UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Mir (March 19, 2016)

**JIBBBY** · 03-03-16, 05:04 PM

Mir might be a live dog against Hunt at +160..

I'm surprised he's the dog actually in this fight.. Hunt is slow and old now..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-03-16, 05:12 PM

This looks like it's gonna be a great card for betting...

**PaperTrail07** · 03-04-16, 10:59 AM

interesting

**Ultimatemeatball** · 03-06-16, 06:00 PM

The Mir vs Hunt fight could go either way in a heartbeat. No way I am touching that.

**Suggartown** · 03-06-16, 07:28 PM

2 Weeks. I still have no clue what I'm doing but at least I have 2 full weeks to research!

**GR33D** · 03-07-16, 03:01 AM

i really like magny and also over 1.5 rounds in the hunt vs mir. at 2.10 thats ridiculous value. hunt will coast the first round preserving energy

**Sato** · 03-07-16, 08:57 AM

Lean is Mir. Hes got more tools and has faced guys like Hunt before. Hunt is waiting for the homerun hit and it could happen. Livebet during/after round 1.

**Git Lo** · 03-07-16, 10:00 AM

Looks like only one heavy favorite, definitely looking into this more

**JIBBBY** · 03-07-16, 01:13 PM

So this is the next UFC event.. Gotta wait 2 weeks for this one..

Not cool, as I'm use to these UFC's going down every week.. Got spoiled..

Gonna take some time off and cap this event later in the week or early next week..... No hurry..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-07-16, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

So this is the next UFC event.. Gotta wait 2 weeks for this one..

Not cool, as I'm use to these UFC's going down every week.. Got spoiled..

Gonna take some time off and cap this event later in the week or early next week..... No hurry..

Wsof and Invicta this week

**JIBBBY** · 03-07-16, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Wsof and Invicta this week

The smaller MMA venues are cool and will work but you really can only bet on 4 or 5 of the fights typically, props are limited as well unlike the UFC events when you can play all 12 fights and with props if necessary....

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 12:57 PM

I noticed the line is dropping on the Magny play.. Can't sit on this one, let the capping begin.. I hit Magny now but wishing I hit him at +110 the other day instead.. Oh well

<small>UFC Fight Night 85 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Brisbane Entertainment Centre - Brisbane, Australia</small>
Sat 3/19	1101 Hector Lombard	<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> -120	<input id="editx" name="L1_1" size="4"> o2½ -155
11:59PM	1102 Neil Magny	<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> +100	<input id="editx" name="L2_1" size="4"> u2½ +135

Common sense says tells ya you gotta go with Magny since the 38 year old Hector Lombard will be coming off the juice.. However Hector is usually very aggressive in the 1st round and has serious knock out power..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Hector-Lombard-11292 If Magny can get out of the 1st round I think this will be his fight to win on points..

The Hector KO prop I think is a good hedge working off the Magny straight.. May still play the Magny by Decision for small at (+230) but haven't decided on that yet....

Note - Hector gets alot of his KO wins in the 1st round.. Lombard 1st round finish as (+425) seems legit.... I also hedged for small with that prop..

My bets with this fight so far... With hedge plays...

$300.00

Pending

3/19/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1102 Neil Magny +100* vs Hector Lombard

Hegde -

$100.00

$345.00

Pending

3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1129 Lombard wins by TKO/KO +345* vs Any other result

$50.00

$212.50

Pending

3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1115 Lombard wins in round 1 +425* vs Any other result

Hector does have scary power, Magny's chin is nothing special.. That makes me nervous, so I hedged in this fight.. That's my reasoning for the hedge..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 01:10 PM

The winners so far, no bet in the bosse,te huna fight, lean under, but no bet most likely. Just waiting for the undercard and Invicta card to come out, both look fantastic for betting with the right lines.

