UFC on ESPN 4: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards (July 20, 2019)

[Hugo de Naranja]

good call hugo!!!!

Thanks Jibs! Took less than a minute combined.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hedge:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/a10110bb21ZZjU0NUNublJBOHFGRVM1L2ljdz09/

Congrats on the big parlay hit! Hitting a (+3500) is no joke

[Hugo de Naranja]

Always bet on Black.. ..

On to the Manny Pac figh nowt.. Fading him he's to old.

This is gonna be a good night for JIBS.. Needed a rebound event and got it. I know I didn't post pending for most of this event but I did win it and solidly.. NO LIE.. Feels good after the last event disaster.

Nice job Jibs! Rebounded here too

[terpkeg]

like i said it was no robbery at all.. weve seen some actual robberies where somebody clearly won rounds and lost..
that fight nobody was really throwing any output it was just 2 counter fighters moving around throwing feints and barely connection on anything .... basically a 50/50 fight maybe slightly trinaldo for the pressure.. but hometown judges in a close fight you gotta think hernandez was getting it

Trinaldo "pressure" was bull shit. He moved in to range but rarely threw anything then would but his hands up trying to goat Hernendez into throwing when he was simply trying to counter the whole time as well. If anything, Hernedez initiated more action with the grappling exchanged (not saying he was effective). Trinaldo landed like one quality strike the whole fight and people seem to think robbery. It was a close fight. No one took the victory.

[Baraldsson]

Juan Adams took 31 strikes before Dan jumped in for anyone that tought it was early lol..

Sometimes the ref's got no choice but to save a fighter from themselves. Couldn't let Adams continue to take all those unanswered strikes to the head.

[Shagdogy]

Harris ML -155, 3u
Harris KO/TKO -110, 1.1u
Aldana decision +140, 1u
Bautista ML +166, 1.25u
Adams ML -110, 1.1u
Abreu+Borg+Edwards +322, 1u

Not a bad night. About 5.5u win. Not sure how I feel about the Adams/Hardy stoppage. Only watched once real quick. Also feel like I had a shot with Aldana but that decision was probably right. Aldana just too scared to commit like she needs to. Oh well, all around solid night.

[Snowball]

that was the worst UFC Fight Night I've seen in many years.
I thought Trinaldo and Peterson were both robbed.

[Snowball]

Trinaldo "pressure" was bull shit. He moved in to range but rarely threw anything then would but his hands up trying to goat Hernendez into throwing when he was simply trying to counter the whole time as well. If anything, Hernedez initiated more action with the grappling exchanged (not saying he was effective). Trinaldo landed like one quality strike the whole fight and people seem to think robbery. It was a close fight. No one took the victory.

bull. Trinaldo was hurting Hernandez bad. He advanced constantly while all Hernandez did was run around trying not to fight and a couple times try to tackle him which failed every time. Trinaldo won that fight, it was a hometown fix job for the up and comer. Hernandez is a chicken.

[Pr0ph3t]

What a night!

[Pr0ph3t]

Congrats on the big parlay hit! Hitting a (+3500) is no joke

Nice one. Better safe than sorry.

[Shagdogy]

Gut feel says 100% Walt Harris flatlines Oleinik.

Trying to be a bit more calculated and reasonable, I think Harris wins around 70%. Value in that line.

This is the clearest I’ve seen a fight in a long time. I had to give Oleinik some respect after I rewatched his fights cause he really is a dog, but I felt like I always knew how this one would go.

[Thrilla]

Shagdog hitting most of your leans last week helped give you confidence to go for the real thing this week.

[Thrilla]

Jon Anik and Megan Olivi break down how Leon Edwards beat Rafael dos Anjos at UFC Fight Night in San Antonio. Anik says Edwards is a well-rounded fighter and his speed was too much for dos Anjos. Olivi expects Edwards to have a lot of attention on him after this victory, and Anik says Edwards calling out Jorge Masvidal shows his confidence moving forward. Anik says Greg Hardy "romped" Juan Adams and proved he's capable of finishing opponents early. Olivi explains that Walt Harris made a huge statement by defeating Aleksei Oleinik. Anik gives high praise to Andrei Arlovski, saying he looked better than he has ever seen him.

[G Anon Dropout]

that was the worst UFC Fight Night I've seen in many years.
I thought Trinaldo and Peterson were both robbed.

