UFC on ESPN 4: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards (July 20, 2019)

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  • Sanity Check
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-30-13
    • 10962

    #71
    Greg Hardy's ex is a big MMA fan who actively posts on twitter.





    She has a good sense of humor.
    Comment
    • UncleChael
      SBR MVP
      • 10-30-13
      • 3979

      #72
      Build that wall!
      Comment
      • Hugo de Naranja
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-14-16
        • 14140

        #73
        Listening to the usual run of podcasts. Seems like everyone and their mother is picking RDA. Don't sleep on Leon man.
        Comment
        • Baraldsson
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 05-18-19
          • 514

          #74
          Originally posted by Sanity Check
          Juan Adams said his mother was a victim of domestic abuse, he personally asked for this fight with Greg Hardy to give himself an opportunity to beat up a domestic violence guy. Don't remember this ever happening before. How do people see this playing out? Will making things personal and putting additional pressure on himself negatively affect Juan Adams ability to perform?
          Seem to remember Derrick Lewis saying something vaguely similar about Travis Browne, although it might have been in the post fight interview rather than before the fight.

          I think Hardy KOs Adams but fingers crossed I'm wrong and Hardy gets a bit of a comeuppance like Browne did.
          Comment
          • Shagdogy
            SBR MVP
            • 06-16-10
            • 3564

            #75
            I think Hardy/Adams is going to become ugly HW action. Let Adams survive the initial onslaught and we probably see a lot of chin high, square jabbing from him, but enough to keep most of Hardy's power punches from landing. It goes long enough for both dudes to gas (which doesn't need to be THAT long) and they end up fighting on instincts alone. In a fight where I think both guys will have to just fall back on their instincts, give me the guy with the wrestling background. I think both guys get tired, but in the end Hardy ends up on his back and can't escape from underneath Adams. I'm predicting a KO/TKO for Adams via GnP. Hardy will not be out, and he will not like the stoppage, but he'll simply just be stuck under another very large man.

            Based on this read, I SHOULD be betting the over 1.5 but I can't unsee how easily Crowder was able to pass to side and crucifix for a second in the first round. If Adams gets a TD in the first minute and a half of round 1, he could end it from there as well. Hmmmmm. And if my read is wrong and Hardy KO's it will be early. So I don't have as much confidence in the over as one would think. I do believe in my read at least a little better than 50% though. I'm taking Adams, who has at least one fight skill, against men, that predates 2.5 years ago. I'd like to be invested in this one at least a little bit for as long as it lasts, so gonna go 1u on Adams. Might wait to see if fun money comes in on Hardy.
            Comment
            • Shagdogy
              SBR MVP
              • 06-16-10
              • 3564

              #76
              Originally posted by Enfuego
              If Hardy can KO Adams in the first 2:30 of the fight, he has a shot. If Adams is dumb enough to walk straight forward and throw down with Hardy, Hardy will KO him.

              If Adams avoids the bombs in the first half of round 1 then wrestles with Hardy, he will win a decision.

              Adams has some of the worst striking in the UFC.
              It's ugly but more effective than it should be. He's got a long reach and simply by leaving his jab out there he makes it hard for orthodox fighters to land their power right hand, and he keeps that jab going pretty constant. From the left side though, he is quite hittable. Keeps his right hand low and chin up high. I would expect Hardy to try to get busy with the left hook. Have to assume his coaches have seen that.
              Comment
              • hwgfb
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-27-15
                • 92

                #77
                HUGO / JIBBY, How many fights go the distance ? Thanks for all your insight to these fights!
                Comment
                • UncleChael
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-30-13
                  • 3979

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                  Listening to the usual run of podcasts. Seems like everyone and their mother is picking RDA. Don't sleep on Leon man.
                  RDA gonna give him that 3 piece and sodaaaa. It's gonna be good. I'll watch a Rocky fight again.. no play yet
                  I watched RDA beat up Robbie Lawler live
                  Last edited by UncleChael; 07-20-19, 09:13 AM.
                  Comment
                  • HurlSweatPants
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-28-15
                    • 951

                    #79
                    I'm heavy on Leon here. BOL today ladies.
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #80
                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                      Prelim write ups MMA MANIA - Parts 1 and 2..





