UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2

[Sato]

Hugo's 100 BetPoint Trivia Contest:

1. When was the last time that Megan Anderson went to a Decision?

2. Before the Joe Lauzon fight, when was Clay Guida's most recent finish? When was his most recent KO/TKO win?

3. Rafael Dos Anjos is a Southpaw. Including this week's fight, how many Southpaws has Colby Covington faced since October 2016.

4. How many former UFC Champions has Yoel Romero beaten? Who were they?

First correct response takes home some BPs courtesy of your boy Hugo.

1. July 2014 Barrett
2. January 2011 Gomi guillotine / April 2008 Schiavo TKO
3. 3 -> Barbarena, Kim, Maia (4 including Anjos)
4. Rockhold, Weidman, Machida -> 3

[SmellMyFinger]

Bump

1. 2014 Kerill Bernett
2. guilotined gomi in 2011
3. 4 all his fights since october 2016 were vs sowthpaws
4. 3 rockhold, weidman, machida

[SmellMyFinger]

Pay dis man his money ! (russian accent) --> Sato

[stonebanks]

I can’t find the link but I read an article a few weeks back where Cyborg hasalready been told she will be facing Holm in a rematch this year providing Holmwins her next fight. With this in mind, you would assume that the UFC thinkthis is a good match up for Holm. If she is to lose, I don’t know where shegoes from here. I would guess it’s time to retire.

[Mackballs]

Covington at -130 now with local...all the way from +105

Why the huge move?

[PaperTrail07]

-125 on books too from +105...

Covington at -130 now with local...all the way from +105

Why the huge move?

[Demonata]

RDA + money???? Nice hopefully people keep betting Covington

[Hugo de Naranja]

1. July 2014 Barrett
2. January 2011 Gomi guillotine / April 2008 Schiavo TKO
3. 3 -> Barbarena, Kim, Maia (4 including Anjos)
4. Rockhold, Weidman, Machida -> 3

Correct on all four! Nice job man!

[JIBBBY]

RDA + money???? Nice hopefully people keep betting Covington

I'm kinda leaning on the wrestler and by decision.. RDA was controlled and taken down by Kabib and even tossed around......







Covington could possibly wear down and finish RDA in this 5 rounder or RDA could possibly land something standing over the course of the long bout also, but both probably won't happen.. Covington is the wreslter and RDA is not finished easily. Gotta favor the Covington decision prop... Maybe even by UN decision..

Odds are crap for this prop though being that it is a 5 rounder.. I'd really like this prop more if it was just a 3 round fight, but it's not.. It probably still ends up going the distance though.. Covington wrestles and grinds his way to a decision and probably doesn't finish RDA is my best guess... Just like he did to my boy Demian Maia in his last fight..

1107 Covington wins by 5 round decision

+135

Covington has those wrestling chops...

Probably your better off just taking Covington straight at the -130 though.. Just in case Covington does beat RDA up on the ground and the ref stops it late.

UFC 225 - Welterweight 5 rounds - United Center - Chicago, Illinois - PPV
Sat 6/9		1101 Colby Covington		-130	o4½ -145
11:31PM		1102 Rafael dos Anjos		+110	u4½ +125

Colby will have to watch and protect his neck though against RDA...

[PaperTrail07]

Jibbers I'm leaning Cov due to cardio, pace and wrestling like you said....however the +135 is not good enough...just take the -120

I'm kinda leaning on the wrestler and by decision.. RDA was controlled and taken down by Kabib and even tossed around......







Covington could possibly wear down and finish RDA in this 5 rounder or RDA could possibly land something standing over the course of the bout also, but both probably won't happen.. Covington is the wreslter and RDA is not finished easily. Gotta favor the Covington decision prop...

Odds are crap for this prop though being that it is a 5 rounder.. I'd really like this prop more if it was just a 3 round fight, but it's not.. It probably still ends up going the distance though.. Covington wrestles and grinds his was to a decision and probably doesn't finish RDA is my best guess... Just like he did to my boy Demian Maia in his last fight..

1107 Covington wins by 5 round decision

+135

Covington has those wrestling chops...

Probably your better off just taking Covington straight at the -130 though.. Just in case Covington does beat RDA up on the ground and the ref stops it late.

UFC 225 - Welterweight 5 rounds - United Center - Chicago, Illinois - PPV
Sat 6/9		1101 Colby Covington		-130	o4½ -145
11:31PM		1102 Rafael dos Anjos		+110	u4½ +125

[Thrilla]

Somebody's '0' has got to go...

