Bellator 96

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  • goodfellas433
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-16-12
    • 441

    #1
    Bellator 96
    Lots of heavy, heavy favorites here....and some obvious mismatches. O'Neal has a record of 12-21for Christ sake.... And war machine returns. No odds out yet just curious what your thoughts are on this card.
  • mirinquads
    SBR MVP
    • 04-22-13
    • 3927

    #2
    Might fade Sobral, dude hasn't gotten the memo that his chin is shot like a ************ and that he should be wrestling not striking with people. Especially against aggressive strikers with power. King mo SHOULD win, but if he's like an enormous favorite, might take a stab at the Peth. Kimbo Killer 2.0 up in this bitch!!

    Sparks hasn't fought in like 1,5 years and Minakov seems to be quite good, gotta watch some tape though. Hate betting Bellator heavyweights though, so unpredictable.
    Comment
    • goodfellas433
      SBR Sharp
      • 07-16-12
      • 441

      #3
      I really wanted to fade war machine here, but so far I don't like what I'm reading on Avena....have to factor in the long layoff too though.
      Comment
      • Vaughany
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 03-07-10
        • 45563

        #4
        No way I can play War Machine after he said he's dealing with a torn ACL and hernia, that's for sure!
        Comment
        • goodfellas433
          SBR Sharp
          • 07-16-12
          • 441

          #5
          Probably a no play all around. I just get the feeling they want him to win, just as a niche fighter....not sure why I feel that way but I have since they signed him on
          Comment
          • MD
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-31-12
            • 9728

            #6
            Played Noe, no regrets. He's bad, but as bad as Sobral? I don't think so.
            Comment
            • JustinOpinion
              SBR Hustler
              • 06-17-13
              • 63

              #7
              Kalikas -

              Mo -1580
              Seth +750

              Sobral -215
              Noe +165

              Hale -380
              Queiroz +260

              Minakov -675
              Sparks +425

              War Machine -350
              Avena +250
              Comment
              • Dwil125
                SBR MVP
                • 11-08-12
                • 2048

                #8
                under 1.5 sparks/minakov
                Comment
                • Sacrelicious
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 11-29-12
                  • 5984

                  #9
                  Noe is worth a solid play, beyond that, call me nuts, but am I the only one here that sees value on literally every dog on this card?
                  Comment
                  • Dwil125
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-08-12
                    • 2048

                    #10
                    Not sparks haha
                    Comment
                    • Dwil125
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-08-12
                      • 2048

                      #11
                      wouldn't play the main event either unless your playing the o/u
                      Comment
                      • Sacrelicious
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 11-29-12
                        • 5984

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Dwil125
                        Not sparks haha
                        At +425????? I will take a shot at that.

                        These lines are ridiculously long.
                        Comment
                        • Beelzebubzy
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 06-06-11
                          • 6995

                          #13
                          Played noe because babalu has no chin and avena cause war machine is injured
                          Comment
                          • Sacrelicious
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-29-12
                            • 5984

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Dwil125
                            wouldn't play the main event either unless your playing the o/u
                            I have a small play on seth +725. I do not favor any of these dogs to win but the lines seem really nutty to me.
                            Comment
                            • Dwil125
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-08-12
                              • 2048

                              #15
                              play the under if you want to play sparks, the only way he's going to win is if he gets a lucky ko with Minakov rushing in. I wouldn't play him at +462 where he's at now.. besides the gap in their skill sets he's nearly 39 years old hasn't fought in a over a year and a half, and he will probably have to cut weight to make the 266 pound limit due to his layoff.
                              Comment
                              • Fragoel2
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 09-08-12
                                • 107

                                #16
                                Flier on Petruzelli, might put a flier on Avena too.

