UFC on ESPN+ 3: Blachowicz vs. Santos (February 23, 2019)

[UncleChael]

Stefannnn The Skyscraperrrrr Struveeee

[Thrilla]

^^ Nice call Thrilla

Hillary bless

Ty and you good call with Carmouche..women's MMA pimp daddy...

[magpie878]

Yeah, he was over +200 on DK and I slept on it. Oh well. Nice reversal of round 1 for Struve.

[Thrilla]

Fuckk them. Wanted to take Struve Live. He was (+220) on another book.

Fkked up...every round starts on the feet I believe you.

[magpie878]

And yes, Thrilla, good advice on that one.. my best value was to not go the distance at +130.. all smaller bets (except on Carmouche) getting me back from the awful Praz loss.

[UncleChael]

Stefan Struve is a Gangster! Great Career brother!!!!!!

[Thrilla]

Struve thinking about retiring. OK will not jump on backing you in your next fight then. Did that mistake with Miecha Tate's last fight.

[Hugo de Naranja]

It's Chael time

[Thrilla]

Who's the main-event master Unc. Chael on?

[UncleChael]

Alright, boys.....
Thiagooooooo Santoooos!!!! Don't Blink...

[Thrilla]

[bjpenn85]

Who won? Blah?

[Thrilla]

Who won R1? Live odds suggests R1 for Santos.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Live Betting:
Santos (-165) 1.65u to win 1u after R1
Santos+Blachowicz Goes Distance (+300) .5u after R1

[bjpenn85]

Blahowich wins 100%, nothing happening

[unlearn]

These guys blow. Turned this fight off. White guy a giant pussy

[bjpenn85]

Yes, fakking yes

[KingofKings]

Boom!

[magpie878]

Eh, lousy

[Hugo de Naranja]

It's Chael time

Chael gunna Chael. Nice pick brother!

[Vulcan300]

TY uncle!

[UncleChael]

Booom! Thiago Santos 3rd round TKO..

[Hugo de Naranja]

Great event for me. Won around 16u. Would have won 50u+ if fuckingg Rogerio de Lima had won. Had him in a 50/1 parlay where every other leg cashed.

[boss_of_um]

Open	3 Team Parlay
				Pending	2/23/19 4:30pm Live In-Play Fighting 1001 Blachowicz / Santos goes 5 rd distance +150* vs Fight won’t go 5 round distance

Made this after R2. So this is why it ended so quickly in R3 lol.

I did have Santos to win and Santos to win ITD so I don't feel too badly.

[Thrilla]

Fighters more conservative with energy in 5 rounder compared to 3 rounder fights. Just saying don't be so surprised when not much happens in the first round of a 5 round fight. Generally speaking obviously. Each fight is a case on it's own.

[bjpenn85]

Great event for me. Won around 16u. Would have won 50u+ if fuckingg Rogerio de Lima had won. Had him in a 50/1 parlay where every other leg cashed.

You have the winning recipe. You come well prepared before all the lines are up it seems and following a strict but measured protocol. Its insane to see how this strategy works weekend after weekend. Congrats!

[PaperTrail07]

good stuff here...loved the card

[JIBBBY]

Jan got dropped.. Was absent for half this card so I have no input.

I did think Jan would get dropped by Santos though.. Let's just put it that way ..

I'll try to post live for the next event.. This early start time thru me for a loop today..

[Thor4140]

Agree, if this fight stays standing and they are close rounds, I fully expect the rounds to go to Pudilova.

Luckily, Pudilova has been easy to take down and has shown zero ability off her back. Even a biased judge will have to give top control rounds to Liz.

I hope u were right turbo. I am saying this without knowing any results just yet

[Thrilla]

[Hugo de Naranja]

You have the winning recipe. You come well prepared before all the lines are up it seems and following a strict but measured protocol. Its insane to see how this strategy works weekend after weekend. Congrats!