                      125 lbs.:
                      Roxanne Modafferi vs. Jennifer Maia


                      The second The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) run for Roxanne Modafferi (23-15) proved more productive than the first, as she reached the semifinals with two (technical) knockouts before falling to Sijara Eubanks. “The Happy Warrior” has gone 2-1 in her latest Octagon run, including a notable upset of Antonina Shevchenko in April.
                      She stands two inches taller than Jennifer Maia (16-5-1) at 5’6.”
                      Maia defeated Vanessa Porto for the interim Invicta Featherweight belt, then successfully defended the full title against Modafferi and Agnieszka Niedzwiedz before jumping ship to the Octagon. Though she dropped a decision to Liz Carmouche in her debut, she enters the Octagon this Saturday on the heels of a decision over Alexis Davis.
                      She steps in for the injured Carmouche on a month’s notice.
                      Yes, Maia beat Modafferi the first time they fought. She did so, however, by pulling away in the championship rounds, which she won’t have the luxury of doing here. Modafferi has the edge in a three-round bout, especially considering Maia’s history of slow starts.
                      The Brazilian remains the better striker, and certainly still has the skills to sprawl-and-brawl her way to victory. Modafferi’s newfound wrestling prowess and Maia’s issues with takedown defense have me leaning towards “The Happy Warrior,” though. Expect Modafferi to bank the first two rounds and survive a late resurgence.
                      Prediction: Modafferi via unanimous decision
                      Related
                      Modafferi Gets Maia Rematch At UFC On ESPN 4


                      135 lbs.: Ray Borg vs. Gabriel Silva

                      It’s been one misfortune after another for Ray Borg (11-4) since his unsuccessful bid for Flyweight gold in 2017. After Conor McGregor shenanigans (details here) scratched a UFC 223 bout with Brandon Moreno, his newborn son’s medical issues scrapped the rebooked match up, and two different opponents fell through for his March return, “The Tazmexican Devil” lost a controversial decision to Casey Kenney that 15 of 18 recorded mixed martial arts (MMA) pundits scored for Borg.
                      Four of his six submission wins have come by rear-naked choke.
                      Gabriel Silva (8-0) — brother of UFC and Bellator veteran Erick Silva — has been effective if not terribly busy during his professional career, fighting just seven times in nearly eight years. His March stateside debut saw him end a two-year hiatus with an 83-second knockout of Jake Heffernan under the LFA banner.
                      He stands two inches taller than Borg at 5’6.”
                      “Gabito” lacks his brother’s striking variety, instead preferring to wing huge hooks, but boasts a more robust wrestling game to compensate. More important, he has more than five minutes of gas, which alone suggests that he has the higher ceiling of the two.
                      He’s still in for a rough start. Silva’s free-swinging offense leaves him vulnerable to Borg’s own wrestling, and the fact that Silva increasingly falls back on his takedowns when tiring suggests that things will just get worse for him as the fight progresses. The concern here is size, as Silva’s held his own at Featherweight before, but Borg’s got enough of a technical edge to offset what strength difference there may be. Borg wears him down with constant scrambles before finding the rear-naked choke late.
                      Prediction: Borg via third-round submission
                      Related
                      UFC San Antonio Poster Drops For ‘Dos Anjos Vs Edwards’


