but can Miller, who is just a goofier version of Peyton Manning, really continue to take out relevant guys like Efrain? I’m banking on “No!”



    Don’t forget to enter the free SBR UFC 103 Capping Contest here.



    Efrain Escudero



  • MexicanStallion
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-08
    • 20429

    #2
    Good write ups. Looking forward to Saturday
    Comment
    • Bread
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-16-08
      • 23726

      #3
      Mex let's hit some friggin parlays again!!!
      Comment
      • MexicanStallion
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-08-08
        • 20429

        #4
        Originally posted by Bread
        Mex let's hit some friggin parlays again!!!
        Sounds like a plan. I will post my plays tomorrow
        Comment
        • Eccocide
          SBR MVP
          • 01-12-09
          • 2126

          #5
          Nice work Bread. I'm against you on a couple so you are probably in good shape! And just add a sprinkle on Belfort so you can feel the satisfaction when Franklin is laid out on the canvas
          Comment
          • Bread
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-16-08
            • 23726

            #6
            Yea I can't see me betting on Franklin if at all. That filthy SOB.
            Comment
            • spurginobili
              SBR MVP
              • 05-09-09
              • 3065

              #7
              LOL.The Breadman delivers again. What would your fighting nickname be? Or sub-nickname- 'The Delivery', 'Yeast', 'Whole Wheat'
              Comment
              • Bread
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-16-08
                • 23726

                #8
                My fighting nickname would be "El Pan es Malo!"


                Man I'm angry right now. I just remembered that I had written down a parlay for UFN the other night...but by the time I got done making all my plays, I was pretty much tapped at 5dimes and Phoenix, who are the only 2 books I use that allow MMA parlays. So I didn't do it.

                Just remembered, went back and looked. Was going to put 2.5 units on Maynard, Condit, Stann and Stephens. Would've paid 18 units. Dammit.
                Comment
                • Willie Bee
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-14-06
                  • 15726

                  #9
                  I bet Robyn's not afraid of Rich Franklin.
                  Comment
                  • Bread
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-16-08
                    • 23726

                    #10
                    Willie are you saying that you find him to be an attractive man?
                    Comment
                    • Dad
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-08
                      • 23245

                      #11
                      nice write up.
                      Comment
                      • Bread
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-16-08
                        • 23726

                        #12
                        Thanks Pop!

                        PS...I obviously meant to say Gleison Tibau, instead of Tibau Gleison up there. That's what I get for writing late while drinking.
                        Comment
                        • JoshW
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-10-05
                          • 3431

                          #13
                          Good writeup. Looks like you could hit a four teamer.
                          Comment
                          • The HOFF
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-02-08
                            • 4847

                            #14
                            Did you already bet Escudero? Don't know if you saw they weigh-ins, but he looked TERRIBLE.
                            Comment
                            • illmatick
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 01-05-09
                              • 5456

                              #15
                              I did the same thing bread, no choice but to buy back on miller with the way Efrain looked at the weigh-ins, Efrain is now down to as low as -125
                              Comment
                              • Bread
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-16-08
                                • 23726

                                #16
                                I did not bet it yet. Jeezus how bad did he look? I was a little scared of this fight to begin with...
                                Comment
                                • brooks85
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-05-09
                                  • 44709

                                  #17
                                  even if he did come in at 155, he still would have been out of shape. He had more than 2lbs of fat hanging on him, it looked like.
                                  Comment
                                  • Bread
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-16-08
                                    • 23726

                                    #18
                                    Looks like a 4-0 write-up to me. 7-1 in UFC write-ups this week
                                    Comment
                                    • The HOFF
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-02-08
                                      • 4847

                                      #19
                                      Did Hermes Franca look like the Brazilian Ronald McDonald to you?
                                      Comment
                                      • JoshW
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 3431

                                        #20
                                        Congrats Bread. You are on fire.
                                        Comment
                                        • Bread
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 03-16-08
                                          • 23726

                                          #21
                                          Hoff we kept saying he looked like a little old bag lady. I will search hi and lo for a gif of the little old bag lady getting punched in the face.


                                          Thx Josh. Did you hit your big play? Wasn't it Dos Anjos??
                                          Comment
                                          • Eccocide
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-12-09
                                            • 2126

                                            #22
                                            Excellent work Bread! Poor Frank Trigg..I dont think that was the welcome back present he was looking for .
                                            Comment
                                            • Bread
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-16-08
                                              • 23726

                                              #23
                                              Kos seems to be getting better and better IMO.
                                              Comment
                                              • Sledge187
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-25-08
                                                • 3722

                                                #24
                                                It stinks that Rich lost but Vitor looks like the real deal again.
                                                Comment
                                                • JoshW
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 3431

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Bread


                                                  Thx Josh. Did you hit your big play? Wasn't it Dos Anjos??
                                                  It was a good night, best in a while.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JMUplayer
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 08-27-09
                                                    • 2765

                                                    #26
                                                    Picking favorites really isn't that impressive
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bread
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 03-16-08
                                                      • 23726

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by JMUplayer
                                                      Picking favorites really isn't that impressive
                                                      Calm down bitter new guy. If you want to see the +200 and even +300 dogs I've picked in the last two months as well, go looking around.

                                                      God bless.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MrMonkey
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-09-08
                                                        • 2278

                                                        #28
                                                        I know nothing about UFC, but since Chuck Liddell was on Dancing with the Stars, I will give you a update! The 8 men contestants went at it last night! The women go tonight! Chuck was alittle stiff in his movements! His pro dancing partner while practicing said you have to smile all the time! The smile turned out like he was gritting his teeth!

                                                        Chuck still might make it through to the second round since George Hamilton's son (WTF is that) sucked and Michael Irvin didn't take my advice of doing a couple lines before performing! Some black men can't dance! MrsMonkey will keep me abreast of the situation!

                                                        RS II (aka Monkey)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bread
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 03-16-08
                                                          • 23726

                                                          #29
                                                          I saw Lidell's "dancing" last night. It was hilarious. I haven't seen someone look that out of place since I won a contest to hangout with Georgetown's basketball team for a day back in 1987.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • StraitShooter
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 07-22-09
                                                            • 10464

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Bread
                                                            I saw Lidell's "dancing" last night. It was hilarious. I haven't seen someone look that out of place since I won a contest to hangout with Georgetown's basketball team for a day back in 1987.
                                                            Did you hang out with Tommy Lang
                                                            Comment
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