UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Oliveira (February 21, 2016)
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JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#36Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#37I like it, I'm thinking:
7-8 units on Cowboy ML (to win)
4-5 units on Cowboy ITD (risked)Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#38
My units risked will depend on the odds they give me, the better the odds,the more I'll risk. BTW put something on the sub, 15 of cerrone 20 finishes are by sub, he's not afraid to jump on a sub after. Knocking a guy down with a punch or a kick, and he's not a one punch ko guy, so sub always got a chance.Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#39My units risked will depend on the odds they give me, the better the odds,the more I'll risk. BTW put something on the sub, 15 of cerrone 20 finishes are by sub, he's not afraid to jump on a sub after. Knocking a guy down with a punch or a kick, and he's not a one punch ko guy, so sub always got a chance.Comment -
CaptChaos145SBR Wise Guy
- 04-03-14
- 588
#40Brunson and Bermudez should both win. I hope the lines are under -200 for each. Brunson has looked really good and "The Crusher" has nothing for Bermudez.Comment -
SuggartownSBR Wise Guy
- 10-06-13
- 565
#41When do books usually release the lines for these events? The Lineker fight is the only one I can find with a line.Comment -
SuggartownSBR Wise Guy
- 10-06-13
- 565
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JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#44I was really hoping you weren't gonna post this JOSH!!! Bastard!!!.. I'm starting to hate you Josh and when you pick against me. SOB!!!
You're gonna lose this one pal!!! I promise you that!!.. I get this one and I'll tell you why -
I've seen Alex Oli take clean shots to the chin and body and walk right though them in fights.. He's a terminator standing and can trade with anyone in the division I believe and remain standing afterwards....
Donald Cerrone has more tools in the shed no doubt, more well rounded and probably more technical in every area but not better in one area.. That one area Donald Cerrone is weak at is his ability to take a good body shot or a strong blow to the chin without being rocked or finished.. Not only has Donald Cerrone been lit up in the mid section recently, we've seen him stick his chin out and get rocked standing in fights also...
Sure Cerrone is the better wrestler and maybe has the better submission game but he won't look for take downs and or try to just win rounds with ground and pound from the top position.. It's not Donalds style or game!!!... I'm betting Cowboy Cerrone will mix in take downs at some point but only if he gets rocked standing first....
I know Donald Cerrone and I like him because he's a tough guy that doesn't back down standing to anyone, he did that with RDA and paid a heavy price for it. He'll do the same in this fight.. NOT HIS STYLE to wrestle even though that would probably be a clear pathway to victory in this fight. Donald gets fights because he's an exciting striker and Dana White recognizes that.. Things won't change..
Cowboy Cerrone is an adrenaline junky, a badass, won't punk out in a stand up battle with anyone because that is his strengths... It's gonna be a stand up fight with Cowboy winning on points until he gets put out by a good strike when trading... Alex Oli is long and has reach and that's spells trouble.. It's just that simple..
Alex Oli to win by KO.. The straight line landed on +220 and I love it!!! Gonna pound it...
<small>UFC Fight Night 83 - Welterweight 5 rounds - Consol Energy Center - Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania - FS1</small> Sun 2/21 1001 Alex Oliveira <input id="radiox" value="M1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">+220 <input id="radiox" value="L1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">o2½ -120 11:30PM 1002 Donald Cerrone <input id="radiox" value="M2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">-300 <input id="radiox" value="L2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">u2½ -120 Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-11-16, 12:32 PM.Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#453 units on Cerrone at -300 already. Can't believe I missed the 260's that openedComment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#46Alex is exciting and powerful but Cerrone is just in another league in terms of striking IMO. I like Cerrone in fights like these because he isn't under pressure to win titles or do anything crazy except fight and cash a check.Comment -
DeceptakhanSBR High Roller
- 12-26-12
- 161
#47
Alex Oli to win by KO.. The straight line landed on +220 and I love it!!! Gonna pound it...
<small>UFC Fight Night 83 - Welterweight 5 rounds - Consol Energy Center - Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania - FS1</small> Sun 2/21 1001 Alex Oliveira <input id="radiox" value="M1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">+220 <input id="radiox" value="L1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">o2½ -120 11:30PM 1002 Donald Cerrone <input id="radiox" value="M2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">-300 <input id="radiox" value="L2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">u2½ -120 Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#48
Watching his past fights I noticed his clinch work isn't all that bad either when pressing fighters against the cage.. AO does have take downs and submission skills in his arsenal.. It's not out of the question that he can put Donald Cerrone on his back from the clinch at times..
Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-11-16, 12:46 PM.Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#49I was really hoping you weren't gonna post this JOSH!!! Bastard!!!.. I'm starting to hate you Josh and when you pick against me. SOB!!!
You're gonna lose this one pal!!! I promise you that!!.. I get this one and I'll tell you why -
I've seen Alex Oli take clean shots to the chin and body and walk right though them in fights.. He's a terminator standing and can trade with anyone in the division I believe and remain standing afterwards....
Donald Cerrone has more tools in the shed no doubt, more well rounded and probably more technical in every area but not better in one area.. That one area Donald Cerrone is weak at is his ability to take a good body shot or a strong blow to the chin without being rocked or finished.. Not only has Donald Cerrone been lit up in the mid section recently, we've seen him stick his chin out and get rocked standing in fights also...
Sure Cerrone is the better wrestler and maybe has the better submission game but he won't look for take downs and or try to just win rounds with ground and pound from the top position.. It's not Donalds style or game!!!... I'm betting Cowboy Cerrone will mix in take downs at some point but only if he gets rocked standing first....
I know Donald Cerrone and I like him because he's a tough guy that doesn't back down standing to anyone, he did that with RDA and paid a heavy price for it. He'll do the same in this fight.. NOT HIS STYLE to wrestle even though that would probably be a clear pathway to victory in this fight. Donald gets fights because he's an exciting striker and Dana White recognizes that.. Things won't change..
Cowboy Cerrone is an adrenaline junky, a badass, won't punk out in a stand up battle with anyone because that is his strengths... It's gonna be a stand up fight with Cowboy winning on points until he gets put out by a good strike when trading... Alex Oli is long and has reach and that's spells trouble.. It's just that simple..
Alex Oli to win by KO.. The straight line landed on +220 and I love it!!! Gonna pound it...
<small>UFC Fight Night 83 - Welterweight 5 rounds - Consol Energy Center - Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania - FS1</small> Sun 2/21 1001 Alex Oliveira <input id="radiox" value="M1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">+220 <input id="radiox" value="L1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">o2½ -120 11:30PM 1002 Donald Cerrone <input id="radiox" value="M2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">-300 <input id="radiox" value="L2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">u2½ -120
Why would you hate me, all I do is make people money, you should hate yourself...all I can do is give you The correct play, I can't make you bet it jibby....and now your pounding another play opposite me, you obviously hate yourself. I gave you the winner in this matchup, I can't bet it for you too.Comment -
CaptChaos145SBR Wise Guy
- 04-03-14
- 588
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JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#51Jibby, it's like you purposely try to lose, you bet on cerrone against rda, but now against him when he fights the Brazilian cowboy, wtf...you fade rda every single fight, and now bet on him when He fights mcgregor wtf...it's like your always one Step behind the linesmaker. You bet against me alot, i dont understand how u still have money, You have to purposely be this bad, I truly believe you work for sbr and these books, because this is unbelievable otherwise...plus always trying to get others to sign up for sbr pro. Your a fukin double agent, aren't u'?Last edited by JoshKnows46; 02-11-16, 02:25 PM.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#52Why would you hate me, all I do is make people money, you should hate yourself...all I can do is give you The correct play, I can't make you bet it jibby....and now your pounding another play opposite me, you obviously hate yourself. I gave you the winner in this matchup, I can't bet it for you too.
I mentioned that because I'm losing more then winning when going up against your picks lately.. It was a complement to your capping skills...
AO gets this though.. You wrong on this pick... Anyone tailing you on this forum is gonna lose cash on this fight.. Cowboy Cerrone is gonna get bullied by the bigger man in this fight plain and simple...Last edited by JIBBBY; 02-11-16, 03:18 PM.Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#53I know, I'm just making a point, as in why in the world do you keep doing it?, seems as though this should be atleast a no play, but your pounding it? The Brazilian cowboy has no path to victory, and has no advantage anywhere in this fight. Think about it, don't pound this, your gonna end up on the losing end of another card if you do.Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#54Josh I don't hate ya.. Relax, it was a joke...
