Bitcoin Price Tracking & Discussion -- 2025

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Bitcoin Payments to Be Accepted at Steak ‘n Shake US Locations Starting May 16

I bought some silver with bitcoin years ago when it was around $2500ish and kick myself whenever I think about it as these 1oz silver coins ended up costing me a fortune! I can see the same thing happening with a burger, fries and drink costing you hundreds 5-10 years from now.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I won't claim to know the exact reasons. But SMLR is ripping. +10% today.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Bump. $107,400.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

It's ready to explode.

Salud, Raiders. So many interesting BTC topics in 2025:
1) How many nations announce BTC purchases in 2025?
...I'm hearing that nations are buying. But they don't want to publicly announce it.

2) How many US states will pass BTC legislation by end of 2025?
...Government moves slowly. But it is happening.
...States want BTC (or Gold) on their balance sheets.

3) How many US corporations will accept BTC as payment by end of 2025?
...Admittedly, this failed pretty badly in the last cycle.
...The debit cards worked for a while, then stopped.
...I think vendors will accept BTC. Just not sure how many buyers will part w/ their BTC.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Bitcoin Payments to Be Accepted at Steak ‘n Shake US Locations Starting May 16

[raiders72001]

That didn't take long. $105,500.

*Note to SBR posters: A ton of good info in this thread.
...Guys have been encouraging posters to get a BTC allocation for some time.
...If you like it at all, put 2% of your funds into BTC or a Bitcoin ETF.
...If I'm wrong, I'll come on here and say so.

It's ready to explode.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Sam Odom, you out there?

104,300. $105k is close. When does the new ATH hit?

That didn't take long. $105,500.

*Note to SBR posters: A ton of good info in this thread.
...Guys have been encouraging posters to get a BTC allocation for some time.
...If you like it at all, put 2% of your funds into BTC or a Bitcoin ETF.
...If I'm wrong, I'll come on here and say so.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Sam Odom, you out there?

104,300. $105k is close. When does the new ATH hit?

[raiders72001]

Coinbase joins the S&P 500.

May 13 (Reuters) - Coinbase Global's (COIN.O), opens new tab shares jumped nearly 10% in premarket trading on Tuesday after the cryptocurrency exchange became the first digital asset player to be included in the benchmark S&P 500 index (.SPX), opens new tab.
It will replace credit card issuer Discover Financial (DFS.N), opens new tab, which is being acquired by Capital One (COF.N), opens new tab. The move will be effective before trading begins on May 19.

The Reuters Tariff Watch newsletter is your daily guide to the latest global trade and tariff news. Sign up here.

The move marks a major milestone for an industry that was once restricted to the fringes of the financial world.
"This event symbolizes the dramatic turnaround in fortunes for the crypto industry and its rising significance as the frontier of financial innovation," Bernstein analysts wrote in a note.
With surging institutional interest, crypto has rapidly moved into the mainstream, especially after President Donald Trump promised a lighter regulatory touch.
"We believe S&P 500 inclusion will benefit Coinbase for a while as institutional investors take time to prepare to get into the stock," Oppenheimer analysts noted after raising price target to $293.
The stock was on course to hit its highest in over two months, potentially adding more than $5 billion in market value if current gains hold.
The inclusion could also boost demand for Coinbase shares, as funds tracking the benchmark index would need to add the company to their portfolios.
Last week, Coinbase reported a drop in first-quarter profit. However, analysts have said that a recovering market could boost its momentum.
The company has been active in expanding its institutional investor base and has also taken steps to get a foothold in non-U.S. markets, strengthening its position as the largest publicly traded cryptocurrency exchange in the world.
It said last week it would buy derivatives exchange Deribit in a $2.9 billion deal to expand into the crypto options markets.
"Substantial dry powder positions Coinbase very well to acquire another leader in this space if opportunities arise," Oppenheimer analysts said, while betting on a potential acquisition of a prediction market such as Polymarket.
Shares of the company have lost nearly 17% in 2025, as of their last close.

Reporting by Pritam Biswas in Bengaluru; Editing by Anil D'Silva

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

https://www.reuters.com/business/coi...ex-2025-05-13/

[Optional]

does not seem like an unreasonable expected range for it to peak at to me

[Sawyer]

125-166k is my call for Bitcoin this year..