One judge had Peterson losing every round. Peterson totally dominated on the ground in the first round and almost chocked him out and had more strikes landed in the other two rounds.

[petersurf79]

Edwards is a dog. Dude fought the perfect fight and showed how well rounded his game is. He just beat RDA handily. He would give masvidal problems. Those technical strikers that slow the fight down and fight a smart methodical fight give Jorge problems. Definitely not a good matchup for Jorge especially if he wants that title shot.

[UncleChael]

Lmao. Sick call. I seen you post your Edwards play on Monday .. you da man Hugo. Champ shit only

[UncleChael]

The Leon Edwards show. Hugo, how far do you think he goes in this Welterweight division? I wanna see him and Masvidal even more than their title shots..

[firekillex]

The Leon Edwards show. Hugo, how far do you think he goes in this Welterweight division? I wanna see him and Masvidal even more than their title shots..

imo edwards beats masvidal clear cut decision... too fast and long for him
Masvidal has 2 nice wins where he landed a big shot but people forget he just lost 2 in a row before that.. hes not some elite fighter with a record of 34-13... i think Edwards is a legit elite top 3/5 talent who could win a belt , being only 27 years old and improving every fight... his TDD last night looked great

[Hugo de Naranja]

One judge had Peterson losing every round. Peterson totally dominated on the ground in the first round and almost chocked him out and had more strikes landed in the other two rounds.

Yeah 30-27 Caceres was an awful scorecard.

[Hugo de Naranja]

The Leon Edwards show. Hugo, how far do you think he goes in this Welterweight division? I wanna see him and Masvidal even more than their title shots..

I think his ceiling is losing a close-ish decision to Usman in a title fight. Totally agreed on him fighting Masvidal. I think that's the fight to make.

[PaperTrail07]

He could win the title......just needs usman to take damage-get older and lose a step.LOL....

I think his ceiling is losing a close-ish decision to Usman in a title fight. Totally agreed on him fighting Masvidal. I think that's the fight to make.

[PaperTrail07]

I couldn't sell people on this-but knew it was going to happen.....anyone who thinks they dont have to work hard and their natural skills are good enough to coast in the UFC....NEWFLASH-your wrong---Hardy wanted that fight more and Adams IQ showed up again....

I'm absolutely backing the penetrating truck up on Hardy here....

[Hugo de Naranja]

I couldn't sell people on this-but knew it was going to happen.....anyone who thinks they dont have to work hard and their natural skills are good enough to coast in the UFC....NEWFLASH-your wrong---Hardy wanted that fight more and Adams IQ showed up again....

How much did ya win?

[PaperTrail07]

About $1,000 on that shit show LOL....so I loved it when Adams plan was to hide his face....that's a lot of action for me....I was standing for this one LOL...........Hit a $30 parlay to win $530(first 2 dogs and hardy) and $500 straight....if I knew the parlay was gonna cash I honestly doubt I would have bet the additional $500.....but fuckn glad I did lol...the +280 dog was simply a fade of a UFC guy who was VERY new and they gave him a tad too much credit....I didn't know much about the other fighter, but he brought it.....

How much did ya win?

[terpkeg]

bull. Trinaldo was hurting Hernandez bad. He advanced constantly while all Hernandez did was run around trying not to fight and a couple times try to tackle him which failed every time. Trinaldo won that fight, it was a hometown fix job for the up and comer. Hernandez is a chicken.

Most people seem to agree with you, so maybe I'm wrong.

[PaperTrail07]

As far as the Trinaldo fight...everyone on the planet-INCLUDING HERNANDEZ---knows he lost the fight......the announcer hit the nail on the head.....his coaches LOST him that fight IMO....they saw him overaggressive in 1 fight and lose---so they decided to TRY to turn him into a counter fighter....obv trinaldo expected to counter an aggressive fighter....but when Hernandez took the back seat.....he lost himself the fight and was not aggressive at all.....guy fought scared and dumb and

some idiot judges

gave him the nod....it was not even close IMO....30-27 Trinaldo EDGING every round....

