UFC 159: Jones vs. Sonnen

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  • Dwil125
    SBR MVP
    • 11-08-12
    • 2048

    #36
    I really hope Mcmann doesnt try to touch gloves with shiela gaff, I've seen Gaff sucker punch off of a glove touch twice now lol.
    Comment
    • Dwil125
      SBR MVP
      • 11-08-12
      • 2048

      #37
      Originally posted by Sacrelicious
      Correct.

      Think of it like your play on Jones straight up that you described a few posts up, I do not believe Davis does not have the tools to sub Vinny.

      I'll be large on Phil FTW.
      I think the only way Davis gets a sub is if he gets a lucky rnc late in round 2 or 3 with vinny trying to make a comeback in the fight.
      Comment
      • Grabaka
        SBR MVP
        • 02-19-11
        • 3216

        #38
        Sider should twitt her and get to be the hero.
        Comment
        • Ron_Paul_2012
          SBR MVP
          • 01-31-13
          • 3953

          #39
          Originally posted by sideloaded



          probably going to one of the title loan car places with my honda civic title and putting it all on mcmann. If I lose I will lose my job also because I wont be able to get to-and-fro.
          What a brilliant idea . Have a fire sale! Sell everything you own! Go ALL IN player . Don't worry. If you lose I will put you in touch with the producer of BUM FIGHTS, then you can fight either Karo Parisyan or Drew Fickett for a new house.
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          • sideloaded
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-21-10
            • 7561

            #40
            Originally posted by Ron_Paul_2012
            What a brilliant idea . Have a fire sale! Sell everything you own! Go ALL IN player . Don't worry. If you lose I will put you in touch with the producer of BUM FIGHTS, then you can fight either Karo Parisyan or Drew Fickett for a new house.
            alrdy did, typng this from my phone, just sold my laptop
            Comment
            • Dwil125
              SBR MVP
              • 11-08-12
              • 2048

              #41
              Originally posted by sideloaded
              alrdy did, typng this from my phone, just sold my laptop
              Comment
              • sideloaded
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-21-10
                • 7561

                #42
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                • Kaffe
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 02-02-13
                  • 22

                  #43
                  Have played Kongo by decision at +450, Vinny straight at +240 (wish I waited) and Not Davis ITD at -310.

                  I may jinx it, but F'in lol at Phil subbing Vinny, Sacrelicious.
                  Comment
                  • The iron sheik
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-17-13
                    • 1105

                    #44
                    Bisping, Davis straight up and both of these fights o2,5
                    small on kongo

                    not a very interesting event betting wise for me

                    I'm not sure why you guys love Vinny so much, perhaps I get to eat crow afterwards but that match looks to be a real stinker with horrible striking and dry humping for three rounds for a boring Davis decision.
                    Comment
                    • Kaffe
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 02-02-13
                      • 22

                      #45
                      It is the fact that both are lacking in the standup that makes me like Vinny at those odds. While I favor Davis to win by decision, Vinny has the BJJ to make Davis very uncomfortable when he goes for the TD. If Davis elects to stand and exchange for any prolonged time, he def shouldn't be the kind of favorite he is right now. If you want to play Davis, I really don't understand why you would not play the decision line. You're paying quite the premium in the off case he rattles Vinny's brain enough to get a finish.

                      i could be way off though. Wouldn't be the first time.
                      Comment
                      • PunisherIND
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-24-11
                        • 4967

                        #46
                        Originally posted by Kaffe
                        Have played Kongo by decision at +450, Vinny straight at +240 (wish I waited) and Not Davis ITD at -310.

                        I may jinx it, but F'in lol at Phil subbing Vinny, Sacrelicious.
                        I have similar plays so far. kongo decision +493 (cant believe this opened +700). maghalaes ITD +380. phil davis by decision -105. also magha/davis o2.5 -170, belcher/bisping o2.5 -120, bisping decision +128. going to have a lot riding on jon jones SU and ITD.
                        Comment
                        • Kaffe
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 02-02-13
                          • 22

                          #47
                          Kongo decision opened at +700? Holy crap! Would have put a sizeable chunk on that for sure.

                          Got Bisping/Belcher goes the distance at -135. Also have a couple of parlays that need Jones/Sonnen ITD.

                          Seems you've been able to catch better lines than me on pretty much all the plays we have in common.
                          Comment
                          • Fragoel2
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 09-08-12
                            • 107

                            #48
                            nobody's on Bisping? I really like the line
                            Comment
                            • Vaughany
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 03-07-10
                              • 45563

                              #49
                              Originally posted by Fragoel2
                              nobody's on Bisping? I really like the line
                              the fact that he's talking about wanting to KO Belcher in 1st round and "old-school" on him is probably putting many off. Could all be rhubarb and hype but if he does go in all guns blazing his chances of winning are reduced considerably. Belcher has a better chin and has power
                              Comment
                              • sideloaded
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-21-10
                                • 7561

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Kaffe
                                Kongo decision opened at +700? Holy crap! Would have put a sizeable chunk on that for sure.

                                Got Bisping/Belcher goes the distance at -135. Also have a couple of parlays that need Jones/Sonnen ITD.

