The Ultimate Fighter Finale: Johnson vs. Gaethje (July 07, 2017)

[PaperTrail07]

Fortuna has skills and IMO looked better at weigh ins....prob all there is too it......Only way he loses is by decision IMO....hope ref stand t up and his stand up gaem will take over...

I'm already heavy on Jordan Johnson. I think his wrestling and Fortuna's lack of TDD or sub game from bottom against Johnson who has never been stopped is a bad matchup. Money keeps coming in on Fortuna though. What am I missing?

[PaperTrail07]

This will easily be Johnson's toughest fight to date...Might even take a flier at HUGE ODDS.....Fortuna by KO or sub is both over +600......JJ is not unbeatable inside the distance...

[JIBBBY]

Can alert!!! Fade Maynard and by KO... No Asian fade here for me ...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Teruto-Ishihara-78898

$50.00

$72.50

Pending

7/7/17 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2021 Ishihara wins in round 1 +145* vs Any other result

$150.00

$103.40

Pending

7/7/17 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2033 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO -145* vs Any other result

UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



Gray
Maynard
vs
Teruto
Ishihara
"Yashabo"

UNITED STATES
Country
JAPAN

13-7-1, 1NC
Record
10-3-2

15%
KO/TKO
80%

0%
SUB
0%

85%
DEC
40%

68 in
Height
67 in

145 lbs
Weight
145 lbs

70 in
Reach
69 in

39 in
Leg Reach
37 in

[PaperTrail07]

Be careful here Jibbers.....GM might go lay and pray on us here...

Can alert!!! Fade Maynard and by KO... No Asian fade here for me ...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Teruto-Ishihara-78898

$50.00

$72.50

Pending

7/7/17 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2021 Ishihara wins in round 1 +145* vs Any other result

$150.00

$103.40

Pending

7/7/17 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2033 Ishihara wins by TKO/KO -145* vs Any other result

UFC Fight Pass Early Prelims



Gray
Maynard
vs
Teruto
Ishihara
"Yashabo"

UNITED STATES
Country
JAPAN

13-7-1, 1NC
Record
10-3-2

15%
KO/TKO
80%

0%
SUB
0%

85%
DEC
40%

68 in
Height
67 in

145 lbs
Weight
145 lbs

70 in
Reach
69 in

39 in
Leg Reach
37 in

[PaperTrail07]

Love Ishi.....but I think your expecting a tad much from him...

[JIBBBY]

Love Ishi.....but I think your expecting a tad much from him...

Nope, Maynard is washed up, doesn't use his wrestling in fights anymore, thinks he's still the bully.. It would be smart for him to use his wrestling and take this to decision but I'm not convinced his chin will hold up when the fight is standing..

Maynard did squeeze out decision win in his fight before last against Bruno.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Gray-Maynard-15835

Ya talked me into the hedge.. Can't always trust Asians as you well know... Errrr!!! Just a little insurance for 25 bucks... Risking alot to win a little now with this fight, didn't really want to do this but I will...

$25.00

$101.25

Pending

7/7/17 6:30pm MMA Props Fighting 2007 Maynard wins by 3 round decision +405* vs Not Maynard by 3 round decision

[JIBBBY]

Still a little rattled on trying to pick an avenue for either fighter.. HOW ARE YOU GUYS PLAYING THIS????

Both fighters are a bit hit and miss lately... CB probably the call though but he could win by decision or ITD is my thinking perhaps?..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/CB-Dollaway-22350

TUF 25 - Light Heavyweight 3 rounds - T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - FS1
Fri 7/7		1801 Ed Herman		+155	o1½ -175
7:30PM		1802 C.B. Dollaway		-175	u1½ +155

Ed
Herman
"Short Fuse"
vs
CB
Dollaway
"The Doberman"

UNITED STATES
Country
USA

24-12-0, 1NC
Record
16-9-0

25%
KO/TKO
38%

58%
SUB
19%

17%
DEC
44%

73 in
Height
74 in

205 lbs
Weight
205 lbs

77 in
Reach
76 in

42 in
Leg Reach
42 in

[PaperTrail07]

Playing Herman at +$$....can on can take the bigger $

[Hugo de Naranja]

"Can alert." Love it!

[Shagdogy]

Fortuna has skills and IMO looked better at weigh ins....prob all there is too it......Only way he loses is by decision IMO....hope ref stand t up and his stand up gaem will take over...

So bet Fortuna hoping the ref saves him and gets him on his feet often enough that he can win with his striking? That's exactly why I bet Johnson. He doesn't need the ref to help him get the fight to his wheelhouse.

Also, Fortuna's stand up game really only looked good vs Hamilton. Prior to that he looked very basic on the feet. Hoping I'm not wrong here, but I admit this line movement has me nervous.