Hunt -175/-180 risking $3000
Magny +110/+115 risking $3000
Hunt/mir starts round 2 -135 risking $250
Hunt/mir starts round 3 +183 risking $250
Hunt/mir starts round 4 +340 risking $100
Hunt/mir starts round 5 +473 risking $50
Hunt wins by unanimous dec +2000 risking $50
Hunt wins by majority/split dec +2950 risking $50

Parlay
Antonio Carlos jr. -550
Not mir in round 1 -900
Magny/lombard start round 2 -367
Risking $900 to win $603.84

Johnny Case -115 risking $600
Magny wins in the 3rd +1700 $50 to win $850
Magny wins by dec +245 $100 to win $245

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 01:20 PM

^^ Nice grab with Magny Josh at +110.. I missed out on that pricing by waiting

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

^^ Nice grab with Magny Josh at +110.. I missed out on that pricing by waiting

I missed it at +135, you did good jumping on it now, should get worse. Anything under magny -240 is gravy.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 01:45 PM

[QUOTE=JIBBBY;25408585]I noticed the line is dropping on the Magny play.. Can't sit on this one, let the capping begin.. I hit Magny now but wishing I hit him at +110 the other day instead.. Oh well

<small>UFC Fight Night 85 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Brisbane Entertainment Centre - Brisbane, Australia</small>
Sat 3/19	1101 Hector Lombard	<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> -120	<input id="editx" name="L1_1" size="4"> o2½ -155
11:59PM	1102 Neil Magny	<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> +100	<input id="editx" name="L2_1" size="4"> u2½ +135

He's at a massive disadvantage in the standup...No worries about a knockout, lombard is good at knocking out stationary targets, like u see in that video, magny hasnt been kod beside way back in his TUF show days. If lombard wants to win, he needs to try to grapple, and not gas like he did in shields fight, and win a dec, no chance he stops magny inside the distance, and it's unlikely he even attempts to grapple.

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 01:50 PM

Mir odds are dropping as well so I went ahead and hit this a few days ago.. I did see that coming and I did jump on that early on... Current odds 5d..

<small>UFC Fight Night 85 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Brisbane Entertainment Centre - Brisbane, Australia</small>
Sat 3/19	1001 Frank Mir	<input id="radiox" value="M1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">+140	<input id="radiox" value="L1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">o1½ +100
11:59PM	1002 Mark Hunt	<input id="radiox" value="M2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">-160	<input id="radiox" value="L2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">u1½ -120

My thinking on this fight - Frank Mir is much more nimble on his feet, has better boxing and should out point the old and slow Mark Hunt in this fight.. Was gonna hedge with the Hunt KO prop because I do fear his one punch power but the odds are too fat to run with this hedge at -150...

My only play no hedge for this fight....

$200.00

$310.00

Pending

3/19/16 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1001 Frank Mir +155* vs Mark Hunt

May still take a small shot on the Mir by submission.. Mir does have a huge advantage on the ground if by chance it ever goes there....

1035 Mir wins by submission

<input id="radiox" value="M1_16" name="radiox" type="radio">+350

Mir does has shown improved boxing and striking in recent fights..

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 02:01 PM

[QUOTE=JoshKnows46;25408781]

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I noticed the line is dropping on the Magny play.. Can't sit on this one, let the capping begin.. I hit Magny now but wishing I hit him at +110 the other day instead.. Oh well

<small>UFC Fight Night 85 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Brisbane Entertainment Centre - Brisbane, Australia</small>
Sat 3/19	1101 Hector Lombard	<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> -120	<input id="editx" name="L1_1" size="4"> o2½ -155
11:59PM	1102 Neil Magny	<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> +100	<input id="editx" name="L2_1" size="4"> u2½ +135

He's at a massive disadvantage in the standup...No worries about a knockout, lombard is good at knocking out stationary targets, like u see in that video, magny hasnt been kod beside way back in his TUF show days. If lombard wants to win, he needs to try to grapple, and not gas like he did in shields fight, and win a dec, no chance he stops magny inside the distance, and it's unlikely he even attempts to grapple.