                      135 lbs.: Mario Bautista vs. Jin Soo Son

                      Victories in LFA and Combate brought Mario Bautista (6-1) to the Octagon, where he debuted on short notice against top prospect Cory Sandhagen in January. Bautista survived a flying knee to hit an early takedown, but tapped to an armbar late in the first round.
                      Three of his five stoppage wins have come by form of choke.
                      Korea’s Jin Soo Son (9-3) cut his teeth in the venerable DEEP promotion, where he knocked out Toshiaki Kitada in April 2018 to claim the Bantamweight title. He stepped up on short notice in Sept. 2018 against knockout artist Petr Yan, missing weight and losing a decision; however, he demonstrated his status as a “Korean Zombie” protege by claiming “Fight of the Night” in an insane brawl.
                      He’ll give up two inches of height to the 5’9” Bautista.
                      What makes this fight interesting is that we haven’t really seem all that these two have to offer. Bautista’s fight with Sandhagen was too short for proper analysis and Son didn’t get a chance to show anything other than his durability against a monster in Yan. It’s a pick-‘em because of insufficient data.
                      My heart says Son — he’s nightmarishly difficult to put away, and unless Bautista can maintain a calorically expensive grinding style for 15 minutes, Son’s persistence and power should carry him to victory.
                      Prediction: Son via second-round technical knockout
                      Related
                      McGregor Opens As Betting Underdog For Potential Masvidal Bout


                      135 lbs.: Domingo Pilarte vs. Felipe Colares

                      The 6’0” Domingo Pilarte (8-1) made a case for a “Contender Series” opportunity by winning four straight, including a 38-second uppercut knockout under the Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) banner. Despite a near-disaster at the end of the first round, “Son of Fire” came back to submit Vince Morales in front of Dana White and earn himself a contract.
                      This will be his first fight in just more than one year thanks to injury scrapping a Nov. 2018 debut opposite Brian Kelleher.
                      Team Nogueira’s Felipe Colares (8-1) claimed the Jungle Fight Featherweight title in 2017, setting up a Feb. 2019 UFC debut opposite Geraldo de Freitas. Colares ultimately fell short, struggling with his opponent’s wrestling en route to a decision loss.
                      “Cabocao” has submitted five opponents and knocked out another two.
                      Pilarte’s certainly a unique Bantamweight — he’s the tallest 135-pound fighter on the roster since George Roop called it quits, but prefers trading heavy leather to sitting behind a jab. Though it’s not a style that makes the most of his frame or one that’ll carry him to the top of the division, it makes him must-watch television.
                      It’ll most likely be his wrestling that carries him to victory here. Colares gave up six takedowns to de Freitas, so even if Pilarte’s long-range striking offense doesn’t work, Pilarte has an out. So long as his cardio holds up, he should be able to drag Colares to the mat as needed and wrap up a fight-ending submission soon after.
                      Prediction: Pilarte via second-round submission


                      145 lbs.: Alex Caceres vs. Steven Peterson

                      It’s been more than five years since Alex Caceres (14-12) choked out the surging Sergio Pettis to cap off a five-fight unbeaten streak, and “Bruce Leroy” is just 4-7 since. He was last seen welcoming Kron Gracie to the Octagon in February, tapping to the Brazilian jiu-jitsu great’s rear-naked choke two minutes into the first round.
                      He will have 3.5 inches of reach on “Ocho.”
                      Even though the gritty effort Steven Peterson (17-8) turned in against Benito Lopez on “Contender Series” didn’t result in victory, but did earn him a spot in the Octagon two fights later. He’s currently 1-2 in UFC with one “Fight of the Night” bonus to his credit and most recently dropped a decision to Luis Pena in March.
                      Eight of his 12 professional stoppage wins have come by submission.
                      On one hand, Caceres’ takedown defense is an Achilles’ heel he seems incapable of fixing. On the other, Peterson has nothing to offer besides pressure and wrestling that relies more on relentlessness than technique. Caceres’ long-range striking presents a quandary for “Ocho,” who has no means to close the distance besides just marching through it.
                      Peterson can definitely grind him out against the cage or from top position; however, I just don’t think he’s crafty enough to get himself into those positions consistently. Caceres potshots at range to take the decision.
                      Prediction: Caceres via unanimous decision
                      Related
                      UFC San Antonio Poster Drops For ‘Dos Anjos Vs Edwards’


