Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series #10 (June 19, 2018)

[Shagdogy]

Dwight Grant vs. Tyler Hill: Not much to see of either guy. Dwight Grant from AKA. Has some sharp kickboxing. Particularly counters. Hill looks a bit too slow for him. Low confidence pick is Grant by KO/TKO.

Ryan Spann vs. Emiliano Sordi: Outside of a flash KO for Sordi, Spann should win this fight, and Spann has a solid chin (see his fight vs. Nicholson). If he needs to take it down, Spann has a strong bodylock and pretty good ground game. He deserves to be a sizable fav here.

Chikadze vs. Springer: Springer is trash and way too hittable. Chikadze is a can crusher, and he will crush another one Tuesday night. Chikadze KO/TKO rd 1.

Hernandez vs. Wright: Solid, measured pressure from Hernandez. Buttoned up striking game. Opportunistic subs with very good guillotine. Wright has some okay RNC finishes but nothing that looks all that good. Seems like Hernandez will be too solid for Wright whose ceiling may just be too low regardless of his experience and time spent at JacksonWink. Hernandez gets the finish win here. Pressures Wright into shooting for a rest and then seeks out the finish.

Sayles vs. Hajeh: Don't have a good read here. Sayles is hyped up but hasn't looked worth the hype IMO until his last fight. He's young and at a decent camp so he could improve rapidly. Hajeh has been at UFCPI working on his game lately. Hard to tell what he really is. I'm avoiding any bets on this one.

Input appreciated. I capped these in a bit of a hurry so may have missed some key info here or there.

[Shagdogy]

Chikadze -250, win 1u
Hernandez -192, win 1u

[Rich Benjamins]

Grant has much better standup than Hill. Should be able to dominate. Spann said in an interview during the Nicholson fight that his new camp has transformed him into a killer. He showed that he can handle adversity vs Nicholson and KOed Nicholson on his feet, pretty rare for that to happen to Nicholson.

I like a Grant/Spann parlay.

[Shagdogy]

Grant has much better standup than Hill. Should be able to dominate. Spann said in an interview during the Nicholson fight that his new camp has transformed him into a killer. He showed that he can handle adversity vs Nicholson and KOed Nicholson on his feet, pretty rare for that to happen to Nicholson.

I like a Grant/Spann parlay.

I was thinking the same. Wish it paid more. I like 2 way parlays at even or better.

[spurginobili]

[Hugo de Naranja]

Parlayed up Hernandez/Chikadze (+109) for 2u.

Shameless tail of Shaggy here. I trust his analysis.

[Demonata]

Parlayed up Hernandez/Chikadze (+109) for 2u.

Shameless tail of Shaggy here. I trust his analysis.

Putting $50 on both underdogs. One has to lose and ill be happy.

[turbozed]

After watching tape on Hajeh/Sales, I was expecting the line to be around -200 for Sayles. -350 now is just a bit absurd. Yazan looks to have an advantage in the clinch and possible can be competitive if he can get Sayles on the ground (did not like how Sayles acquiesced to being on bottom in the first round to Hickman. I hear Sayles has improved a lot at Alliance working with Jeremy Stephens, but not sure he wins more than 75% of the time here. A flier at +300 sounds okay to me.

[Shagdogy]

Putting $50 on both underdogs. One has to lose and ill be happy.

You bet against both Hernandez and Chikadze? Shoulda just played Hugo’s parlay and then you could root with us.

[Shagdogy]

After watching tape on Hajeh/Sales, I was expecting the line to be around -200 for Sayles. -350 now is just a bit absurd. Yazan looks to have an advantage in the clinch and possible can be competitive if he can get Sayles on the ground (did not like how Sayles acquiesced to being on bottom in the first round to Hickman. I hear Sayles has improved a lot at Alliance working with Jeremy Stephens, but not sure he wins more than 75% of the time here. A flier at +300 sounds okay to me.

I agree. It’s the learning curve of Sayles that has me avoiding. It’s only highlights you can find if his last fight on Lookin for a fight but he beat a step up in competition and had some solid flashes of striking.

That said, line is too wide considering the little concrete evidence available.