I appreciate man. It's all about putting in the time and being ready when lines drop.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN+ 3: Santos vs. Blachowicz Picks:
Damir Ismagulov Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Rustam Khabilov Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Michel Prazeres Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Marco Polo Reyes Round 1 KO (Punches)
Gillian Robertson Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Chris Fishgold Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Dwight Grant Round 1 [T]KO (Punches)
Magomed Ankalaev Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Petr Yan Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Liz Carmouche Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Michal Oleksiejczuk Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Marcos Rogerio de Lima Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Thiago Santos Round 2 TKO (Body Kick and Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on ESPN+ 3: Santos vs. Blachowicz

ESPN 2 Prelims:

Fight #1: Ismagulov vs. Alvarez (DEBUT)
Ismagulov KO/TKO (+250) -1u
Ismagulov Round 3 (+950) -.25u

Hedge:
Alvarez Submission (+535) -.5u

Result: Damir Ismagulov Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: -1.75u
Card: -1.75u

Fight #2: Khabilov vs. Ferreira
Parlays

Hedge(s):
Ferreira ITD (+350) -.5u
Ferreira Submission (+610) -.25u

Result: Carlos Diego Ferreira Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: -0.75u
Card: -2.5u

Fight #3: Prazeres vs. Naurdiev (DEBUT)
Parlays

Result: Ismail Naurdiev Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-26)

Fight #4: Polo Reyes vs. Hadzovic
Polo Reyes+Hadzovic Won’t Go Distance (+130) +1.3u
Polo Reyes KO/TKO (+275) -.5u

Hedge:
Hadzovic ITD (+325) +1.63u

Result: Damir Hadzovic Round 2 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +2.43u
Card: -0.07u

Fight #5: Robertson vs. Macedo
Robertson (-135) +1u
Robertson+Macedo Won’t Go Distance (-117) +1.5u
Robertson ITD (+168) +1.68u

Added Hedge:
Macedo ITD (+505) -.5u

Result: Gillian Robertson Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +3.68u
Card: +3.61u

Fight #6: Fishgold vs. Teymur
Fishgold+Teymur Won’t Go Distance (-120) +2u

Hedge(s):
Teymur KO/TKO (+745) -.25u
Teymur Round 1 (+1000) -.25u

Added:
Fishgold+Teymur Won’t Start Round 2 (+165) -.5u
Fishgold Decision (+395) -.25u

Result: Chris Fishgold Round 2 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Fight: +0.75u
Card: +4.36u

Fight #7: Grant vs. Pedersoli
No Bet

Result: Dwight Grant Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Fight: +3.05u
Card: +7.41u

Added:
Grant (+145) +1.45u
Grant KO/TKO (+320) +1.6u

Main Card:

Fight #8: Ankalaev vs. Farias de Abreu (DEBUT)
Ankalaev -3.5 (-150) +1u
Ankalaev+Farias de Abreu Won’t Go Distance (-140) -1.4u
Ankalaev Decision (+414) +2.07u
Ankalaev Round 3 (+950) -.5u

Added:
Ankalaev Decision (+380) +1.9u

Added Hedge:
Farias de Abreu Submission (+315) -.5u

Result: Magomed Ankalaev Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)
Fight: +2.57u
Card: +9.98u

Fight #9: Yan vs. Dodson
Yan -3.5 (+100) +2.5u
Yan KO/TKO (+515) -.5u
Yan Round 3 (+1575) -.25u

Hedge:
Dodson KO/TKO (+1015) -.75u

Added:
Yan -3.5 (+115) +1.15u

Result: Petr Yan Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Fight: +2.15u
Card: +12.13u

Fight #10: Carmouche vs. Pudilova
Carmouche (-150) +2u

Added Hedge:
Pudilova Round 3 (+2000) -.25u

Result: Liz Carmouche Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Fight: +1.75u
Card: +13.88u

Fight #11: Oleksiejczuk vs. Villante
No Bet

Result: Michal Oleksiejczuk Round 1 TKO (Body Punch)

Fight #12: Rogerio de Lima vs. Struve
Parlays

Hedge:
Struve Submission (+325) +3.25u

Added:
Rogerio de Lima Decision (+300) -.5u

Added Hedge(s):
Struve KO/TKO (+450) -1u
Struve Decision (+750) -.5u

Result: Stefan Struve Round 2 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Fight: +1.25u
Card: +15.13u