                      135 lbs.: Raquel Pennington vs. Irene Aldana

                      Raquel Pennington (9-7) capped a four-fight win streak with an upset decision over Miesha Tate to earn herself a title shot against Amanda Nunes, only to succumb to ground-and-pound after 4.5 one-sided rounds. She returned six months later against Germaine de Randamie, who shut down the Coloradan’s wrestling to claim a wide decision victory.
                      She stands two inches shorter than Irene Aldana (10-4) at 5’7.”
                      Aldana got off to a rough start in the Octagon, losing a “Fight of the Night”-winning decision to Leslie Smith and a narrow split decision to Katlyn Chookagian five months later. She has since won three straight, including a comeback submission of Bethe Correia in Rio this past May.
                      All but one of her eight finishes have come in the first round.
                      Pennington at her best would be an issue for Aldana — the Mexican slugger doesn’t like pressure, even from technically inferior strikers. “Rocky’s” looked anything but her best against de Randamie, though, and the lingering effects of the Nunes beatdown remain a concern.
                      Aldana’s the better boxer of the two, and if Pennington can’t commit to powering through incoming fire to slow things down against the fence, she’s in for a long night. In short, Aldana rides her momentum and distance striking to victory.
                      Prediction: Aldana via unanimous decision
                      Related
                      Hardy: I Could Be The Greatest Of All Time


                      205 lbs.: Sam Alvey vs. Klidson Abreu

                      Sam Alvey (33-12) went 3-3 as a UFC Middleweight before making the move to 205 pounds, where he knocked out Marcin Prachnio and scraped past Gian Villante in his first two appearances. “Smilin’” has since suffered rough knockout losses to Antonio Rogerio Nogueira and Jimmy Crute, the former of whom was more than a 3:1 underdog.
                      He has dispatched 19 professional opponents via (technical) knockout, including five in the Octagon.
                      Klidson Abreu (14-3) — who boasts a submission win over Johnny Walker — brought a six-fight win streak into his late-notice Octagon debut, including wins over several European standouts. Top prospect Magomed Ankalaev proved too much for “Urso Branco,” though, claiming a decision in Prague.
                      The fight was Abreu’s first trip to the judges, as he has submitted 10 foes and knocked out another four.
                      Despite Abreu being a top prospect, Alvey can win this if he plays his cards right. The American’s takedown defense has historically been one of his strongest assets, and Abreu is definitely far less intimidating on the feet than on the mat. Thing is, Alvey is legendarily bad at playing his cards right, and even that fearsome power of his has been scarce lately.
                      Sure, he knocked out Prachnio, but Prachnio gave him that counter on a silver platter.
                      Abreu’s the stronger ground artist and should be able to at least hold his own against his infamously inactive foe on the feet. As a result, Alvey drops another frustrating decision.
                      Prediction: Abreu via unanimous decision