[spurginobili]

After watching tape on Hajeh/Sales, I was expecting the line to be around -200 for Sayles. -350 now is just a bit absurd. Yazan looks to have an advantage in the clinch and possible can be competitive if he can get Sayles on the ground (did not like how Sayles acquiesced to being on bottom in the first round to Hickman. I hear Sayles has improved a lot at Alliance working with Jeremy Stephens, but not sure he wins more than 75% of the time here. A flier at +300 sounds okay to me.

Agreed, I'm taking Hajeh, especially at +300

[Shagdogy]

Damn... right when fights start, life gets in the way... looks like I'm watching on delay. Good luck everyone.

[turbozed]

I heard that Hernandez was in the hospital for an ear infection a few days ago so something to worry about there.

[Rich Benjamins]

Easy money. Now I can just relax and watch the rest of the show!

Grant has much better standup than Hill. Should be able to dominate. Spann said in an interview during the Nicholson fight that his new camp has transformed him into a killer. He showed that he can handle adversity vs Nicholson and KOed Nicholson on his feet, pretty rare for that to happen to Nicholson.

I like a Grant/Spann parlay.

[Rich Benjamins]

Spann has a killer right cross, when he connects guys go down! He snaps it so quick. Nicholson was out on his feet from it.

[kobejoshy]

Chikadze is a loser. No ground game. Legit just had to survive 55 seconds.

[kobejoshy]

He didn't fight hands or anything lol

[Demonata]

Austin springer!!! $147 profit. Good start. Got to love experience and wrestling!!

[JC2008]

F ucking pathetic.

[Rich Benjamins]

Damn, Giga still a beginner on the ground, was on his way to win the fight before getting taken down and subbed.

[Rich Benjamins]

Nice hit, Demonata! It feels especially good when your dog bet wins.

Austin springer!!! $147 profit. Good start. Got to love experience and wrestling!!

[turbozed]

Bet very small on Hill, Wright, and Yazan as dogs. Should've added Springer to that. Giga still has a gaping hole in his game.

[Demonata]

Nice hit, Demonata! It feels especially good when your dog bet wins.

Thanks man. Yeah i liked springer to win a lot. He has fought tough fights too so i gave him the edge the longer it went.

[Shagdogy]

Giga completely quit. No heart. Had that fight won on the cards.

[Demonata]

Its wright time!!!!!!

[Rich Benjamins]

Thanks man. Yeah i liked springer to win a lot. He has fought tough fights too so i gave him the edge the longer it went.

Right Giga might have gotten tired and slowed down in the 3rd, making him easier to get taken down and mount him.

[Shagdogy]

I heard that Hernandez was in the hospital for an ear infection a few days ago so something to worry about there.

Hoping he's still got enough to beat Wright. I'm not impressed with him. Spams the right kick and then just average grappling game. Wish I had known about a hospitalization though. Never a good thing.

[Shagdogy]

That was easy. Should've just stuck with Hernandez. At least I get a bit back. Wright sucks.

[spurginobili]

Beverly Hills Ninja goes down...and out

[Rich Benjamins]

Man, I should've just bet on Hernandez. I hadn't seen enough tape on Wright. But the way the guy looks and moves he looks like a flamingo. His boxing was horrible, and he couldn't take a punch.

[Demonata]

At least i hit springer against that bum chikaaz. So up $97 on the card which is fine by me.

[Shagdogy]

Gonna join you guys with a dog play on Hajeh... see if I can break even tonight. Not really the play I wanted, but why not? I think he has a big enough advantage if he gets top position to be better than +272.

Hajeh +272, risk .55u

[turbozed]

Welp, 0-2 on dogs. Let's hope Hajeh salvages my night. Only need 1 to win to get me in the green.

[turbozed]

Hoping he's still got enough to beat Wright. I'm not impressed with him. Spams the right kick and then just average grappling game. Wish I had known about a hospitalization though. Never a good thing.

Now I'm wishing I never heard of the hospitalization now. One of those scenarios where too much info is bad lol

[Demonata]

Not betting anymore this card but thinking matt sayles going to win easy