UFC on FOX: Weidman vs. Gastelum (July 22, 2017)

[firekillex]

Mmm hmm. Big power lol I was about to bet you even money on that fight.

Go pro you broke bum maybe next time you can bet me
still made profit on the card , let me guess you didnt?

neil magny a long ranger striker is like Chris weidman a wrestler lmaoooo
nick Diaz is like yoel Romero right guys ???

and if you still don't think Bermudez has power you know nothing about the sport... his power is what actually plagues him because he doesn't set up his shots he just wings huge explosive hooks because any clean shot could be a KO , If he used more technique then power he would've won easily.. even both a announcers literally said "wow this guy is extremely powerful"

[Rich Benjamins]

We discussed this before the fight happened.

Easy to say that after fights already over

[Rich Benjamins]

You're a loser at this game, I can tell. I've been killing it the past few weeks, this was my first losing weekend in awhile. You're not adding any value, so stop replying to my posts, and I'll do the same for you.

Go pro you broke bum maybe next time you can bet me
still made profit on the card , let me guess you didnt?

neil magny a long ranger striker is like Chris weidman a wrestler lmaoooo
nick Diaz is like yoel Romero right guys ???

and if you still don't think Bermudez has power you know nothing about the sport... his power is what actually plagues him because he doesn't set up his shots he just wings huge explosive hooks because any clean shot could be a KO , If he used more technique then power he would've won easily.. even both a announcers literally said "wow this guy is extremely powerful"

[Rich Benjamins]

Magny applies takedowns a lot in his game. I was making the comparison because if Gastellum gets taken down by Magny, then he's even more susceptible to Weidman's takedowns, a bigger stronger man with better wrestling. You can make the argument that Gastellum improved since that fight, and I'm sure he has, but not enough to overcome Weidman's takdowns.

I gotta agree.. Weidman is nothing like Magny.. Magny is a stand up based fighter first, Weidman more of ground wrestling based fighter these days.. Complete opposites..

[firekillex]

youre a bum
guy goes negative this card and talks crap about me missing one bet lmaooooo
5-3 hit my biggest bet of the night as well . cheers at sucking i hope i keep being trash

[PaperTrail07]

Nice calls on Weidman....whiffed big there......Cummins hit for me at +190 but I also lost betting Dennis....overall 50/50 card for paper....no lotto connects either...

[Rich Benjamins]

I lost on this card by being lazy with my research and not enough confidence in my picks. I should've crushed it. I had Oliveira and Elkins winning but didn't bet on them, well, I bet very small on Oliveira.

I don't like your attitude. Maybe it's something people get used to. But in an exchange of information it's stupid to laugh at someone else's idea like they're an idiot, unless your the best of the best, which I'm sure you're not. Open-mindedness is key to getting better in such a chaotic sport where the unexpected happens all the time.

youre a bum
guy goes negative this card and talks crap about me missing one bet lmaooooo
5-3 hit my biggest bet of the night as well . cheers at sucking i hope i keep being trash

[Hugo de Naranja]

How did you fair with this event Hugo? I hope you did better then me buddy...

We usually think the same but I hope you thought different with this event..

I really was second guessing that main event up until the last minute.. I just decided to go with Gas because he was winning fights and CW was losing fights.. The level of competition both were facing was night and day and that's why I thought Weidman might get this maybe.. Gas the younger and up and coming fighter I ended up going with.. BIG MISTAKE!!!!

Looking forward to the big event next weekend!!! This event was a bit tricky...

Losing event for me as well. Wasn't able to get decision overs bet in which would have reduced losses a bit. TONS of dogs winning on this card and I didn't have too many of them. Enjoyed rafting a lot and looking forward to next week's card.

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 25: Gastelum vs. Weidman Picks:
Chris Wade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Shane Burgos Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Timothy Johnson Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Brian Kelleher Unanimous Decision (29-28 x3)
Jeremy Kennedy Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Chase Sherman Round 1 KO (Punches)
Ryan LaFlare Unanimous Decision(30-27, 29-28 x2)
Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Thomas Almeida Round 2 TKO (Elbow and Punches)
Gian Villante Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Dennis Bermudez Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-26)
Kelvin Gastelum Round 3 TKO (Punches)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC on Fox 25: Gastelum vs. Weidman

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Wade vs. Perez
No Bet

Result: Chris Wade Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)

Fight #2: Burgos vs. Pepey
Burgos+Pepey Under 1.5 (+105) -1.5u
Pepey Submission (+856) -.5u

Result: Shane Burgos Unanimous Decision (30-26 x2, 29-28)
Fight: -2u
Card: -2u

Fight #3: Johnson vs. Albini (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Junior Albini Round 1 TKO (Punches)

Fight #4: Kelleher vs. Vera
Vera Submission (+600) +3u

Result: Marlon Vera Round 1 Submission (Armbar)
Fight: +3u
Card: +1u

Fight #5: Kennedy vs. Bochniak
Parlays

Result: Jeremy Kennedy Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 29-28)

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #6: Sherman vs. Grabowski
Sherman Round 1 (+150) -.5u