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[JIBBBY]

Jibbers I'm leaning Cov due to cardio, pace and wrestling like you said....however the +135 is not good enough...just take the -120

Yup that's the call.. Play the straight win Cov... Forget the dec prop, odds are garbage.. Maybe the Covington UN decision prop might have better odds worth taking a stab at, that prop hasn't come out yet...

[stonebanks]

Sell a kidney on the double for even money.
Bektic
Jackson

Might add under 1.5 rounds too for the Jackson punk fight as it’s also even money.

Having watched CM punks recent striking on the UFC Instagram page, I can comfortably say, I’ve had quicker sh*ts

[stonebanks]

What’s everyones opinion on Blaydes vs Reen?

I’m see a toss up between blaydes decision with a hedge of Overeem round 1 / ITD.

Not much discussion on this one thus far?

Stone.

[JIBBBY]

What’s everyones opinion on Blaydes vs Reen?

I’m see a toss up between blaydes decision with a hedge of Overeem round 1 / ITD.

Not much discussion on this one thus far?

Stone.

Reem has the experience, better striker, a submission game also that is worth noting if put on his back.. Blaydes solid chin and wrestling based fighter.. If he can put Reem on his back round after round he could win by decision..

Reem will test that granite chin of Blaydes if it stays standing..

UFC 225 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - United Center - Chicago, Illinois - FS1
Sat 6/9		1501 Alistair Overeem		+150	o1½ -150
9:30PM		1502 Curtis Blaydes		-170	u1½ +130

These props are worth noting...

1529 Overeem wins by TKO/KO

+460

1511 Blaydes wins by 3 round decision

+345

[stonebanks]

Reem has the experience, better striker, a submission game also that is worth noting if put on his back.. Blaydes solid chin and wrestling based fighter.. If he can put Reem on his back round after round he could win by decision..

Reem will test that granite chin of Blaydes if it stays standing..

UFC 225 - Heavyweight 3 rounds - United Center - Chicago, Illinois - FS1
Sat 6/9		1501 Alistair Overeem		+150	o1½ -150
9:30PM		1502 Curtis Blaydes		-170	u1½ +130

These props are worth noting...

1529 Overeem wins by TKO/KO

+460

1511 Blaydes wins by 3 round decision

+345

Yes, they will be my two plays.

Just rewatched the blaydes vs hunt fight. Blaydes close to being out in that first round which is what leans me towards a round 1 KO hedge for Reem but then again, Reem itd pays out well also.

Any thoughts on other fights? I see some good value on a lot of the fights this week.

Guida?
Arlovski?

[Thrilla]

Surprised you didn't say anything about Overeem's chin. Believe that is the leading angle in this fight....Jibbby oh chin-expert.

[Biffsbook]

Yes, they will be my two plays.

Just rewatched the blaydes vs hunt fight. Blaydes close to being out in that first round which is what leans me towards a round 1 KO hedge for Reem but then again, Reem itd pays out well also.

Any thoughts on other fights? I see some good value on a lot of the fights this week.

Guida?
Arlovski?

I actually like arlovski and think there's a lot of value to be had. He's got the experience and could easily decide to take tuivasa down. There's a lot of stuff we don't know about tuivasa as his wins are against weak opposition and we've yet to to see his TDD or cardio tested. I think the value is too good on arvolski to pass up with too many questions on tai unanswered. Will also look at a potential round 2/3 finish for arlovski

[stonebanks]

Sanitycheck
JC2

You guys PM’d me last week when I had some network issues in Dubai. Unfortunately I have only just seen your messages now which could have been a huge life saver for me last week.

It won’t let me respond to either of you by PM as I don’t have 40 posts, but thank you, major kudos.

Stone.

[JIBBBY]

Surprised you didn't say anything about Overeem's chin. Believe that is the leading angle in this fight....Jibbby oh chin-expert.

Reems chin is glass.. Blaydes I don't think will connect though, will try to grind, clinch and go for take downs probably... Overeem is probably gonna chin protect after his last fight and keep some distance maybe..

Reem could sleep though if he gases late and drops the hands.. Reem does lose his wind fast especially if there is grappling exchanges.. Cardio advantage has to favor Blaydes anyways...

Odd makers sure think Reems chin is glass based on these odds...

1533 Blaydes wins by TKO/KO

+135

Tough fight to call when you factor in everything..



Then again Blaydes does have some KO's in his past.. He touches Reems chin like in this gif below.. Reem will go nighty night..

