Vitucci FSP Bet Thread

[Richard Clock]

Another event with no real research other than recollection of these fighters' older fights. However, I looked through the card and came upon this line on 5Dimes - the best historical price since opening and best price currently available at any online book. Laprise is among the most consistent and underappreciated fighters in the division. Luque has a little bit of steam/recency bias coming off an impressive finish, but this should be a competitive scrap.

[Hugo de Naranja]

Another event with no real research other than recollection of these fighters' older fights. However, I looked through the card and came upon this line on 5Dimes - the best historical price since opening and best price currently available at any online book. Laprise is among the most consistent and underappreciated fighters in the division. Luque has a little bit of steam/recency bias coming off an impressive finish, but this should be a competitive scrap.

Regardless of result, research is key my friend! Gotta put in the hours if you want the results.

[Richard Clock]

Regardless of result, research is key my friend! Gotta put in the hours if you want the results.

I agree of course, but I have limited my volume and sizing of bets in the last few events where my research as been minimal. Still, I think I got a good price on my bet tonight and don't regret it all too much.

I added on a live bet of Macedo at +450, Risking 25. That puts me down $75 (1.5 units) for the night. If anything, I need to show more discretion with my live betting. It is fun to throw some smaller action while watching these fights, but it is slowly milking away my profits.

[Richard Clock]

Hey guys, haven't gotten a chance to post this, but for full disclosure, I made a live bet last week on Stephen Thompson after round 3 at +100: Risking 35. Still fine with the bet despite the outcome. My lean was Wonderboy coming into the fight, and didn't see enough in the first 3 rounds to be swayed otherwise.

As for this card, another card in which I haven't done much research, but I will adding this bet after reviewing the odds this afternoon:


I was very surprised to see how high these odds were for Tibau. I am getting the best price industry-wise currently and the best historical price on 5D. Both Green and Tibau have been solid, if not spectacular, in recent fights and I didn't see a large enough discrepancy in recent performance/"talent" to think this is anything but a coin flip.

[Richard Clock]

Adding on a live bet...Alvey -150 : Risking 60

[Hugo de Naranja]

Adding on a live bet...Alvey -150 : Risking 60

Nice win

[Richard Clock]

Nice win

Thanks. Have made a decent amount of change fading Villante. Hope your night is going well

[Richard Clock]

Adding on Spitz ITS +330: Risking 30...Walt Harris as a decent sized favorite versus anyone in the UFC is questionable to me.