                                Can't see why you guys like Noe, he's truly terrible, Babalu has much better skills and was winning his last match up until that lucky punch.
                                Comment
                                • Vaughany
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 03-07-10
                                  • 45563

                                  #17
                                  Is this a Gaberz flier though?
                                  Comment
                                  • Fragoel2
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-08-12
                                    • 107

                                    #18
                                    Of course
                                    Comment
                                    • Crassus
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-08-12
                                      • 1538

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Fragoel2
                                      Can't see why you guys like Noe, he's truly terrible, Babalu has much better skills and was winning his last match up until that lucky punch.
                                      I really disagree that he was winning, he was clearly the worse man in that cage. Noe is bad, but he has power, something that Babalu cannot stand at the moment.
                                      Comment
                                      • ArchieUD
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-11-13
                                        • 130

                                        #20
                                        Yeah, I agree. Babalu should realize he should get this to the ground instead of fooling around on the feet. Played u1.5 rounds at -185 as there is good possibility this fight is getting finished no matter if it goes to the ground or stays on the feet.
                                        Comment
                                        • Dwil125
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-08-12
                                          • 2048

                                          #21
                                          Spartan is off the card, hale just got a new opponent
                                          Comment
                                          • PunisherIND
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-24-11
                                            • 4978

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              decent replacement on short notice
                                              Comment
                                              • Dwil125
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-08-12
                                                • 2048

                                                #24
                                                parlaying minakov again at -465 played the under at -215
                                                Comment
                                                • Beelzebubzy
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-06-11
                                                  • 6995

                                                  #25
                                                  at what point does Mo have value.

                                                  Cant think he is this cocky to strike again. His MMA future relies on him winning in B league Bellator. So I think he LNPs here like his life depends on it and Petruzzeli has gassed in the past, plus his Ice cream bizz is on fire.

                                                  Plus another loss for Mo and it ruins his chance of being a TNA World Champion. Sac will give you those details. MD will give you the MMA detail.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • PunisherIND
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-24-11
                                                    • 4978

                                                    #26


                                                    king slo mo. i'd need at least -500...



                                                    ...unless you're throwing it in a parlay. in which case i'd play it at current prices.

                                                    edit: doesn't it look like he's doing the koko b. ware dance?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • sideloaded
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 08-21-10
                                                      • 7561

                                                      #27
                                                      Comment
                                                      • goodfellas433
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 07-16-12
                                                        • 441

                                                        #28
                                                        Does dimes do bellator props? Its the only way I can play noe/sobral I think...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • PunisherIND
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-24-11
                                                          • 4978

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by sideloaded
                                                          that was great
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PunisherIND
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-24-11
                                                            • 4978

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by goodfellas433
                                                            Does dimes do bellator props? Its the only way I can play noe/sobral I think...
                                                            they have offered props before. but not in a long time.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MD
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-31-12
                                                              • 9728

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                              at what point does Mo have value.

                                                              Cant think he is this cocky to strike again. His MMA future relies on him winning in B league Bellator. So I think he LNPs here like his life depends on it and Petruzzeli has gassed in the past, plus his Ice cream bizz is on fire.

                                                              Plus another loss for Mo and it ruins his chance of being a TNA World Champion. Sac will give you those details. MD will give you the MMA detail.
                                                              I don't think Mo got KO'd because he's cocky, I think he got KO'd because there are deficiencies in his striking and he simply got caught. He's actually looked worse on the feet since the Gracie fight. What percentage of the time does a guy like Seth Petruzelli catch Mo? 5%? 10%? 15%? I'm inclined to think Mo should be around -950. If I knew for a fact that all he wants to do is wrestle and not get KO'd, probably closer to -2500, but you can never know that for sure.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • brooks85
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-05-09
                                                                • 44709

                                                                #32
                                                                only thing sweeter was watching thiago return the favor to cavalcante. Reality is this fight hyped up cavalcante's line but if you watch it, can clearly see it's just a lucky ko. No different than silva's front kick to vitor. Both strikes would not land again in rematches, just like vitor wouldn't land a wheel kick on rockhold again in a rematch.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Beelzebubzy
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 06-06-11
                                                                  • 6995

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Dude I'm in parlay heaven
                                                                  i have Franke at -194
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Beelzebubzy
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-06-11
                                                                    • 6995

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I don't tthis any Anderson ko is lucky except Chael 2
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MD
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-31-12
                                                                      • 9728

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by brooks85
                                                                      only thing sweeter was watching thiago return the favor to cavalcante. Reality is this fight hyped up cavalcante's line but if you watch it, can clearly see it's just a lucky ko. No different than silva's front kick to vitor. Both strikes would not land again in rematches, just like vitor wouldn't land a wheel kick on rockhold again in a rematch.
                                                                      0/10.
                                                                      Comment
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