Maybe you're right on this Josh, I still fear Hectors early power and aggression in fights.. One fluke clip on the chin from Hector and Magny gets wobbled he will be done.. Lombard packs that kind of game changing power anyways early in fights..

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 03:59 PM

Another point I forgot to mention in the MIR/Hunt fight.. The soon to be 42 year old Mark Hunt has shown he can be KO'd as his chin is no longer granite.. He's been knocked out in 2 of his last 3 fights.. The chin is the first to go with age.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Mark-Hunt-10668

Frank Mir at age 36 is getting up in years himself but he hasn't shown signs of age just yet like Mark Hunt has..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 04:21 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Another point I forgot to mention in the MIR/Hunt fight.. The soon to be 42 year old Mark Hunt has shown he can be KO'd as his chin is no longer granite.. He's been knocked out in 2 of his last 3 fights.. The chin is the first to go with age.. http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Mark-Hunt-10668

Frank Mir at age 36 is getting up in years himself but he hasn't shown signs of age just yet like Mark Hunt has..

Marks chin is still granite, took a thousand punches from stipe gnp before the ref had mercy on hunt, went to war with dos Santos and only a wheel kick with 42 seconds left could put him away. He was man handling werdum, on his way to a dec win, even dropped werdum a couple times, before werdum hit him with a flying knee. Mir won't be able to hurt mark in the stand up, mir has only won 2 fights in his last 7, against 2 bottom feeders, Both guys have good chins, and hunt has great tdd, easy money on mark and the overs.

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 05:53 PM

Originally posted by JoshKnows46

Marks chin is still granite, took a thousand punches from stipe gnp before the ref had mercy on hunt, went to war with dos Santos and only a wheel kick with 42 seconds left could put him away. He was man handling werdum, on his way to a dec win, even dropped werdum a couple times, before werdum hit him with a flying knee. Mir won't be able to hurt mark in the stand up, mir has only won 2 fights in his last 7, against 2 bottom feeders, Both guys have good chins, and hunt has great tdd, easy money on mark and the overs.

Gotta go against you on this one Josh and in a big way.. You make good points but they do not apply to this match up..

To Frank Mirs credit he was losing to the best strikers in the division and by decision. Fast twitch fighters. Take a look at Mirs last 5 losses and to whom...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Frank-Mir-2329

Frank does better against the slower methodical strikers with big punching power.. Mark Hunt is just that - slow and methodical, not a ton of movement in Mark Hunts style.. He gasses fast as well... I think this is a really bad match up for Mark Hunt as Mir is better standing or on the ground then old man Hunt with the fading chin..

Mir picks Mark apart boxing and at distance in this one..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Gotta go against you on this one Josh and in a big way.. You make good points but they do not apply to this match up..

To Frank Mirs credit he was losing to the best strikers in the division and by decision. Fast twitch fighters. Take a look at Mirs last 5 losses and to whom...http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Frank-Mir-2329

Frank does better against the slower methodical strikers with big punching power.. Mark Hunt is just that - slow and methodical, not a ton of movement in Mark Hunts style.. He gasses fast as well... I think this is a really bad match up for Mark Hunt as Mir is better standing or on the ground then old man Hunt with the fading chin..

Mir picks Mark apart boxing and at distance in this one..

He's not slow, he's the better kickboxing by far, and he doesn't gas either, mir gassed in his last fight against arlowski, you need to watch film before u place this bet jibby.losing to the best strikers is what hunt has done, losing to dos santos, werdum and stipe, that's the elite jibby, he looked alot better than mir would have against all those guys.... reassess your bet, this is easy money for hunt.

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 06:04 PM

In his last 7 fights, he has only beatin a non juiced Antonio silva and Todd duffee lmfao haha rethink your bet....this should be hunt or a no bet, he's not gonna outbox a kickboxing champion, even he knows he needs to find a way to get this fight to the ground, and he's said as much in interviews. Hunt either ko's him late 3rd if mir hasn't worked on his cardio since the pit bull fight, or hunt wins a dec.