                                Seems you've been able to catch better lines than me on pretty much all the plays we have in common.
                                Kongo has no shot at winning a decision.
                                Comment
                                • Kaffe
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 02-02-13
                                  • 22

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by sideloaded
                                  Kongo has no shot at winning a decision.
                                  Comment
                                  • sideloaded
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 08-21-10
                                    • 7561

                                    #52
                                    I dont know what that means, but Kongo is super old with a lot of injuries and a bad back. If he doesnt win in rd 1 the fight is over. But you can throw your money away if you want to. Nelson still has a lot of value.
                                    Comment
                                    • Vaughany
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 03-07-10
                                      • 45563

                                      #53
                                      Kongo and his upright stance and lack of head-movement seems prime material to eat a telegraphed Roy Nelson over-hand right!
                                      Comment
                                      • Kaffe
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 02-02-13
                                        • 22

                                        #54
                                        I like my odds.

                                        But thanks for the warning. I'll just have to hope you're not as accurate with bets on fat bearded guys as you are with women. Have taken a look at your thread, and I must say you really seem to know your WMMA.

                                        Edit: True enough Vaughany. I just think that Kongo takes a decision more often than 18.18%. Won't exactly be surprised if he takes a nap instead tho. Could also lose a decision through getting rocked frequently.
                                        Last edited by Kaffe; 04-21-13, 04:11 PM.
                                        Comment
                                        • sideloaded
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 08-21-10
                                          • 7561

                                          #55
                                          does wolfslair even exist? Because I know Nelson has been training non-stop with Jeff Mayweather.
                                          Comment
                                          • gabe
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-12-11
                                            • 7405

                                            #56
                                            I think Davis ITD and Davis by Sub are nice fliers
                                            Comment
                                            • gabe
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 7405

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by Vaughany
                                              Kongo and his upright stance and lack of head-movement seems prime material to eat a telegraphed Roy Nelson over-hand right!
                                              When I first heard of that match, I immediately thought Kongo vs Hunt
                                              Comment
                                              • MD
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-31-12
                                                • 9728

                                                #58
                                                Why is everyone so confident in Bisping? I've made a lot of money betting on Bisping over the years, but this is a terrible match-up for him, much worse on paper than Belfort was, given that the Belfort fight was five rounds. Belcher has solid cardio, very good BJJ and a big strength and power edge. Bisping doesn't have the tools to exploit the glaring holes in Belcher's game, and will mostly be fighting to his strengths. The more I play the fight out in my head, the more a Belcher KO seems more and more likely. Will be watching a lot of footage on this one before I lock in a bet, though.
                                                Comment
                                                • sideloaded
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-21-10
                                                  • 7561

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by gabe
                                                  I think Davis ITD and Davis by Sub are nice fliers
                                                  Davis is going to sub vinny? I dont know man. I. JUST. DONT. KNOW.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Beelzebubzy
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-06-11
                                                    • 6995

                                                    #60
                                                    Played Garcia as a favorite
                                                    Comment
                                                    • NunyaBidness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 07-26-09
                                                      • 9345

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by Beelzebubzy
                                                      Played Garcia as a favorite
                                                      That's a hard sentence to type.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • gabe
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-12-11
                                                        • 7405

                                                        #62
                                                        you know it's a shit card when the fighter with the most betting value is cody mckenzie
                                                        Comment
                                                        • sideloaded
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-21-10
                                                          • 7561

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by gabe
                                                          you know it's a shit card when the fighter with the most betting value is cody mckenzie
                                                          sara mcmann under 2.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gabe
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 09-12-11
                                                            • 7405

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by sideloaded
                                                            Davis is going to sub vinny? I dont know man. I. JUST. DONT. KNOW.
                                                            If the odds are really good, then it's worth it for the possibility that Davis could HURT Vinny and then sub him. I could see him ground and pounding Vinny til Vinny is hurt and gassed out then locking up some sort of choke... Dude is good with subs, he could easily sub a hurt and gassed out Vinny. If you get nice dog odds for it, worth it.

                                                            You said something similar about Myles Jury beating Michael Johnson by Decision --- no one else was on Jury that night. I had him capped as the fav and he was the big dog and all you n00bs were on MJ...
                                                            Comment
                                                            • sideloaded
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-21-10
                                                              • 7561

                                                              #65
                                                              F_ck johnson he's a piece of shit.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • sideloaded
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 08-21-10
                                                                • 7561

                                                                #66
                                                                Line is moving Gabe, I told you mcmann u2.5 it was -110 now -120
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gabe
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                                  • 7405

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by sideloaded
                                                                  F_ck johnson he's a piece of shit.
                                                                  lmao love u breh
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MD
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-31-12
                                                                    • 9728

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Why did Perez move from -190 to -125? Not how I saw the line moving at all.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sacrelicious
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 11-29-12
                                                                      • 5984

                                                                      #69
                                                                      THANK YOU FOR RELEASING THE LINES ON A penetrating SUNDAY AFTERNOON MR KALIKAS.

                                                                      I really appreciate it.


                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • gabe
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-12-11
                                                                        • 7405

                                                                        #70
                                                                        The sooner the better, I say =)
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