UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov (July 14, 2018)

**Rich Benjamins** · 07-14-18, 04:26 PM

Originally posted by Shagdogy

I feel like she has the TDs for it. May join you here for 1u. Haven't been able to cap this event so I'm just kind of running off memory and gut leans. Zingano felt right in this matchup unless she's a shot fighter. Reneau is solid off of her back, but Zingano has been able to avoid all subs but Rousey's armbar, so I guess a small bet is okay.

Right, and Reneau has been taken down before in her last couple of fights. Even by Beich Correia.

**Snowball** · 07-14-18, 04:28 PM

everyone at mmajunkie has bermudez beating glenn
books will make a lot if glenn wins

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 04:44 PM

07/14/2018
02:42 PM
JODIE ESQUIBEL -170 (JODIE ESQUIBEL VRS JESSICA AGUILAR)
59.00
34.71

Risk: 59.00 - Win: 34.71
MU - [24049] Jodie Esquibel -170 (Jodie Esquibel vrs Jessica Aguilar)
Game start 07/14/2018 03:45 PM
Ticket #368097527

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 04:56 PM

07/14/2018
02:55 PM
ELIAS GARCIA -150 (MARK DE LA ROSA VRS ELIAS GARCIA)
130.00
86.67

Risk: 130.00 - Win: 86.67
MU - [24046] Elias Garcia -150 (Mark De La Rosa vrs Elias Garcia)
Game start 07/14/2018 04:15 PM
Ticket #368098820

**firekillex** · 07-14-18, 04:59 PM

Originally posted by Snowball

everyone at mmajunkie has bermudez beating glenn
books will make a lot if glenn wins

tough to trust bermudez, seems like hes always the better / more skilled guy but finds a way to lose
he was piecing korean zombie up and lost that somehow, same as against Elkins guys a way better fighter but just has something missing

**BIGDAY** · 07-14-18, 05:03 PM

It’s FIIIIIIIIIIGHT NIIIGHT!

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 05:08 PM

PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
40.00
1083.89

Risk: 40.00 - Win: 1083.89
MU - [24042] Kurt Holobaugh -170 (Raoni Barcelos vrs Kurt Holobaugh)
Game start 07/14/2018 04:45 PM
MU - [24030] Said Nurmagomedov -130 (Justin Scoggins vrs Said Nurmagomedov)
Game start 07/14/2018 06:15 PM
MU - [24026] Alex Volkanovski -255 (Darren Elkins vrs Alex Volkanovski)
Game start 07/14/2018 06:45 PM
MU - [24022] Alejandro Perez -170 (Eddie Wineland vrs Alejandro Perez)
Game start 07/14/2018 07:15 PM
MU - [24014] Chad Mendes -125 (Myles Jury vrs Chad Mendes)
Game start 07/14/2018 08:15 PM
MU - [24006] Dennis Bermudez -175 (Rick Glenn vrs Dennis Bermudez)
Game start 07/14/2018 09:15 PM
MU - [24002] Junior Dos Santos -167 (Blagoy Ivanov vrs Junior Dos Santos)
Game start 07/14/2018 09:45 PM
Ticket #368099405

07/14/2018
03:03 PM
PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
50.00
1521.52

Risk: 50.00 - Win: 1521.52
MU - [24026] Alex Volkanovski -255 (Darren Elkins vrs Alex Volkanovski)
Game start 07/14/2018 06:45 PM
MU - [24022] Alejandro Perez -170 (Eddie Wineland vrs Alejandro Perez)
Game start 07/14/2018 07:15 PM
MU - [24014] Chad Mendes -125 (Myles Jury vrs Chad Mendes)
Game start 07/14/2018 08:15 PM
MU - [24006] Dennis Bermudez -175 (Rick Glenn vrs Dennis Bermudez)
Game start 07/14/2018 09:15 PM
MU - [24002] Junior Dos Santos -167 (Blagoy Ivanov vrs Junior Dos Santos)
Game start 07/14/2018 09:45 PM
MU - [24037] Liz Carmouche -125 (Liz Carmouche vrs Jennifer Maia)
Game start 07/14/2018 05:15 PM
MU - [24033] Randy Brown -134 (Randy Brown vrs Niko Price)
Game start 07/14/2018 05:45 PM
Ticket #368099741