**JIBBBY** · 03-08-16, 07:06 PM

^^ Ok Josh we have different opinions on this fight.. I'm sticking with Frank Mir and your play is Mark Hunt.. Let's see who gets this??

Mark Hunts best chance to win is in the 1st round and by KO, after that he's gonna begin to gas and become a stationary punching bag or he will be taken down by Mir and sub'd out. It's just that simple..

**JoshKnows46** · 03-08-16, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

^^ Ok Josh we have different opinions on this fight.. I'm sticking with Frank Mir and your play is Mark Hunt.. Let's see who gets this??

Mark Hunts best chance to win is in the 1st round and by KO, after that he's gonna begin to gas and become a stationary punching bag or he will be taken down by Mir and sub'd out. It's just that simple..

Ok, gl bud.

**UncleChael** · 03-08-16, 09:45 PM

Magny will be on his back most of the first round, so Lombard won't be gassing...

**Oli_Renaud91** · 03-09-16, 12:02 AM

i really like Mir, Magny, Case and Te Huna

**Oli_Renaud91** · 03-09-16, 12:04 AM

Originally posted by UncleChael

Magny will be on his back most of the first round, so Lombard won't be gassing...

i dont see it playing out the same as you do. i feel a 1st round stunner win for MAgny

**JoshKnows46** · 03-09-16, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by Oli_Renaud91

i really like Mir, Magny, Case and Te Huna

probable hit 3 out of 4, Hunt over mir. good luck

**JoshKnows46** · 03-09-16, 03:34 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

I noticed the line is dropping on the Magny play.. Can't sit on this one, let the capping begin.. I hit Magny now but wishing I hit him at +110 the other day instead.. Oh well

<small>UFC Fight Night 85 - Welterweight 3 rounds - Brisbane Entertainment Centre - Brisbane, Australia</small>
Sat 3/19	1101 Hector Lombard	<input id="editx" name="M1_1" size="4"> -120	<input id="editx" name="L1_1" size="4"> o2½ -155
11:59PM	1102 Neil Magny	<input id="editx" name="M2_1" size="4"> +100	<input id="editx" name="L2_1" size="4"> u2½ +135

Common sense says tells ya you gotta go with Magny since the 38 year old Hector Lombard will be coming off the juice.. However Hector is usually very aggressive in the 1st round and has serious knock out power..http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Hector-Lombard-11292 If Magny can get out of the 1st round I think this will be his fight to win on points..

The Hector KO prop I think is a good hedge working off the Magny straight.. May still play the Magny by Decision for small at (+230) but haven't decided on that yet....

Note - Hector gets alot of his KO wins in the 1st round.. Lombard 1st round finish as (+425) seems legit.... I also hedged for small with that prop..

My bets with this fight so far... With hedge plays...

$300.00

Pending

3/19/16 11:59pm UFC Fighting 1102 Neil Magny +100* vs Hector Lombard

Hegde -

$100.00

$345.00

Pending

3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1129 Lombard wins by TKO/KO +345* vs Any other result

$50.00

$212.50

Pending

3/19/16 11:59pm MMA Props Fighting 1115 Lombard wins in round 1 +425* vs Any other result

Hector does have scary power, Magny's chin is nothing special.. That makes me nervous, so I hedged in this fight.. That's my reasoning for the hedge..

i'm gonna keep track of this lieing scums bets this event... so far he's on...

lombard wins by tko/ko $100 to win 345
lombard in the 1st 50 to win 212.50
(2 losers already...)
neil magny 300 to win 300
(this will win, and he'll profit $150 off of $450 risked in total)

**JoshKnows46** · 03-09-16, 03:38 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

Mir odds are dropping as well so I went ahead and hit this a few days ago.. I did see that coming and I did jump on that early on... Current odds 5d..