[JIBBBY]

Playing Herman at +$$....can on can take the bigger $

I'm going small on CB, both are suspect and anything can happen when your flirting with can status though ...

I still think CB will be a little more active.. Probably win by decision or get KO'd..

Playing it CB by dec hedged Short fuse ITD....

[Hugo de Naranja]

I'm going small on CB, both are suspect and anything can happen when your flirting with can status though ...

I still think CB will be a little more active.. Probably win by decision or get KO'd..

Playing it CB by dec hedged Short fuse ITD....

I think that's a good way to play this can-on-can violence

[JIBBBY]

Went big on Aspen Ladd at (-135). 5.4u to win 4u. Think she wrecks 1-4-1NC Jessica Eye

Ladd by decision for me.. Small stuff...

GL hugo..

[pabonaparte]

Also surprised that Tavares is the dog here. Theodorou never looks too impressive with his best win against a very flatfooted and lazy Alvey. He was gifted a decision in Canada against Mutante. His striking style doesn't seem like it will work against a guy like Tavares who has fast hands and good kicks. I don't see him taking Tavares down consistently, or holding Tavares down even if he does get a takedown. Tavares has the boxing and power advantage.

I think people's opinions of Tavares have been influenced by recent KO losses but Theodorou is no Whittaker or Boetsch when it comes to power. Theodorou also has his popularity going for him. Bottom line is Tavares is undervalued and Theodorou is overvalued. +140 seems like a pretty decent price.

+140 ???

[JIBBBY]

Man I hate watching Elias fight, but he might just out work Brad barely to a decision win.. Little hung up on this fight still.. Brad could win this though as Elias kinda sucks. Someone wins this by decision one way or the other most likely..

.http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Elias-Theodorou-81765

TUF 25 - Middleweight 3 rounds - T-Mobile Arena - Las Vegas, Nevada - FS1
Fri 7/7		1401 Brad Tavares		-105	o2½ -420
9:30PM		1402 Elias Theodorou		-115	u2½ +335

FS1 Main Card



Brad
Tavares
vs
Elias
Theodorou
"The Spartan"

UNITED STATES
Country
CANADA

14-4-0
Record
14-1-0

29%
KO/TKO
43%

14%
SUB
7%

57%
DEC
43%

73 in
Height
73 in

185 lbs
Weight
185 lbs

74 in
Reach
75 in

43 in
Leg Reach
40 in

[JIBBBY]

Playing this card more conservative then usual as many of these fights are really a coin toss in my mind and could go either way.. Alot of hedging for me this go around.

1) Torres by dec
2) Ish by KO/rnd 1 finish/ hedged small with Maynard by dec
3) Ladd by dec small
4) CB by dec/ hedged Herman ITD for ins only
5) Kruase ITD
6) Hill by KO
7) Jordan Johnson Straight, Fortura ITD hedged for ins only..
8) Elias by dec/ hedged Brad by dec insurance only.
9) Roehick straight/ hedged with Cannonier by Dec (small stuff)
10) Diakes by KO/Hedged with Klose straight
11) Deigo Lima straight/Hedge Taylor by dec (ins only)
12) MJ by KO

GL gents!!!!

[turbozed]

+140 ???

Tavares was +140 when I posted that. Back to even now, which makes more sense. Still think Tavares should win this one, and should be like a -150 favorite.

[Shagdogy]

Hopping on a flight to Vegas here soon. Prob won't post much this weekend. Here's tonight:

J. Johnson 3u, -200
M. Johnson 3u, -160
Johnson/Gaethje o1.5, 1.8u, -180
Tavares 1u, -113
Taylor by dec 1u, +100

That's all for record keeping. Have a lot more waiting for me in Vegas. A few lotto ticket parlays that I'll brag about if I win and deny ever happened if they don't 😜

Good luck everyone!

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale: Johnson vs. Gaethje Picks:
Tecia Torres Unanimous Decision (30-27 x3)
Teruto Ishihara Round 1 KO (Punches)
Aspen Ladd Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Ed Herman Round 2 TKO (Knee and Punches)
James Krause Round 1 Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
Angela Hill Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Jordan Johnson Unanimous Decision (30-27 x2, 30-26)
Brad Tavares Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)
Jared Cannonier Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Marc Diakiese Round 1 TKO (Punches)
Diego Lima Split Decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Michael Johnson Unanimous Decision (49-46 x2, 48-47)

[Hugo de Naranja]

UFC Ultimate Fighter 25 Finale: Johnson vs. Gaethje

Fight Pass Prelims:

Fight #1: Torres vs. Lima
Torres -3.5 (-115) 1.15u to win 1u

Fight #2: Ishihara vs. Maynard
Parlays

Fox Sports 1 Prelims:

Fight #3: Ladd vs. Eye
Ladd (-135) 5.4u to win 4u

Fight #4: Dollaway vs. Herman
Herman (+160) .5u
Herman KO/TKO (+430) .5u

Fight #5: Krause vs. Gallicchio
No Bet

Fight #6: Hill vs. Yoder
Hill+Yoder Under 2.5 (+195) 1u

Main Card:

Fight #7: Johnson vs. Fortuna
Johnson Decision (+110) 1u
Johnson -3.5 (+165) 1u
Johnson Submission (+795) .25u

Fight #8: Theodorou vs. Tavares
Tavares Decision (+179) 1u

Fight #9: Cannonier vs. Roehrick (DEBUT)
No Bet

Fight #10: Diakiese vs. Klose
Diakiese -3.5 (+155) 1u

Fight #11: Taylor vs. Lima
Lima (+175) 1u

Fight #12: Johnson vs. Gaethje (DEBUT)
Johnson (-110) 2.2u to win 2u
Johnson Decision (+615) .5u

Hedge:
Gaethje ITD (+220) .5u

Straight Parlays:
Lima+Torres Over 2.5/Theodorou+Tavares Over 2.5 (-104) 2u to win 1.93u
J. Johnson/Diakiese (+101) 2u
Lima+Torres Over 2.5/Ishihara ITD (+128) 1u

Prop Parlays:
J. Johnson Decision/Cannonier ITD/Tavares (+595) .5u
Torres Decision/Ishihara ITD/Eye Decision (+665) .25u
Diakiese ITD/Taylor Decision/M. Johnson (+722) .25u
Herman/Krause+Gallicchio U2.5/Hill+Yoder U2.5 (+1232) .25u

Full Card Props:
Over 7.5 Fights Go Distance (+321) .75u
Over 8.5 Fights Go Distance (+926) .5u
Over 9.5 Fights Go Distance (+3075) .25u

Multi-Event Parlays:
Lewis+Hunt WGD/Ishihara KO (+144) 2u

[Hugo de Naranja]

Hopping on a flight to Vegas here soon. Prob won't post much this weekend. Here's tonight:

J. Johnson 3u, -200
M. Johnson 3u, -160
Johnson/Gaethje o1.5, 1.8u, -180
Tavares 1u, -113
Taylor by dec 1u, +100

That's all for record keeping. Have a lot more waiting for me in Vegas. A few lotto ticket parlays that I'll brag about if I win and deny ever happened if they don't 

Good luck everyone!

I'm on a lot of the same stuff. Let's get it! Go Johnsons!

[GoBlue77]

JESSICA EYE fight is off, she just posted on instagram

[Hugo de Naranja]

JESSICA EYE fight is off, she just posted on instagram

Damn. Ladd was my biggest bet of the card. I wonder what happened

[Demonata]

penetrate you Jessica eye.

[GoBlue77]

Damn. Ladd was my biggest bet of the card. I wonder what happened

i don't think that was wise of you at all. don't ever bet against someone on the verge/threat of getting cut, my record using this angle is damn near perfect. plus she's a local girl, I've crossed paths with her a few times. she wasn't going to lose this fight imo. aspen pulling out prob just saved your ass

[Hugo de Naranja]

i don't think that was wise of you at all. don't ever bet against someone on the verge/threat of getting cut, my record using this angle is damn near perfect. plus she's a local girl, I've crossed paths with her a few times. she wasn't going to lose this fight imo. aspen pulling out prob just saved your ass

Ok buddy

[JIBBBY]

Ladd fight I could careless .... Wasn't sold on Ladd but did like her by decision for small....

$50.00

$75.00

Cancelled

7/7/17 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Ladd wins by 3 round decision +150* vs Not Ladd by 3 round decision

[Hugo de Naranja]

Ladd fight I could careless .... Wasn't sold on Ladd but did like her by decision for small....

$50.00

$75.00

Cancelled

7/7/17 7:00pm MMA Props Fighting 1911 Ladd wins by 3 round decision +150* vs Not Ladd by 3 round decision

Eye has always struggled with wrestlers and Ladd has an excellent ground game. Hopefully they'll rebook it. Best of luck tonight Jibbs!

[Kermit]

Damn. Ladd was my biggest bet of the card. I wonder what happened

She said she was sick and at the ER.

[Demonata]

How's isihara doing

[Hugo de Naranja]

How's isihara doing

Bad. Got wrestle-****** all of R1

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

Maynard has a tramp stamp

[Wohlford]

Ishihara might as well be fighting Khabib! lol

[PaperTrail07]

Maynard BABY LOL...this thing is OVER.....nice start to the card...

[PaperTrail07]

This should have been BIGDAYS MMA POUND play lmfao