                      Main card -


                      170 lbs.: Rafael Dos Anjos (29-11) vs. Leon “Rocky” Edwards (17-3)
                      Finally, finally, we get to see Rafael Dos Anjos against someone other than a powerhouse wrestler again. As much as I love “RDA,” I’ve spent enough time watching him defend takedowns against the fence for one lifetime.
                      The pivotal question here is how well Dos Anjos can corral a rangy Welterweight. Edwards is the faster of the two, moves extremely well, and generally gameplans to perfection; Dos Anjos’ success hinges entirely on his ability to cut off the cage and force Edwards into close-range exchanges that nullify the Brit’s height and reach advantages.
                      As fond as I am of Dos Anjos, Edwards’ monumental improvements in recent years have me leaning his way. He’s faced and handily defeated come-forward fighters before, albeit none with the scientific pressure of Dos Anjos, and he has the wrestling to keep it standing. He’s not going to sit on the fence like Robbie Lawler and let Dos Anjos tee off on him, and he’s shown the gas tank to execute a clever, efficient game plan for 25 minutes. Edwards uses his length and movement to frustrate the former Lightweight champ’s relentless advance.
                      Prediction: Edwards by unanimous decision
                      265 lbs.: Aleksei “The BkofAma Constrictor” Oleinik (57-12-1) vs. Walt “The Big Ticket” Harris (12-7)
                      This fight can really only end in one of two ways: either Oleinik chokes Harris out or Harris knocks Oleinik into next week. If it hits the ground, Oleinik wins. If it stays on the feet, Harris wins.
                      Sometimes, it really is that simple.
                      Harris’ speed and striking technique eclipse Oleinik’s by a hilarious margin. If he fights smart, he has the strength and takedown defense to force Oleinik into the plodding, slugging style that failed him against Alistair Overeem. That’s a massive “if,” though; Harris threw away a fight he was dominating by illegally kicking Mark Godbeer in the head and nearly sleepwalked his way to a loss against Andrei Arlovski.
                      After seeing how ineffective Oleinik was against superior physical specimens in Overeem and Curtis Blaydes, though, I have to favor Harris. He shrugs off some early takedowns to spark Oleinik as soon as the latter starts trading.
                      Prediction: Harris by first-round knockout
                      265 lbs.: Greg Hardy (4-1) vs. Juan “The Kraken” Adams (5-1)
                      Nobody can deny that Greg Hardy packs a hell of a wallop, and his fight with Dmitry Smolyakov shows what happens when people are scared of him. When they aren’t, well, things don’t work out so well. Hardy failed to dent Allen Crowder, who recently suffered the second-fastest knockout loss in UFC Heavyweight history, and has little in the way of setups for his power shots.
                      That’s not to say this isn’t winnable for him; Adams tends to push his punches and will have an uncharacteristically small half-inch reach advantage, meaning he’ll struggle to keep Hardy off of him in the early going. “The Kraken’s” huge wrestling edge more than makes up for that, though, and his cardio is significantly more proven than Hardy’s.
                      This is a tossup for the first three minutes, after which Adams’ ground game and gas tank will take over. I say Adams is durable enough to survive the early artillery and ultimately polish his man off with ground-and-pound.
                      Prediction: Adams by second-round TKO
                      155 lbs.: James “The Texecutioner” Vick (13-3) vs. Dan “The Hangman” Hooker (17-8)
                      Man, these guys’ runs lost momentum with all the finality of Wile E. Coyote sprinting headlong into a painted-on train tunnel. Vick was 9-1 in the UFC when Justin Gaethje pasted him in 87 seconds, after which Paul Felder comprehensively took him apart last February. Hooker was 4-0 as a Lightweight with four dominant finishes, then took a beating from Edson Barboza that was genuinely difficult to watch.
                      They’re still good fighters; they just happen to be in a frankly ludicrous division.
                      I’ve made my disdain for Vick clear, but I favor him in this one. Hooker is at his best when opponents consistently come forward and swing for his head, allowing the Kiwi’s punching power and insane chin to dictate the outcome. When Barboza took a measured approach and started pummeling him from the neck down, Hooker couldn’t get his pressure going despite Barboza’s historical issues with fighting off the back foot. The 6’3” Vick is generally happy to potshot at range and I’m not sure Hooker has the tools to make him stop.
                      This fight’s entertainment factor will depend entirely on who controls the pace, and unfortunately for the viewers, that’s Vick. He uses his freakish size to pick the ever-advancing Hooker off for 15 tedious minutes.
                      Prediction: Vick by unanimous decision
                      155 lbs.: Alexander “The Great” Hernandez (10-2) vs. Francisco “Massaranduba” Trinaldo (23-6)
                      Fights between two guys who only move forward generally wind up being either wild firefights or frustrating, clinch-heavy affairs. Which one this is will determine the winner.
                      At range, Trinaldo’s vicious left hand and thudding knees give him the edge. In close, Hernandez’s constant takedown onslaught looks to be a problem for the hulking “Massaranduba,” who sometimes has to pace himself to stay effective for 15 minutes. The question, then, is whether Trinaldo’s prodigious strength, wrestling chops, and ability to do damage in close are enough to deter Hernandez and force the fight into a favorable speed.
                      He’s got the tools, but 40 years old, I’m not sure Trinaldo can keep up.
                      Though it’s closer than the oddsmakers have it, I do think Hernandez takes it through sheer activity. He puts the pace on Trinaldo, constantly fighting for takedowns and dominant clinch positions to secure the win.
                      Prediction: Hernandez by unanimous decision
                      265 lbs.: Andrei “The Pitbull” Arlovski (27-18) vs. “Big” Ben Rothwell (36-11)
                      These two first fought 11 years ago, very nearly to the day. In a sport like this, that first bout is practically ancient history; when Arlovski put an unholy beating on “Big Ben”, Fedor was the baddest man on the planet, Randy Couture and Minotauro Nogueira each had a piece of the UFC Heavyweight title, the WEC was still in full swing, and Forrest Griffin was a world champion.
                      This isn’t a fight, this is a time capsule.
                      Arlovski’s unquestionably experienced the greater decline; he had a brief resurgence that saw him flatline “Bigfoot” Silva and Travis Browne, but he’s 2-8 (1 NC) since a split decision over Frank Mir. He’s admittedly been competitive in his recent fights, though, making up for his lost athleticism by turning his bouts into slow-paced sparring matches.
                      That’s the concern for Rothwell. Despite being functionally indestructible and packing serious power in his hands, he can be strangely reticent to let his hands go, and we’ve seen big punchers like Junior Albini, Tai Tuivasa, and Augusto Sakai go into cruise control against “The Pitbull.”
                      Still, it’s hard to pick Arlovski now that the once-absurd speed disparity has narrowed, especially since Arlovski’s recent willingness to wrestle puts him in danger of Rothwell’s “Gogo Choke.” Rothwell clips him late in the first.
                      Prediction: Rothwell by first-round TKO
                      Comment
                      • Shagdogy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 06-16-10
                        • 3564