<small>UFC Fight Night 85 - Heavyweight 5 rounds - Brisbane Entertainment Centre - Brisbane, Australia</small>
Sat 3/19	1001 Frank Mir	<input id="radiox" value="M1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">+140	<input id="radiox" value="L1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">o1½ +100
11:59PM	1002 Mark Hunt	<input id="radiox" value="M2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">-160	<input id="radiox" value="L2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">u1½ -120

My thinking on this fight - Frank Mir is much more nimble on his feet, has better boxing and should out point the old and slow Mark Hunt in this fight.. Was gonna hedge with the Hunt KO prop because I do fear his one punch power but the odds are too fat to run with this hedge at -150...

My only play no hedge for this fight....

$200.00

$310.00

Pending

3/19/16 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1001 Frank Mir +155* vs Mark Hunt

May still take a small shot on the Mir by submission.. Mir does have a huge advantage on the ground if by chance it ever goes there....

1035 Mir wins by submission

<input id="radiox" value="M1_16" name="radiox" type="radio">+350

Mir does has shown improved boxing and striking in recent fights..

he's on mir $200 to win $310
(This is another lose, he said he might bet mir by sub, but no bet yet, lets see if he adds the sub prop before or after the events over.)

lombard wins by tko/ko $100 to win 345
lombard in the 1st 50 to win 212.50
(2 losers already...)
neil magny 300 to win 300
(this will win, and he'll profit $150 off of $450 risked in total

**JIBBBY** · 03-09-16, 11:25 AM

^^ Josh it's clear I rattled ya son, sorry pal.. Go ahead and track my plays it's all right there in every event thread... Remember my bets above are not a loss until it's officially recorded as a loss and last I checked my bets on this thread are not recorded losses. Don't jump to conclusions so fast as your emotions are running high right now...

My bets are solid and they will cash just like they've been doing in the past 3 events like clock work.. Now on the flip side your big bets won't cash just like they haven't been in the past 2 events.. These are the facts and they are undisputed unfortunately for you.. I hope you turn it around fast Josh and not bank roll all your loyal followers.. I see a trend forming here don't you Josh? I see a desperate man posting as well trying to save face. It happens.. LOl..

You bet Magny big and he probably loses now by KO, glad I hedged..

Remember Josh, Mr never lose and I'm the best -

**JIBBBY** · 03-09-16, 11:30 AM

Can we get back to capping this event now Josh? Or do you still feel the need to troll my every post.. Let me know when you are done and you settle down?

Write ups are coming out now and I'm ready to post some legit input on all the fights. Break em down off the dribble, your call Josh!!!

**JoshKnows46** · 03-09-16, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by JIBBBY

^^ Josh it's clear I rattled ya son, sorry pal.. Go ahead and track my plays it's all right there in every event thread... Remember my bets above are not a loss until it's officially recorded as a loss and last I checked my bets on this thread are not recorded losses. Don't jump to conclusions so fast as your emotions are running high right now...

My bets are solid and they will cash just like they've been doing in the past 3 events like clock work.. Now on the flip side your big bets won't cash just like they haven't been in the past 2 events.. These are the facts and they are undisputed unfortunately for you.. I hope you turn it around fast Josh and not bank roll all your loyal followers.. I see a trend forming here don't you Josh? I see a desperate man posting as well trying to save face. It happens.. LOl..

You bet Magny big and he probably loses now by KO, glad I hedged..

Liar..

anderson flaked, and rivera got robbed resulted in over $6,000 of damages against me on that card, neither was the incorrect play...

Last 4 event results...

Cerrone Card..+$7,901.88 on the event
Anderson card..-$7,477.35 on the event*
Bellator card.. +$970 on the event*
Mcgregor Card.. +$2,089.85 on the event

=+$3,484.38*in winnings

in a 30 day period, this is as bad as it gets for me... i don't put in all this work to only profit 11.5 units.

must we go back further, i go through periods of winning 15-20 events in a row, before i have a losing card, with profits in the ball park of $5000 to $12,000 on every single card...

I am the best, and I have no equal!