Result: Chase Sherman Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-26)
Fight: -.5u
Card: +.5u

Fight #7: Oliveira vs. LaFlare
LaFlare Decision (-101) -1.01u

Result: Alex Oliveira Round 2 KO (Punch)
Fight: -1.01u
Card: -.51u

Fight #8: Natal vs. Anders (DEBUT)
No Bet

Result: Eryk Anders Round 1 KO (Punches)

Fight #9: Zaleski dos Santos vs. Good
Zaleski dos Santos+Good Under 1.5 (+115) -.5u
Zaleski dos Santos (+170) +3.4u
Zaleski dos Santos Round 3 (+1850) -.25u

Result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Split Decision (30-27 x2, 28-29)
Fight: +2.65u
Card: +2.14u

Main Card:

Fight #10: Rivera vs. Almeida
Almeida (+175) -1u
Almeida ITD (+329) -1u

Result: Jimmie Rivera Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-27, 29-28)
Fight: -2u
Card: +.14u

Fight #11: Villante vs. Cummins
Villante KO (+170) -1.5u
Villante+Cummins Draw (+6500) -.25u

Hedge:
Cummins Round 3 (+1250) -.25u

Result: Patrick Cummins Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -2u
Card: -1.86u

Fight #12: Bermudez vs. Elkins
Bermudez -3.5 (+155) -1u
Bermudez+Elkins Under 2.5 (+225) -.5u

Result: Darren Elkins Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Fight: -1.5u
Card: -3.36u

Fight #13: Gastelum vs. Weidman
Gastelum (+115) -3u
Gastelum ITD (+234) -1u
Gastelum Decision (+319) -.5u
Gastelum Round 2 (+625) -.5u
Gastelum Round 3 (+925) -.5u
Gastelum Round 4 (+1325) -.25u
Gastelum Round 5 (+1925) -.25u

Hedge(s):
Weidman Decision (+411) -1u
Weidman Submission (+851) +4.255u
Weidman Round 1 (+900) -.25u

Result: Chris Weidman Round 3 Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
Fight: -2.995u
Card: -6.355u

Straight Parlays:
Kennedy/Sherman (+108) +1.08u
Kennedy/LaFlare+Oliveira Over 2.5 (+117) -2u
Bermudez/Gastelum (+144) -1u

Results: See Above
Fights: -1.92u
Final Card Total = -8.275u

[JIBBBY]

^^ Yep funny how most of us get lit up on the same events.. Many of us go in different betting directions as well with fights..

We'll get it back Hugo in the next event.. Keep the chin up!!!

How was the rafting trip? You get banged up at all?

[firekillex]

Still pissed I took cummins at -110 then he shot all the way up to +180 range... didn't see that coming.. the stylistic matchup didn't favour him for for sure though .. he should be happy he got the win again threw that win away imo he easily could've had it... almost to the level of Bermudez Elkins , Gina looked better but found a way to lose

[Demonata]

Still pissed I took cummins at -110 then he shot all the way up to +180 range... didn't see that coming.. the stylistic matchup didn't favour him for for sure though .. he should be happy he got the win again threw that win away imo he easily could've had it... almost to the level of Bermudez Elkins , Gina looked better but found a way to lose

I'm still so pissed at Bermudez. If he won id be up $$1100 on my 6 teamer

[Hugo de Naranja]

^^ Yep funny how most of us get lit up on the same events.. Many of us go in different betting directions as well with fights..

We'll get it back Hugo in the next event.. Keep the chin up!!!

How was the rafting trip? You get banged up at all?

It was great. Did some intense Class 4 rapids and had some great views of the Royal Gorge. Good to camp and see some old friends as well. Thanks for asking!

[JIBBBY]

It was great. Did some intense Class 4 rapids and had some great views of the Royal Gorge. Good to camp and see some old friends as well. Thanks for asking!

Class 4 is probably intense in parts...Good job buddy.. Glad you had a blast...

[PaperTrail07]

LOL wow....had him at +190....saved the card for me essentially

Still pissed I took cummins at -110 then he shot all the way up to +180 range... didn't see that coming.. the stylistic matchup didn't favour him for for sure though .. he should be happy he got the win again threw that win away imo he easily could've had it... almost to the level of Bermudez Elkins , Gina looked better but found a way to lose

[turbozed]

I lost on this card by being lazy with my research and not enough confidence in my picks. I should've crushed it. I had Oliveira and Elkins winning but didn't bet on them, well, I bet very small on Oliveira.

I don't like your attitude. Maybe it's something people get used to. But in an exchange of information it's stupid to laugh at someone else's idea like they're an idiot, unless your the best of the best, which I'm sure you're not. Open-mindedness is key to getting better in such a chaotic sport where the unexpected happens all the time.

I agree with this sentiment. Anyone that is 100% certain of the outcome before the fight or 100% certain that it always would've happened that way after the fight is fooling themselves and is bound to be a loser in the long run. For most fights, we are dealing with small edges in probabilities, and hoping that the coin flip goes our way. Every now and then we get gifts in bad lines, but most of the time it's a long term game of implied odds and finding value.