Save Up Your Money - UFC 266

[magpie878]

The biggest lock I think I've ever seen in my few years of watching MMA.

I thought the line would come out at -2500 or worse.

I also know many people, smartly, won't take such a high ML.

But if you'd like to make a few bucks very easily, just save up (or keep winning and accumulate more!) and put in on Shevchenko over Murphy. And save some of that money for a few ITD bets, which I don't see prop odds on just yet.

This will be ugly and painful to watch if you're rooting for Murphy. Quite possibly a doctor's stoppage.

Last time I'd looked at DraftKings, line was -1000. Now it's -1125. Murphy at +700 and should be double that.

Only way Shevchenko loses is if she breaks a foot kicking Murphy hard. And it's backwards. If it's busted but still in place, she wins anyway.

[agendaman]

something fishy here.bookies never give away money.

[magpie878]

The fishy part is people will say "value's on Murphy at +700" and take her.

[Thor4140]

The fishy part is people will say "value's on Murphy at +700" and take her.

That is why they set the lines so high in these type of matches. The average Joe falls for that value nonsense all the time. My issue is that in Mma you use your whole body and fluke shit happens like you stated. I will always remember the loot I would have lost if the ref stopped the Jones Sonnen fight because of Jones toe. If Sonnen last five more seconds we would have had a new champ who got demolished in a fight and I would have been broke.

[hankcream]

I’ve learned too many times that betting women’s MMA is about the same as playing slots, but Shevchenko is the closest think to a lock as there is in the gambling world.

[magpie878]

That is why they set the lines so high in these type of matches. The average Joe falls for that value nonsense all the time. My issue is that in Mma you use your whole body and fluke shit happens like you stated. I will always remember the loot I would have lost if the ref stopped the Jones Sonnen fight because of Jones toe. If Sonnen last five more seconds we would have had a new champ who got demolished in a fight and I would have been broke.

Yep... anything can happen and sometimes does.

Nothing is a lock... but this is as close as it ever gets.

[agendaman]

agreed M878 . i have long said re all sportsbetting - what value is there if you have the wrong side.

[magpie878]

Bump. Trying to help here.

[PaperTrail07]

Line seems right to me honestly....anytime it gets into the -1500-2000 range something like an ankle roll comes into play.... Illegal shot ect...

[PaperTrail07]

Vegas has LOVED these type of bet....they got burned on maybe what--buster douglas vs tyson LOL....

All $ goes into their pocket and the fave only played in parlays...

[Demonata]

A -1000 favorite you say is a lock?

[magpie878]

A -1000 favorite you say is a lock?

I say the biggest lock in my few years of following MMA. NOTHING is a lock, but it's the closest you'll get.

Murphy is not good. Several decision should have been lost. Record is a mirage. Comes out looking like she got destroyed each match. Gonna be ugly.