Trinaldo Fight is Off....Grrrrr
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Tough card for me....pick the Brazilians ? lol
Andrade
Silva
Aldo
Alves
NoggComment -
Bethe 141 lbs
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I just don't think aldana should ever be that high against a decent female fighter. Aldana will tag her on the feet but she's awful hittable herself and you can't rule out the crowd going nuts early and influencing this fight. I think people underestimate bethe because she's rather quirky and weird and tends to take damage but she can make fights very close with much better strikers and I think aldana can shy away when push comes to shove like the Leslie Smith fightComment -
Like Rose Namajunas at +115 and the over.Comment -
if she was going to crumble it would have been the 2nd Joanna fight and she went out there like a pro and piece Joanna up. Lets not forget Joannna pieced Andrade and she will get pieced up even worse in this fight. when Rose realizes how easy it is to hit her she will most likely end up stretching her. All that wild swinging will faze Rose a little until she realizes how easy it is to get away from the punches and counter the shots. Just like it does to all the big punches who finally fight someone who knows how to box. And if she was so weak mentally why would she go to Brazil?Comment -
deal Hugo. Just one question u guys all say you bet at five dimes but are all pinching me with the line. From my vantage point i was getting +105 for 100 yesterday. Now it is +110. Were did u guys see it was +100 for 100? I will settle for it tho. You guys won the battle but i will win the war. Bunch of pinching pricks
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If Irene Aldana's hands look half as good in her fight, as they do hitting pads here, I'll be impressed.
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So before that Aldana fight, the guy was 7-1 and he had defeated a grand total of ONE guy with more than 1 win in their career pre-fight and that guy was 6-5 and was the last guy he fought before Aldana. The rest of the guys he fought were absolute bums that NEVER won a pro fight after that minus one guy who won a couple and his record is still 2-2 today. You can say that talent is talent and I agree with that to an extent but what are the chances this guy is actually a decent talent coming out of Argentina and fighting absolute bums?
Lastly, Hector Aldana was easily one of the worst fighters on the UFC roster. He won one fight on that awful TUF Latin America season and then was finished by Enrique Marin. He took over THREE years off after the TUF show and then mysteriously comes back to JOB to Kenan Song on a Singapore card. Less than 5 months later, the UFC decides to bring him in to fight Staropoli in his home country of Argentina to try and let the kid get a showcase fight. He wins the fight by decision easily but he shows he's willing to get into absolute WARS with jobbers like Aldana. That isn't a good sign regardless of how lopsided the fight was.Comment -
That may not be the best answer but we can't really judge this kid too much until he gets in the cage with a half way competent fighter and he hasn't done that yet. This guy went from a slight dog against Aldana to a pickem against Thiago Alves in his next fight. Mind blowing stuff but I just can't imagine this kid has the goods to go into Brazil and fight a legend like Alves who is much more experienced and technical (maybe not as a distance striker but overall)Comment -
@TPowell Thanks for the response. We shall seeComment -
I was tempted to bet Alves too but sometimes you gotta just go with what your eyes see and forget about the records for a bit.
Everyone was on Aldana against Staropoli because he was a can crusher. The problem is that tape didn't show how much he improved. Aldana actually improved too but Staropoli came out looking like a very legit volume striker. Technically, it's hard to see too many things he's doing wrong. Great volume, great variety, has good movement, and can switch stances and looks equally good in both stances. He landed some very clean strikes on Aldana and Aldana ate them well.
Yes he hasn't fought anyone good and Aldana is not UFC level. But technically speaking, he seems to have the tools to win this fight against a very low volume Alves. Whether he does it or not I have no idea. I guess I would slightly favor Alves. But if this kid is still making improvements and you don't know what you're going to get, it's really hard to bet on the old man who has been through a war and been KO'd recently. Looks like a pretty clear pass to me.Comment -
Anyone think Rose Namajunas vs Jessica Andrade will resemble the Cory Sandhagen vs John Lineker fight.
I hope it doesn't, that was a judging nightmare.Comment -
rooting for Rose big time and I think she will rise to the occasion assuming she does not get KO'd early...Comment -
Ended up only betting on Aldo and Silva. Good luck boys!Comment -
Rose with some sucess early. Moving around a lot early and hitting Andrade with long range strikes. Andrade just marching forwards, probably getting outstruck but landing a few of her own as Rose jumps in a bit too deep into the pocket with fencing like shots. At some point in early rounds, Andrade finds a way to back Rose to the cage where she starts having more success. Tide turns and Rose is less mobile and Andrade with increasing pressure starts getting better of exchanges. Andrade maybe hits some TDs at the end of rounds to maybe beats Rose up down there a bit. Maybe Rose gets a second win and makes a few of later rounds close but the optics of Andrade moving forward pressuring wins her close rounds in Brazil with the help of the crowd.
I expect some Rose success early since she always starts fast and Andrade has a habit of dropping the 1st round. Also, Rd1 will give us a good idea of whether she actually has learned to fight backwards. If she barely gets touched at all in Rd1 and Andrade has no success at all, then we should probably get big dog odds on Andrade and can choose to pass or take a stab. What I'll be looking for is Rose lateral movement and whether she can strike on the back foot without jumping into range and giving Andrade some opportunities to land after Rose has thrown. If Andrade is just barely missing on her returns early, then I'd expect those to land in later rounds.Comment -
It isn't the record as much as its the lack of ANY competition faced. He did all those things you mentioned and I do think he's improving obviously but this is a massive step up in hostile territory against a legend in Alves. I don't know my geopolitics that well but I'd say it'll be VERY difficult for a guy from a border country like Argentina to get the nod over a native Brazilian in a fight that should be Staropoli's volume against Alves counter striking with more pop.Comment -
I added 0.5 units on Araujo ML at +250. Meant to do this earlier but lost track. She's fighting up 2 weight classes here but she's probably got a slight reach edge as Bernardo is very short for 135. On the feet, Araujo should pick her apart with her long straight punches and she does have some pop on them. She picks her shots pretty well and doesn't just throw without setting things up. Bernardo could crash forward and take her down probably but Araujo's TDD has looked good so far against less than impressive competition and her ground game isn't bad. She has some decent back takes and ability to get dominant positions but she's very loose and will give up positions that she shouldn't at the wrong time. It probably leads her down the road of getting controlled on the mat here but her feistiness on the mat could also lead to her escaping and getting back to her feet or finding a rare sub late as Bernardo's cardio is very questionable. The only downside is that Araujo is on a weeks notice here herselfComment -
Also a little sprinkle on Araujo by SUb at +1630Comment -
Also 0.5 unit on Araujo!Comment -
Looking to cash out $500 bucks this event. I think Aldo takes this for various reasons. My only worry is Silva toying around with Cannonier and getting clipped.Comment -
Hes totally unreliable at this point, in one round he can fight evenly with Israel, the other he just doest throw any punches at all.
Its a reason why you dont see me betting Silva DESPITE how tempting it may feel.
Its hard...se..+120 +130 you know its a 50/50 fight...at the end of the day, this isnt a coin toss with 10.000 throws were you will get you 20-30% advantage.
You loose...you lost your money and thats it.
Be greedy, and and buy out.
Thats my opinion, obviously you can do what the hell you want.Comment