A couple hail Marrys.

rippppppppp

**Snowball** · 07-14-18, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by firekillex

tough to trust bermudez, seems like hes always the better / more skilled guy but finds a way to lose
he was piecing korean zombie up and lost that somehow, same as against Elkins guys a way better fighter but just has something missing

those are my two dogs, Glenn and Elkins.
here's what I'm going with. good luck all !

Snowball's all-sport tracking thread - Sportsbook Review Forum

https://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/3478410-snowballs-all-sport-tracking-thread-p4.html#post27916232

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**SmellMyFinger** · 07-14-18, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

No way. Send me a screenshot of that please. 5Dimes.

was a mistake hope they dont change my bet ....

https://ibb.co/dymeHT

**Sanity Check** · 07-14-18, 05:47 PM

Missed round 1 of Esquibel vs Jaguilar.

Who took it?

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-14-18, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by Sanity Check

Missed round 1 of Esquibel vs Jaguilar.

Who took it?

I had it 10-9 Aguilar but not much happened

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 05:49 PM

Esquire sucking

**Sanity Check** · 07-14-18, 05:59 PM

I have no idea who won that fight.

**Shagdogy** · 07-14-18, 06:01 PM

That was just not a play to stick to with Esquibel at -130. When she was a dog last time, sure, but not the fave. Womp womp.

**ken10** · 07-14-18, 06:02 PM

terrible fight and lost like 4 units. DAMN.

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 06:05 PM

That one hurt bad.

**Thrilla** · 07-14-18, 06:06 PM

Butthurt Esquibel bettors...Good. Learn and move on.

**Sanity Check** · 07-14-18, 06:09 PM

Montana De La Rosa won her fight last week against Rachel Ostovich.

Will her husbando follow in her footsteps?

**Sanity Check** · 07-14-18, 06:15 PM

Fk. Should have bet more on De La Rosa.

**nyrider88** · 07-14-18, 06:19 PM

pure domination from Rosa

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 06:19 PM

Bell yeah I'm down a shut ton of money now. Fuk th is stupid shut card it's bull shut an ducking garbage suck Esquire an Garcia garbage people plusses filming duck duck duck duck penetrate

**ken10** · 07-14-18, 06:20 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Butthurt Esquibel bettors...Good. Learn and move on.

help us please

**BIGDAY** · 07-14-18, 06:21 PM

You guys are cracking me up early..

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 06:22 PM

Every ducking ynderdo g going to win on this stupid piece of shut card in bum duck Idaho. Boring shut as as city and a fuming bull shut card for me to lose a shut ton of money on thesebbitchws. First werewolf britches ten guy I pick first :

tea like a birch. Albemarle mother ducking consuming count ducking bucket ducks clock pushy shut Lisa's. Heads

**Thrilla** · 07-14-18, 06:25 PM

Next

Carmouche L. - Maia J.

**Sanity Check** · 07-14-18, 06:27 PM

Didn't Liz Carmouche defeat Alexis Davis last time but the judges robbed her? Ah well.

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-14-18, 06:29 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

Every ducking ynderdo g going to win on this stupid piece of shut card in bum duck Idaho. Boring shut as as city and a fuming bull shut card for me to lose a shut ton of money on thesebbitchws. First werewolf britches ten guy I pick first :

tea like a birch. Albemarle mother ducking consuming count ducking bucket ducks clock pushy shut Lisa's. Heads

Glad to have you back buddy

**Thrilla** · 07-14-18, 06:33 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Next

Carmouche L. - Maia J.

Or is

Holobaugh K. - Barcelos R.