[Sawyer]

Bitcoin looks extremely resillient. If we keep going at this pace, 135-144k is in play for June, maybe an Early Final.

5 May was local bottom as expected.

Let's enjoy the FINAL CHAPTER of Bitcoin Bull Season which will be followed by a long, brutal bear market fueled by a global recession.

Market Overview

• Bitcoin has convincingly broken back above $100k, bouncing perfectly off the Short-Term Holder cost basis at $93.6k.
• Bears are getting wiped out, and there are still no signs of excessive froth or mania.
• ETFs have attracted $5.2B in inflows, with total monthly capital inflows reaching $20B.

Key Metrics

• SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) is positive but not overheated.
• Funding rates are neutral or even negative, showing many still don’t believe in the rally.
• MVRV and profit-taking metrics are rising, but still below historical extremes.

Trend Momentum

• The Choppiness Index indicates the market has enough fuel to trend again.
• After 5 months of consolidation, Bitcoin is primed to move, and it’s leaning bullish.

Investor Behavior

• Holders who bought at $95k–$100k are breaking even or entering profit, reducing selling pressure.
• Those who bought the dip around $85k are now strongly in profit, reinforcing bullish conviction.

Where to Be Cautious?

• $120k: MVRV reaches a level where only ~10% of historical days were higher.
• $166k: Fewer than 5% of days have had a higher MVRV, meaning saturation risk is high.
• These aren’t price targets but zones where profit-taking historically accelerates.

Conclusion

• The market looks strong, technicals are healthy, and there are no red flags yet.
• A regime shift toward profit-taking and bullish trend appears underway.
• Enjoy the rally, stay alert, and prepare for a shift once metrics approach historic saturation.

[Optional]

$101k !!!!!

Woah. Hold steady for me a bit longer before mooning crypto

[raiders72001]

$101k !!!!!

[Sawyer]

Huge orderblock around 98-100k.

Can't see Bitcoin bypassing that wall.
Probably rejection and downtrend for next 5-7 days..

Rally should start around 12-15 May.

We're approaching FINAL PHASE of Bull Market. Fasten your seatbelts Bitcoiners!

[raiders72001]

$100k in sight.

[raiders72001]

Lots of good news surrounding SUI. Pokemon, xPortal, xMoney

https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:e6ea10f82094b:0-pok-mon-rumors-power-up-sui-as-token-surges-63-in-4-days/#:~:text=Speculation%20that%20the%20Pok% C3%A9mon%20franchise,7%25%20in%20the%20s ame%20period.

[Sawyer]

This bull run likely to end around OCTOBER.

[Sawyer]

Price reversal will start around 7-10 April. Stay tuned!
We're very close to bottom!

7-9 April, Trump changes his mind about tariffs
10 April, Low Inflation Print

So far, so good!

The bottom likely formed between 7–9 April, marking the start of a strong price reversal.

Since 7 April, Bitcoin has surged from $78K to $94K — a classic lockout rally.

How long will it last?
Let me check my system...

A local top is likely around 28–29 April, and the bull run may take a pause.
It's not certain, but there's a high probability of a correction in late April or early May.

5–7 May or 10–11 May.
These dates may align with a local bottom.

Remember — the bull run is still on!
There will be corrections along the way, but I'm extremely bullish on 2nd half of may and probably early June.

Be careful — we're entering the final phase of the bull season.
The bear market is expected to begin around late 2025 into 2026.

This isn't the year to take big risks or go all-in.
It's the year to lock in profits!
Time to harvest the gains you've planted between 2022 and 2024.

Edit: Updated forecast about June. I'm not bullish for the whole June.

[marco1313]

Man, gold sure is doing well right now. Some are saying it's headed to $5K+ per ounce. I think so many are rushing to gold and metals since the economic outlook looks kinda bleak. I bought a little on Sunday and it is already up $140 which pays for the premium over the spot price. Shoulda bought more but ain't got the extra cash.

Crypto has been flat-lining although there was a little bump over the weekend. I'm like 97% crypto but metals look more interesting to me right now. Metals are like crypto in that you have to be ready to hodl long term.