[JIBBBY]

Reem is Reem though, has some power and pop for sure....

[Shagdogy]

Pretty whack betting card IMO. A few stabs at underdogs prob: Guida, Pettis by dec, Anderson. Might go ahead and parlay them with best favs like Blaydes or Bektic and look to hedge with the dog if I’m due some solid plus money on the final leg.

Other than that, a lot of FDGTD props that are juicy but very likely to hit IMO. We’ll see if I get the prop parlay option again.

[Hugo de Naranja]

When was the last time RDA fought a good wrestler?

[Thor4140]

Holm is the most overrated fighter in MMA. She is MMA's Buster Douglas. One big win and people still haven't jumped off the wagon after a dismal run of form. I like Anderson's power and I think Holm will oblige her in a kickboxing match where Anderson lands most of the hard shots.

I thought Miesha Tate was the most overrated till i seen her beat Holly. I cant bear to watch Holly and those butterfly punches fight again. How bad was woman’s boxing for this girl to be the champ.

[stonebanks]

I thought Miesha Tate was the most overrated till i seen her beat Holly. I cant bear to watch Holly and those butterfly punches fight again. How bad was woman’s boxing for this girl to be the champ.

1 unit on Anderson decision pays 5 units. Is this the play people are thinking? I don’t see Anderson KO!?

[Mackballs]

Anyway the arlovski fight goes the distance?

[PaperTrail07]

PVZ was nothing but an athletic gym girl that decided to fight LOL.....holly atleast has basic skills...

I thought Miesha Tate was the most overrated till i seen her beat Holly. I cant bear to watch Holly and those butterfly punches fight again. How bad was woman’s boxing for this girl to be the champ.

[PaperTrail07]

Arlovski is the KING of showing up in these situations.....very interested to see if he pulls this off .......I am leaning NO.....but he tends to surprise.....watch out for the new found TD LOL....

Anyway the arlovski fight goes the distance?

[PaperTrail07]

so pumped for this card...ill toss out all my bets here in a bit-give it a huGo look

[PaperTrail07]

My Picks:
Santiago (coming off 2 losses to better fighters, fights out of Chi, like the spot) +105
Guida +125 (small bet, will stay off the floor, has pace)
Bena -240 (coming in pissed off, will be close but win 29-28 or 30-27)
Smith -315 (Rashad avoids action in general, just don't see an out for Rashad)
Lamas +210 (guy still has it, coming off a loss)
Jackson -210 (cm punk is cm punk)
Blaydes -180 (Reem will fade and fold, possible)
Covington -120 would favor him more if it was a 3 rounder but still rolling with it
TITLE FIGHT (wait and see line) I get over +200 on Yoel I have to roll the dice there....Do believe Whittaker is more skilled and its his time
but yoel is a freak capable of anything IMO.......

[frankieunits2685]

1 more day

[Hugo de Naranja]

My Picks:
Santiago (coming off 2 losses to better fighters, fights out of Chi, like the spot) +105
Guida +125 (small bet, will stay off the floor, has pace)
Bena -240 (coming in pissed off, will be close but win 29-28 or 30-27)
Smith -315 (Rashad avoids action in general, just don't see an out for Rashad)
Lamas +210 (guy still has it, coming off a loss)
Jackson -210 (cm punk is cm punk)
Blaydes -180 (Reem will fade and fold, possible)
Covington -120 would favor him more if it was a 3 rounder but still rolling with it
TITLE FIGHT (wait and see line) I get over +200 on Yoel I have to roll the dice there....Do believe Whittaker is more skilled and its his time
but yoel is a freak capable of anything IMO.......

I like Lamas ITD a lot better than Lamas ML since he’s more of an opportunistic finisher than a consistent roundwinner. Also, wouldn’t take a side on the Jackson/Punk fight. Think best bet there is won’t go distance. The rest look good.

[UncleChael]

When was the last time RDA fought a good wrestler?

Theres this russian sambo guy that smothered him for all 3 rounds at 155.
#YourrWelcome tell'em uncle chael sent ya...
Booooom!!! Enjoy your Friday.

[Demonata]

Am I the only one on RDA? I think he's an overall better fighter than Covington. I actually see him submitting Covington.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Theres this russian sambo guy that smothered him for all 3 rounds at 155.
#YourrWelcome tell'em uncle chael sent ya...
Booooom!!! Enjoy your Friday.

That’s what I’m saying. RDA’s biggest flaw is that he doesn’t have elite TDD. I see Covington racking up a lot of takedowns here.