                        #81
                        Aldana isn't yet the quality of competition that Pennington has lost to, but from a style matchup standpoint she's the type that Pennington struggles with. Longer, faster, cleaner striker with solid counter wrestling. We've seen this before, and Pennington loses a decision. I wouldn't bet Aldana at -165 ML but taking her +140 to win by decision seems like an okay bet to me. I'll take my chances that Aldana plays it safe like she has in her past fights and point fights more than sits down on her punches.
                        Comment
                        • JIBBBY
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-10-09
                          • 83686

                          #82
                          Is Arlovski gonna dance and move and point fight to a decision win or is Big Ben gonna drop the bomb early and flatten out AA on the Octagon Canvas? This is the question in my mind? I may hedge them both.

                          1507 Arlovski wins by 3 round decision +300

                          1533 Rothwell wins by TKO/KO +215
                          Last edited by JIBBBY; 07-20-19, 01:18 PM.
                          Comment
                          • Hugo de Naranja
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-14-16
                            • 14140

                            #83
                            UFC on ESPN 4: Edwards vs. Dos Anjos Picks:
                            Domingo Pilarte Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                            Jin Soo Son Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                            Ray Borg Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                            Jennifer Maia Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
                            Klidson Abreu Round 2 TKO (Punches)
                            Irene Aldana Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
                            Alex Caceres Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
                            Ben Rothwell Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                            Alexander Hernandez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
                            Dan Hooker Round 1 KO (Punch)
                            Greg Hardy Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                            Walt Harris Round 1 TKO (Punches)
                            Leon Edwards Unanimous Decision (48-47 x3)
                            Comment
                            • Hugo de Naranja
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-14-16
                              • 14140

                              #84
                              UFC on ESPN 4: Edwards vs. Dos Anjos

                              ESPN Prelims:

                              Fight #1: Pilarte (DEBUT) vs. Colares
                              No Bet

                              Fight #2: Son vs. Bautista
                              No Bet

                              Fight #3: Borg vs. G. Silva (DEBUT)
                              No Bet

                              Fight #4: J. Maia vs. Modafferi
                              No Bet

                              Fight #5: Abreu vs. Alvey
                              No Bet

                              Fight #6: I. Aldana vs. Pennington
                              I. Aldana (-155) 1.55u to win 1u
                              I. Aldana ITD (+405) 1u