Not financial advice but I would not have extra cash sitting in the bank doing nothing right now. Get gold, crypto (BTC), whatever. Cash out if you need spending money. JMO. The debt and inflation is only going to get worse.

Yeah I feel the same. Gold’s looking solid, and with the way things are going, it makes sense to hedge a bit. I’m mostly in crypto too, but metals are tempting lately. Can’t just let cash sit with inflation eating it up.

[Arky]

Man, gold sure is doing well right now. Some are saying it's headed to $5K+ per ounce. I think so many are rushing to gold and metals since the economic outlook looks kinda bleak. I bought a little on Sunday and it is already up $140 which pays for the premium over the spot price. Shoulda bought more but ain't got the extra cash.

Crypto has been flat-lining although there was a little bump over the weekend. I'm like 97% crypto but metals look more interesting to me right now. Metals are like crypto in that you have to be ready to hodl long term.

Not financial advice but I would not have extra cash sitting in the bank doing nothing right now. Get gold, crypto (BTC), whatever. Cash out if you need spending money. JMO. The debt and inflation is only going to get worse.

[homie1975]

Much higher top.

raiders you are my guy but i respectfully disagree

we need fuel ie investors both institutional and retailers to get back in.

everyone is hoarding cash now and credit debt is rising on installment and revolving debt

hunker down.

i am a bull by nature but not right now

[raiders72001]

where are we going

Much higher top.

[homie1975]

where are we going

[raiders72001]

Timing good for me, needing to sell more this week to pay stuff.

The crazy volatility based on the daily whims of tarriff threats is not a good thing for us though. Reduces confidence overall.

I'm definitely watching and worrying about the tariffs. May be just a big negotiating ploy. More good news

US Justice Dept disbands crypto enforcement team, citing Trump order

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-...it-2025-04-08/

[Optional]

Finally a good day.

Timing good for me, needing to sell more this week to pay stuff.

The crazy volatility based on the daily whims of tarriff threats is not a good thing for us though. Reduces confidence overall.

[raiders72001]

Finally a good day.

[Sawyer]

Price reversal will start around 7-10 April. Stay tuned!
We're very close to bottom!

7-9 April, Trump changes his mind about tariffs
10 April, Low Inflation Print

Politics Trump announces 90-day tariff pause


Trump announces 90-day tariff pause!

LET'S GOOOOO!!

[marco1313]

Price reversal will start around 7-10 April. Stay tuned!
We're very close to bottom!

7-9 April, Trump changes his mind about tariffs
10 April, Low Inflation Print

can you share updates for now ?

[Sawyer]

Price reversal will start around 7-10 April. Stay tuned!
We're very close to bottom!

7-9 April, Trump changes his mind about tariffs
10 April, Low Inflation Print

[raiders72001]

Tariffs don't scare the crypto market.

[Arky]

https://www.brighteon.com/286a8631-a3b5-4010-867f-03f2932b7247

Interesting conversation with Chris Sullivan, Mike Adams and Todd Pitner. I'd never heard of Chris Sullivan but he seems to know what's up. He's got a different perspective I've never heard before. They cover:

CBDCs
Who is Satoshi?
Lots of Crypto talk - BTC, privacy coins, etc.
Get out of fiat!
Possible reset in June/July?
The "papering" of metals and now BTC.

Runs about 1:37:00 if you have nothing better to do.....

[Sawyer]

I just spoke with Donald. He said he will announce on April 7 that he has changed his mind about tariffs

STAY TUNED!

[Sawyer]

Local bottom these days..today or tomorrow.

The rally should start around April 4–7, at the latest April 9.

Bond Market never lies! We may be approaching final phase of bull run which will be followed by a brutal, global recession.

Everybody bearish these days. Better be contrarian my friends..

How high Bitcoin can go? 121, 144 likely in my opinion. I don't expect any number above 170k.
169k possible. 155k? possible. 120's, maybe 130-140's more likely imo. we'll see.

Fortune favors the Brave. Don't be a pus*y.

[raiders72001]

what now kemosabe?

$60k my worry point. Until then, things are fine.