UFC 158: St Pierre vs Diaz (

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 11:48 AM

haa

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 12:02 PM

GSP by quarter circle forward + P.

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 12:48 PM

Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

go ahead and post your plays for 158 I guarantee my bets will win more than yours will

as always of course.

lol you've never had a better night than i have, even on my bad nights!

i've gone 8-0, 9-0, 8-1, 9-1 in 2012, you haven't had a night close to that

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 12:49 PM

think i went 11-3 in the dog day afternoon thread w/ mostly dog picks

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-10-13, 01:05 PM

Gabes first fight back

**Grabaka** · 03-10-13, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Gabes first fight back

I think it was good he went to the regional shows for a while and improved his skillz. Now hes back better than ever!

**Grabaka** · 03-10-13, 01:39 PM

No SBR jitters this time!

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 01:54 PM

hahaha

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 01:54 PM

i needed to take out a few cans at sherdog before getting the ticket back to the pro's

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 02:59 PM

Originally posted by Grabaka

No SBR jitters this time!

lol

**Imsmarterthanu** · 03-10-13, 03:00 PM

Originally posted by gabe

lol you've never had a better night than i have, even on my bad nights!

i've gone 8-0, 9-0, 8-1, 9-1 in 2012, you haven't had a night close to that

bahahahah same ol delusional gayb, the Frank DUX of MMA betting

**bjpenn85** · 03-10-13, 03:41 PM

Anyone heard the ufc 158 conferance call? http://www.mmafighting.com/2013/3/7/...-diaz-mma-news

Diaz acts and GSP falls right into it. From 25 min mark and out..

**Crassus** · 03-10-13, 03:41 PM

Gonna hold out on Hendricks, I think there'll be a late push on Condit and bring Hendricks up to + odds which I'll jump on.
What about Marquardt vs Ellenberger? Ellenberger is pretty solid but -165 is high for his skill set. Gotta watch more tape and figure out which match-ups I like the most, this is gonna be my comeback into gambling I think.

Also gonna be there live, penetrate yeah.

**bjpenn85** · 03-10-13, 03:44 PM

I laughing my f ass off here. Please, check this out.

MD · 03-10-13, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by Crassus

Gonna hold out on Hendricks, I think there'll be a late push on Condit and bring Hendricks up to + odds which I'll jump on.
What about Marquardt vs Ellenberger? Ellenberger is pretty solid but -165 is high for his skill set. Gotta watch more tape and figure out which match-ups I like the most, this is gonna be my comeback into gambling I think.

Also gonna be there live, penetrate yeah.

You and Gabe are coming back at the same time?! I think what's going to happen is, Gabe and Crassus are going to throw down, and then Crassus is going to take on Tbird at Wrestlemania, with the stipulation being that Tbird only needs a 2-count for a pinfall, since he parlayed all his moves with GSP.

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 03:47 PM

Originally posted by Crassus

Gonna hold out on Hendricks, I think there'll be a late push on Condit and bring Hendricks up to + odds which I'll jump on
.

This.

I also like dwil's suggestion of Condit point handicap if it is available at decent odds.

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by Imsmarterthanu

bahahahah same ol delusional gayb, the Frank DUX of MMA betting

delusional? those picks were posted on this forum, resident dumbass.

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 03:52 PM

I wouldn't advice going big on any main card fight... for betting, stick to the prelims and go small/enjoy the main card.

**gabe** · 03-10-13, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I wouldn't advice going big on any main card fight... for betting, stick to the prelims and go small/enjoy the main card.

advise*

and i meant this card, not in general.

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by bjpenn85

Anyone heard the ufc 158 conferance call? http://www.mmafighting.com/2013/3/7/...-diaz-mma-news

Diaz acts and GSP falls right into it. From 25 min mark and out..

yeah, see previous few pages, most of us were creaming over it! some funny shiit. Love how you can hear GSP and others laughin in background at times!

**Sacrelicious** · 03-10-13, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I wouldn't advice going big on any main card fight... for betting, stick to the prelims and go small/enjoy the main card.

I really do like GSP and Ellenberger here...

As for Hendricks/Condit, I do not see value at the current lines at all, if either one of them starts to move up to ~+140ish thats where I will be betting them, and I think Condit +3.5 at plus money has value, other then that, no plays on the fight.

**bjpenn85** · 03-10-13, 04:01 PM

obviously, should have known. I love this.

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 04:16 PM

I cant bet Ellenberger at the line right now. Marquardt has better cardio, should have size advantage and how often do you see him get finished? May have to play him if hits +160 +

When I actually look at Ellenberger's performances against legit competition the only really impressive performances were against Pyle and Condit over 3 years ago. He scraped by Rocha and Hieron, gassed out and got dominated in last round against by an injured Canchez who'd been out for a year, and beat a Jake Shields that was in no mental state to be taking tht fight after his Father had just passed away

**Beelzebubzy** · 03-10-13, 04:57 PM

Playing devils advocate marquadt has been putwrestled before and that's what the line makers most likey see

**Vaughany** · 03-10-13, 05:01 PM

Originally posted by Beelzebubzy

Playing devils advocate marquadt has been putwrestled before and that's what the line makers most likey see

indeed. I'll probably end up just putting fight goes distance in a parlay.