I rewatched it and had to laugh...LOL...what were they watching

[PaperTrail07]

https://www.mmafighting.com/2019/7/22/20704029/francisco-trinaldo-win-bonus-ufc-on-espn-4-loss-alexander-hernandez

[PaperTrail07]

Also -please don't forget he is the last guy on the planet that deserved that BS.....this is the same guy who faked a glove tap w Dariush and tried to take his head off... guy is a total POS that disrespects the sport w moves like that

[Hugo de Naranja]

About $1,000 on that shit show LOL....so I loved it when Adams plan was to hide his face....that's a lot of action for me....I was standing for this one LOL...........Hit a $30 parlay to win $530(first 2 dogs and hardy) and $500 straight....if I knew the parlay was gonna cash I honestly doubt I would have bet the additional $500.....but fuckn glad I did lol...the +280 dog was simply a fade of a UFC guy who was VERY new and they gave him a tad too much credit....I didn't know much about the other fighter, but he brought it.....

Awesome job man!

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 4: Edwards vs. Dos Anjos Picks:
Domingo Pilarte Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Jin Soo Son Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Ray Borg Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Jennifer Maia Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Klidson Abreu Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Irene Aldana Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Alex Caceres Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Ben Rothwell Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Alexander Hernandez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Dan Hooker Round 1 KO (Punches)
Greg Hardy Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Walt Harris Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Leon Edwards Unanimous Decision (48-47 x3)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN 4: Edwards vs. Dos Anjos

ESPN Prelims:

Fight #1: Pilarte (DEBUT) vs. Colares
No Bet

Result: Felipe Colares Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)

Fight #2: Son vs. Bautista
No Bet

Result: Mario Bautista Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)

Fight #3: Borg vs. G. Silva (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Ray Borg Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)

Fight #4: J. Maia vs. Modafferi
No Bet

Result: Jennifer Maia Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

Fight #5: Abreu vs. Alvey
No Bet

Result: Klidson Abreu Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)

Fight #6: I. Aldana vs. Pennington
I. Aldana (-155) -1.55u
I. Aldana ITD (+405) -1u

Result: Raquel Pennington Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -2.55u
Card: -2.55u

Fight #7: Caceres vs. Peterson
No Bet

Result: Alex Caceres Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)

Main Card:

Fight #8: Rothwell vs. Arlovski
Parlays

Result: Andrei Arlovski Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)

Fight #9: A. Hernandez vs. Trinaldo
A. Hernandez (-175) +2u

Result: Alexander Hernandez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: +2u
Card: -0.55u

Fight #10: Hooker vs. Vick
Hooker (-125) +2u
Hooker Submission (+635) -0.5u

Result: Dan Hooker Round 1 KO (Punches)
Fight: +1.5u
Card: +0.95u

Fight #11: Hardy vs. Adams
Parlays

Added:
Hardy Round 1 (+200) +1u

Result: Greg Hardy Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +1u
Card: +1.95u

Fight #12: Harris vs. Oliynik
Harris (-150) +1.5u
Harris Decision (+680) -0.5u

Added:
Harris Round 2 (+550) -0.75u

Added Hedge:
Oliynik KO/TKO (+1315) -0.25u

Result: Walt Harris Round 1 KO (Punch)
Fight: +0u
Card: +1.95u

Fight #13: Edwards vs. Dos Anjos
Edwards (-140) +3u
Edwards Unanimous Decision (+305) +2.29u
Edwards Round 3 (+1450) -0.25u

Added:
Edwards+Dos Anjos Won’t Start Round 2 (+515) -0.5u

Added Hedge:
Dos Anjos Unanimous Decision (+315) -0.75u
Dos Anjos Split/Majority Decision (+655) -0.25u

Result: Leon Edwards Unanimous Decision (50-45, 49-46 x2)
Fight: +3.54u
Card: +5.49u

Straight Parlays:
Hardy+Adams Under 1.5/Harris+Oliynik Under 1.5 (+169) +2.54u

Results: See Above
Fights: +2.54u
Card: +8.03u

Prop Parlays:
None

Added:
Hardy+Adams Under 1.5/Harris (+200) +2u

Results: See Above
Fights: +2u
Card: +10.03u

Live Betting:
Edwards (-150) +1u after R2
Dos Anjos (+350) -0.75 after R3

Results: See Above
Fights: +0.25u
Card: +10.28u

Full Card Props:
None

FOTN: Son+Bautista
POTN: Harris, Hooker
Fastest Submission: None
Fastest KO: Harris R1 (0:12)
Decisions: 10
Results: See Above
Fight: +0u
Final Card Total = +10.28u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Rothwell/A. Shevchenko (+142) -1u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1u
Multi-Event Parlays = -1u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Picked spots well for a 9.28u Total Profit with an All Time Leading Four Exact Picks.