                              Fight #7: Caceres vs. Peterson
                              No Bet

                              Main Card:

                              Fight #8: Rothwell vs. Arlovski
                              Parlays

                              Fight #9: A. Hernandez vs. Trinaldo
                              A. Hernandez (-175) 3.5u to win 2u

                              Fight #10: Hooker vs. Vick
                              Hooker (-125) 2.5u to win 2u
                              Hooker Submission (+635) 0.5u

                              Fight #11: Hardy vs. Adams
                              Parlays

                              Fight #12: Harris vs. Oliynik
                              Harris (-150) 2.25u to win 1.5u
                              Harris Decision (+680) 0.5u

                              Fight #13: Edwards vs. Dos Anjos
                              Edwards (-140) 4.2u to win 3u
                              Edwards Unanimous Decision (+305) 0.75u
                              Edwards Round 3 (+1450) 0.25u

                              Straight Parlays:
                              Hardy+Adams Under 1.5/Harris+Oliynik Under 1.5 (+169) 1.5u

                              Prop Parlays:
                              None

                              Full Card Props:
                              None

                              Multi-Event Parlays:
                              Rothwell/A. Shevchenko (+142) 1u
                              Comment
                              • Hugo de Naranja
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 04-14-16
                                • 14140

                                #85
                                Originally posted by jacharron17
                                Loving the Under 4.5 for Dos Anjos and Edwards for the price given. Also, leaning under 2.5 for the Vick and Hooker fight. I see fireworks for those 2 fights. One fight I may surprisingly pick Over on is Oleinik and Harris. I think both will be extremely defensive for a round and a half.
                                Why's that? Both came out hard in their last fights and typically end their fights early win or lose.
                                Comment
                                • Hugo de Naranja
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 04-14-16
                                  • 14140

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                  I think Hardy/Adams is going to become ugly HW action. Let Adams survive the initial onslaught and we probably see a lot of chin high, square jabbing from him, but enough to keep most of Hardy's power punches from landing. It goes long enough for both dudes to gas (which doesn't need to be THAT long) and they end up fighting on instincts alone. In a fight where I think both guys will have to just fall back on their instincts, give me the guy with the wrestling background. I think both guys get tired, but in the end Hardy ends up on his back and can't escape from underneath Adams. I'm predicting a KO/TKO for Adams via GnP. Hardy will not be out, and he will not like the stoppage, but he'll simply just be stuck under another very large man.

                                  Based on this read, I SHOULD be betting the over 1.5 but I can't unsee how easily Crowder was able to pass to side and crucifix for a second in the first round. If Adams gets a TD in the first minute and a half of round 1, he could end it from there as well. Hmmmmm. And if my read is wrong and Hardy KO's it will be early. So I don't have as much confidence in the over as one would think. I do believe in my read at least a little better than 50% though. I'm taking Adams, who has at least one fight skill, against men, that predates 2.5 years ago. I'd like to be invested in this one at least a little bit for as long as it lasts, so gonna go 1u on Adams. Might wait to see if fun money comes in on Hardy.
                                  While Adams did wrestle in college, he only started training MMA in January 2016, 10 months before Hardy.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hugo de Naranja
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 04-14-16
                                    • 14140

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by hwgfb
                                    HUGO / JIBBY, How many fights go the distance ? Thanks for all your insight to these fights!
                                    I'll say 8
                                    Comment
                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-14-16
                                      • 14140

                                      #88
                                      Originally posted by UncleChael
                                      RDA gonna give him that 3 piece and sodaaaa. It's gonna be good. I'll watch a Rocky fight again.. no play yet
                                      I watched RDA beat up Robbie Lawler live
                                      Let me know where you end up
                                      Comment
                                      • hwgfb
                                        SBR Hustler
                                        • 11-27-15
                                        • 92