**Hannibal** · 03-10-13, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by Rubber Guard

Nick Diaz 3rd round TKO. Via standing hammer fists.

i've always been suspicious about the practical application of hitting a speed bag
I know they say its supposed to increase your rhythm, coordination and timing....but really? how is the constant rhythm of a bag similar in any way to a good striker who will do everything to hit you in a unpredictable off rhythm? how is the motion of a standing hammer fist anything like throwing a punch? it almost seems detrimental to become accustomed to such a predictable timing and rhythm

**Imsmarterthanu** · 03-10-13, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by gabe

delusional? those picks were posted on this forum, resident dumbass.

lol He's going all in on Jared Papazian

lets not forget Lavar Johnson your

against struve

bahahaha wait a minute come to think of it gaybe never posts his plays until after the fight is over then he makes up his own record like were all dumb enough to believe him.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 03-10-13, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by gabe

I wouldn't advice going big on any main card fight... for betting, stick to the prelims and go small/enjoy the main card.

i wouldn't advise anyone to take your advice

**eligibletackle** · 03-10-13, 06:06 PM

I liked Ellenberger at those dogs odds when he was supposed to fight Hendricks. At the moment I'm avoiding all 3 of the WW tilts.

what's the rationale behind enough late money coming in Condit to get Hendricks into + odds? I can see Hendricks line getting to -115 but pick'em/dog odds is hard to see

**NunyaBidness** · 03-10-13, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by Sacrelicious

I really do like GSP and Ellenberger here...

As for Hendricks/Condit, I do not see value at the current lines at all, if either one of them starts to move up to ~+140ish thats where I will be betting them, and I think Condit +3.5 at plus money has value, other then that, no plays on the fight.

Condit +3.5 at + money would have huge value, and it won't be available.

It will likely be in the -185 range.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 03-10-13, 07:57 PM

marquardt at +148 is a steal expect the line to drop

**Boddhissatva** · 03-10-13, 11:49 PM

On Carlos Condit at +115. Hendricks's stock is pretty high, especially after knocking out Kampmann and Fitch...however he won't get that lucky against Condit...

If you take a look at Hendrick's other "victories" in the UFC, they aren't all that impressive...his wins over Kosh and Pierce were coin tosses...

If condit weathers the initial storm, he'll pull off a UD or maybe even a late stoppage.

Ellenberger is a very dynamic, strong fighter....but having him at -165 is ridiculous.

**Imsmarterthanu** · 03-11-13, 12:23 AM

Originally posted by Boddhissatva

On Carlos Condit at +115. Hendricks's stock is pretty high, especially after knocking out Kampmann and Fitch...however he won't get that lucky against Condit...

If you take a look at Hendrick's other "victories" in the UFC, they aren't all that impressive...his wins over Kosh and Pierce were coin tosses...

If condit weathers the initial storm, he'll pull off a UD or maybe even a late stoppage.

Ellenberger is a very dynamic, strong fighter....but having him at -165 is ridiculous.

this guy knows whats up

**Imsmarterthanu** · 03-11-13, 12:39 AM

Mickey Rourke chimes in on Diaz haters

"Don't understand why there are so many@nickdiaz209 haters, life is too short not to wear your colors on your sleeve..."

https://twitter.com/Mickey_Rourke/st...26510197575680

gonna have to agree with Mickey Rourke, all these butt hurt homos that talk shit about Nick Diaz are all cowards, the fact is Nick Diaz is real, he doesn't try to front like someone he's not he says what's on his mind and if you can't respect that then you're on the opposite line of reality, you're living in some pseudo reality created by UFC's public relations team. This sport is about fighting, it's not about who's the friendliest most respectful guy that shit is weak and it's oversaturating the ufc, i fukn hate this fist bumping between rounds hugging each other etc. That's your opponent he want's to fuk you up you gotta fuk him up every step of the way. Stop dancing around giving each other fist bumps and fight. That's why I like real fighters when it comes time to fight they fight and Diaz is a real fighter, he's never backed off his opponents even when he's losing.

**Crassus** · 03-11-13, 02:18 AM

Originally posted by MD

You and Gabe are coming back at the same time?! I think what's going to happen is, Gabe and Crassus are going to throw down, and then Crassus is going to take on Tbird at Wrestlemania, with the stipulation being that Tbird only needs a 2-count for a pinfall, since he parlayed all his moves with GSP.

Tbird had have a 1-count, he aint getting me down.