Next?

Things getting shuffled? Hate this.

**Thrilla** · 07-14-18, 06:41 PM

Originally posted by Thrilla

Or is

Holobaugh K. - Barcelos R.

Next?

Things getting shuffled? Hate this.

Nope on point. Had me worried. Was shuffling when McGregor fukked the card probably only time.

Carmouche leading.

**spurginobili** · 07-14-18, 06:57 PM

Needed that one

Thank you Ms. Carmouche

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 06:57 PM

If Yarborough loses I'm punching my ducking window till it exploses

**Mackballs** · 07-14-18, 06:58 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

If Yarborough loses I'm punching my ducking window till it exploses

Yarborough hahahahhaha

**Hugo de Naranja** · 07-14-18, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by Demonata

If Yarborough loses I'm punching my ducking window till it exploses

Who the hell is Yarborough?

**turbozed** · 07-14-18, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by turbozed

I think I'm going to be playing Liz Carmouche here against Jennifer Maia. Anyone want to talk me out of it?

Maia's been undefeated in the her last 7 fights whereas Carmouche lost her 125 lbs debut against Alexis Davis. It's really a testament to Maia's steady style that she's been able to win her fights despite having no real attributes to speak of except for accurate punching and good volume.

The thing the records don't really tell you is poor judging and slow starts. The 5 round Invicta fights she's had have really benefited her because she would've lost her last two against Modafferi and Agnies if they had been 3 round fights. Roxy was up 2-1 on her after 3, and IMO Agnies won the first 3 rounds. We've seen how poorly she can do in 3 round fights with her slow starts as she lost to Deanna Bennet around 3.5 years ago. I'm not sure she has changed her style or improved much since then. Training at Chute Boxe certainly can't help.

Carmouche is a bit like Jessica Eye in that she has all the attributes to be a great fighter (strong, powerful grappling, submission ability, fast, lesbian) but ends up shitting the bed often. She was dominant in the 1st two rounds against Chookagian but then got lazy eating a headkick and almost getting finished in the 3rd round. Against Alexis Davis, she didn't get going until halfway into the fight and it ended up costing her.

Despite her questionable decisions this looks like a good style matchup for Carmouche. Despite her accurate boxing, Maia has a very upright and plodding stance. This makes her relatively easy to takedown. Both Roxy and Agnies were able to score takedowns against her despite neither being anywhere near having the strength and explosiveness of Carmouche. Carmouche has also been employing an in-out striking game with a lot of leg kicks and distance striking at range. When she commits to a TD, she is very deep into the hips of her opponents. This is going to be a good strategy against Maia who's reach is limited and won't be able to counter Carmouche unless she moves forward with a multiple punch combination. Carmouche should be able to draw these out and then change levels for a TD.

On the ground, Maia hasn't showed much. She was kept on her back by Roxy and Agnies and wasn't able to reverse positions on her own in those situations. Though Carmouche doesn't do much on the ground, she is a BJJ purple belt and a decent grappler, winning in grappling competitions like EBI. I think she'll have a clear advantage when she gets the fight there.

In clinch distance, Maia sometimes looks to pin girls up against the cage and stall the fight out a bit. I don't think this will work very well against Carmouche who, as mentioned earlier, is very strong and was overpowering Miesha Tate for 2 rounds against the cage.

Carmouche's cardio has been suspect in the past since she's dropped a lot of 3rd rounds in a big way after winning early. However, she looked very fresh in the 3rd round against Davis and dominated the 3rd in that fight.

I think we're getting a good price on Carmouche here who stylistically and physically should be a bigger favorite in this fight. Maia is ranked at the top of the 125lbs division because of her win streak, but this just seems like a bad matchup for her.

Hit this one spot on. If only esquibel didn't fight so conservatively.

**Demonata** · 07-14-18, 07:03 PM

Originally posted by Hugo de Naranja

Who the hell is Yarborough?

Kurt hobalabo