UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillashaw (May 24, 2014)

[ap1ftw]

im going to throw up, barao was my last play on the parlay at +2000 to win good god RENAN CANRAO

why didn't you hedge

[Tommy Blingshyne]

hit that under by like 5 seconds...HA

[yisman]

he said 2:26

[Sykes]

gotta do this more often

[DiggityDaggityDo]

+600!!!! TJ! TJ! Hahahahahahahaaaaa $$$$!!!!!

+715

[beermankirk]

under hit by 4 seconds...

[Wilbo86]

Dat dog got bark

[KalouKalou]

I would love to see the judges cards, can we have this information?

[bob6199]

it was under by about 4 seconds

[Das Jax]

good call!

Dude, I'm so pumped! I even doubled that bet after I posted. Finally caught a break!

[Tommy Blingshyne]

clock went off, was it over or under...

didnt go off...under hit

[Wilbo86]

I would love to see the judges cards, can we have this information?

They usually turn up somewhere, not sure if its official release or leaks

[fitguy67]

placing two half-unit ML's on an "if either one hits, I'm a happy camper" basis

a small price to pay to prevent all the '"gnashing of teeth" that goes on around here if everybody who's "supposed to win"...you know, like...doesn't

Hendo +595 >>>>> -0.5x/+2.975x
Dillashaw +676 >>>>-0.5x/+3.38x


"Embrace and prepare intelligently for the surprise"

The surprise in sports is the jesus of the bible...we know not the time nor place which it comes...and when those who mistake the "very unlikely" for the "impossible"...shift the prices sufficiently, then "going the other way" (aks. taking a splash on the unpopular side) becomes a profitable and hugely-entertaining (aka. hi-variance) long-term enterprise...

unbelievable...shit happens (and a lot of that shit is absolutely unpredicatable)...you gotta pre-position for it...as long as the prices (and the probabilities they imply) are right...buy a cheap ticket on the unpopular side...sit back, watch, don't expect to win...but when you do...damn it's the motherload of rush!

[PaperTrail07]

unreal lol

[MoneyLineDawg]

Love this guy....instead of milking the last round like most guys would do there he went the other way, right after Barao...BOOOOM

Congrats everyone who made money

[PaperTrail07]

100%

unbelievable...shit happens (and a lot of that shit is absolutely unpredicatable)...you gotta pre-position for it...as long as the prices (and the probabilities they imply) are right...

[Das Jax]

Man, I'm soooo glad he didn't coast that last round. I totally would have if I was him. With Barao having to be the aggressor, I would have sat back and defended for five minutes. TJ, I don't even care that you missed that incredibly gift wrapped RNC in the first round, all is forgiven.

[beermankirk]

that was enjoyable to watch, have a good one folks! until the 2 UFC`s next Saturday!

[JIBBBY]

First Brooks, now Dillashaw. My dick can't take it.

I'm drunk and can't take it anymore either.. Son of bitch Dildow got it..... check check check... All night long......KGB Oreo cookie.. LOL

[Sykes]

last 3 fights saved the night, crap up to that. Great night for betting for me, maybe that makes me bad or alright? who knows. DC and TJ brought it big time Lawler had it easy.

[THE_LOCKSMITH]

down to one brazilian champion

[PaperTrail07]

Last 2 Cards...Will Brooks +730 Dillashaw +625.....2 biggest dogs cash..

[Sykes]

If they drop Ludwig there ejits.

[killawookie]

I know there were better odds prefight for the dog in this one but im glad i was on the right side as as i was 2 weeks ago Reduced Fighting 1001 Matt Brown +230*<small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Erick Silva

[jacktheknife]

If you're on Chad, get it before the squares pound it.

[marzwoody]

I TOLD YOU NOT TO COUNT OUT MY BOY DILLASHAW! HAVE FUN CRYING INTO YOUR RAMEN LOSERS!!!!

[Thor4140]

down to one brazilian champion

Pettis gets a hold of him the same thing is gonna happen but worse

[killawookie]

Last 2 Cards...Will Brooks +730 Dillashaw +625.....2 biggest dogs cash..

$6.96

$55.68

$62.64

Win

5/17/14 10:30pm Reduced Fighting 3101 Will Brooks +800* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Michael Chandler

That was my bet last week.. lmao

[Sykes]

I wanna watch the presser, = its a gooden

[Skel]

Holy crap. Dillashaw might be the P4P #1 fighter in the world.

[fitguy67]

I know there were better odds prefight for the dog in this one but im glad i was on the right side as as i was 2 weeks ago Reduced Fighting 1001 Matt Brown +230*<small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Erick Silva

this has been a good stretch for dog-price lovers...Brown over E.Silva, Tito over Shlmenko, Brooks over Chandler, and now TJ over Barao...

betting MMA is getting more and more like MLB...u can't be afraid to bet on the sides you don't really think WILL win...
as long as you think the side CAN win...and that their %chance of winning is greater than that buried in the odds...

then go ahead, don't be afraid to lose...expect to lose...it's a dog, that's what dogs are expected to do...lose...MOST of the time...BUT...it's those occasional surprises...and the fat bonus-payouts attached to it, that make betting on well-selected dogs +eV over the long haul...

lots of predictable frustrating losses to endure along the way...but the occasional exhilarating surprises like tonight make it all worthwhile

[Tremendous]

WTF?

[Cappinpicks]

are brazilians 100% gay? barao even said he wanted to put on a show = big sign he'd look like shit

[Skel]

WTF?

5Dimes graded it as a win. What book is this?

[MD]

Holy crap. Dillashaw might be the P4P #1 fighter in the world.

Faber-tier scrambling with fight IQ that's only slightly worse than Jones', unrivaled athleticism in the division (who was that idiot who called me a retard for saying that Dillashaw was faster and more athletic than Barao?), excellent timing and one of the most diverse striking games in MMA. It's easy to forget, but Dillashaw just dominated Barao completely, finished him and, for the most part, he didn't even implement his wrestling game. And his biggest strength is his ability to mix his striking into his grappling.

Scary. He hasn't peaked yet, he's still a work in progress.