I mentioned that because I'm losing more then winning when going up against your picks lately.. It was a complement to your capping skills...
AO gets this though.. You wrong on this pick... Anyone tailing you on this forum is gonna lose cash on this fight.. Cowboy Cerrone is gonna get bullied in this fight plain and simple...Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#55Jibby, it's like you purposely try to lose, you bet on cerrone against rda, but now against him when he fights the Brazilian cowboy, wtf...you fade rda every single fight, and now bet on him when He fights mcgregor wtf...it's like your always one Step behind the linesmaker. You bet against me alot, i dont understand how u still have money, You have to purposely be this bad, I truly believe you work for sbr and these books, because this is unbelievable otherwise...plus always trying to get others to sign up for sbr pro. Your a fukin double agent, aren't u'?
Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#57can't believe I bit on the -300. Should have known the line wouldn't have went crazy. Oh well, will be putting more on Cowboy eventually. Waiting to see what ITD looks like thoughComment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#58It opened under 200, was at 250 a while, and it's going back down.. you don't pay juice on a winner, don't worry about itComment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#59EDIT: Read that wrong. When are you thinking about getting down on Cerrone? My MMA timing is really badComment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#60I'm on him at 200,245,250, and 270, might wait to put the other half of my wager on him after the weigh ins. Gonna have a total of 6.5k invested on him counting parlays, ml, itd, sub props, might even do a 2nd round finish prop as well. 20 unit play.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#61I'm was up big money with my MMA gambling last month and the same will be for this month when it's all said and done.. Double agents don't post constant winning prop bets with just about every fight and or smart hedge plays for profit do they?
Keep picking the straights Joshy, as I'll keep pulling huge valued prop bets out of my ass that hit consistently, either with a hedge for profit or just a straight prop play win.. If I don't hit a good prop for over +700 on a card I'm disappointed these days, just put it that way...
Josh you weren't even betting props when you first started posting on this forum recently, your just coming around now and understanding prop play thanks to my posts in past months... You're thinking outside the box which is good and perhaps your MMA betting game will improve now..
Just say thank you Jibby and have a nice day is what you should say to me..Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#62I'm was up big money with my MMA gambling last month and the same will be for this month when it's all said and done.. Double agents don't post constant winning prop bets with just about every fight and or smart hedge plays for profit do they?
Keep picking the straights Joshy, as I'll keep pulling huge valued prop bets out of my ass that hit consistently, either with a hedge for profit or just a straight prop play win.. If I don't hit a good prop for over +700 on a card I'm disappointed these days, just put it that way...
Josh you weren't even betting props when you first started posting on this forum recently, your just coming around now and understanding prop play thanks to my posts in past months... You're thinking outside the box which is good and perhaps your MMA betting game will improve now..
Just say thank you Jibby and have a nice day is what you should say to me..Last edited by JoshKnows46; 02-11-16, 03:52 PM.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
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TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#64So he dominated KJ Noons grappling? No offense but 90% of the UFC roster could dominate Noons on the groundComment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#65And are you trying to compare noons to cowboy, they are nothing alike. Burkman just beat noons on the feet. What's your point here?..Cowboy beats him where ever the fight goes, and cowboy desides where the fight goes.Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#66
Watch the fight standing closely in this scrap.. Noons does tag AO but to no effect, then AO tags Noons and that's when Noons begins to crack under the power.... I'm convinced AO has a granite chin also....Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#67The loser should have to give up their nickman. There's only one Cowboy in the ufc..Comment -
JIBBBYSBR Aristocracy
- 12-10-09
- 83693
#68Cowboy Cerrone won't be able to take the striking power and or offensive pressure AO will bring.. It will be just like RDA all over again.. Cowboy gets put out again by yet another Brazilian in this one...Comment -
JoshKnows46SBR MVP
- 07-27-12
- 3691
#69Jibby let's make a bet, whoever loses gets to change the other guys name and profile picture for a month...deal?Comment -
TPowellSBR Posting Legend
- 02-21-08
- 18842
#70Comparing this sideshow character to a dominant LW champion.... interesting. One of the key differenes is that AO is an absolute joke off his back and his defensive grappling is really bad. He gets subbed if this fight stays on the ground too long. I think he knows that though and plans on trading power shotsComment
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