Fight #13: Santos vs. Blachowicz
Santos Round 2 (+675) -.5u
Santos Decision (+735) -.5u

Added:
Santos (-125) +1u

Added Hedge:
Blachowicz Round 1 (+425) -.5u

Result: Thiago Santos Round 3 TKO (Punches)
Fight: -0.5u
Card: +14.63u

Straight Parlays:
Fishgold/Yan (-102) +1u
Ismagulov/Ankalaev (+101) +1.01u
Ismagulov/Fishgold (+110) +1.1u
Robertson/Fishgold/Ankalaev/Yan/Rogerio De Lima (+690) -.5u
Ismagulov/Robertson/Fishgold/Ankalaev/Yan/Rogerio De Lima (+1006) -.25u

Results: See Above
Fights: +2.36u
Card: +16.99u

Prop Parlays:
Ankalaev+Farias de Abreu WGD/Yan (-108) -1.08u
Ismagulov -3.5/Prazeres -3.5 (+120) -1.5u
Robertson/Carmouche+Pudilova GD (+121) +1.21u
Yan+Dodson GD/Rogerio de Lima+Struve WGD (+126) +2.52u
Ankalaev+Farias de Abreu WGD/Rogerio de Lima+Struve WGD (+140) -1.5u
Ismagulov -3.5/Khabilov/Fishgold ITD (+393) -.25u
Polo Reyes+Hadzovic WGD/Robertson+Macedo WGD/Fishgold+Teymur WGD/Ankalaev+Farias de Abreu WGD (+558) -.5u
Prazeres Decision/Polo Reyes KO/Grant ITD/Oleksiejczuk ITD (+16590) -.2u

Added:
Fishgold/Grant/Ankalaev/Yan/Carmouche+Pudilova GD/Oleksiejczuk/Rogerio de Lima/Santos (+4752) -.5u
Carmouche Decision/Oleksiejczuk Decision/Struve+Santos Goes Distance/Santos Decision (+15040) -.5u

Results: See Above
Fights: -2.3u
Card: +14.69u

Live Betting:
Santos (-165) +1u after R1
Ankalaev+Farias de Abreu Goes Distance (+250) +2.5u after R1
Santos+Blachowicz Goes Distance (+300) -.5u after R1
Dodson (+500) -.5u after R2

Results: See Above
Fights: +2.5u
Card: +17.19u

Full Card Props:
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+411) -.75u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+1156) -.25u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+3425) -.1u
Over 10.5 Fights Go Distance (+16800) -.1u

FOTN: None
POTN: Santos, Struve, Oleksiejczuk, Grant
Fastest Submission: Fishgold R2 (1:10)
Fastest KO: Oleksiejczuk R1 (1:34)
Decisions: 6
Results: See Above
Fights: -1.2u
Final Card Total = +15.99u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Yan/Askren (-113) 4.52u to win 4u
Ankalaev+Farias de Abreu WGD/Magomedsharipov (+108) -1.25u
Yan/Magomedsharipov (+111) 1u
Ismagulov/Magomedsharipov (+114) 1u

Added:
Yan/Magomedsharipov (+102) 1u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.25u, 7.52u of MEPs Carry Over to UFC 235
Multi-Event Parlays = -1.25u, 7.52u of MEPs Carry Over to UFC 235

[Hugo de Naranja]

Very nice morning of fights for me. Won on Hadzovic+Polo Reyes WGD + Hadzovic ITD Hedge, Robertson+Macedo WGD + Robertson ML + ITD, Fishgold+Teymur WGD, Grant ML + KO/TKO, Ankalaev -3.5 + Decision, Yan -3.5, Carmouche ML, Struve Submission Hedge, Straight Parlays, and Live Betting.

Lost 1.25u on Multi-Event Parlays but have 7.52u of MEPs carrying over to next week's event.

Hoping for a strong event on UFC 235. It will be a big event for me so potential big win or big loss there.