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                        I'll say 8
                                        Thanks at 5 1/2 with parlay
                                        Comment
                                        • PaperTrail07
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-29-08
                                          • 20423

                                          #90
                                          Rockey has the skills no doubt.....tough call for me...
                                          Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                          Listening to the usual run of podcasts. Seems like everyone and their mother is picking RDA. Don't sleep on Leon man.
                                          Comment
                                          • PaperTrail07
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-29-08
                                            • 20423

                                            #91
                                            IMO Hardy will be much faster and Adams is underestimating his power...I don't think Adams will take this to the ground BC hes hard headed......
                                            Originally posted by Enfuego
                                            If Hardy can KO Adams in the first 2:30 of the fight, he has a shot. If Adams is dumb enough to walk straight forward and throw down with Hardy, Hardy will KO him.

                                            If Adams avoids the bombs in the first half of round 1 then wrestles with Hardy, he will win a decision.

                                            Adams has some of the worst striking in the UFC.
                                            Comment
                                            • Shagdogy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-16-10
                                              • 3564

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                              While Adams did wrestle in college, he only started training MMA in January 2016, 10 months before Hardy.
                                              Yup. That’s the ONE fight skill either guy has cultivated over their lifetime. If they both gas I expect it to be the only one that matters any longer.
                                              Comment
                                              • JIBBBY
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-10-09
                                                • 83686

                                                #93
                                                I'm not posting pending this event. I had my worst event result in a year probably last time out.. Gun shy now.. Need to try and get back on my horse stealthy and win money today..
                                                Comment
                                                • JIBBBY
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-10-09
                                                  • 83686

                                                  #94
                                                  Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja
                                                  I'll say 8
                                                  I got 8 going the distance also.. Maybe 9..
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hwgfb
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 11-27-15
                                                    • 92

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                    I'm not posting pending this event. I had my worst event result in a year probably last time out.. Gun shy now.. Need to try and get back on my horse stealthy and win money today..
                                                    you got this!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hugo de Naranja
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-14-16
                                                      • 14140

                                                      #96
                                                      Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                      I'm not posting pending this event. I had my worst event result in a year probably last time out.. Gun shy now.. Need to try and get back on my horse stealthy and win money today..
                                                      Last card was super tough. Best of luck sir!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dawg58kahn
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 08-19-18
                                                        • 2106

                                                        #97
                                                        anyone has a stream please?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Shagdogy
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-16-10
                                                          • 3564

                                                          #98
                                                          Harris ML -155, 3u
                                                          Harris KO/TKO -110, 1.1u
                                                          Aldana decision +140, 1u
                                                          Bautista ML +166, 1.25u
                                                          Adams ML -110, 1.1u
                                                          Abreu+Borg+Edwards +322, 1u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Demonata
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 07-12-11
                                                            • 25829

                                                            #99
                                                            Domingo pilarte sucks ass
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Thrilla
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-10-15
                                                              • 13809

                                                              #100
                                                              Yall seen the weigh in face-offs? Edwards is huge next to RDA.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • PaperTrail07
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 08-29-08
                                                                • 20423

                                                                #101
                                                                Fight is a DRAW IMO.....Pilarte was weak sauce as biggest fav...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Thrilla
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-10-15
                                                                  • 13809

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Originally posted by Shagdogy
                                                                  Harris ML -155, 3u
                                                                  Harris KO/TKO -110, 1.1u
                                                                  Aldana decision +140, 1u
                                                                  Bautista ML +166, 1.25u
                                                                  Adams ML -110, 1.1u
                                                                  Abreu+Borg+Edwards +322, 1u
                                                                  GL.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PaperTrail07
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 08-29-08
                                                                    • 20423

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Nice win....RESPECT....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • nyrider88
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 07-12-17
                                                                      • 355

                                                                      #104
                                                                      lets go mario, jin soo's son aint got shit
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • boss_of_um
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-18-11
                                                                        • 1092

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Is it just me or whenever there is a split decision, whichever fighter wins on the 1st judge's announced card is the one who always wins?
                                                                        Comment
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